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eridani

(51,907 posts)
Fri May 20, 2016, 07:17 AM May 2016

US Government's Own Report Shows Toxic TPP "Not Worth Passing"

http://www.commondreams.org/news/2016/05/19/us-governments-own-report-shows-toxic-tpp-not-worth-passing

Meanwhile, the ITC estimates a worsening balance of trade for 16 out of 25 U.S. agriculture, manufacturing, and services sectors that cover vehicles, wheat, corn, auto parts, titanium products, chemicals, seafood, textiles and apparel, rice, and even financial service. Indeed, output in the manufacturing sector would be $11.2 billion lower with TPP than without it in 2032, the ITC found, with employment down 0.2 percent. And while vehicle production would gain, auto parts, textiles, and chemicals would see reductions, the trade panel said.

The analysis also estimates the proposed 12-nation trade deal—a centerpiece of President Barack Obama's economic agenda—will increase the U.S. global trade deficit by $21.7 billion by 2032.

"This report validates that the TPP is not worth passing," said United Steelworkers (USW) International president Leo W. Gerard, who heads up one of many labor organizations opposed to the agreement.

"In the past, similar reports have proven to widely underestimate the negative impact of trade agreements on American workers and the economy," he said. "This report as mandated by law indicates the TPP will produce almost no benefits, but inflict real harm on so many workers."

To that end, Gerard said, "this may be the most damning government report ever submitted for a trade agreement."

And even those lackluster benefits the ITC's report does project should be taken with a grain of salt, argued economist Dean Baker of the Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR) on Thursday.

"It is worth noting that the USITC modeling exercises in the past have not been good predictors of the outcomes of trade deals," he said. "For example, their models failed to project the large increases in the deficit with Mexico following NAFTA, the increase in the deficit with China following PNTR, and the increase in the deficit with Korea following the U.S.-Korea trade agreement."

What's more, he added, "the USITC also has not done well in projecting winning and losing sectors from trade agreements. A recent analysis by CEPR found no relationship between the industries that were projected to be export and import gainers and losers from the trade deal with Korea and the actual outcome."
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US Government's Own Report Shows Toxic TPP "Not Worth Passing" (Original Post) eridani May 2016 OP
Why is Obama pushing this thing? Shemp Howard May 2016 #1
He's one of them. JRLeft May 2016 #2
I've always wondered if calling it the "Gold Standard" was ironic intentionally or not... Fumesucker May 2016 #3
Vote Hillary, she'll get TPP 2.0 moving! Katashi_itto May 2016 #4

Shemp Howard

(889 posts)
1. Why is Obama pushing this thing?
Fri May 20, 2016, 07:28 AM
May 2016

Will someone please explain to me why Obama is pushing this thing? I can see a Bush supporting it, or a Rockefeller, but Obama? Seriously, what am I missing here?

Did I misread Obama from the start? Or is he being pressured by some powerful, secret group, even though he is the President of the United States? Or was he bought off? Or maybe the TPP really is great, and I'm just not seeing it.

Obama is not stupid, so I can't accept that as a reason. What is going on here???

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