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chalmers

(288 posts)
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 01:43 PM Dec 2015

Humans will be extinct in 100 years says eminent scientist

http://m.phys.org/news/2010-06-humans-extinct-years-eminent-scientist.html

Eminent Australian scientist Professor Frank Fenner, who helped to wipe out smallpox, predicts humans will probably be extinct within 100 years, because of overpopulation, environmental destruction and climate change.

Fenner, who is emeritus professor of microbiology at the Australian National University (ANU) in Canberra, said homo sapiens will not be able to survive the population explosion and “unbridled consumption,” and will become extinct, perhaps within a century, along with many other species. United Nations official figures from last year estimate the human population is 6.8 billion, and is predicted to pass seven billion next year.

Fenner told The Australian he tries not to express his pessimism because people are trying to do something, but keep putting it off. He said he believes the situation is irreversible, and it is too late because the effects we have had on Earth since industrialization (a period now known to scientists unofficially as the Anthropocene) rivals any effects of ice ages or comet impacts.
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Humans will be extinct in 100 years says eminent scientist (Original Post) chalmers Dec 2015 OP
Is this the same guy that predicted every presidential election since 1975? Renew Deal Dec 2015 #1
The population will decline NobodyHere Dec 2015 #2
I am still waiting for the Orgasmatron. longship Dec 2015 #8
Don't forget to use the Orb first to get in the mood. geardaddy Dec 2015 #99
Hitachi Magic Wand. briv1016 Dec 2015 #100
i have enough sexual partners - don't need robots patsimp Dec 2015 #51
No way! Too short a period of time! Nt Logical Dec 2015 #3
Yeah sure. I'll be 146. Good grief I hope I don't last that long. yeoman6987 Dec 2015 #28
Not unless we nuke each other or use some sort of very effective bio weapon n2doc Dec 2015 #4
Not much of the Earth is habitable chalmers Dec 2015 #9
That is still a lot of land. n2doc Dec 2015 #11
1.77% is fresh water chalmers Dec 2015 #12
Fresh water lancer78 Dec 2015 #95
Sorry I have to ask .. ananda Dec 2015 #23
I just mean that we can turn land that is not presently considered farmland into farmable land n2doc Dec 2015 #24
Thanks. ananda Dec 2015 #83
Just finished watching Mad Max Fury Road dixiegrrrrl Dec 2015 #73
And that 8.76% is subject to its carrying capacity. nt ChisolmTrailDem Dec 2015 #42
Even nukes would not lead to (rapid) human extinction. Climate change and nukes will fuck us up and MillennialDem Dec 2015 #86
Yeah, he'll be extinct. But humans? He's making a flaky pronouncement. MADem Dec 2015 #5
So Professor Emo believes we're fucked whatever we do ? MowCowWhoHow III Dec 2015 #6
sounds like a plan to me! dlwickham Dec 2015 #76
The perfect blowhard prediction. If he's... meaculpa2011 Dec 2015 #7
Too optimistic. earthside Dec 2015 #10
a 5-6 degree temp change would 'kill most humans'? B2G Dec 2015 #15
based on the reaction GummyBearz Dec 2015 #25
... Arugula Latte Dec 2015 #44
The analogy ... earthside Dec 2015 #26
That analogy is ridiculous. nt B2G Dec 2015 #30
Oh ... earthside Dec 2015 #37
Why would I sit in a 103 degree sauna for a week? B2G Dec 2015 #39
That AC is not at a planetary level nadinbrzezinski Dec 2015 #45
But it negates planetary extinction. B2G Dec 2015 #47
Read up on the science nadinbrzezinski Dec 2015 #48
Some people are in denial Nadin. haikugal Dec 2015 #77
I know nadinbrzezinski Dec 2015 #80
humans -are not- apex sp, we're vagile generalist omnivores with many mutualisms and HereSince1628 Dec 2015 #90
And we are also going to be aware, well aware, of why it could be curtains nadinbrzezinski Dec 2015 #97
Acidification of the oceans could be a game ending scenario, it crashed the planet once before HereSince1628 Dec 2015 #107
That is in my mind the big one nadinbrzezinski Dec 2015 #111
Power lines may be. Power systems can not handle that load for a sustained LiberalArkie Dec 2015 #54
Google is your friend forsaken mortal Dec 2015 #85
Why do people use black backgrounds on their websites. Fantastic Anarchist Dec 2015 #50
I think it's coming from a study that was released a week ago. Dawgs Dec 2015 #33
I'm sure you'll discredit the premise with objective, peer-reviewed science, yes? LanternWaste Dec 2015 #38
Hot posting tip of the day. B2G Dec 2015 #40
It's extremely annoying. I have had to make myself look at who each poster is... ChisolmTrailDem Dec 2015 #43
+1 and it rather defeats the purpose of a subject line. hifiguy Dec 2015 #61
I've wanted to mention this before, because several posters do it. ladyVet Dec 2015 #112
You sure told him! Fantastic Anarchist Dec 2015 #58
You do realize, don't you, that the B2G has participated in the climate change discussion... ChisolmTrailDem Dec 2015 #64
