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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsBREAKING--- Black boxes show bomb brought down Russian jet !!!
Last edited Fri Nov 6, 2015, 04:45 PM - Edit history (1)
No malfunctions heard on recovered Black Box. Bomb is heard!!!
PER CNN
Report: Black boxes show bomb brought down Russian jet
http://www.cnn.com/2015/11/06/middleeast/russian-plane-crash-egypt-sinai/index.html
edited for clarity
Marrah_G
(28,581 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(101,847 posts)EOM
Marrah_G
(28,581 posts)and I don't mean that hysterically. With all the wars in the middle east and russia/ukriane, the refugee crisis it just feels like a powder keg ready to blow.
closeupready
(29,503 posts)don't you think it would have happened way long ago?
Not seeing WWIII. No matter how many rotating police lights Drudge puts on his web page.
FourScore
(9,704 posts)It's that simple.
Not sayin' it's gonna happen now, but I don't think it really takes that much.
closeupready
(29,503 posts)and acts of war.
This, on the other hand - don't get me wrong, horrible as it was - involved tourists and stateless fundamentalist gangsters. Additionally, there is no love lost between a state run historically by atheists and those who consider themselves deeply religious.
CJCRANE
(18,184 posts)but there is a lot of information out there that is ignored by DU nowadays.
Tarheel_Dem
(31,454 posts)Renew Deal
(85,145 posts)With terrorism, everyone is an enemy.
flamingdem
(40,888 posts)Isis is following quite an armageddon playbook here. Gloves will be coming off.
closeupready
(29,503 posts)Retaliation is merely one.
hifiguy
(33,688 posts)The kind who do wet work. They might not be called the KGB anymore but they are still there.
giftedgirl77
(4,713 posts)Not a rocket or other surface to air type of munition?
DemocratSinceBirth
(101,847 posts)>>>>>>>to inside job.
msrizzo
(796 posts)Suicide bomber or placed on the plane by ground crew? Either way, very very bad.
DemocratSinceBirth
(101,847 posts)Suicide bomber or placed on the plane by ground crew? Either way, very very bad
giftedgirl77
(4,713 posts)Sorry I didn't mean to seem like I was second guessing you, just wanted to make sure I was tracking.
Renew Deal
(85,145 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(101,847 posts)No malfunctions heard on recovered Black Box. Bomb is heard!!!
spanone
(141,602 posts)Spider Jerusalem
(21,786 posts)One of the black boxes recovered from the crash site shows that the plane suffered a violent, sudden end, a source tells the agency.
The flight data recorder shows that everything was normal during the flight, absolutely normal, and suddenly there was nothing, it quotes an unnamed source as saying.
France 2 quotes an investigator (in French) with access to the flight recorders as saying that an explosion was audible and that it would not have followed an incidence of engine failure.
http://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2015/nov/06/tourists-return-from-egypt-amid-reports-bomb-in-hold-downed-russian-airliner-live-updates
DemocratSinceBirth
(101,847 posts)EOM
B2G
(9,766 posts)jberryhill
(62,444 posts)I don't think the tail falling off would be "quiet".
However, I'd suspect the spectral signature of the "boom" is what they are going on.
DemocratSinceBirth
(101,847 posts)EOM
jeff47
(26,549 posts)Let's say a wing tears off. It would be very loud. But the flight data recorder would dutifully record the plane spiraling into the ground.
In this case, the boom coincides with the end of the data from the data recorder.
ProfessorGAC
(76,693 posts)A bomb would be one sudden compressive noise. The tail tearing off would get incrementally louder as more aluminum and structural steel tore loose.
Just my guess that the investigators could tell the difference.
If you have ever heard a high explosive go off in person, i'm sure you'd agree that there is no other sound like that, even from a couple hundred yards away.
I helped decommission an arsenal and had to help dispose of old ordinance and carboys of TNT and tetril. Set off tons of it. Only a HX sounds like an HX.
jberryhill
(62,444 posts)Please note my mention of "spectral signature".
However, I'd suspect the spectral signature of the "boom" is what they are going on.
krispos42
(49,445 posts)Built-in redundancy means it's hard for things to just come apart like that.
