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IDemo

(16,926 posts)
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 08:44 AM Jun 2015

Joseph Stiglitz to Greece’s Creditors: Abandon Austerity Or Face Global Fallout

A few years ago, when Greece was still at the start of its slide into an economic depression, the Nobel prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz remembers discussing the crisis with Greek officials. What they wanted was a stimulus package to boost growth and create jobs, and Stiglitz, who had just produced an influential report for the United Nations on how to deal with the global financial crisis, agreed that this would be the best way forward. Instead, Greece’s foreign creditors imposed a strict program of austerity. The Greek economy has shrunk by about 25% since 2010. The cost-cutting was an enormous mistake, Stiglitz says, and it’s time for the creditors to admit it.

“They have criminal responsibility,” he says of the so-called troika of financial institutions that bailed out the Greek economy in 2010, namely the International Monetary Fund, the European Commission and the European Central Bank. “It’s a kind of criminal responsibility for causing a major recession,” Stiglitz tells TIME in a phone interview.

Along with a growing number of the world’s most influential economists, Stiglitz has begun to urge the troika to forgive Greece’s debt – estimated to be worth close to $300 billion in bailouts – and to offer the stimulus money that two successive Greek governments have been requesting.

Failure to do so, Stiglitz argues, would not only worsen the recession in Greece – already deeper and more prolonged than the Great Depression in the U.S. – it would also wreck the credibility of Europe’s common currency, the euro, and put the global economy at risk of contagion.

http://time.com/3939621/stiglitz-greece/

131 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Joseph Stiglitz to Greece’s Creditors: Abandon Austerity Or Face Global Fallout (Original Post) IDemo Jun 2015 OP
Capitalism has failed. Time for a new model (Socialism). - nt KingCharlemagne Jun 2015 #1
I don't think this illustrates the failure of capitalism FlatBaroque Jun 2015 #10
Distinction without a difference, imo - nt KingCharlemagne Jun 2015 #12
Allows people who don't want to admit/address the problem.... daleanime Jun 2015 #15
My, aren't you bright and intuitive FlatBaroque Jun 2015 #22
It would be nice if I thought so...... daleanime Jun 2015 #36
EXCELLENT analysis Skittles Jun 2015 #119
Hey, you're one post away from 10000! BeanMusical Jun 2015 #121
You are stating that Capitalism as a socio-enonomic system FlatBaroque Jun 2015 #25
If 'private central banking' is failing, then so is capitalism, as the two are KingCharlemagne Jun 2015 #26
EU is a group of capitalist bankers running the economies of all of Europe. Kind of like a small jwirr Jun 2015 #57
OK the failure of unregulated capitalism Vincardog Jun 2015 #110
That's the one I would go with. Enthusiast Jun 2015 #123
same same Vincardog Jun 2015 #131
So why are they looking for money from hughee99 Jun 2015 #27
lulz snort Jun 2015 #45
The failure of an explicitly socialist economy vindicates socialism? Recursion Jun 2015 #55
That's certainly what Breitbart, the National Review, and Bill O'Reilly believe Nevernose Jun 2015 #60
They aren't particularly "capitalist" either Recursion Jun 2015 #67
You call Stalin's purges and China's great famine capitalist propaganda in other threads jeff47 Jun 2015 #93
Test for you: exactly how many died in 'Stalin's purges'? With source(s), please - nt KingCharlemagne Jun 2015 #95
Test for you: Why should I give a damn about your tests? jeff47 Jun 2015 #107
You're just spouting the same old tired anti-Soviet propaganda without KingCharlemagne Jun 2015 #108
According to Alexander Solzhenitsyn it was between 1.6 million and 10 million riderinthestorm Jun 2015 #109
Capitalist propaganda? So it didn't happen, millions of people didn't die... BeanMusical Jun 2015 #122
The problem is, it wont work. cstanleytech Jun 2015 #117
K&R abelenkpe Jun 2015 #2
K&R Starry Messenger Jun 2015 #3
That simple malaise Jun 2015 #4
And the neo-conservative ideology with it. eom Betty Karlson Jun 2015 #7
Both are Con jobs malaise Jun 2015 #9
Quite so. n/t Betty Karlson Jun 2015 #37
What would Goldman think of that? Octafish Jun 2015 #5
just threw up a little in my mouth magical thyme Jun 2015 #24
Greg Palast stares unblinking into the darker corners, doesn't he? GliderGuider Jun 2015 #31
Unfortunately Stiglitz has no seat at the table. pa28 Jun 2015 #90
The voice of reason .. ananda Jun 2015 #6
But Greece has no responsibility. randome Jun 2015 #8
The alternative is much worse Lydia Leftcoast Jun 2015 #13
+1 hifiguy Jun 2015 #16
Other governments own the vast majority of Greek debt hack89 Jun 2015 #86
Countries should NOT have that same option. randome Jun 2015 #18
Excellent Post sub.theory Jun 2015 #33
"Get away with shirking its debts" - care to elaborate on what that phrase means? - nt KingCharlemagne Jun 2015 #127
So are you saying that countries should never be forgiven their debts? blackspade Jun 2015 #68
Then why isn't Greece taking one of those other options? randome Jun 2015 #83
What, austerity or collapse? blackspade Jun 2015 #84
And FURTHERMORE Lydia Leftcoast Jun 2015 #130
Don't forget the N. European bankers who threw money JCMach1 Jun 2015 #125
People are dying in Greece over this fraudulent and mistaken austerity plan. riderinthestorm Jun 2015 #17
What's worse than austerity? I think Greece is about to find out. randome Jun 2015 #29
Or the troika could man up, forgive the debt and help. riderinthestorm Jun 2015 #43
I don't understand this idea that the greedy bankers want to lose all their money. randome Jun 2015 #59
They gambled and.lost. Unless they want the shit in their own bed riderinthestorm Jun 2015 #62
Stupid often is found in the company of greed. nt ladjf Jun 2015 #105
greece is effectively insolvent. we have bankruptcy proceeding for this, not debtors' prisons. unblock Jun 2015 #32
Well, that seems to have some merit to it. Not that I understand economics much. randome Jun 2015 #35
When a ship is headed for the rocks sulphurdunn Jun 2015 #47
The 1% long ago fled their wealth sub.theory Jun 2015 #51
Funny. You were all for forgiving Wall St brentspeak Jun 2015 #73
"Loan" them money, not just give it to them. The U.S. made a profit on much of it, anyways. randome Jun 2015 #75
Did the millions of people who lost their jobs and homes brentspeak Jun 2015 #77
not a bad idea SoLeftIAmRight Jun 2015 #114
Easy to be generous with $300 Billion of someone else's money. nt geek tragedy Jun 2015 #11
Didn't harm the world financial markets for more than a blip Lydia Leftcoast Jun 2015 #14
Why would Greece defaulting create more than a blip then? geek tragedy Jun 2015 #21
The matter of physics snort Jun 2015 #48
so the ditch digger in Germany shouldn't have to work longer geek tragedy Jun 2015 #50
The ditch digger in Greece actually works more. PETRUS Jun 2015 #58
He's also making more money in Greece Recursion Jun 2015 #116
That's not true. PETRUS Jun 2015 #126
I'll check but I'm pretty sure OECD doesn't use PPP Recursion Jun 2015 #128
If found data that did use PPP and data that didn't. PETRUS Jun 2015 #129
Which is more important? daleanime Jun 2015 #19
For the people who are owed the $300 Billion? geek tragedy Jun 2015 #23
The people who lent them the money should have known better. fasttense Jun 2015 #39
So if no one lends money to Greece going forward (and they'd be nuts for geek tragedy Jun 2015 #41
I'm not sure I understand your scenario fasttense Jun 2015 #46
Tariffs were enough to fund a de minimis federal government in the 18th century geek tragedy Jun 2015 #49
You would not have to borrow if the banks belonged to the country and were NOT privatized. fasttense Jun 2015 #56
The austerity is already creating a depression of that magnitude so what now? TheKentuckian Jun 2015 #64
Rule #1: Never assume things can't get worse. They probably will nt geek tragedy Jun 2015 #70
You stated it was a choice. I'm saying both choices seem to have the same results TheKentuckian Jun 2015 #89
The results for Greece are going to be awful no matter what. geek tragedy Jun 2015 #91
Maybe it's because Germany was the benificiary of debt reduction and forgiveness themselves? blackspade Jun 2015 #69
Why does Greece deserve a gigantic handout while Bulgaria and Romania geek tragedy Jun 2015 #72
Maybe because it's the right thing to do? blackspade Jun 2015 #80
You haven't explained why Greece is more deserving than geek tragedy Jun 2015 #87
Why should I answer that question? blackspade Jun 2015 #88
Because Germany is not sitting on top of an infinite amount of cash. geek tragedy Jun 2015 #92
Well, there you have it then. blackspade Jun 2015 #97
That presumes that Greece is indispensable to the EU surviving. geek tragedy Jun 2015 #98
That was then, this is now. GliderGuider Jun 2015 #99
Yes, so have the finance ministers of the Eurozone countries. Which is why they did the bailouts of geek tragedy Jun 2015 #101
Your understanding of the issue is one demential. blackspade Jun 2015 #100
Actually, Spain and Portugal are not nearly in as bad of shape in terms geek tragedy Jun 2015 #102
The real question is who got the money, and who is being asked to repay it. hedgehog Jun 2015 #20
THIS Lydia Leftcoast Jun 2015 #28
Excellent questions. truebluegreen Jun 2015 #30
Actually, there are other questions too.... daleanime Jun 2015 #40
You mean like what happened during the sub-prime bubble? GliderGuider Jun 2015 #74
+1 daleanime Jun 2015 #79
Yes, and who benefits from the privatization of public assets. suffragette Jun 2015 #94
Lets not forget the Global Octopus / Hedge Funds ..................... turbinetree Jun 2015 #34
Austerity was/is a stupid policy. Loaning a country more money (as a stimulus) to solve a problem of pampango Jun 2015 #38
Well I suppose liquidity needed to be injected into the crashed Greek economy fasttense Jun 2015 #42
Greece is still resisting taxing its shipping companies geek tragedy Jun 2015 #52
With one side of their mouth the EU nations say tax your shipping corporations and with the other fasttense Jun 2015 #61
I think it's pretty clear that the Grexit is the only solution--no sense in staying in a failed geek tragedy Jun 2015 #63
EU governments may see Grexit as a security issue, sending Greece into Russian or Turkish orbits. freshwest Jun 2015 #82
Turkey is still a member of NATO. geek tragedy Jun 2015 #85
No, I wasn't suggestng a war would take place between them again. But in their sphere of influence, freshwest Jun 2015 #96
Because when everyone is getting what they want, everything is fine The2ndWheel Jun 2015 #54
K/R Jack Rabbit Jun 2015 #44
Forgive debt and get more money? The2ndWheel Jun 2015 #53
lets say the EU forgave all the loans to greece. rdking647 Jun 2015 #65
Unfortunately nothing will change until blackspade Jun 2015 #66
Kicked and recommended. Uncle Joe Jun 2015 #71
It's extremely hard for a leadership in Greece to form around a platform of neccessary changes Babel_17 Jun 2015 #76
Remember that the enthusiasm for austerity may be based on an Excel error GliderGuider Jun 2015 #78
The Troika is the lastest incarnation of the vampire squid GliderGuider Jun 2015 #81
It's funny how our resident conservatives BrotherIvan Jun 2015 #103
do you know hill2016 Jun 2015 #111
This message was self-deleted by its author Corruption Inc Jun 2015 #104
Bazinga. nt SusanCalvin Jun 2015 #113
Ya wanna destroy the EU? DonCoquixote Jun 2015 #106
How these bigwigs expect SusanCalvin Jun 2015 #112
The Troika is victim of its own pride. JDPriestly Jun 2015 #115
Excerpt from Guardian - Stiglitz commentary asiliveandbreathe Jun 2015 #118
"They have criminal responsibility" BeanMusical Jun 2015 #120
Yeah, but punishing people for being poor feels soooo good to the rich assholes who run everything. Scuba Jun 2015 #124