Yes, I am aware and I'm also aware that the post was/is still irrelevant to the discussion. Fantastic Anarchist Dec 2015 #65
So, according to you, there shall be no sub-thread deviations from the original topic. Got it. But.. ChisolmTrailDem Dec 2015 #67
I made no such decree. Fantastic Anarchist Dec 2015 #70
Some anarchists are more authoritative than others. nt B2G Dec 2015 #72
Posting my opinion is now "authoritative?" Fantastic Anarchist Dec 2015 #81
Well I could have chosen 23K other threads, B2G Dec 2015 #68
Thank you. B2G Dec 2015 #66
Food production and potable water. A 10 degree difference (up or down) during spring affects crops. haele Dec 2015 #49
I've tried for a long time to understand why some are incapapble of putting the world, ladyVet Dec 2015 #113
Indirectly... Javaman Dec 2015 #75
the unattended nuclear plants...... virtualobserver Dec 2015 #31
There are people that ACTUALLY believe this tkmorris Dec 2015 #36
There are strong arguments for another mini-ice age, actually. dixiegrrrrl Dec 2015 #74
Last I checked, all of them thoroughly debunked. truebluegreen Dec 2015 #105
Its the Methnane Gas that will destroy ocean life... Rockyj Dec 2015 #96
The pros and cons of hitchhiking Jeroen Dec 2015 #13
Humans are not resourceful chalmers Dec 2015 #14
Is this a serious post? or sarcasm philosslayer Dec 2015 #18
of course it is serious chalmers Dec 2015 #21
Only because of religulous superstition and greed, respectively. hifiguy Dec 2015 #60
Thank you...well said! nt haikugal Dec 2015 #79
But that's not not being resourceful. Fantastic Anarchist Dec 2015 #62
We've been resourceful because of oil. earthside Dec 2015 #29
Ridiculous. There are still indigenous humans living in rain forests & arctic KittyWampus Dec 2015 #16
cliamte change will vastly change their environment chalmers Dec 2015 #17
Plus McWorld/McEconomy's cultural impacts on what traditional cultures remain . . . hatrack Dec 2015 #27
Except for rich people living in underground bunkers Matariki Dec 2015 #19
Rich people living in underground bunkers won't survive very long, even though they think they will. haele Dec 2015 #56
Right? You would think there would be one or two who liked cats. raouldukelives Dec 2015 #91
Or their own grandchildren for that matter. Matariki Dec 2015 #92
I'll take that bet. Throd Dec 2015 #20
Frank Fenner has been extinct since 2010. onenote Dec 2015 #22
More climate scientists ... earthside Dec 2015 #32
This won't affect the billionaires or high priests, right? moondust Dec 2015 #34
Can't believe there is even any doubt expressed about this. highprincipleswork Dec 2015 #35
The denial is astounding. earthside Dec 2015 #41
You Sure It's Denial ProfessorGAC Dec 2015 #69
The IPPC does not go that far nadinbrzezinski Dec 2015 #46
Probably not extinct HassleCat Dec 2015 #52
The Malthusian check, if not an absolute law of nature, hifiguy Dec 2015 #63
Seems extreme... extinct vs. population collapse... berni_mccoy Dec 2015 #53
And I thought I was negative. Octafish Dec 2015 #55
+1 haikugal Dec 2015 #82
Some of you seem almost excited about the prospect. Throd Dec 2015 #57
I think extinction is highly unlikely, hifiguy Dec 2015 #59
I agree. Humans are stupid but also clever Quixote1818 Dec 2015 #89
Maybe as a group we are clever truebluegreen Dec 2015 #106
I could see that, especially if there was an event like the eruption of Toba or something similar. smirkymonkey Dec 2015 #108
I had a plan for a novel that presented the human race with the same ladjf Dec 2015 #109
Full extinction does seem SheilaT Dec 2015 #71
That is sort of the Roddenberry Hypothesis/Projection. hifiguy Dec 2015 #84
Or we could be the first in the galaxy... someone has to be the first. Or they already have enough MillennialDem Dec 2015 #87
"The world will go to hell right after I'm through comfortably living out my natural life span". jmondine Dec 2015 #78
Another aging scientist goes off the rails. HuckleB Dec 2015 #88
Of all the traits in human species..... nolabels Dec 2015 #93
The planet will probably breathe a sigh of relief malaise Dec 2015 #94
Humans are very resilient and plentiful. briv1016 Dec 2015 #98
Probably deathrind Dec 2015 #101
The scary thought is exponential population growth: Hassin Bin Sober Dec 2015 #102
A story from 2010?? Blue_Tires Dec 2015 #103
Here we go again. Buzz Clik Dec 2015 #104
I will wave you a fond farewell. nt Xipe Totec Dec 2015 #110
Well, he certainly will be Fla_Democrat Dec 2015 #114
Well, he hasn't lived on a river shore in the middle of the Amazon L. Coyote Dec 2015 #115

n2doc

(47,953 posts)
4. Not unless we nuke each other or use some sort of very effective bio weapon
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 01:45 PM
Dec 2015

The Earth is large and has many habitats. To cause all humans to go extinct would mean making the surface uninhabitable to all eukaryotic life. That's a tall task, even for us.