Jet engine exploding? Planes have survived that without much of a problem... and plenty of black box data. The plane's tanks were still full of fuel, so there should have been very little in the way of fuel vapors to explode. And wings and tails don't generally just "fall off" a plane.
This is very bad, and very deliberate.
LanternWaste
(37,748 posts)Your in-depth analysis certainly validates our impressions of the totality of your breadth of knowledge.
B2G
(9,766 posts)LittleBlue
(10,362 posts)No more fucking around.
jberryhill
(62,444 posts)alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)when Obama couldn't for two years.
Tra la. Oh well.
Guess not.
DemocratSinceBirth
(101,847 posts)I am sure Putin thought he would be taking out ISIS and look what it got him...ISIS should be confronted but they should be confronted under a UN Flag with an actual plan.
leftynyc
(26,060 posts)What difference would that make?
DemocratSinceBirth
(101,847 posts)Logical
(22,457 posts)leftynyc
(26,060 posts)Even the French have sent an aircraft carrier. Fighting alongside the Russians should be interesting. I've felt for a long time that the UN is nothing but "cover" for what these countries want to do anyway. Really just a show.
Nevernose
(13,081 posts)The vast majority of Russian air strikes in Syria have been against anti-Assad moderates.
LittleBlue
(10,362 posts)In other words, stop fighting them in Syria. Here's your snark back, I don't want it.
uppityperson
(116,020 posts)LittleBlue
(10,362 posts)That's how I'd do it
uppityperson
(116,020 posts)LittleBlue
(10,362 posts)If we sent ground forces, Isis would be toast. But that isn't politically feasible for us. Plus the problem of what comes afterward.
Actually if you go look at a Syrian faction map, most of Isis's territory is uninhabited. The hard part would be distinguishing civilians from Isis. Russia is notoriously unscrupulous, so it would be easier for them.
Saddam's army in Kuwait was much stronger militarily than Isis. And we basically defeated them in a few days. If Russia is willing to take the cost, we should get out of the way.
What's your plan for the immediate insurgency that follows?
LittleBlue
(10,362 posts)They want to retain Syria in their sphere of influence, let them figure it out.
Nice dodge.
LittleBlue
(10,362 posts)You act like I'm brand new here. I've been opposed to putting our troops on the ground from the beginning and still am. How is "let's stop strategically assisting terrorists to fight Russia" a dodge?
I don't care what insurgency follows because it has nothing to do with us. Let Assad and Russia handle the insurgency, they are more than capable.
Look, you're saying Russia should invade Syria just like the US did Iraq. You're of the opinion that it would be easy because they'd fold, just like the Iraqi Army in 03. So, when I asked for your proposal for the immediate, and quite inevitable insurgency that would result, you dodged the question by saying that it's Russia's problem. It's cool if you want to offer hare-brained schemes that have a venerable history of unqualified failure, but don't get whiny when someone points it out.
tl;dr - your strategy sucks
LittleBlue
(10,362 posts)me of following the Iraq path, which is exactly the opposite. We got it wrong in Iraq taking out Saddam and then dismantling the government. I'm talking about doing just the opposite: letting Russia deal with it will mean Assad remains in power. No matter how good our intentions, a western country cannot invade a ME country and expect to effectively administrate it.
It's the best of a bad lot of outcomes. We cannot ignore that while secular ME dictatorships are awful, they are effective in stopping groups like Isis from coming to power. We have to accept that, at this point, it is implausible that any new democracy can survive Isis and various other Islamist groups.
What?
Basically you popped off without having a fucking clue as to what I proposed and accused me of dodging. You seem to think Russia has to invade Syria. They're already there cooperating with Assad, there's no invasion. Russia can't invade a country whose leader has already invited them in. Do yourself a favor and log off.
MFrohike
(1,980 posts)You want Russia to put tens of thousands of soldiers into Syria in order to prop up a regime that doesn't have the manpower or will to reclaim its lost territory. You have been paying attention to that, haven't you? The Alawites are suffering a severe manpower drain due to losses in war and several generations of emigration. Without Russia, Iran, and Hezbollah, the regime would collapse in a matter of months. Yeesh.
