Marquette Law School surveys show familiar fault-lines divide voter demographics in Wisconsin

[HereSince1628]

An analysis of five months of survey data from Marquette Law School shows...

<snip>

Walker's job rating is positive among men, married people, frequent churchgoers, higher-income-earners, whites, nonunion households and people without a college degree.

Walker's job rating is negative among women, people who aren't married, people who don't go to religious services, nonwhites, lower-income-earners, union households, and people with a bachelor's degree or higher.

<snip>

Using the state's media markets as a measure, the governor is running above his statewide approval rating (49%) in three regions: the Green Bay market, where his approval is 56%; the state's northern TV markets (combining Wausau with two Minnesota markets that reach into Wisconsin, Duluth and the Twin Cities), where his approval is 58%; and the portion of the 10-county Milwaukee TV market outside the city of Milwaukee, where his approval rating is 57%.

Walker is far below his statewide approval rating in two places: the state's largest city, Milwaukee, where his approval rating is 30%; and the Madison TV market, an 11-county area where his approval rating is 37%.

Walker is right around his statewide number in the La Crosse/Eau Claire market.

In most of these places, Walker's 2012 approval rating is a few points below the percentage of the vote he got in the same areas in 2010. The one exception to that is northern Wisconsin. In the three northern TV markets combined (Wausau, Twin Cities and Duluth), Walker's 2012 approval rating of 58% is several points higher than his 2010 vote in the same region of the state, 54%. That suggests northern Wisconsin could be a stronghold for Walker on June 5.

<snip>

http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/wisvoter27-qh5ib9q-154557465.html

(disclaimer: Journal-Sentinel has come out against the recall process and in support of Walker.)

[Scuba]

1. The whoring Urinal/Sentinel takes an already-discredited poll and further cooks the books...

... to try to establish some credibility for their boy. As Rev Al would say, nice try, but we gotcha.



On June 5th we can put Walker and these polls behind us.




My apologies to whores, who do not deserve to be lumped in with the fish wrap mentioned above.

[zeemike]

2. sounds like they are working on a explanation for a Walker win.

The fix may be in and they just need to explain it.

[milwaukeelib33]

3. Yikes

Not good. I was holding out hope there would be a swing toward Barrett in the northern part of the state because of Wanker's desire for the mine and other anti-environment policies. This make no friggen' sense.

[HereSince1628]

4. The numbers come from surveys taken over 5 months, and can't be taken as accurate as of today.

Walker didn't have a named opponent until early May.

Still, I think that article contains some information that would help non-Wisconsin DUers
to understand the nature of what's happening here. I think the discussion of the
support in tv markets is correct in the general pattern presented. Though I
wonder if Douglass and Bayfield counties (extreme NW part of WI) aren't closer
than what the article suggests.

This thing has always seemed close. And to say it again...the 5 month perspective
does average numbers from before the time when democratic voters got serious
about naming names.