General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsI think Democrats are making a mistake
By going after Trump so early. We need him to be the nominee first. If democrats go after him too hard, the Republican establishment will try to get someone new at the convention.
We should do what Claire McCaskill(sp) did after Aikan made his "legitimate rape" comment. She stayed low and cancelled all her tv appearances. She needed him to stay in the race.
PatrickforO
(14,570 posts)she could well end up losing. Did you read the Matt Taibbi article in the RS about how the Dems are learning all the wrong lessons from the Sanders candidacy? It's good - posted here by a pat_k. Short. Sometimes Taibbi is a bit wordy, but I loved Griftopia.
GaYellowDawg
(4,446 posts)What the actual fuck makes you think Ryan is sane?
And Hillary would pummel that watery-eyed Randian turd in a debate. He wouldn't stand a chance.
King_Klonopin
(1,306 posts)Trump seems like the male equivalent of Sarah Palin to me. He's a "mimbo" -- a male bimbo. (credit Seinfeld)
randome
(34,845 posts)[hr][font color="blue"][center]Never stop having childhood dreams.[/center][/font][hr]
SouthernDemLinda
(182 posts)He wouldn't say FBI investigation or espionage either.
OnDoutside
(19,954 posts)joeybee12
(56,177 posts)AgadorSparticus
(7,963 posts)SouthernDemLinda
(182 posts)No, with democrats like the so-called nominee we don't need them.
still_one
(92,155 posts)and won more of the pledged delegates
leftofcool
(19,460 posts)pangaia
(24,324 posts)Did you read the post?
-none
(1,884 posts)Purposeful reading comprehension problem.
ProudToBeBlueInRhody
(16,399 posts)They called Ryan "sane". Which is code to me for "not that bad" or "we could live with that".
Paul Ryan is dangerous. He is the slick operator who shakes your hand and charms you with lies and bullshit about his libertarian philosophy while lifting your wallet and telling you it's ok.
pangaia
(24,324 posts)SouthernDemLinda
(182 posts)I got my post taken off for say can you read to someone who kept on misconstruing my post!
mercuryblues
(14,530 posts)Last edited Fri Jun 10, 2016, 10:01 AM - Edit history (1)
is such a bad campaigner, yet she beat Sanders 15,800,000 to 12,009,562
Clinton is such a weak candidate, yet she got the more votes than Trump's 13.4 million
supporters aren't enthusiastic. yet somehow they outvoted every other candidate.
So really when you say things like Ryan could beat her it somehow rings hollow. We all know how much Ryan helped Romney win the presidency. Oh.Wait. He didn't.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/republican_vote_count.html
unc70
(6,110 posts)For example, Clinton did not get 158 million votes:
"...yet she beat Sanders 158,000,000 to 120,000,000"
ProfessorGAC
(65,000 posts)The three numbers spouted total to more than entire population of the United States.
Response to mercuryblues (Reply #13)
Post removed
Yo_Mama
(8,303 posts)As it is, this is rather funny and not convincing.
Loudestlib
(980 posts)SouthernDemLinda
(182 posts)www.npr.org/yes-clintons-gotten-the-most-votes-but-gop-has-more-
Yes, she's gotten more votes than Donald Trump. But the GOP has gotten more total votes because of its larger field of candidates.
Herman4747
(1,825 posts)We need The Donald in the race.
ladjf
(17,320 posts)Orrex
(63,203 posts)PatrickforO
(14,570 posts)Ned_Devine
(3,146 posts)Like the GOP operatives on TV. I try to not even bother debating these turkeys
hollowdweller
(4,229 posts)He has a good way of presenting himself. In reality, there's nothing there.
We dems often have the opposite problem. People with really good ideas but not good at pimping them. Bill Clinton excluded.
Who in the fuck would have though Bush would have beat Gore?? It was close but on Bush's side it was how he came off.
SouthernDemLinda
(182 posts)Gore did win! They stopped the count and the Supreme Court chose the President.
liberal N proud
(60,334 posts)hollowdweller
(4,229 posts)I think Clinton has pivoted way more populist. I have every reason to believe that she will be a liberal president economically if she really makes good on what she's been saying.
PatrickforO
(14,570 posts)After this campaign where Bernie got so many votes, no one can really say America is 'center right.'
La Lioness Priyanka
(53,866 posts)lol
still_one
(92,155 posts)Historic NY
(37,449 posts)period, his boss is backing Clinton along with the Rolling Stone Magazine, he presumes too much.
http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/hillary-clinton-for-president-20160323
http://www.thepeoplesview.net/main/2016/3/26/honest-and-unmerciful-an-open-letter-to-matt-taibbi-of-rolling-stone-magazine
TrollBuster9090
(5,954 posts)it would tear the Republican Party apart so badly that, even if they succeeded, it would be a pyrrhic victory, and they'd lose anyway.
