Republicans have a massive electoral map problem that has nothing to do with Trump

[sarisataka]

Republicans have a massive electoral map problem that has nothing to do with Trump

Politico reported Monday on a Florida poll conducted for a business group in the state that shows Hillary Clinton beating Donald Trump by 13 points and Ted Cruz by nine.

Why is that important? Because if Clinton wins Florida and carries the 19 states (plus D.C.) that have voted for the Democratic presidential nominee in each of the last six elections, she will be the 45th president. It's that simple.

Here's the underlying math. If Clinton wins the 19 states (and D.C.) that every Democratic nominee has won from 1992 to 2012, she has 242 electoral votes. Add Florida's 29 and you get 271. Game over.

The Republican map - whether with Trump, Cruz or the ideal Republican nominee (Paul Ryan?) as the standard-bearer - is decidedly less friendly. There are 13 states that have gone for the GOP presidential nominee in each of the last six elections. But they only total 102 electorate votes. That means the eventual nominee has to find, at least, 168 more electoral votes to get to 270. Which is a hell of a lot harder than finding 28 electoral votes.

http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/nationworld/politics/ct-republican-electoral-map-20160502-story.html

They don't mention Sanders but it is likely a similar scenario.

[Volaris]

1. Yep and it's been that way since Obama got re-elected.

I've been claiming for a year that the next President will be chosen in the Democratic Primary because the Republicans don't have the Electoral College Map to take it away from us. It's why I voted for Bernie in my states primary...because if there was ever a year to not be swayed by 'most electable Democratic candidate IN THE GENERAL' it was this one. We could have put up Mickey Mouse and it's still ours to lose, because ECmath is Blue this time. It's that simple.

[kentuck]

2. Then Democrats should sweep the House and Senate also?

If it is so over-whelming?

[edhopper]

4. One word

Gerrymandering.

Quite a few States that are 50/50 Dem/GOP and went for Obama, like Ohio and Penn and FL, have a GOP dominant Congressional delegation due to gerrymandering, pure and simple.

Dems have a good chance at the Senate this year.

[Gothmog]

3. The Democratic Blue Wall is based on historical facts