Is the rasmussend reports reliable?

[moonbabygo]

If so we need to stop fighting with each other and start getting along

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/trump_41_clinton_39

Last week, Rasmussen Reports gave voters the option of staying home on Election Day if Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are the big party nominees, and six percent (6%) said that’s what they intend to do for now. Clinton and Trump were tied with 38% support each; 16% said they would vote for some other candidate, and two percent (2%) were undecided.

[brooklynite]

1. Depends on whether you're a Sanders supporter or not...

[Amishman]

4. I'm a Sander supporter and I won't take Rasmussen seriously no matter what they say

Might as well read the RNC's numbers...

[lagomorph777]

8. Rasmussen has always had a strong bias to the GOP.

Even as a Bernie supporter, I don't think the GE is this close yet. Not until Trump drops the "Woman Card" crap and starts dishing out the real issues.

[MFM008]

2. They predicted Romney

as president.

[leftynyc]

3. They, along with gallup,

were the two that had Romney winning in 2012 right up to election day. If that's who you want to hang your hat on, knock yourself out.

[krawhitham]

5. They skew 3-5 points red

[eissa]

6. Unless he can win more minority and women votes

than Bush and Romney (which seems highly unlikely) then this poll is laughable.

[edhopper]

7. Not reliable

an outlier

compare it to other polls.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html

[Downtown Hound]

9. Most laughable poll out there

Hence, Repukes love it. They swore in 2012 that it was the only reliable poll (coincidentally, it was the only one that showed Romney winning). Rasmussen is a big reason the Republicans had such a meltdown when Obama won. They had all allowed themselves to be duped and conned into believing they were winning, in no small part because every Repuke pundit was quoting only Rasmussen and saying every other poll was oversampling Dems. In reality, it's the other way around. Rasmussen consistently oversamples Republicans.

[tabasco]

10. Gets a "C" from 538

http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/pollster-ratings/

Not the worst, not the best. Gallup only got a C+.

[Godhumor]

11. I will say this simply and easily, as a statistical analyst.

No, they're not.

[book_worm]

12. Like Gallup for most of 2012 they had Romney winning until the end.

[KamaAina]

13. It's as right-wing as they come.

[Downtown Hound]

14. If you're looking for an accurate poll, my advice would be Pew

They have consistently been the most accurate for awhile now, often calling elections within a point or two. When judging polling I go by two things: number one is either the average or general trends when looking at all polls. If 11 of them show one candidate winning and one shows another, it's usually safe to assume that the other eleven are probably more accurate. Number two is, check what Pew says. It's usually right.