This isn't to say that the human population won't go down a lot. I do expect that to happen in the next few hundred years.

 

chalmers

(288 posts)
9. Not much of the Earth is habitable
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 01:54 PM
Dec 2015

Total surface area of earth: 510,072,000 sq km

Total water surface area: 70.8% (361,132,000 sq km)
Total land surface area: 29.2% (148,940,000 sq km)

Only 8.76% is farmable

Only 15% is dry land

 

chalmers

(288 posts)
12. 1.77% is fresh water
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:03 PM
Dec 2015

that's not much, with the depletion of resources including freshwater and fisheries, it does not bode well for humans

ananda

(35,080 posts)
23. Sorry I have to ask ..
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:21 PM
Dec 2015

.. what do you mean by "fungible" when you say that "farmable" is a fungible definition?

n2doc

(47,953 posts)
24. I just mean that we can turn land that is not presently considered farmland into farmable land
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:24 PM
Dec 2015

The Incan's were very good that this. So are many oner cultures.

Of course we are also turning farmland into toxic wastelands as well...

dixiegrrrrl

(60,157 posts)
73. Just finished watching Mad Max Fury Road
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 04:33 PM
Dec 2015

not feeling really optimistic at the moment....

 

MillennialDem

(2,367 posts)
86. Even nukes would not lead to (rapid) human extinction. Climate change and nukes will fuck us up and
Fri Dec 11, 2015, 12:36 AM
Dec 2015

cost a lot of money but there will be a lot of survivors. Only thing that could take us out (rapidly) is an asteroid, supervolcano, or supernova/gamma ray burst.

MADem

(135,425 posts)
5. Yeah, he'll be extinct. But humans? He's making a flaky pronouncement.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 01:47 PM
Dec 2015

The population will ebb and flow. The way to reduce the population is to bring more people out of poverty, out of the grind of manual labor, so they need fewer offspring to survive. Many countries, like Japan, aren't reproducing in sufficient numbers to replace themselves. They have to rely on immigrants to keep their population up.

That movie IDIOCRACY had a point....

MowCowWhoHow III

(2,103 posts)
6. So Professor Emo believes we're fucked whatever we do ?
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 01:48 PM
Dec 2015

OK, then throw another shrimp on the barbie.

earthside

(6,960 posts)
10. Too optimistic.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 01:58 PM
Dec 2015

It could be curtains within 30 or 40 years.

People still do not want to take global warming seriously.

Abrupt climate change could mean a five to six degree increase in temperature inside of a decade.

That will kill most humans and the subsequent collapse of civilization ... unattended nuclear power plants, for instance, could mean the destruction of most life on the Earth.




Climate-Change Summary and Update
http://guymcpherson.com/2014/01/climate-change-summary-and-update/
 

GummyBearz

(2,931 posts)
25. based on the reaction
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:25 PM
Dec 2015

based on the reaction of my wife when the house is colder than 73 degrees or hotter than 76 degrees, it is possible that a 6 degree rise would be fatal to her... :p

earthside

(6,960 posts)
26. The analogy ...
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:25 PM
Dec 2015

... I'm sure you've heard it before ...

If your temperature rises from 98 degrees to 103 degrees you are in real trouble. If you don't get your temperature down, you're dead.

http://ggweather.com/101/hi.htm

A global increase of that magnitude, in a relatively brief period of time, will not give most ecosystem on the planet time to adapt.

No one is talking about climate change just being a couple of years phenomena -- if it gets hot it is going to stay hot for a long time.

 

B2G

(9,766 posts)
39. Why would I sit in a 103 degree sauna for a week?
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:53 PM
Dec 2015

Are climate control devices going to be extinct too?

 

B2G

(9,766 posts)
47. But it negates planetary extinction.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 03:24 PM
Dec 2015

Look, I'm not saying there won't be severe impacts. I'm saying that alarmist shit like planetary extinction in the very near future is just as harmful as denial.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
48. Read up on the science
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 03:33 PM
Dec 2015

We are in the midst of the Sixth great extinction. There is no argument on this at all. We are an apex species. Apex species do not do well in mass extinction events.

HereSince1628

(36,063 posts)
90. humans -are not- apex sp, we're vagile generalist omnivores with many mutualisms and
Fri Dec 11, 2015, 09:30 AM
Dec 2015

a cultural appetite for mineral resources. This makes us tremendously disruptive to natural ecosystems

Early on in my ecology training, I got the misguided notion that being generalists was good, because it protects against specific resource shortages. Likewise I had the notion that organisms living in mutualistic relationships with reciprocal benefits was a good thing since all members of the mutualism benefit.

I was dreadfully wrong. As I came to better understand the dynamics of community ecology I realized omnivory and mutualism are actually very DESTABILIZING to communities.

