Will Gary Johnson qualify for the debates?

[tritsofme]

He is now over 10% in two recent polls:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson-5949.html

He needs to be at 15% in an average of polls by around Labor Day to be included.

No third party candidate has qualified since Perot in 1992. It would definitely be an interesting dynamic.

If Johnson catches some sort of fire, it could be devastating for Trump, and Hillary could start winning red states, especially out West, with vote totals in the mid 40% range.

[bigdarryl]

1. Gary Johnson?

He's a former republican .

[tritsofme]

6. And if enough Republicans can't stomach Trump and pull the lever for Johnson instead

Hillary could be looking at a yuuuuge electoral college landslide.

[bigdarryl]

10. Not true thecurrent polling suggest he takes more votes from Hillary

[ProfessorGAC]

29. Do You Have A Cite, For That Darryl?

Given the platform, it seems hard to believe that anybody who would ever vote for Johnson even considered HRC.

[former9thward]

37. This is a link to current polls with Johnson in them.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson-5949.html

They show that Johnson either draws evenly or slightly more from Clinton. There is no evidence that supports the view of the OP that Johnson would draw everything or even most from Trump.

[Chiyo-chichi]

35. I have heard Gary Johnson say that a number of times.

He said it again on Colbert this week.
I've no idea what poll it is from or if it is accurate.
Bill Weld, on Colbert with Johnson, said he thought they'd take more votes from Trump.

[TwilightZone]

36. I think it's just wishful thinking.

He's a conservative and a right-libertarian. There's little reason to believe he's going to pull more from the left than the right.

[TwilightZone]

34. He's still mostly a Republican.

Outside of a few issues, he's still pretty conservative.

[bigwillq]

2. I wouldn't mind

The more voices, the better, imo

[OnDoutside]

12. The Republican Primary debates should have informed you that

Trump is able to hide amongst the crowd, and Johnson is such a scatterbrain, he'd be aiming at Hillary as much as Trump. I want a one on one debate, so the Orange One has no where to hide.

[bigwillq]

13. So be it.

I support democracy. If Johnson gets the necessary poll#s, then he should debate. I'll let the people decide.

[OnDoutside]

18. Democracy doesn't mean a lot when a Racist Bigot can flim flam his way into office.

Will of people or non-thinking sheep ? Sheeple as it were...

[Turin_C3PO]

3. Tell any Republican you know to...

Feel the Johnson! 😂

[Hortensis]

20. Lol. Thanks for the suggestion! I think I'll

be rather selective in choosing my victims, though.

[NurseJackie]

32. OMG! :-P

[stopbush]

4. No.

His special moment passed the second Hillary secured the nomination.

The focus is now where it should be: on Hillary and Trump.

[SCantiGOP]

5. He won't

But he should. Put the Greens and the Libertarians in.

[Reter]

8. And Constitution Party

Then, in addition to Republicans and Democrats, you have the extreme left (Greens), extreme right (Constitution Party), and anarchists (Libertarians). And one fun debate.

[Tierra_y_Libertad]

16. What is so "exteme" about the Greens?

[ashtonelijah]

19. The Greens are a pseudoscience, anti-science peddling party of loons

Their platforms demands public funding for homeopathy, they deny GMOs science and promote GMO alarmism, they are made up of the folks that think chemtrails are a thing, and they are anti-fluoride.

They looney toons.

[Tierra_y_Libertad]

22. So do some Democrats.

Though I've never come across Greens who fret about chemtrails or fluoride. I have come across Democrats who believe in such. Not to mention Democrats who collaborate with Republicans, believe in creationism, are pro choice, think GMOs are toxic, (I think they should be labeled), support the NSA, don't support a $15 minimum wage, consider fracking necessary, are funded by Wall Street and corporations, support "free trade", support charter schools, and condemn socialism.

Which is "loonier"?

[ashtonelijah]

25. The Democratic Party doesn't have public funding for homeopathy & anti-GMO science in their PLATFORM

[Tierra_y_Libertad]

26. So what?

Are you against homeopathy and science?

[ashtonelijah]

31. I'm against faux science and quackery.

[snooper2]

30. Yeah, but it is all about the percentages...we are talking majority vs. minority here

[roamer65]

7. Johnson is going to pick up a heavy duty disenchanted vote.

It will come from both sides of the spectrum. Sorry, but both Trumpf and Hillary have high negative ratings.

[quaker bill]

9. 15% is a high bar to reach

for a Libertarian. This year is quirky enough, so maybe.

[TipTok]

39. Absolutely...

[HughBeaumont]

11. It's like I always say:

I wouldn't vote for a Libertarian if you paid me, but I certainly encourage every disgruntled Republican to do so.

[TacoD]

14. Unlikely but not impossible (nt)

[surrealAmerican]

15. It seems likely the party conventions will chip away at that number.

[FSogol]

17. No. n/t

[yellowcanine]

21. Probably not. Right now he is a shiny object.

Only candidate to actually have the nomination in hand.

[tblue37]

23. Colbert had Johnson and Weld on last night. I think their "small government" lines will

attract more disaffected Republicans than Democrats, especially since both held high ranking elected offices as GOP governors. Also, both complain loudly about how the current GOP is not about small government but about controlling what people do in their bedrooms. I think they could help Hillary just as Ross Perot helped Bill. They will draw the GOP youth the same way Ron Paul did, too, I hope.

No doubt they will attract *some* BoB voters, but mostly I think (hope) they hurt the GOP. I imagine that's what Colbert thinks, too, and that is why he had them on, to boost their chance of pulling votes from the GOP.

[TeamPooka]

24. no way

[tonyt53]

27. Nope and he has even admitted it.

[Warpy]

28. Labor Day is a long way off

and Trump will be losing a lot of chumps by then, I think.

This will be the first election that Libertarians will do well in. As for Johnson, the best thing I can say about him is that he didn't screw things up here during his 8 years.

The dynamic would not favor Trump, two qualified people who know what the job entails facing a blustering blowhard who is at heart a toddler demanding a new binkie.

[TwilightZone]

33. Unlikely. It will play out similarly to 2012. He had decent support - 8% or so early - then faded

after the conventions. He'll be in the low single digits by late summer and get 1-2% in November.

[tritsofme]

38. Trump is such an outlier candidate that I think he could really shake up this conventional wisdom

With Johnson ending up playing a major spoiler role, especially out West.

[Separation]

40. I saw him on Samantha Bee last night

Wow, he is a pretty goofy guy. Goofy may not be the right word Im looking for, maybe free spirit. I loved one of his answers. If elected I promise not to partake in smoking weed, or something along those lines.

[GulfCoast66]

41. I know 2 republicans

Who plan on voting for him.

And one person who is liberal but really does not vote will. But his lifestyle is pretty much about smoking weed.