FlatBaroque

(3,160 posts)
10. I don't think this illustrates the failure of capitalism
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 09:17 AM
Jun 2015

Rather, it seems to illustrate the failure of privately controlled central banks.

daleanime

(17,796 posts)
15. Allows people who don't want to admit/address the problem....
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 09:31 AM
Jun 2015

to continue on their merry way.

'Just an individual failing, nothing systematic to see here, move along.'

daleanime

(17,796 posts)
36. It would be nice if I thought so......
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 10:11 AM
Jun 2015

But I have become a little blunter then I used to be.

People who call themselves 'pro 2nd amendment' and have no problem with gun violence in America, people who talk about the heritage of the Confederate flag with no understanding of its recent history, and, yes, people who consider themselves Capitalists who assign every fault to the individual while leaving the root cause un addressed. If you need further examples, just turn on Fax news.

It's all the same kind of junk, "I don't like where this I think this will lead, so I refuse to notice the 'problem'".

But don't worry, we still love you.

FlatBaroque

(3,160 posts)
25. You are stating that Capitalism as a socio-enonomic system
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 09:48 AM
Jun 2015

is the same thing as private central banking?




OK then...

 

KingCharlemagne

(7,908 posts)
26. If 'private central banking' is failing, then so is capitalism, as the two are
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 09:52 AM
Jun 2015

near synonyms for one another.

jwirr

(39,215 posts)
57. EU is a group of capitalist bankers running the economies of all of Europe. Kind of like a small
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 11:03 AM
Jun 2015

preview of globalization and its effect. Picking one small country after another off in order to consolidate control.

Nevernose

(13,081 posts)
60. That's certainly what Breitbart, the National Review, and Bill O'Reilly believe
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 11:18 AM
Jun 2015

Except that Greece is one of the least socialistic in the Eurozone. In fact, the countries that are more strongly socialist -- like Germany and Sweden -- are doing just fine.

Greece has a lot of complicated problems, like corruption and idiotic creditors, but socialism ain't one of them.

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
67. They aren't particularly "capitalist" either
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 12:02 PM
Jun 2015

Witness their legal inability to decrease public sector expenses.

