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Marcia Brady

(108 posts) Mon May 28, 2012, 03:33 PM May 2012

Intrade predictions

Looking at the Intrade site for the Walker recall, it looks kind of gloomy. In general, how accurate has Intrade been in the past? (Really hoping they haven't been very accurate . . .)

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Intrade predictions (Original Post) Marcia Brady May 2012 OP

Well, in the 2004 election they called every single state's electoral vote correctly. Johnny Rico May 2012 #1

Ouch. Marcia Brady May 2012 #2

Johnny Rico

(1,438 posts)

1. Well, in the 2004 election they called every single state's electoral vote correctly.

Reply to Marcia Brady (Original post)

Mon May 28, 2012, 03:40 PM

May 2012

They weren't as accurate in 2008, though. They predicted Obama would get 364 electoral votes.

He got 365.

So yeah, they're pretty accurate!

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Marcia Brady

(108 posts)

2. Ouch.

Reply to Johnny Rico (Reply #1)

Mon May 28, 2012, 03:54 PM

May 2012

Maybe that just means they're due for a big loss??

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