Again, your strategy sucks. Don't get me wrong, the Russians are busy trying it right now. It's likely going to fail because it means staying in Syria, in force, for a very long time. After all, let's say they defeat the various militias and IS, then what? You think that will change a thing? IS is nothing but the former Iraqi Army in combination with various defeated Sunni jidadists from Iraq. They've lost a few times and they're still in the field, champ.
As for the invasion bit, that's pretty much what you said, champ. It was your goofy example of Iraq in 03, not mine. I get that you were trying to emphasize how the Iraqi Army folded, but you glossed over the whole what happened after "mission accomplished" thing. That's why I say your strategy sucks. You have a plan to start a fight and no clue whatsoever how to finish it.
Again, your strategy sucks.
CJCRANE
(18,184 posts)The Iraq invasion was about dismantling a government, that's what led to the chaos.
The proposed plan is to support a government.
MFrohike
(1,980 posts)Unless the Russians have the good sense not to try to win back the entire country, it'll look exactly like Iraq in short order.
Calista241
(5,633 posts)he can kill anyone that speaks out, and then he can kill their families, and their families families. After the obligatory occupation and census.
Call his government the Syrian Workers Party. Put up statues and paintings of himself everywhere and then the problem is solved.
FlatBaroque
(3,160 posts)before we take them out? John McCain wants to give them TOW missles just like we gave to the Taliban in Afghanistan.
LittleBlue
(10,362 posts)That was a huge mistake
former9thward
(33,424 posts)Two different things, two different times. #factsandhistorymatters
ronnie624
(5,764 posts)It was instrumental in fomenting and empowering the extremist elements that resulted in the Taliban. This is very obvious. A continuation of the same types of policies, is not going to bring about improvements in Central Asia.
Lochloosa
(16,733 posts)LittleBlue
(10,362 posts)Read above
backscatter712
(26,357 posts)They are undoubtedly upset about the deaths, and I imagine they're more than happy to get some revenge. Who am I to argue with them. Let the Russians play Whack-a-Mole for a while.
LittleBlue
(10,362 posts)Bless them in their quest for vengeance and GTFO of the way.
jberryhill
(62,444 posts)...that part of me is inclined to agree.
Their last middle eastern adventure ended the Soviet Union.
philosslayer
(3,076 posts)And how do you propose doing that? Going to sign up and go over yourself? Or just beat on your chest in the comfort of your den?
LittleBlue
(10,362 posts)Dawson Leery
(19,568 posts)No more holding back.
jberryhill
(62,444 posts)Are there estimates on that.
But, definitely, release the Isis-seeking bombs.
Dawson Leery
(19,568 posts)jberryhill
(62,444 posts)Dawson Leery
(19,568 posts)A Bernie supporter is for the campaign against ISIS, silence from the professional left. A Hillary support is for the campaign against ISIS, they are attacked.
Comrade Grumpy
(13,184 posts)We'll get right on it.
Seriously, really? The professional left? Is that you, Bill O'Reilly?
DemocratSinceBirth
(101,847 posts)EOM
uppityperson
(116,020 posts)Spider Jerusalem
(21,786 posts)You need troops on the ground for that. And a ground campaign against an insurgent enemy? That went well in Vietnam, eh? Won every battle, lost the war.
leveymg
(36,418 posts)It's the only thing they never do, even after 9/11, and it's largely the same financiers. Maybe, the Russians will do what what we won't.
CJCRANE
(18,184 posts)They'd rather play the partisan blame game that only tells half the story, or elucidate the history of the Ottoman Empire, or discuss the intricacies of Sykes-Picot or blame global warming or poverty or a holy book or ancient history or a hundred other things.
Anything to avoid looking at what's causing it in the here and now.
leveymg
(36,418 posts)Chicago Mercantile Exchange.
It's a global market for elected US officials, and under Citizen's United, anyone who can buy shares in a U.S. corporation can buy the policy they please. Anyone. Gov't goes to the highest bidder, anywhere. Whatever price the market will bear. Both parties. England has the same problem, only worse. The world's two leading royal families own half of London: the British and the Saudi.
smirkymonkey
(63,221 posts)We are actually the problem, we are funding them.
eppur_se_muova
(41,938 posts)moondust
(21,286 posts)Xolodno
(7,349 posts)...and not with a scorched earth policy in Syria.
And this is going to hurt Egyptian tourism. Sissi already brought the hammer down....now, he's probably going to go for a second whack with it.