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
93. You call Stalin's purges and China's great famine capitalist propaganda in other threads
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 01:47 PM
Jun 2015

So I think your analysis is just a wee bit suspect.

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
107. Test for you: Why should I give a damn about your tests?
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 04:01 PM
Jun 2015

As for sources, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Purge

You also skipped over China's famine. Did you decide that one was no longer defensible?

 

KingCharlemagne

(7,908 posts)
108. You're just spouting the same old tired anti-Soviet propaganda without
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 04:10 PM
Jun 2015

any critical examination of it, not to mention remaining completely and utterly silent on specifics about China and sources.

So I think we're done.

 

riderinthestorm

(23,272 posts)
109. According to Alexander Solzhenitsyn it was between 1.6 million and 10 million
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 04:20 PM
Jun 2015

its hard to say exactly but those are rough estimates (and yes, one of my bachelors degrees is in Modern European History focusing on Russian studies).

About 14 million people were in the Gulag labor camps from 1929 to 1953 (the estimates for the period 1918-1929 are difficult to calculate because of lack of accurate archival records.) A further 6–7 million were deported and exiled to remote areas of the USSR, and 4–5 million passed through labor colonies, plus 3.5 million already in, or sent to, 'labor settlements'. According to some estimates, the total population of the camps varied from 510,307 in 1934 to about 14 million people who were in the Gulag labor camps from 1929 to 1953 (the estimates for the period 1918-1929 are even more difficult to calculate).

According to a 1993 study of archival Soviet data, a total of 1,053,829 people died in the Gulag from 1934–53 (there is no archival data for the period 1918-1934). However, taking into account frequently dubious record keeping, and the fact that it was common practice to release prisoners who were either suffering from incurable diseases or on the point of death, independent estimates of the actual Gulag death toll are usually higher. Some estimates are as low as 1.6 million deaths during the whole period from 1929 to 1953, while other estimates go beyond 10 million.

Solzhenitsyn is an impeccable source and won a Nobel for his books and research on the gulags. This isn't anti-Soviet propaganda, it's the facts as substantiated by independent scholarship as well as Solzhenitsyn.



BeanMusical

(4,389 posts)
122. Capitalist propaganda? So it didn't happen, millions of people didn't die...
Tue Jun 30, 2015, 02:36 AM
Jun 2015

Reminds me of the Holocaust deniers' bullshit. And screw Godwin's law.

cstanleytech

(26,291 posts)
117. The problem is, it wont work.
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 11:10 PM
Jun 2015

Why? Because like any other system (including capitalism) humans will be involved in running it.
If people were incorruptible then sure it would probably work great but people are not incorruptible.

pa28

(6,145 posts)
90. Unfortunately Stiglitz has no seat at the table.
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 01:40 PM
Jun 2015

If you aren't a banker friendly neoliberal you have no place in policy discussions either in the US administration or the EU.

For those who do have a seat at the table like Summers we already know the inner workings of their decision process.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
8. But Greece has no responsibility.
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 09:11 AM
Jun 2015

Forgive the debt and then give Greece more money? What an ingenious plan!
[hr][font color="blue"][center]You have to play the game to find out why you're playing the game. -Existenz[/center][/font][hr]

Lydia Leftcoast

(48,217 posts)
13. The alternative is much worse
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 09:26 AM
Jun 2015

The EU financial pooh-bahs knew that Greece was not financially sound when they admitted it to the EU and allowed it to use the euro.

I suppose they thought that admitting a poor country would give them a source of cheap labor.

Well, now it's time for the banksters to pay for their own poor judgment, not for the ordinary people in Greece who are suffering massive unemployment and can't even sell their houses and other possessions to make money because no one can afford to buy them, not to mention that the banksters have forced them to cut social benefits.

If the Greek government can't negotiate loan forgiveness, then Greece should default, as Argentina did. It saved the country from catastrophe and barely harmed the international finance pirates. Individuals have the option to declare bankruptcy when it is clear that they will never be able to repay their debts. Countries should have the same option.

hack89

(39,171 posts)
86. Other governments own the vast majority of Greek debt
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 01:28 PM
Jun 2015

the banks have managed to significantly reduce their exposure over the course of two previous Greek bailouts. Right now it will be the tax payers of EU countries that would take it in the shorts.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
18. Countries should NOT have that same option.
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 09:34 AM
Jun 2015

In the political realm, if you don't honor your debts for whatever reason, no one wants to do business with you. And if it was easy for a country to declare bankruptcy without consequence, everyone would soon be doing it and the entire world would know what it's like to be Greece.

Countries trade and finance on an enormous scale. They're not comparable to individuals at all.

If the bankers miscalculated, then so did Greece. Why did they join the EuroZone if they didn't want to stay? They have waited for so long that now it's either:
1. Austerity
2. Monetary collapse and jolting the world economy.

These are not the socialist revolutionaries who will lead us into a new era. Any leader who finally quits leading and puts an important matter like this to a vote is lazy and ultimately as worthless as a bent drachma.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]You have to play the game to find out why you're playing the game. -Existenz[/center][/font][hr]

sub.theory

(652 posts)
33. Excellent Post
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 10:02 AM
Jun 2015

If Greece is allowed to get away with shirking its debts then you can watch as every other struggling Eurozone country does next. That is what is truly concerning. Anyone who thinks this won't have devastating global consequences is kidding themselves.

blackspade

(10,056 posts)
68. So are you saying that countries should never be forgiven their debts?
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 12:12 PM
Jun 2015

Because if you are, that flies in the face of common sense and history.

And your two choices, austerity and monetary collapse, are most definitely not the only options as has been outlined by multiple economists other than those representing the banksters.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
83. Then why isn't Greece taking one of those other options?
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 01:07 PM
Jun 2015

Why put something this important up to a popular vote? That's the last gasp of a 'leader' in over his head: "Hey, it's out of my hands, the people voted. What do you want me to do? Make decisions on my own or something?"

Of course some countries can 'get away' with debt forgiveness. Argentina apparently did but I don't think anyone considers it a 'happening place'. Now Puerto Rico says it can't pay its debts. Another smaller country not part of a coordinated 'nation of nations', which is what the European Union is.

None of this occurred in a vacuum. The banksters are to blame but so is the failed leadership of Greece. The current leadership just delays the inevitable pain.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]“If you're not committed to anything, you're just taking up space.”
Gregory Peck, Mirage (1965)
[/center][/font][hr]

blackspade

(10,056 posts)
84. What, austerity or collapse?
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 01:22 PM
Jun 2015

The other options require outside help, or withdrawal from the EU.
And why the hostility to democracy?