I don't see that possibility as a major threat. A more likely, and more terrifying scenario would be the Koch brothers just buying the orange blimp off, and offering him $100,000,000 to just resign and go away, so that they can anoint Paul Ryan. I think that's a distinct possibility.
lancer78
(1,495 posts)about Trump not getting the nomination. But why chance it.
Blanks
(4,835 posts)based on their latest statements.
I agree that replacing Trump at the convention would do them more damage than good.
GulfCoast66
(11,949 posts)Cleveland will make 68 Chicago look like a birthday party.
A good percentage of his followers are on the fringe. And they may not be able to bring guns into the convention center, but they sure as shit will have them in their hotels and cars.
I know a couple that do not fly on vacation, only drive so the can take their gun.
As a gun owner that is scary.
Cosmocat
(14,564 posts)they may lose, they may lose big, you never know, they could win, with Trump on the ticket this year.
But, it will be a one cycle occurrence.
If they take the nomination from him after he had a commanding popular vote/delegate lead, won by far the most states, they would lose that core of jackasses who support him for a generation, and those jackasses are the margin for them winning elections.
qdouble
(891 posts)Trump has far too much support among republican voters for them to take back the nomination from him.
The best case scenario for them if Trump implodes, is to just to distance themselves as far as they can from him and hold on to as many House and Senate seats as they can. Taking the nomination from Trump would be suicide.
OnDoutside
(19,954 posts)Republican voters who support Trump and rail against "The Establishment", who would not support any replacement. The Republican elite have nowhere to go on this, unless they make the calculation that by doing so, they could at least save more down ballot seats than by not making the change.
JustAnotherGen
(31,813 posts)There are Senate seats in play. Too much pressure on Republicans to endorse Trump. The more that are forced to defend him the better.
BlueMTexpat
(15,366 posts)Logical
(22,457 posts)pangaia
(24,324 posts)However it happens.
My guess is that he quits, for whatever reason.
SouthernDemLinda
(182 posts)I thought that Trump wouldn't be the nominee from day one. But he is.
JustAnotherGen
(31,813 posts)Are coming out in 'support' of him.
The more they go after him - the more they have to defend him. At the end of the day - they need to be made to own his words that they supported.
Rex
(65,616 posts)Dump makes his own news.
Logical
(22,457 posts)patricia92243
(12,595 posts)have that idea from the very start. I wonder if they will slow down a little after the first couple of weeks.
justiceischeap
(14,040 posts)If they oust him at the convention, they lose 13 million voters, and many reps and senators could lose their seats.
If they keep Trump and can't reign him in, they lose the election.
I think the leaders of the GOP have already seen the writing on the wall and are coming to terms with a loss this November and will regroup for 2020.
That said, what makes you think Clinton can't beat Ryan? He's not much better than Trump and besides, there's talk of Scott Walker being a replacement if there was to be one.
alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)I do think that Bernie had the right approach on this, promising a far left pick for the seat if he won. It puts more pressure on GOPers to show their hand vis-a-vis Trump.
karynnj
(59,502 posts)Him to be able to use his convention to define himself. They are firing very big guns, which started rather quietly with comments speaking somberly about the concerns of our allies in the world. Accelerating to the attacks all the way up to Obama and Biden.
Warren has played a very outsized role here too. Do not be surprised if this is how they use Sanders after he concedes.
I do not worry that they will take the nomination from him and give it to someone else. If they do, they forfit even trying for the disaffected vote.
WhaTHellsgoingonhere
(5,252 posts)for losing their collective minds over the imaginary urgency for pivoting to the GE.
djean111
(14,255 posts)Orrex
(63,203 posts)How long would Sanders have allowed Trump free rein at the mic and on every media outlet, saying whatever he wants and scooping up endorsements from up and down the GOP?
Explain to me how it would be a better strategy to hold off while leaving Trump's attacks unanswered. That was Kerry's strategy in dealing with the Swift Boat smear, and we see how that worked out for him.
Trump will control the narrative unless someone wrests it from him. Sanders' "don't go negative" attitude is laudable in theory but would be suicide in a general election against any GOP opponent, especially Trump.
Response to Orrex (Reply #37)
Post removed
Orrex
(63,203 posts)GulfCoast66
(11,949 posts)Remind me who is playing the victim?
The situation followed exactly what happened in 08. Did you bitch when Obama claimed it?
SouthernDemLinda
(182 posts)If you don't have the baggage of Hillary or Trump, investigations and lawsuits, and Bernie Sanders doesn't you don't have to run a mud slinging campaign.
Also, he can talk about the issues and they can't. When you can't talk about the issues you talk about bogus issues, like how orange your opponent is today.
Orrex
(63,203 posts)Yes, the issues. That would be marvelous. Some day it might happen, but it hasn't happened in the history of the republic. Too bad Bernie lost, right? We'd have gotten to see the media ignore him while he talked about the issue.