Humans exploit the biota at almost every level and we don't shift from one resource to another. We are the most omnivoric omnivore on the planet. We consume whatever is consumable at all levels and do it simultaneously. We not only exploit for food, but we exploit for shelter, clothing and cultural supports. We've even turned to consumption of minerals for energy and materials subsidies. Our vagility, ability to disperse, has spread our direct impacts globally. Just think about how a tiny nation in the nw pacific, exploits endangered populations of marine mammals in the extreme southern oceans. That consumption takes not only an appetite for something other than rice, that takes technology, mining/smelting, huge fossil fuel subsidies etc.

Through domestication we have developed a wide array of mutualisms which have expanded the 'footprint' of humans and their mutuals. And I am not talking about humans and their dogs and cats. I am talking about humans, livestock, and row-crops. Among the three greatest causes of extinction so far along this great extinction event are habitat alteration/destruction and desertification. Both are mostly a consequence of the impact of agriculture based on domesticated mutualisms. Modern maize basically can't survive without humans and we can't survive without it (although we'd be healthier without corn-syrup).

As a species with capacity to exploit minerals, we also consume geological features for energy and materials. Some for traditional needs like shelter, but also for tools, transportation and storage...we make an amazing array of plastic bottles and soft-metal containers. Our exploitation of minerals greatly disrupts habitat, exposes mineral toxins to erosion and surface contamination, and by providing energy and material subsidies helps us expand our search for further exploitable minerals to every corner of the planet and now we are eyeing off-planet opportunities.

Of course, all this human and agricultural activity impacts nutrient cycles and we are well aware of their local and even regional impacts. But because of the dysfunctional nature of our pro-growth prowess we're also overloading our human modified (mostly simplified and industrialized) global environment at a global level. Our planet's atmosphere and our oceans are changed because of humans collateral production of toxic detritus.

And we've done it -not- because we are an apex species at the top of a food-chain, or the top of a community pyramid shaped food web. Humans have done this because we are vagile mutualistic generalist consumers engaged in geotrophy (consuming minerals).

We are the most dangerous species on the planet because we -are- omnivores with an aptitude and a culture for consuming -everything- and making and leaving a global-sized mess as we do.


 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
97. And we are also going to be aware, well aware, of why it could be curtains
Fri Dec 11, 2015, 01:30 PM
Dec 2015

for the species. All the technology we have developed will not stop the cascade environmental failure.

HereSince1628

(36,063 posts)
107. Acidification of the oceans could be a game ending scenario, it crashed the planet once before
Fri Dec 11, 2015, 07:18 PM
Dec 2015

at the end of the Permian 90% of ocean dwelling species that left fossils went extinct. It took 30 million years for the biota to recover.

We likely would be looking at the end of the anthropocene.

LiberalArkie

(19,771 posts)
54. Power lines may be. Power systems can not handle that load for a sustained
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 03:52 PM
Dec 2015

period of time.

forsaken mortal

(112 posts)
85. Google is your friend
Fri Dec 11, 2015, 12:15 AM
Dec 2015

If you want to know what such a temperature change can do, go do some research.

 

Dawgs

(14,755 posts)
33. I think it's coming from a study that was released a week ago.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:43 PM
Dec 2015
http://www.takepart.com/article/2015/12/03/climate-change-oxygen-ocean

If the world’s oceans warmed by 6 degrees Celsius—a realistic possibility if global emissions continue unabated—the tiny plants would halt oxygen production, according to the study, which was published Tuesday in the Bulletin of Mathematical Biology.
 

LanternWaste

(37,748 posts)
38. I'm sure you'll discredit the premise with objective, peer-reviewed science, yes?
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:53 PM
Dec 2015

I'm sure you'll discredit the premise with objective, peer-reviewed science, yes? Or (and I find this a wee bit more likely) your post is already at your maximum extent of doing as such.

 

B2G

(9,766 posts)
40. Hot posting tip of the day.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:54 PM
Dec 2015

Copying and pasting your subject line into the body of your message text is both redundant and annoying.

You're welcome.

 

ChisolmTrailDem

(9,463 posts)
43. It's extremely annoying. I have had to make myself look at who each poster is...
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 03:06 PM
Dec 2015

...before continuing on to the post because of this one poster's habit of doing that.

ladyVet

(1,587 posts)
112. I've wanted to mention this before, because several posters do it.
Sat Dec 12, 2015, 11:02 AM
Dec 2015

I tend to scroll by responses due to the repetition. Why do responses even need subject lines? It's ridiculous.

Anyway, on topic, I can easily see the near extinction of all life on this planet. We're already pushing farming in some places, and if the climate becomes unsuitable in the so called "bread basket" areas, what happens then? Total disruption of the food chain, with massive expenditures needed to retool and relocate.

I would die without air conditioning. I don't sweat like most people, and get overheated quickly, even in the winter. If the grid went out in the summer, I likely wouldn't last long, and it wouldn't be a pleasant way to go.

Fantastic Anarchist

(7,309 posts)
58. You sure told him!
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 04:03 PM
Dec 2015

I mean, who gives a fuck about climate change. Redundancy is occurring!!!!!

 

ChisolmTrailDem

(9,463 posts)
64. You do realize, don't you, that the B2G has participated in the climate change discussion...
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 04:22 PM
Dec 2015

...elsewhere in this thread, right? And with post numbers that came before the one you're railing about.