Perhaps you should read up on Argentina, it does seem like a happening place.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_Argentina

The socio-economic situation in Argentina has been steadily improving. The economy nearly doubled from 2002 to 2011, growing an average of 7.1% annually and around 9% for five consecutive years between 2003 and 2007.[3] Even using higher private inflation estimates, real wages rose by around 72% from their low point in 2003 to 2013.[39] The global recession did affect the economy in 2009, with growth slowing to nearly zero;[3] but high economic growth then resumed, and GDP expanded by around 9% in both 2010 and 2011.[3] Foreign exchange controls, austerity measures, persistent inflation, and downturns in Brazil, Europe, and other important trade partners, contributed to slower growth beginning in 2012, however.[40] Growth averaged just 1.3% from 2012 to 2014.[2]

The Argentine government bond market is based on GDP-linked bonds, and investors, both foreign and domestic, netted record yields amid renewed growth.[41] Argentine debt restructuring offers in 2005 and 2010 resumed payments on the majority of its almost $100 billion in defaulted bonds and other debt from 2001.[42]


And Puerto Rico....You do realize that it is part of the US, not a foreign country?

As for failed leadership, well, that cuts both ways, and thus far only the Greek people are suffering from the "inevitable pain" which has not been delayed at all.

Lydia Leftcoast

(48,217 posts)
130. And FURTHERMORE
Tue Jun 30, 2015, 12:34 PM
Jun 2015

only 10% of the new loans have gone directly to Greece. 90% have gone right back to creditors as interest payments.

In other words, the international financiers are acting exactly like loan sharks.

JCMach1

(27,556 posts)
125. Don't forget the N. European bankers who threw money
Tue Jun 30, 2015, 09:35 AM
Jun 2015

at the previous (very bad) Greek governments...

They need to take a wash in this default.

 

riderinthestorm

(23,272 posts)
17. People are dying in Greece over this fraudulent and mistaken austerity plan.
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 09:33 AM
Jun 2015

The Greeks have been punished. Severely. For many years now.

Time to end this despicable charade and forgive the debt.

The troika gambled and lost. Now they're trying to get blood out of a turnip. Ain't gonna happen.

The troika's got blood on its hands.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
29. What's worse than austerity? I think Greece is about to find out.
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 09:58 AM
Jun 2015

[hr][font color="blue"][center]Everything is a satellite to some other thing.[/center][/font][hr]

 

riderinthestorm

(23,272 posts)
43. Or the troika could man up, forgive the debt and help.
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 10:26 AM
Jun 2015

They gambled and lost.

Now they can either be greedy and wreck the rest of the EU economic zone or they can work towards repairing the damage now before it's too late.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
59. I don't understand this idea that the greedy bankers want to lose all their money.
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 11:14 AM
Jun 2015

They may not be advocating the best deal for Greece but surely they want to get SOMETHING out of the deal. You're saying they would rather wreck the Eurozone than get what they can.

They may be greedy but they're not stupid. (Generally speaking.)
[hr][font color="blue"][center]No squirrels were harmed in the making of this post. Yet.[/center][/font][hr]

 

riderinthestorm

(23,272 posts)
62. They gambled and.lost. Unless they want the shit in their own bed
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 11:21 AM
Jun 2015

They'll accept the loss.

Besides, they've already gotten a lot of.their $$ back from Greece. Now they're being greedy at the expense of Greek lives.

This is a small financial loss in their scheme of things. Even as its a humanitarian crisis on the ground in Greece. This is like a bankruptcy. Sometimes the creditors have to take a reduced settlement.

They can eat it. Keep the EU alive to exploit another day and move on to exploit the emerging Asian markets. China's got a new bank opening...

Time to pick things over in that garden patch

unblock

(52,208 posts)
32. greece is effectively insolvent. we have bankruptcy proceeding for this, not debtors' prisons.
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 10:00 AM
Jun 2015

greece has too much debt to ever reasonably repay unless they have truly massive and growth quickly.

that means either they forgive a lot of their debt, lend them a ton of money to stimulate their economy, or both.

at some point, lenders have to accept that lending entails risk and accept the loss.



then, ideally, they can address the fundamental flaw of the euro, which is that weak economies, being deprived of the ability to devalue their currency, must effectively be subsidized by the stronger economies. arguably, the united states is itself an economic union of sorts. stronger state economies on balance send more money into the federal pool and weaker state economies take money out. if greece can't devalue its currency then the eurozone needs some kind of arrangement whereby greece is effectively subsidized by stronger eu economies like germany.

if they are stuck in their debtors' prison/puritan mentality about subsidizing weaker economies, then the greece (along with at least spain, italy, and portugal) are better off leaving.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
35. Well, that seems to have some merit to it. Not that I understand economics much.
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 10:07 AM
Jun 2015

Europe, being composed of vastly different countries, should have a slush fund available to help the weaker economies. OTOH, I can see the existence of such a slush fund being used by a country like Greece to avoid ever having to contribute or becoming a stronger economy. Why bother if you can just go along for the ride?
[hr][font color="blue"][center]Everything is a satellite to some other thing.[/center][/font][hr]

 

sulphurdunn

(6,891 posts)
47. When a ship is headed for the rocks
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 10:39 AM
Jun 2015

it doesn't matter who is at the helm. All that matters is changing course. International banking in a global economy seems to be about refusing to change course, then having the crew lower the lifeboats after the wreck so the captain and 1st class passengers can abandon ship with the purser's safe.

sub.theory

(652 posts)
51. The 1% long ago fled their wealth
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 10:47 AM
Jun 2015

There seems to be this idea that the 1% in Greece will finally get their just desserts, but that doesn't account that money is easy to move in the Eurozone and the wealthy long ago moved their money out of reach. The only people left to hurt are the 99%.

Ultimately, Greece is going to have to make fundamental reforms and one of the most critical is actually being able to collect taxes. No government of any sort can survive if its citizens and businesses won't pay their taxes. That's more at the heart of things than the pension system and such.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
75. "Loan" them money, not just give it to them. The U.S. made a profit on much of it, anyways.
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 12:40 PM
Jun 2015

Do you think a fleet of helicopters should simply drop Euros on the Greek countryside?
[hr][font color="blue"][center]No squirrels were harmed in the making of this post. Yet.[/center][/font][hr]

brentspeak

(18,290 posts)
77. Did the millions of people who lost their jobs and homes
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 12:44 PM
Jun 2015

as a result of the Wall Street-created recession and permanent shrinking of the US economy "make a profit" from the zero-interest "loans" the banks were handed out as free money?

Didn't think so.

 

SoLeftIAmRight

(4,883 posts)
114. not a bad idea
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 08:40 PM
Jun 2015

giving the money to the hungry would do more to help the economy than giving it to the usual suspects

Lydia Leftcoast

(48,217 posts)
14. Didn't harm the world financial markets for more than a blip
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 09:29 AM
Jun 2015

when Argentina defaulted. And it helped Argentina tremendously.

Here's a thought: You go live in a country with 25% unemployment overall and nearly 50% youth unemployment (1930s Depression-era levels) where welfare benefits and salaries have also been cut. You figure out how to survive with continued debt repayments eating up what remains of your economy.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
21. Why would Greece defaulting create more than a blip then?
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 09:37 AM
Jun 2015

Greece's retirement age is still 4-6 years earlier than Germany's.

Germans, needless to say, are not keen on working later so that Greeks can retire earlier.

Greece certainly has the option of just defaulting and leaving the Euro. But then they shouldn't complain about people not wanting to lend them money.

You would agree on that, no?