Dawson Leery
(19,568 posts)The Muslim Brotherhoods are equal to the Nazi's. They were going to eliminate all other groups in Egypt. If any of these thugs or their affiliates are left, then they MUST be dealt with.
leveymg
(36,418 posts)For decades, MB served as an all-purpose reliable ally against Nasser and similar secular nationalist regimes across the Sunni Arab world. If there was a Baathist regime, MB was your terrorist anti-communist paramilitary asset. In the north, the Mujahed under the Pakistani ISI (always the Saudis cats paw) was your terrorist and paramilitary pawn of choice in Afghanistan. After the collapse of the USSR, they were the expendables in the the proxy war to strip off the oil-rich strategic southern Russian and Yugoslav regions. In the mid-1990s, the Saudi-allied and Pakistani trained Mujahed became the Taliban, and UBL was dispatched from Sudan to Afghanistan by Prince Turkey as the Saudi liaison. Following al-Qaeda, ISIS is simply the latest mutation of the same covert paramilitary operation groups.
The proverb says know your enemy not by his friends but by his enemies. In the Mideast-South Asia, the enemy is us, and our friends in the region aren't.
CJCRANE
(18,184 posts)We thought we were using them to advance our own geopolitical goals...but in fact they are using us. They get more and more powerful as we get weaker. And most western citizens are oblivious, they haven't figured out what many in the rest of the world see.
leveymg
(36,418 posts)CJCRANE
(18,184 posts)In the early years there was a freedom of expression here that was unrivalled by virtually anywhere else on the net. We were ahead of the curve on so many stories. We were curious and bold.
There is still some good stuff posted here, but in the main I think many have let their guard down and lost their curiosity, and others have drifted away.
leveymg
(36,418 posts)this place suck" appear to have taken over. I think we can thank the concerted efforts by the HRC campaign to make this a sort of gestation chamber for divisive racist and sexist memes of convenience for a lot of that. They are very organized this time, and have exploited all sorts of weaknesses such as DU's "protected groups" as staging areas.
But, still, if not here, where?
polly7
(20,582 posts)uppityperson
(116,020 posts)(Clip)
The sound of an explosion could be heard on the black boxes recovered from the plane, according to an investigator who had access to them, French TV station France 2 said on its website. The investigator ruled out engine failure, it added.
British and U.S. spies intercepted "chatter" from suspected militants as well as internal communication about the incident from one other government that suggested a bomb, possibly hidden in luggage in the hold, had downed the airliner, Western intelligence sources said.
The intelligence sources, who spoke on customary condition of anonymity, said the evidence was not categorical and there was still no hard forensic or scientific evidence to support the bomb theory....
cwydro
(51,308 posts)they could avoid security and bag screening.
choie
(6,905 posts)intercepted "chatter." ....where were our vaunted intelligence agencies? Not to mention Egypt's airport/airline security...
freshwest
(53,661 posts)alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)freshwest
(53,661 posts)Baitball Blogger
(52,344 posts)LongTomH
(8,636 posts)Was a midair heat flash that a U.S. satellite detected over the Sinai Peninsula when the flight went down a sign of an explosion aboard the plane? And if that was the case, why haven't investigators found signs of an explosive impact on the crash victims' bodies, as Russian state media reports? Could the plane's wreckage show that a past repair went awry?
..............//snip
Intelligence analysis has ruled out that the Russian commercial airplane was struck by a missile, but the new information suggests that there was a catastrophic in-flight event -- including possibly a bomb, though experts are considering other explanations, according to U.S. officials.
Analysts say heat flashes could be tied to a range of possibilities, including a bomb blast, a malfunctioning engine exploding or a structural problem causing a fire on the plane.
spanone
(141,602 posts)google google google
DemocratSinceBirth
(101,847 posts)Report: Black boxes show bomb brought down Russian jet
http://www.cnn.com/2015/11/06/middleeast/russian-plane-crash-egypt-sinai/index.html
spanone
(141,602 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(101,847 posts)If this was a court of law we would be approaching "the clear and convincing evidence stage" before getting to the "beyond a reasonable doubt" stage...
They also said we shared intel with the Russians which is unprecedented.
ananda
(35,141 posts).. in Egyptian resorts.