Fantastic Anarchist

(7,309 posts)
65. Yes, I am aware and I'm also aware that the post was/is still irrelevant to the discussion.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 04:26 PM
Dec 2015

Thanks.

 

ChisolmTrailDem

(9,463 posts)
67. So, according to you, there shall be no sub-thread deviations from the original topic. Got it. But..
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 04:28 PM
Dec 2015

...I will just continue to post what I like and I'm sure B2G will also.

Fantastic Anarchist

(7,309 posts)
70. I made no such decree.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 04:30 PM
Dec 2015

I am, however, entitled to my opinion, and I made it known with my original reply.

You are entitled to yours.

 

B2G

(9,766 posts)
66. Thank you.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 04:27 PM
Dec 2015

My responses are directed to the link that proports human extinction in 30-40 years, which is NOT going to happen.

It feeds the deniers a bunch of bullshit they can throw in our faces and does a disservice to the discussion.

And LW just annoys me.

haele

(15,376 posts)
49. Food production and potable water. A 10 degree difference (up or down) during spring affects crops.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 03:45 PM
Dec 2015

Too warm a winter, we lose orchards (apples, cherries, nuts, peaches, etc...) because it's not cold enough to set blossoms. An warmer than normal or inconsistent late winter/spring, we can lose a high percentage of our grains, animal fodder and early vegetables as they start sprouting before the spring thaw is over or flooding can mess with fields. Not enough snowpack, drought - there's not enough water to take agriculture through to winter.
And you aren't going to get most American farmers and Agri-businesses to suddenly change their farming practices for more drought-compatible practices "overnight" because: 1) most American farmland is already tilled, which makes it more water dependent as the soil drains too quickly to keep the roots moist, 2) most American independent farmers can't wait out the three/four years it takes to properly restore their farmed soil for drought resistant farming, 3) Most agri-business pretend that their patented "drought resistant" seeds are truly drought resistant by themselves, and they don't have to change their farming practices as well as their crop rotation processes in America to maintain the level of production they have now, and 4) most farm animals aren't able to handle the physical stress of both temperature increases and climate change along with the current "cost effective" farming/ranching practices.

That means food shortages and high prices. Which means population stress which increases both social morbidity and general craziness.
We in the US are really very selfishly nasty when it comes to not being able to just get what we want when we want it, especially when the financial interest of those who control most of the resources for survival outweighs their social interests so all the mitigations we could put in place to correct the problems and make life better/easier for everyone become "just too expensive". Culturally, we tend to tell ourselves it's better to get rid of the weakest links in society, totally forgetting that as we start getting rid of the "dead-wood" beneath us, we're going to eventually find ourselves with nothing below us and those above us will cut us
out as dead-wood in their efforts to stay on sound footing.

Psychopaths (including organizational constructs that are now considered "people&quot don't care what happens to anything or anyone so long they can survive in comfort one day longer than whatever is around them. If they're the last ones left standing before burning up the world, so be it.
And we as a species tend to put psychopaths in charge, because they're so damn impressive in their displays of wealth and confidence...they must be better than us, look how rich they are!

So yeah, if things keep going the way they are going - without a radical change happening right now - I can see humans and most species on earth as we know it going extinct. Maybe not in 100 years, but I still doubt the generation of my grand-daughter's grand children will have much of a world left for them to live in. And it'll be the collective "our" fault, because we prefer to just throw money at our "problems" and try to buy them off than spending time, curiosity, effort, and informed sacrifice.

Haele

ladyVet

(1,587 posts)
113. I've tried for a long time to understand why some are incapapble of putting the world,
Sat Dec 12, 2015, 11:09 AM
Dec 2015

or even individuals, above profit. This sums it up perfectly!

Psychopaths (including organizational constructs that are now considered "people&quot don't care what happens to anything or anyone so long they can survive in comfort one day longer than whatever is around them. If they're the last ones left standing before burning up the world, so be it.


With all this evidence about climate change, we've had the most normal year in 2015 that we've had in nearly a decade. Now we're looking at an unusually warm winter (it's been in the 70s, in December, about 20 degrees above normal), and who knows what that's going to do for the crops next spring.

Javaman

(65,685 posts)
75. Indirectly...
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 04:49 PM
Dec 2015

the acidification of the oceans will kill us.

krill are responsible for the majority of the oxygen we breath.

if they die, we die.

and if we have a 6 degree rise in temps, the oceans will heat up, more CO2 dissolves the ocean, acidification sky rockets, krill die off, no more oxygen production.

 

virtualobserver

(8,760 posts)
31. the unattended nuclear plants......
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:33 PM
Dec 2015

when I fully understood the implications of that.....it was a real eye opener.

tkmorris

(11,138 posts)
36. There are people that ACTUALLY believe this
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:48 PM
Dec 2015

That fact either saddens me or makes me laugh hysterically, depending on the day.

dixiegrrrrl

(60,157 posts)
74. There are strong arguments for another mini-ice age, actually.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 04:35 PM
Dec 2015

Gonna be interesting to find out which is which.