The catch-22 situation is that if Greece can't borrow money, it's living under austerity rules anyways as a matter of physics.

snort

(2,334 posts)
48. The matter of physics
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 10:40 AM
Jun 2015

starts with labor. A ditch digger in Greece is sweating just like the one in Germany.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
50. so the ditch digger in Germany shouldn't have to work longer
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 10:44 AM
Jun 2015

into his life than the ditch digger in Greece, correct?

PETRUS

(3,678 posts)
58. The ditch digger in Greece actually works more.
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 11:10 AM
Jun 2015

The average annual hours for a Greek worker is 2037, Germany is 1388, the OECD average is 1770.

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
116. He's also making more money in Greece
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 10:33 PM
Jun 2015

Median Greek income is higher than median German income.

The German ditch digger, however, pays his taxes.

PETRUS

(3,678 posts)
126. That's not true.
Tue Jun 30, 2015, 11:48 AM
Jun 2015

The OECD stats show both higher median and average incomes in Germany (which is what I'd expect given that Germany's per capita is about twice Greece's).

It is true that Greece isn't very good about tax collection. Most taxes are paid, but there's enough evasion to be notable.

PETRUS

(3,678 posts)
129. If found data that did use PPP and data that didn't.
Tue Jun 30, 2015, 12:21 PM
Jun 2015

Both have German incomes higher. Let me know what you find, if you want.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
23. For the people who are owed the $300 Billion?
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 09:41 AM
Jun 2015

Why would Germany give money to poor Greeks instead of poor Germans?

Why would Germany give money to Greece rather than poorer countries like Bulgaria?


 

fasttense

(17,301 posts)
39. The people who lent them the money should have known better.
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 10:19 AM
Jun 2015

If I see a homeless person on the street begging for money, I do NOT give him a loan and expect to be paid back fully with interest. It is a bad loan and I should have known better. Now suppose I rig this homeless person's financial record and make it look like he is making millions a year, then I give him a loan. Then when, as any fool could have predicted, he failed to pay the loan, I get his sister to pay me back. That is exactly what happened in Greece.

Crooked politicians got together with crooked banksters created fraudulent documents and based on those documents they got loans for Greece. It is not clear where all that money went. But I'll bet you some of those politicians are living in mansions they never had before. Then the EU turns around and says those fraudulently obtained loans are valid and we will loan you money to pay them off.

BUT Only if you make your citizens suffer by taking away and reducing every possible benefit they get from the government. Why didn't they make the condition match the crime? We will loan you more money to pay off our banksters only if you ensure the fraud never happens again. Or base it on the condition that the corrupt politicians and banksters are punished. That would have made more sense than creating another Great Depression.

The banks have responsibility to make intelligent loans. The country has the responsibility to ensure only valid loans are paid and to ensure fraud is not used to obtain loans.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
41. So if no one lends money to Greece going forward (and they'd be nuts for
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 10:24 AM
Jun 2015

doing so for the reasons you just mentioned), Greece would be living under involuntary austerity unless they leave the Euro, since they would by physical necessity have to have a balanced budget.

So Greece's choices are austerity or a 1930's style financial depression.

 

fasttense

(17,301 posts)
46. I'm not sure I understand your scenario
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 10:38 AM
Jun 2015

So, are you saying Greece never received their current loans? Or are you saying in the future Greece will NOT be receiving any new loans?

If Greece is not paying back loans, they have money to run their government. When tariffs and national interest were the rage, countries did NOT suffer austerity for not taking out loans. In the US, we would NOT need loans if we taxed the rich like we did in 1935 and we are NOT fighting a war. In the beginning of our country almost all revenue came from tariffs and there were minimal income taxes.

Loans are required if you are going to fight a war. But I don't see Greece fighting a war anytime soon.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
49. Tariffs were enough to fund a de minimis federal government in the 18th century
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 10:43 AM
Jun 2015

They're not enough to fund public pensions and health care.

FDR borrowed a ton of money to finance the New Deal and the war economy. that's what helped the economy grow so much.

 

fasttense

(17,301 posts)
56. You would not have to borrow if the banks belonged to the country and were NOT privatized.
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 11:01 AM
Jun 2015

Taking over the banks would allow the country to make all that money the bankster make by lending money.

There are a lot of things a country can do to right an economic problem. I bet Russia and China would be willing to help Greece. Then if you tax the rich equal to what you tax the middle class and poor, add some tariffs and your on your way to a stable economy. It would be better because they would end with a stable system. Unlike today, if they do as they are told by the EU, they end up dependent on the EU, with a system that fraud and corruption can crash again, a Great Depression and No relief in sight for the desperate masses of people.

I would add that Greece would have to put in a system whereby corrupt banksters and politicians can NOT make the country responsible for fraudulent loans again.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
91. The results for Greece are going to be awful no matter what.
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 01:41 PM
Jun 2015

The empirical question is which is going to be more awful.

It's a lot harder to leave a currency than to join it.

blackspade

(10,056 posts)
69. Maybe it's because Germany was the benificiary of debt reduction and forgiveness themselves?
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 12:19 PM
Jun 2015

How soon the mighty forget how they arrived at the villa.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
72. Why does Greece deserve a gigantic handout while Bulgaria and Romania
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 12:28 PM
Jun 2015

get squat?

The EU isn't the United States of Germany and France. Germany has its own poor people to look after, as does France.

blackspade

(10,056 posts)
80. Maybe because it's the right thing to do?
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 12:53 PM
Jun 2015

Why is Germany an economic engine in the Eurozone?
It's called debt forgiveness and bailouts.
Shouldn't Greece get the same leg up Germany received?

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
87. You haven't explained why Greece is more deserving than
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 01:29 PM
Jun 2015

much poorer countries in the EU.

The people of Germany adamantly oppose doing Greece any more favors. Germany's government also has to respect the wishes of its voters.

blackspade

(10,056 posts)
88. Why should I answer that question?
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 01:38 PM
Jun 2015

Why is it relevant to this discussion?
You really should bone up on what is going on here.
I would suggest that you listen to the last 3-4 months of Richard Wolff's capitalism updates on Youtube.

You are still ignoring a salient point here about Germany' hypocrisy on this whole issue.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
92. Because Germany is not sitting on top of an infinite amount of cash.
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 01:45 PM
Jun 2015

So, not everyone on the planet can get hundreds of billions of dollars in welfare from Germany.

So, what's the rational argument that Greece deserves a fat welfare check from Germany more than Bulgaria and Romania--much poorer nations in the EU--deserve a fat welfare check from Germany?

Accusing Germany of hypocrisy is not going to convince them to give away all their money to Greece.

Germany's government was not elected by Greeks. It is not accountable to Greeks, its job is not to look after the well-being of Greeks.

Germany's government listens to German voters, not Greek voters.



blackspade

(10,056 posts)
97. Well, there you have it then.
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 02:13 PM
Jun 2015

I guess that Greece will have to go it's own way then, since they don't 'deserve' a loan restructuring.
Germany can put it's hypocritical foot down and say "no" to a restructuring or debt forgiveness and then precipitate the disintegration
of the EU and it's dominant position in it. Brava! That will show those deadbeat Greeks!

"Germany's government listens to German voters, not Greek voters."


