I like this map!

[Pab Sungenis]

http://electoral-vote.com/

Nice new site design, too.

[Liberal_in_LA]

1. too much red

[Pab Sungenis]

6. I'm reminded of what Wanda Sykes said on the Chris Rock show in 2000.

They were examining the electoral vote map and Wanda said "you see all these big red states? Don't nobody live there!"

[Nye Bevan]

2. FL, PA, OH, MI, NC and VA look to be the key states (nt)

[jimlup]

9. I'm thinking as we get closer MI will go solid blue

Our state has a history of that. I don't think Romney is going to play well here. People are pissed enough to have figured his shit out.

[CaliforniaPeggy]

3. This is a great site!

I have enjoyed looking at it over the years...

Even more now, with Obama in the lead!

[hlthe2b]

4. I'm going to quibble on Colorado...

Obama edges Romney by 4 points in latest Colorado poll
By Justin Sink - 05/29/12 11:09 AM ET
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/polls/229807-obama-edges-romney-by-4-points-in-latest-colorado-poll

Mitt Romney faces an uphill battle as he campaigns Tuesday in Colorado, with a new poll showing President Obama leading the Republican challenger by 4 percentage points.

The survey, released Tuesday by the Democratic-leading firm Project New America, shows Obama leading Romney 48-44 percent. The president's lead comes primarily from Hispanic, female and unaffiliated voters, with Obama posting double-digit leads in each demographic group.

[Pab Sungenis]

5. They sometimes lag a day or two on polls.

They also use a running average, including Rasmussen, which biases them slightly toward the Republicans.

If they have Obama at 293, he's probably actually running about 320.

[jimlup]

10. Yeah I agree CO has been moving blue in recent years...

But for safety let's just remember it is still in play! I really want it to go Blue again this November.

[stevedeshazer]

7. I like it, too.

Pab, they can take Oregon out of the "barely democratic" column. There is no way Romney wins here. It's not even going to be close.

Thanks.

[Pab Sungenis]

8. I think this map is the baseline.

The only state I can see jumping from Obama to Romney on this map is Virginia. Otherwise, this is a solid Obama map. 280 EV at the minimum.

[stevedeshazer]

11. Yeah, I think so.

I just can't see southern and plains states making up the difference. They don't have enough electoral votes.

Polls be damned, it all comes to electoral votes. President Obama wins.

[Rochester]

12. One nit-pick:

On their site, they list N.C. as a pickup for the bad guys, but not Ind. or Fla., which they also show as red here.
Or maybe we'll hold them

[Angleae]

13. He does this every election.

I've been watching his site since 2000 and he's usually pretty accurate.