Jeroen

(1,061 posts)
13. The pros and cons of hitchhiking
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:05 PM
Dec 2015

The cons...
Exponential growth of the world population, climate change, pollution, scarce resources, nuclear arms, social injustice, poverty, religious polarization, the rise of religious extremism, perpetual war inflicted by the MIC and bankers

The pros...
Pink fluffy unicorns dancing on rainbows!

I am still hopeful though, nature is resourceful and so are human beings.

 

chalmers

(288 posts)
14. Humans are not resourceful
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:12 PM
Dec 2015

They simply done just enough to survive, enough to scrap by.

 

philosslayer

(3,076 posts)
18. Is this a serious post? or sarcasm
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:19 PM
Dec 2015

Lets compare the life of the average human being in 1815 to the life of an average human being in 2015. And you think we haven't been resourceful as a species and have done just enough to "scrape by"?

 

chalmers

(288 posts)
21. of course it is serious
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:21 PM
Dec 2015

Humans can't tackle real problems like overpopulation and climate change.

 

hifiguy

(33,688 posts)
60. Only because of religulous superstition and greed, respectively.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 04:15 PM
Dec 2015

A rational civilization would have little difficulty addressing these issues. But greed and superstition currently rule the day thanks to unlimited propaganda and an educational system that refuses to teach critical thinking.

earthside

(6,960 posts)
29. We've been resourceful because of oil.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:31 PM
Dec 2015

All the banked solar energy from millions of years ago has given us the ability to be resourceful.

Unfortunately the few have done more than "scrape by". The western world has burned so much fossil fuels that we have, in effect, soiled our own nest.

Consequently (and ironically, I must say), we may very well have resourcefulled our way into oblivion.

 

KittyWampus

(55,894 posts)
16. Ridiculous. There are still indigenous humans living in rain forests & arctic
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:16 PM
Dec 2015

who have retained survival methods.

hatrack

(64,831 posts)
27. Plus McWorld/McEconomy's cultural impacts on what traditional cultures remain . . .
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:28 PM
Dec 2015

Might be hard for young people in traditional cultures to choose to spend 20 years mastering traditional knowledge of medicinal plants when Shiny! Sexy! New! Connected! Global! Rich! beckons just beyond the fringes of the forests.

Matariki

(18,775 posts)
19. Except for rich people living in underground bunkers
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:19 PM
Dec 2015

which is, I suppose, why they don't have any fucks to give about the problem(s)

haele

(15,376 posts)
56. Rich people living in underground bunkers won't survive very long, even though they think they will.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 03:57 PM
Dec 2015

The ones that are fearful enough to buy their bunkers couldn't cope if they can't continue spend money and buy people they certainly wouldn't want to bring with them to fix their problems.
If they did bring enough worker-bees to maintain them at the level they think they deserve for the generation or so "until things settled down" underground or in a bio-containment area, the society they thought they were building would implode. People don't do well in isolated communities over a long period of time as it is; add the danger of rigid safety and social mobility rules to avoid environmental degradation or contamination in that isolated community is a recipe for disaster. If you can't "go outside" or get away occasionally just to let off steam, the society will go crazy.

(Look up what happened to those groups of scientists who planned to live in and maintain those Bio-Dome communities for just a couple of years...)

Haele

raouldukelives

(5,178 posts)
91. Right? You would think there would be one or two who liked cats.
Fri Dec 11, 2015, 10:59 AM
Dec 2015

Or dogs. Or any other of the various forms of animal life that will be driven to extinction in a very short time.

I guess they do up to the point where it stops buttressing the love they have for themselves.

earthside

(6,960 posts)
32. More climate scientists ...
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:36 PM
Dec 2015

... are coming around to Dr. Fenner's point of view from my reading and researching.

He left us six years ago, but his prediction looks uncomfortably prescient.

moondust

(21,284 posts)
34. This won't affect the billionaires or high priests, right?
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:45 PM
Dec 2015

You know, the guys who wanted less birth control and more people/customers/followers to sell their stuff to so they could become rich and powerful.

 

highprincipleswork

(3,111 posts)
35. Can't believe there is even any doubt expressed about this.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:45 PM
Dec 2015

Seems perfectly clearly that this is likely happening. Already fifty percent of animal species are predicted to become extinct within 50 years. Do you really think we are destined to last much longer than that?

On our current course of action, I'd say this might be longer than we have.

Time to take action now!

earthside

(6,960 posts)
41. The denial is astounding.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 03:00 PM
Dec 2015

It seems that Pres. Obama's messages about the critical importance of the global warming issue have fallen on deaf ears.

Of course, as President, publicly he can't be anything but optimistic.

But the science is telling us a very dire future awaits us if we don't adopt crisis procedures now to mitigate climate change.

The belief that somehow, some way technology will miraculously pull us back from the brink at the very last moment is instilled pretty deep in 21st century Americans. We just cannot imagine any differently than that tomorrow will pretty much be the same as today -- our great flaw as an intelligent, thinking species.