I found this hilariously ironic.
 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
98. That presumes that Greece is indispensable to the EU surviving.
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 02:31 PM
Jun 2015

I doubt that's the case. After all, Greece really had no business being a member in the first place.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
101. Yes, so have the finance ministers of the Eurozone countries. Which is why they did the bailouts of
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 02:39 PM
Jun 2015

2010 and 2012--to buy themselves time to brace for the possible/probable/inevitable Grexit.

This is a situation where the hostage is threatening to shoot himself because he thinks the other side wants to avoid that at all costs.

blackspade

(10,056 posts)
100. Your understanding of the issue is one demential.
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 02:39 PM
Jun 2015

There are other members of the EU in almost as bad a shape as Greece; Portugal and Spain to be specific.
If the same austerity crap continues to be imposed on them and they are pushed to default as well, they might leave the EU as well.
That will cause the EU to unravel and Germany's play at the top with it.
But, by all means keep pimping austerity for the working people, while letting the banksters and 1% off the hook.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
102. Actually, Spain and Portugal are not nearly in as bad of shape in terms
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 02:41 PM
Jun 2015

of financial stability.

There are countries that are more stable, but much poorer, than Greece.

Austerity is the wrong policy for Greece. But, on the other hand, other countries in Europe are not inclined to provide perpetual bailouts to Greece.

So, if Greece can't pay its debts, why lend it more money? Because they promise this time, they really mean it, they have their economic act together?

Creditors want to be paid back. That's their agenda.

hedgehog

(36,286 posts)
20. The real question is who got the money, and who is being asked to repay it.
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 09:36 AM
Jun 2015

Also, who decided that the way for Greece to pay back the loan was to shrink the economy with an austerity budget?

daleanime

(17,796 posts)
40. Actually, there are other questions too....
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 10:20 AM
Jun 2015

Do the creditors have any culpability for making risk loans?

 

GliderGuider

(21,088 posts)
74. You mean like what happened during the sub-prime bubble?
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 12:40 PM
Jun 2015

"Just sign it. Things will work out just fine!"

suffragette

(12,232 posts)
94. Yes, and who benefits from the privatization of public assets.
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 01:48 PM
Jun 2015
http://www.irishtimes.com/news/world/europe/selling-off-greece-stone-by-stone-commerce-threatens-innate-beauty-1.2037491

Nearly four years ago, the German tabloid Bild suggested that, in return for the European Union bailout, Greece should sell off the Acropolis and some islands, including Corfu. Everyone laughed. And yet now it is happening. The International Monetary Fund-led troika has insisted Greece should sell state assets through Taiped (Hellenic Asset Development Fund) – an agency not unlike Ireland’s National Asset Management Agency.
Taiped is selling assets, from a disused mental hospital, a ski slope and a marina to all Greece’s regional airports, the national rail network, the water supply of Thessaloniki, and millions of acres of real estate, including gold mines worth an estimated €10 billion.
Deutsche Telekom acquired the Greek network some years ago and last year Azerbaijan bought the national gas company. The port of Piraeus, a controlling interest in Athens airport and the huge site of the former airport, are all up for grabs, with China doing most of the grabbing.
Last year, the Emir of Qatar purchased a small island within a Natura 2000 zone on which to construct a palace. The island of Elafonisos (on the southern edge of the Peloponnese), with stunning back-to-back beaches and also within a Natura 2000 zone, is listed by the Guardian as one of the top 10 beaches in the world. It’s up for sale.


http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/mar/16/greece-protests-sell-off-historic-buildings

"The government is constantly trying to convey the message that the economy is a success story but in reality that is not the case at all," said prominent leftwing campaigner Petros Constantinou. "The decision to put public buildings up for sale is not just proof that they are nowhere near reaching targets but plain wrong when they could be exploited for public benefit."

The decision to sell off public assets invested with such historic significance has not only angered anti-austerity leftists. It has raised howls of protest from reform-minded conservatives with many wondering whether Greece is finally enacting what Germany's tabloid press has long taunted it to do: sell off its cultural heritage to pay off its monumental debt.

"The rush to sell these assets … raises serious questions [as to] whether they are being purposely sold on the cheap in order to speed up the privatisation process," thundered Nikos Xydakis in the conservative daily Kathimerini, lamenting the decision to sell off properties imbued with such symbolic value around the Acropolis. "Will the outrageous proposal put forward by the German magazine Bild suggesting that Greece should sell or rent its island to cut its debt [next] come to pass?" he asked.



I remember posting back in 2011 about the drooling by WSJ about buying newly privatized assets. So, who has benefited from this austerity induced action? Clearly not the Greek public.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1014&pid=34083

pampango

(24,692 posts)
38. Austerity was/is a stupid policy. Loaning a country more money (as a stimulus) to solve a problem of
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 10:12 AM
Jun 2015

too much debt seems counterintuitive but is the only policy with a chance of working. Obviously, new (stimulus) loans would have to be structured or controlled in a different way from all the previous loans that caused Greece's problem in the first place or you would just be prolonging and compounding the problem.

The most reasonable solution Stiglitz sees is a write-off of Greece’s debt, or at least a deal that would not require any payments for the next ten or 15 years. In that time, Greece should be given additional aid to jumpstart its economy and return to growth.

That makes ultimate sense. I only hope that Greece's 1% does not make out like bandits. After decades of avoiding paying taxes and telling the government to just borrow the money (with the connivance of other 1%'ers) they would love to see a 'forgive and forget' policy that left them untouched in the future. This is a great opportunity for Greece to reign in its 1%. Let us hope that is one positive development out of any write-off of Greek debt.
 

fasttense

(17,301 posts)
42. Well I suppose liquidity needed to be injected into the crashed Greek economy
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 10:26 AM
Jun 2015

and better interest and better structured loans may be the way.

But I do NOT understand why they didn't make the conditions equal to the crime? Why not demand that Greece set up a system where by fraud by banksters and politicians can NOT be used again to obtain loans. Or require Greece to punish the politicians and banksters who created the mess? This silly austerity plan is of absolutely NO Value in preventing the fraud again or in helping stabilize the Greek economy. Austerity really is a stupid policy.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
52. Greece is still resisting taxing its shipping companies
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 10:47 AM
Jun 2015

That was one of the snags in the negotiations this weekend.

The shipping companies threaten to leave, etc etc

 

fasttense

(17,301 posts)
61. With one side of their mouth the EU nations say tax your shipping corporations and with the other
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 11:20 AM
Jun 2015

side they say Greek shipping corporations come here and we will give you tax incentives. It is interesting how capitalism sets up this race to the bottom.

The corporations do pay some taxes so for another country to snag them with tax write offs would be a good deal for them. However the Greek Constitution has incentives for shipping written into it. So, to tax them more would require a Constitutional amendment.

It will be interesting how this eventually plays out.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
63. I think it's pretty clear that the Grexit is the only solution--no sense in staying in a failed
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 11:25 AM
Jun 2015

marriage.

The question is how do the respective sides manage the fallout.

The Eurozone economies doesn't seem particularly worried. Whether this is false bravado or confidence in their ring fence measures, who knows.

The committed Eurocrats are having a big sad--this represents a failure of the EU. Whether the failure was losing Greece, or admitting Greece in the first place, at the end of the day a fiasco is a fiasco, and the limitations of the Eurozone are on full display.

