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madashelltoo

(1,696 posts)
Wed May 30, 2012, 10:54 AM May 2012

What happened to all of the polls in Wisconsin

that showed Walker leading Barrett by 5, then 4? Where did all of the polls go? Can you tell me where they've gone? Why don't I see his disgusting grin plastered all over the place right now? Where are you, Scottie? What's going on?

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What happened to all of the polls in Wisconsin (Original Post) madashelltoo May 2012 OP
Marquette Law School will release their latest poll this afternoon. WI_DEM May 2012 #1
Remember the Marquette Law School poll is not done by the Marquette Law School... Scuba May 2012 #2
Nate Silver thinks Walker will win hack89 May 2012 #3
This was before the debate madashelltoo May 2012 #5
We will see. hack89 May 2012 #6
New poll posted today on DU by respected pollster. madashelltoo May 2012 #7
i was polled yesterday by PPP. it was so... pansypoo53219 May 2012 #4

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
1. Marquette Law School will release their latest poll this afternoon.
Wed May 30, 2012, 11:40 AM
May 2012

Their previous one, two weeks ago had Walker leading by five among likely voters 50-45

 

Scuba

(53,475 posts)
2. Remember the Marquette Law School poll is not done by the Marquette Law School...
Wed May 30, 2012, 12:34 PM
May 2012

... but by a right-wing shill who works there, but does the polls at the behest of the right-wing Bradley Foundation.

Calling it the Marquette Law School poll is a lame attempt to give it cred.

hack89

(39,171 posts)
3. Nate Silver thinks Walker will win
Wed May 30, 2012, 12:40 PM
May 2012
Gov. Scott Walker of Wisconsin, a Republican, is likely to survive a recall election on June 5, according to recent nonpartisan polls of the state.

Mr. Walker leads his Democratic opponent, Mayor Tom Barrett of Milwaukee, by an average of six percentage points in those polls and has not trailed in any poll since February.

Some polls issued by Democratic-affiliated groups have shown a somewhat tighter race, with Mr. Barrett trailing by about three percentage points instead. Partisan-affiliated polls have a long track record of somewhat exaggerating their candidate’s standing, however, and it may be telling that even these polls do not show Mr. Barrett ahead.

In a typical November election, a 6-point lead with two weeks to go would translate into a high probability of winning — roughly on the order of 90 percent, based on the historical accuracy of polls of governors’ races.


http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/05/24/in-wisconsin-walker-is-likely-to-survive-recall/

Let's hope he is wrong this time.

madashelltoo

(1,696 posts)
5. This was before the debate
Wed May 30, 2012, 12:57 PM
May 2012

I'm talking about SINCE the debate. Glad to know Marquette is a dummy group too. Walker's going down. Watch and see. I am not in Wisconsin, but I believe he's going down. Folks working the streets need to be careful. Desperate people do desperate things.

hack89

(39,171 posts)
6. We will see.
Wed May 30, 2012, 12:59 PM
May 2012

Recall elections have a unique dynamic so I am sure there is much uncertainty to the polls. I am hoping for a good outcome.

pansypoo53219

(20,969 posts)
4. i was polled yesterday by PPP. it was so...
Wed May 30, 2012, 12:55 PM
May 2012

what a poll should be. no human, i could hit 1 or 2 before they beeped. took maybe 3 min. no crazy wording.

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