Sheesh, what a mess!
herding cats
(20,049 posts)They speculate it could take months to get them all out.
leftynyc
(26,060 posts)that were flown out could only bring carry on luggage. Anything that needed to be checked had to stay.
herding cats
(20,049 posts)Which I can understand. They're lucky their country was able to get them out at all. I couldn't imagine being stuck there at the current moment in time. That has to be a stressful situation for everyone fighting for a spot on a flight out.
leftynyc
(26,060 posts)are as many as 75,000 Russians who need to get out. If I were British, I would have gladly left the luggage behind. Given I think that Putin is mentally unbalanced and a Russian plane was blown out of the sky, I can't even imagine what he's going to do next.
Schema Thing
(10,283 posts)I mean yeah, it could be something else, but a betting person had to bet all their money on an onboard bomb, as soon as a missile was ruled out.
DemocratSinceBirth
(101,847 posts)EOM
Rex
(65,616 posts)Bomb would be next on the list.
EX500rider
(12,582 posts)Rex
(65,616 posts)So I guess it would have to be bomb, missile or malfunction. Given the location, I was guessing missile.
GGJohn
(9,951 posts)appox. 31,000-33,000 feet.
Most likely a bomb planted on board.
This is going to royally piss the Russians off, and they're not known for finesse when it comes to taking out those that piss them off.
They'll kill 100 innocents just to get one person.
This is going to get real ugly fast.
LanternWaste
(37,748 posts)Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 had the online communities agog with the same explanations, agents, provocateurs and antagonists.
As I'm neither clever nor a betting man, I default to accident until ruled out.
uppityperson
(116,020 posts)Sometimes mechanical failure happens, not caused on purpose I mean.
Schema Thing
(10,283 posts)Hence the assumption it isn't mechanical failure.
Plus, Russia fresh into a new war vs jihadist...
flamingdem
(40,888 posts)It seems easy enough if you tip off an employee.. or they are sympathizers and many are.
L. Coyote
(51,134 posts)flamingdem
(40,888 posts)Rules of the game differ if following a warped Allah script.
Lee-Lee
(6,324 posts)Tourism is a huge part of the economy in Egypt, and the only real source of foreign cash steadily coming in.
The economy there barely survived the drop in tourism during all the political unrest. If they follow up this with a few bombings or shootings at tourist locations the tourism will end, the economy will crash, and chaos will result.
And ISIS can leverage that chaos to move in.
hifiguy
(33,688 posts)with extreme prejudice and by any means necessary, and a brutal squeeze should be implemented against its financial backers.
With the US government and military doing absolutely nothing to aid the effort other than winking, then looking in the other direction and whistling.
smirkymonkey
(63,221 posts)lonestarnot
(77,097 posts)GGJohn
(9,951 posts)closeupready
(29,503 posts)and considering 1) the price of oil; and 2) the PR disaster that is Putin's foray into the Ukraine, it's impossible for me to consider ISIL being "wiped completely from the face of the earth"/glass-covered parking lot/any-other-childish-euphemism you'd like to use ... as being an option at the moment, even in the face of this terrorist act.
But you know, internet warriors are gonna wage internet warfare, lol.
hifiguy
(33,688 posts)should stay the hell out of this. For 50-plus years the only thing American involvement has done in such situations is make everything much, MUCH worse. Let someone else deal with it while cutting a back room deal with whomever wants to rid the world of these insane fucks. Yes, even Pooty-Poot. Let the Russians put their boots on the ground and take the hit if they think it's worth it.
Also, fuck the KSA with an iron stick. They are ultimately responsible for all Sunni lunatics and stand as the worst nation on earth. And I am not forgetting about North Korea.
davidn3600
(6,342 posts)We are heavily invested in the mid-east...not just militarily, but politically and economically.
The United States economy runs on oil. Until we become energy self-reliant, we will be involved in mid-east affairs.
hifiguy
(33,688 posts)madness and failure. Which is how empires always fall.
Nothing is ever learned from history. We are a monumentally dumb species that deserves to die out.
CJCRANE
(18,184 posts)We are essentially spreading religious fundamentalism all over the Middle East and beyond.
WinkyDink
(51,311 posts)Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)
ileus This message was self-deleted by its author.