How will Greece manage? Not well, if one relies on history as a barometer. Will Greece be truly independent after leaving the EU, or will it get sucked into the Eurasian Union--will the dominant currency be the drachma or the rouble?

freshwest

(53,661 posts)
82. EU governments may see Grexit as a security issue, sending Greece into Russian or Turkish orbits.
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 12:59 PM
Jun 2015

The EU doesn't want a caliphate to grow on one side or the bear in a position to put the screws to them. Both could entail military actions which bankrupt nations. The creators of the EU knew this and sought to avoid it happening again.

The UK gave up control of most of its empire after WW2. It was bankrupt and could not afford its former place on the world stage. The European mainland was in far worse condition.

Greece's EU issues are about more than money. Its instability politically and its poverty prior to entering the EU, threatened the EU. Grexit does the same.

This is a staring contest that in the end will only benefit those positioned to make a killing, like Putin in contracts and extorting policies to fit his intentions, and Turkey and other nations of the Arab realm sending their populations into Greece to re-instate a caliphate in all but name, without a shot fired, despite the wars between Greece and the Ottomans.

FDR knew the real cost of poverty was instability and demagoguery, and Greece has seen plenty of that in recent years. It has been and it is, a threat to the EU social order, which is why it's been given so much leeway.

The Greeks have yet to bring their 1% under control with taxation and despite calls for a pure socialist system advocated by popular leaders, seems to have no more real plans it can implement it than Maduro. He has fallen under the pressure of the Boligarchs of VZ and can't break free of them. I doubt the 'saviors' of humanity touted to us as Greece's salvation are willing to confront such power.

I've read also that the culture of Greece and other nations do not find anything wrong with this way of doing things. So any real change is impossible and this is a problem in creating a unified Europe and peace.

JMHO.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
85. Turkey is still a member of NATO.
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 01:27 PM
Jun 2015

Not sure how Greece would feel about being aligned against NATO with Turkey still a member of NATO.

freshwest

(53,661 posts)
96. No, I wasn't suggestng a war would take place between them again. But in their sphere of influence,
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 01:56 PM
Jun 2015

Yeah, I can see that happening and all of these nations have a long, long history of warfare, family and religious ties. I found this video with text showing how connected they are and can't help but be:



How The Ottoman Empire Lost The Province Of Greece

Published on Dec 28, 2013

(Posting the text, faster read than listening to the video):

The Greek War of Independence, also known as the Greek Revolution (Greek: ???????ή ????ά?????, Elliniki Epanastasi; Ottoman: يونان عصياني Yunan İsyanı "Greek Uprising&quot , was a successful war of independence waged by the Greek revolutionaries between 1821 and 1832, with later assistance from Russia, the United Kingdom, France, and several other European powers against the Ottoman Empire, who were assisted by their vassals, the Eyalet of Egypt, and partly by the Beylik of Tunis.

Following the fall of the Byzantine Empire to the Ottoman Empire in 1453, most of Greece came under Ottoman rule. During this time, there were some revolt attempts by Greeks to gain independence from Ottoman control. In 1814, a secret organization called the Filiki Eteria was founded with the aim of liberating Greece. The Filiki Eteria planned to launch revolts in the Peloponnese, the Danubian Principalities, and in Constantinople and its surrounding areas. The first of these revolts began on 6 March 1821 in the Danubian Principalities, but was soon put down by the Ottomans. The events in the north urged the Greeks in the Peloponnese into action and on 17 March 1821, the Maniots declared war on the Ottomans. This declaration was the start of a "Spring" or revolutionary actions from other controlled states against the Ottoman Empire.

By the end of the month, the Peloponnese was in open revolt against the Turks and by October 1821, the Greeks under Theodoros Kolokotronis had captured Tripolitsa. The Peloponnesian revolt was quickly followed by revolts in Crete, Macedonia, and Central Greece, which would soon be suppressed. Meanwhile, the makeshift Greek navy was achieving success against the Ottoman navy in the Aegean Sea and prevented Ottoman reinforcements from arriving by sea.

Tensions soon developed among different Greek factions, leading to two consecutive civil wars. Meanwhile, the Ottoman Sultan negotiated with Mehmet Ali of Egypt, who agreed to send his son Ibrahim Pasha to Greece with an army to suppress the revolt in return for territorial gain. Ibrahim landed in the Peloponnese in February 1825 and had immediate success: by the end of 1825, most of the Peloponnese was under Egyptian control, and the city of Missolonghi—put under siege by the Turks since April 1825—fell in April 1826. Although Ibrahim was defeated in Mani, he had succeeded in suppressing most of the revolt in the Peloponnese and Athens had been retaken.

Following years of negotiation, three Great Powers, Russia, Britain and France, decided to intervene in the conflict and each nation sent a navy to Greece. Following news that combined Ottoman--Egyptian fleets were going to attack the Greek island of Hydra, the allied fleet intercepted the Ottoman--Egyptian fleet at Navarino. Following a week long standoff, a battle began which resulted in the destruction of the Ottoman--Egyptian fleet. With the help of a French expeditionary force, the Greeks drove the Turks out of the Peloponnese and proceeded to the captured part of Central Greece by 1828. As a result of years of negotiation, Greece was finally recognized as an independent nation in May 1832.

The Revolution is celebrated on 25 March by the modern Greek state, which is a national day.

The Fall of Constantinople in 1453 and the subsequent fall of the successor states of the Byzantine Empire marked the end of Byzantine sovereignty. After that, the Ottoman Empire ruled the Balkans and Anatolia, with some exceptions.i[›] Orthodox Christians were granted some political rights under Ottoman rule, but they were considered inferior subjects. The majority of Greeks were called Rayah by the Turks, a name that referred to the large mass of non-Muslim subjects in the Ottoman ruling class.ii[›]

Meanwhile, Greek intellectuals and humanists, who had migrated west before or during the Ottoman invasions, such as Demetrius Chalcocondyles and Leonardos Philaras, began to call for the liberation of their homeland.Demetrius Chalcondyles called on Venice and "all of the Latins" to aid the Greeks against "the abominable, monstrous, and impious barbarian Turks". However, Greece was to remain under Ottoman rule for several more centuries.

The Greek Revolution was not an isolated event; numerous failed attempts at regaining independence took place throughout the history of the Ottoman era. Throughout the 17th century there was great resistance to the Ottomans in the Morea and elsewhere, as evidenced by revolts led by Dionysius the Philosopher. After the Morean War, the Peloponnese came under Venetian rule for 30 years, and remained in turmoil from then on and throughout the 17th century, as the bands of klephts multiplied.


I'm not against the nations being described there who have a shared history superceding our interpretation. We tend to look at the world in a recent lens, but this is in their DNA.

IMO, the EU was attempt at an USA style solution between decentralized powers and a central one whose goal is to keep all the member states in the best condition for trade and social unity. Sometimes the differing views can't be reconciled, but it would be in everyone's best interest in the EU's way of thinking to stay together and get along.

No one in their right mind (let me rephrase that - with a sound mind) wants another war in that region which has enjoyed some stability and prosperity for its citizenry.