ProfessorGAC

(76,635 posts)
69. You Sure It's Denial
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 04:28 PM
Dec 2015

Or is it just reasonable disagreement with the time line proffered? Despite the warming of the atmosphere and the acknowledged effects of it on land, farming, and the human body, 100 years seems an awfully short amount of time to me too.

I don't doubt the science at all. But, i question where 100 years to EXTINCTION comes from. That means NOBODY survives, despite the broad genetic diversity sperad among 7 billion people. That defies credulity, whether i believe in the catastrophic effect of radiation absorbing gasses entering the atmosphere (and i do) or not.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
46. The IPPC does not go that far
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 03:24 PM
Dec 2015

But it not because they are rather conservative by the nature of the body. Population declines, even crashes in some areas are contemplated though.

So I do not think he is that nuts.

 

HassleCat

(6,409 posts)
52. Probably not extinct
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 03:50 PM
Dec 2015

But I would expect huge die-off events similar to what happens when any species exceeds the capacity of its environment.

 

berni_mccoy

(23,018 posts)
53. Seems extreme... extinct vs. population collapse...
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 03:52 PM
Dec 2015

The climate change could certainly cause a mass die-off... particularly of many species.

It could certainly end the global society as we know it and throw the most affluent areas into chaos and war.

It is debatable that in 100 years that could mean extinction unless we resort to nuclear warfare.

Octafish

(55,745 posts)
55. And I thought I was negative.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 03:53 PM
Dec 2015

Because a decade ago...



A Planet Full of Hitlers

The world's billionaires, led by the Bush "madministration," are acting like a planet of full of Hitlers. They are willing to invade whatever region in the world has what the world needs most -- oil.

Black gold. Texas tea. Petrodollars.

They figure they have all the money. And basically, apart from a Soros here and a Gates there, they do.

And thus, the world’s billionaires and their hounds of the BFEE want to spend it all before they die. And they have the plan and cash on hand to do so.

Consider the Bush agenda: All War. All the Time. Government spending for the MI-Complex, transferring trillions to the wealthy corporate owners, war and all.

These are the likes of the “industrialists” Mussolini, Franco and Hitler so loved.

And like the fascist trifecta, the American fascists of the BFEE have bought all the political power. Don't just think Tom Roach Motel DeLay and Mr. Friskie Frist. Remember Prescott Bush and Averell Harriman and Allen Dulles and Rheinhard Gehlen and Igor Orlov.

What can we do about it? They’ve bought all the legal power, built law schools for Federalist Society AND Opus Dei judges. Think Bill Eagle Eye Rehnquist and Antonin Fat Tony Scalia.

These turds of the BFEE have worked all the tax breaks and bankrupty laws for the rich. Uncle Sam reverse-Robin Hoods wealth to the top 1-percent of country.

And what do these rich turds who prop up Bush use their tax savings on? They certainly haven't invested it in making America a better place to work or live; they've invested in "off-shoring."

Lots of the tax money goes to buy more vacation homes, yachts and jet planes. Most goes offshore to the Caymans and Switzerland.

And of course they want more without having to pay for the damage to the environment. Farmland depletion in the USA. Rain forest depletion around the globe. Oceans getting acidic. Fish stock depletion. Global air pollution and water shortages.

Well. OK. Maybe a case can be made it’s the rich folk’s money. They can do what they want. But they should pay their fair share of taxes! After all, the rest of society helps keep them in their position. And its our brothers and sisters in the armed forces who are giving their lives to keep their oil and power and privilege.

Budget red ink means no money for middle class. No money for schools. No money for cities and suburbs and farms. No money for roads. No money for science and R and D. No money for the future.

And the media? What media? What Fairness Doctrine?

They cover up their materialism and venality with all the talk about Faith-based this and Conservative-values that. But the reality is these are sinister wolves and satanic bed-wetting bastards in sheep's clothing we are dealing with.



Wasn’t that what Bush really meant when he told Bob Woodward “History? Who cares about history? In a hundred years we’ll all be dead.”

Just like Hitler. And just like Hitler, Bush wants to take us all with him.

-- Octafish

2005 OP: http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=104x3648867



Better we start now, then. I'm a Democrat: I don't mind hard work. And I don't want just the rich jerkoffs to survive.
 

hifiguy

(33,688 posts)
59. I think extinction is highly unlikely,
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 04:09 PM
Dec 2015

but an 80-90% reduction in population is more likely than not. This planet cannot sustain 6-7 billion people. Add capitalistic greed, religulous insanity/anti-science batshittery and climate change and a mass die-off of human beings is more or less inevitable within 50-100 years.

But homo sapiens is a tough and adaptive species, which is why I don't think extinction is inthe cards.

Maybe once the world is rebuilt and repopulated to a sane and sustainable of 2 billion people or so humanity can take another shot at civilization, but they will have to leave capitalism and religion on the ash heap of history.

Quixote1818

(31,155 posts)
89. I agree. Humans are stupid but also clever
Fri Dec 11, 2015, 12:43 AM
Dec 2015

There will probably be a huge nuclear war in the next 50 to 75 years as cities start to get covered by the sea and tensions are high but pockets of humans will survive.

