Fri Sep 4, 2015, 09:55 AM

The Jeb Bush Campaign is in Free Fall

Gallop released a new poll on the Republican candidates' favorability and name recognition, and here is a chart from the Gallop report:

Compare today's net favorability numbers from Gallop with net favorability from yesterday's Monmouth poll of Republicans:

Carson (67% favorable – 6% unfavorable = 61% net favorability)
Trump (59% favorable – 29% unfavorable = 30% net favorability)
Fiorina (43% favorable – 13% unfavorable = 30% net favorability)
Walker (42% favorable – 15% unfavorable = 27% net favorability)
Kasich (23% favorable – 18% unfavorable = 5% net favorability)
Bush (41% favorable – 39% unfavorable = 2% net favorability)

Contrast these net favorability numbers with Republicans against Monmouth's most recent net favorability polling of Democrats:

Clinton (71% favorable – 17% unfavorable = 54% net favorability)
Biden (67% favorable – 14% unfavorable = 53% net favorability)
Sanders (42% favorable – 12% unfavorable = 30% net favorability)
O’Malley (13% favorable – 8% unfavorable = 5% net favorability)

CONCLUSION: Bush is in the midst of a complete free fall.

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14 replies	Author	Time	Post
The Jeb Bush Campaign is in Free Fall (Original post)	Attorney in Texas	Sep 2015	OP
So even Rethuglicans know we don't need another Bush. /nt	dieter	Sep 2015	#1
Maybe Tom Petty would lend them a campaign song...	liberal N proud	Sep 2015	#2
For all the talk that Bernie is too old, Jeb comes across as more of a Gramps.	CrispyQ	Sep 2015	#3
He is wearing Shrub's cement shoes.	kairos12	Sep 2015	#4
The name "Bush" will be up in the "Booth" pantheon	hifiguy	Sep 2015	#13
Because of these numbers? Polls with that many candidates are a POS.	Mass	Sep 2015	#5
Polls of a person's favorability versus unfavorability have no bearing on the number of candidates.	Attorney in Texas	Sep 2015	#6
I think we can assume al those polls saying W is more liked now are false	Johonny	Sep 2015	#7
I believe the polls on W. I don't think people trust him to govern, but if he's only playing golf	Attorney in Texas	Sep 2015	#9
don't get the feeling he really wants the job.	KG	Sep 2015	#8
Jeb may not want the job much but some folks have a $100,000,000 worth of interest in him getting	Attorney in Texas	Sep 2015	#12
Jeb is going to blow a $140 million of GOP donor class money and still lose	Gothmog	Sep 2015	#10
I hope Jeb! is an expensive failure	Attorney in Texas	Sep 2015	#11
President Ben Carson, MD	Octafish	Sep 2015	#14

Response to Attorney in Texas (Original post)

Fri Sep 4, 2015, 10:03 AM

dieter (94 posts)

1. So even Rethuglicans know we don't need another Bush. /nt

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Response to Attorney in Texas (Original post)

Fri Sep 4, 2015, 10:04 AM

liberal N proud (59,198 posts)

2. Maybe Tom Petty would lend them a campaign song...

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Response to Attorney in Texas (Original post)

Fri Sep 4, 2015, 10:04 AM

CrispyQ (32,143 posts)

3. For all the talk that Bernie is too old, Jeb comes across as more of a Gramps.

He looks dumpy & dull & when he talks, he lacks the energy that Bernie has.

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Response to Attorney in Texas (Original post)

Fri Sep 4, 2015, 10:04 AM

kairos12 (11,274 posts)

4. He is wearing Shrub's cement shoes.

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Response to kairos12 (Reply #4)

Fri Sep 4, 2015, 02:20 PM

hifiguy (33,688 posts)

13. The name "Bush" will be up in the "Booth" pantheon

for at least another generation or so.

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Response to Attorney in Texas (Original post)

Fri Sep 4, 2015, 10:07 AM

Mass (27,315 posts)

5. Because of these numbers? Polls with that many candidates are a POS.

Wait until people realize that Trump favors immigration (and low wages that come with it) in reality and is purely pandering to them. I am really wondering why Bush is not attacking him on this basis.

On many of these points, Bush and Trump's policies are the same, but Trump is using people's worst instincts and racial slurs to attack Bush and hide his true views.

Now, I do not really care who wins the primary (nobody running is interesting), but it is amazing how people are tricked by Trump just as they have been tricked by Tea Party leaders. Some people will never learn.

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Response to Mass (Reply #5)

Fri Sep 4, 2015, 10:42 AM

Attorney in Texas (3,373 posts)

6. Polls of a person's favorability versus unfavorability have no bearing on the number of candidates.

For example, Monmouth's Republican polling didn't bother to include Christie, Paul, Perry, Jindal, etc., and its Democratic poll included the favorability versus unfavorability numbers for Biden, who is not a candidate.

The fact that Bush has a net favorability of only 2% among Republicans is bad news for his campaign. It would be bad news if there were 25 candidates running and it would be bad news if there were just 4 candidates running.

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Response to Attorney in Texas (Original post)

Fri Sep 4, 2015, 11:56 AM

Johonny (17,834 posts)

7. I think we can assume al those polls saying W is more liked now are false

and people still have a lot of anger toward the Bush family.

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Response to Johonny (Reply #7)

Fri Sep 4, 2015, 12:06 PM

Attorney in Texas (3,373 posts)

9. I believe the polls on W. I don't think people trust him to govern, but if he's only playing golf

and giving the occasional speech, I think there are people who are OK with that and don't dislike him in that role.

If he tried to take on some job with governing authority, I think more people would quickly begin to hate him again.

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Response to Attorney in Texas (Original post)

Fri Sep 4, 2015, 12:01 PM

KG (28,700 posts)