The2ndWheel

(7,947 posts)
54. Because when everyone is getting what they want, everything is fine
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 10:59 AM
Jun 2015

As long as the pie keeps growing, nobody gives a shit about anything. There are no rules. As soon as things stop working, everyone wants their piece of the pie, and rules become important.

TL/DR, human beings don't like limits.

The2ndWheel

(7,947 posts)
53. Forgive debt and get more money?
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 10:54 AM
Jun 2015

That's an awfully sweet deal.

There is a time when physical reality meets up with human imagination. It's never a pretty picture when that happens.

 

rdking647

(5,113 posts)
65. lets say the EU forgave all the loans to greece.
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 11:35 AM
Jun 2015

that still means they arent going to loan them money

and that mean an immediate balanced budget since noone would loan them any money. just as if the defaulted

who in their right mind would loan money to greece after that?

blackspade

(10,056 posts)
66. Unfortunately nothing will change until
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 11:59 AM
Jun 2015

The heads of these banking institutions suffer some consequences for their poor decision making that led to the 2008 economic collapse.

Babel_17

(5,400 posts)
76. It's extremely hard for a leadership in Greece to form around a platform of neccessary changes
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 12:41 PM
Jun 2015

It's extremely hard for a leadership in Greece to form around a platform of necessary changes.

Austerity has failed but it did let the world know, and the Greek people know, that the leadership of Greece recognized that their past policies were not sustainable. Austerity as it was done was a poor choice. But it was arguably better than pretending the checks from overseas were going to forever prop up their failed model. Austerity has done real damage. While we can only imagine the effect of Greece losing in a showdown with its creditors, had it chosen to do nothing, it's not hard to envision utter chaos as all elements of their financial sector crumbled once losing their support

There were better choices, but the obstacles to putting together better packages were enormous. I think Greece missed an opportunity, earlier on, by not targeting the large numbers of middle class people who scoffed at the idea of paying their share of taxes. I think if Greece had shown earlier on that they recognized what was so blatantly wrong with their economy, and were actively and very publicly taking serious steps to correct them, then Greece would have been in a better position today in so far as having a trusting relationship with foreign lenders.

Foreign lenders, for their part, are much less connected to the irrationality of political demands and should have gotten a handle on this much sooner.

Greece needs to have their economy structured around growth. A large package of loans, interest reduction, and long term repayment restructuring, could be the catalyst for that. In exchange Greece needs to come up with a solid plan that won't repeat the well known mistakes of the past. Such a plan needs to recognize their dire straits, and it needs public approval.

The loans, and this last chance restructuring, should be conducted as seriously and realistically as used to be the case during SALT negotiations, and other similarly serious matters. The standards that both sides are held to should be that high.

Like with SALT, good faith goes a long way. For example, in exchange for some limited funding, and lower interest rates, Greece could devote some of that cash to hiring enforcers of the tax code, and actually collecting money from the worst offenders. To paraphrase what has been said here and elsewhere, foreign governments can't have their workers thinking their tax dollars are going to pay Greek workers more than they are getting. 99% of the time that might be an unfair characterization. But the Greek government did help create it, and now their actions have to continue its undoing.

 

GliderGuider

(21,088 posts)
78. Remember that the enthusiasm for austerity may be based on an Excel error
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 12:44 PM
Jun 2015
Is the evidence for austerity based on an Excel spreadsheet error?

The paper in question is Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff's famous 2010 study "Growth in a Time of Debt," which found that economic growth severely suffers when a country's public debt level reaches 90 percent of GDP. That 90 percent figure has often been cited in the past few years as one big reason why countries must trim their deficits — even if their economies are still weak.

But a new critique (pdf) by Thomas Herndon, Michael Ash and Robert Pollin claims that this result may need revision. For one, the economists argue that Reinhart and Rogoff excluded three episodes of high-debt, high-growth nations — Canada, New Zealand, and Australia in the late 1940s. Second, they argue, Reinhart and Rogoff made some contestable assumptions about weighting different historical episodes.

Now, those are two methodological objections. But there's also a third problem, as Mike Konczal details here. Reinhart and Rogoff appear to have made an error with one of their Excel spreadsheet formulas. By typing AVERAGE(L30:L44) at one point instead of AVERAGE(L30:L49), they left out Belgium, a key counterexample.

This discrepancy wasn't caught earlier because Reinhart and Rogoff hadn't made their full underlying data public. They only shared their spreadsheet with the Herndon, Ash and Pollin after the latter three tried to replicate the initial results and failed.
 

GliderGuider

(21,088 posts)
81. The Troika is the lastest incarnation of the vampire squid
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 12:59 PM
Jun 2015

And Greece is the target of the blood funnel this time around. Who's next?

BrotherIvan

(9,126 posts)
103. It's funny how our resident conservatives
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 03:04 PM
Jun 2015

always take the side of the bankers over the people. Creditors take a haircut?? Quelle horreur!

Obviously, our tent is too big.

 

hill2016

(1,772 posts)
111. do you know
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 07:48 PM
Jun 2015

that the original holders of the loans have already taken a haircut (two rounds in fact) and the money is now owed to other taxpayers in the EU?

Response to IDemo (Original post)

DonCoquixote

(13,616 posts)
106. Ya wanna destroy the EU?
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 03:49 PM
Jun 2015

Slap about Greece, then let them speak to Putin. Putin can then establish the sort of East European base the USSR could never have dreamed of, one that can cut off the Turks. The rest of Europe would then see the EU as nothing more but the old game of London, Paris and Berlin trying to play Diva, which was made worse by the UK elections going Tory. If Marine Le Pen does even halfway well, the Euro is doomed, as the Brits, franch and Germans all want out, even after they gained power.

SusanCalvin

(6,592 posts)
112. How these bigwigs expect
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 07:58 PM
Jun 2015

to starve a country *and* have it pay back its debt has always been beyond me. The beatings will continue until morale improves....

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
115. The Troika is victim of its own pride.
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 09:52 PM
Jun 2015

Europe as a group of nations will be hurt if Greece is not rescued.

Strategically, economically and morally, it is important to help the Greek people. That is what this is about. Not the banks, but the Greek people.

Where is the compassion? The Greek people did not create this mess. Their corrupt leadership did.

And we Americans do not have to look far to see the workings of corrupt leadership. Think about the Iraq War, just for starts. What a waste of our tax money.

asiliveandbreathe

(8,203 posts)
118. Excerpt from Guardian - Stiglitz commentary
Mon Jun 29, 2015, 11:22 PM
Jun 2015

We should be clear: almost none of the huge amount of money loaned to Greece has actually gone there.

It has gone to pay out private-sector creditors – including German and French banks. Greece has gotten but a pittance, but it has paid a high price to preserve these countries’ banking systems.

The IMF and the other “official” creditors do not need the money that is being demanded.

Under a business-as-usual scenario, the money received would most likely just be lent out again to Greece.

Greece - just say OXI!

 

Scuba

(53,475 posts)
124. Yeah, but punishing people for being poor feels soooo good to the rich assholes who run everything.
Tue Jun 30, 2015, 06:57 AM
Jun 2015
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