Hopefully scientists will lay down the groundwork for a better civilization that is purely reason based, next time around.
 

truebluegreen

(9,033 posts)
106. Maybe as a group we are clever
Fri Dec 11, 2015, 04:34 PM
Dec 2015

but individually I think not so much. And the chaos that is coming could easily isolate and neutralize the geniuses.

I don't worry about rising sea levels and tensions so much as about disrupted agriculture and infrastructure. I remember an unusually big snowfall just a few years ago. Roads were closed for only 24-36 hrs in our area (a small city) right before Christmas. We could get around in our 4-wheel drive but suppliers couldn't. One day's disruption and the shelves were bare. One Day! It illustrated just how fragile our system is.

 

smirkymonkey

(63,221 posts)
108. I could see that, especially if there was an event like the eruption of Toba or something similar.
Fri Dec 11, 2015, 07:37 PM
Dec 2015

It almost wiped out humanity once before, so it's possible again.

ladjf

(17,320 posts)
109. I had a plan for a novel that presented the human race with the same
Fri Dec 11, 2015, 09:44 PM
Dec 2015

premise as you said in your post. "but an 80-90% reduction in population is more likely than not. This planet cannot sustain 6-7 billion people. Add capitalistic greed, religious insanity/anti-science batshittery and climate change and a mass die-off of human beings is more or less inevitable within 50-100 years.

But homo sapiens is a tough and adaptive species, which is why I don't think extinction is in the cards.

Maybe once the world is rebuilt and repopulated to a sane and sustainable of 2 billion people or so humanity can take another shot at civilization, but they will have to leave capitalism and religion on the ash heap of history.
"

I don't think any amount of enlightenment would be able to allow us to overcome our basic selfish egotism. Face it, we are a poor design and will go down in history as the least successful mammal that ever lived, in terms of enduring. Our 200,000 to 300,000 year stand is laughable in evolutionary terms. We will be the "Short-Gevity" champions. (the opposite of "longevity".)



 

SheilaT

(23,156 posts)
71. Full extinction does seem
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 04:31 PM
Dec 2015

a bit extreme, although a massive population die-off could easily happen.

More and more I'm beginning to think that the reason we haven't found any alien civilizations out there is that perhaps any species that evolves intelligence and tools and all those things simply do themselves in before they can get to the stars.

 

hifiguy

(33,688 posts)
84. That is sort of the Roddenberry Hypothesis/Projection.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 05:31 PM
Dec 2015

I think there is a lot of truth init.

 

MillennialDem

(2,367 posts)
87. Or we could be the first in the galaxy... someone has to be the first. Or they already have enough
Fri Dec 11, 2015, 12:40 AM
Dec 2015

galactic real estate in 1,000 cubic light years to not come here.

jmondine

(1,649 posts)
78. "The world will go to hell right after I'm through comfortably living out my natural life span".
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 05:05 PM
Dec 2015

Been hearing this all of my life.

HuckleB

(35,773 posts)
88. Another aging scientist goes off the rails.
Fri Dec 11, 2015, 12:42 AM
Dec 2015

Umm.

There's really nothing here to see, folks.

nolabels

(13,133 posts)
93. Of all the traits in human species.....
Fri Dec 11, 2015, 12:06 PM
Dec 2015

The one most exceptional and un-extinguishable human trait, even more acute than the ability to adapt is the one of preparing way for the next generation. That it may be off kilter currently with a bit of self-aggrandizement, it's trajectory and rebound is obvious and predictable.

The ability and wherewithal to worry about the future is unmatched in our time and is only getting stronger. It might be or might not be conscious desire at any one time, but moreover it's a strong genetic trait many seem to miss.

briv1016

(1,570 posts)
98. Humans are very resilient and plentiful.
Fri Dec 11, 2015, 02:14 PM
Dec 2015

We may eventually see a massive die-off and lose our industrial society when fossil fuels run out, but short of a nuclear holocaust or some natural extinction event, it is very unlikely that humans will go extinct.

deathrind

(1,786 posts)
101. Probably
Fri Dec 11, 2015, 02:40 PM
Dec 2015

Not extinct...but our numbers will be far less.

The temp will catch up to the CO2 and when it does the food chain as we know it will collapse.

Hassin Bin Sober

(27,457 posts)
102. The scary thought is exponential population growth:
Fri Dec 11, 2015, 02:52 PM
Dec 2015

World population has doubled since I was a kid.

https://m.

Fla_Democrat

(2,622 posts)
114. Well, he certainly will be
Sat Dec 12, 2015, 11:16 AM
Dec 2015

Pretty sure I will be too, so if he's right, or if he's wrong, I will not be able to call him out on it.






L. Coyote

(51,134 posts)
115. Well, he hasn't lived on a river shore in the middle of the Amazon
Sat Dec 12, 2015, 11:49 AM
Dec 2015

Long after the industrial world collapses itself, life will be the same for those who haven't changed their adaptation for thousands of years. Even the most radical climate and environmental change will leave refugia areas. This happened 70 kya with the Tobas eruption, a major bottleneck in human population and evolution. We are 6 billion today because the few adapted before.

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