In about four days you're going to have to make a tough decision. I wonder what you'll choose.
emulatorloo
(44,117 posts)Just as Biden did in '12. Ryan's reputation as 'smart' and 'reasonable' isn't earned.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)There will plenty more specifics and details down the road to keep it going.
leftynyc
(26,060 posts)Either Hillary beats him head to head or they kick him off the ticket, his supporters go freeking insane and stay home and we win anyway.
CrowCityDem
(2,348 posts)NewJeffCT
(56,828 posts)excuse my language. In 2004, as soon as Kerry was the presumptive nominee, the GOP attacked Kerry as an unprincipled flip-flopper. While Kerry made it a close election, the flip-flopper image stuck through the campaign.
Trump doesn't have the money to counter attack ads like "Grace" right now, and he hasn't been able to get all the free air time lately, either. Morning Joe this morning was saying how it's been a great two weeks for Clinton and horrible for Trump when Trump should have been all over the air about the Inspector General report and her emails.
stopbush
(24,396 posts)The point they all made was that Trump is just another R, that they're all just as bad as him, only he's also a racist.
They can get rid of Turmp and insert someone else, but the D strategy this year is anti-Rs-in-general, not anti one person.
George Eliot
(701 posts)Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)to imagine he will keep it up. So undisciplined....but maybe the PTB told him - act right or the convention will boot you.
Funny thing about Trump is that everyone who is sane already knows he's crazy.
I would pull out the old girl with daisy ad and update it. His lack of concern about controlling nuclear weapons could scare a lot of fence sitters.
lancer78
(1,495 posts)Just called Warren "Pocahontas, and a half full stadium of his supporters erupted into war whoops.
Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)Sadly, that's his norm and it's got to be bigger and more bigoted than that now to appall the media
deathrind
(1,786 posts)Mistake.
NYC Liberal
(20,135 posts)He needs to be hit hard and early unless you want him to define the narrative.
Rule #1 of campaigning is you define your opponent before they define you.
athena
(4,187 posts)If he is the nominee, then there will be a small chance that he might win and become president. That would be a disaster for the U.S. and for the world. I'd rather risk losing the election than risk having to live under President Trump.
In 2000, when GWB won against McCain, I was relieved. I thought GWB was such a weak candidate that Gore was sure to win. I learned, of course, that you can never be certain that a weak candidate will not win. I will be very happy if the Republican party decides to run someone other than Trump. The Republican Party is a party that's out of ideas; all their top people are weak. I'm certain that HRC can win against any of them.
Donald Ian Rankin
(13,598 posts)Certainly, I'd far rather have a 1/3 or 1/4 chance of a president Trump than a 2/3 or 3/4 chance of a president Rubio (and those are my best guesses of their chances of beating Clinton).
athena
(4,187 posts)You seem to be saying that if Rubio were running, Hillary's chance of winning would only be 25%-33%.
No way. Rubio is not that popular, and Hillary is not that unpopular. The country is not so overwhelmingly Republican.
What I'm saying is that I'd rather have a 20% chance of Cruz or Rubio winning than a 5% chance of Trump winning. Any nonzero probability of Trump winning is too high, in my opinion. And if he is on the ballot, he has a nonzero probability of winning.
ETA: I agree that Rubio and Cruz are almost as bad as Trump. But there is a certain unpredictability about Trump. I don't want to see Hispanic Americans and Muslim Americans deported. I don't want to see a nuclear war. The probability of that level of catastrophe would be lower under anyone other than Trump.
Donald Ian Rankin
(13,598 posts)I'd bet on any halfway decent Republican candidate to beat just about any Democrat this cycle.
I view Trump as an almost unprecedented stroke of good fortune, not to be squandered.
athena
(4,187 posts)but they don't have a single "halfway decent" candidate. They've gone too far right; no one who is sensible would be a Republican in the first place; and if they were, they couldn't get the support of the party's base.
SouthernDemLinda
(182 posts)Trump has talked about universal healthcare and the bad trade agreements. I think only Bernie has, except for a pie in the sky, sometime in the future healthcare.
I think you've got things a little bit backwards. The democrats are out of ideas and it looks like people. S.O.S. (same old shit) have fun raving.
athena
(4,187 posts)if you think the Democrats "are out of ideas"?
I can't believe I'm reading on DU that Republicans are the party of ideas. What ideas, precisely, are you referring to? The idea of deporting 11 million Mexicans? The idea of not letting in Muslim immigrants? The idea of building a wall along the border with Mexico and getting the Mexicans to pay for it?
What about rebuilding the country's infrastructure, so that bridges stop collapsing? Democrats have been talking about that for years, but Republicans refuse to approve the funding. Is that not an idea?
You can feel free to vote for Trump. If you then happen to be on a bridge that has not been properly maintained, because of the Republican "idea" that taxes are a bad thing, while it is in the process of collapsing, you might realize that your vote was a mistake. By then, of course, it'll be too late to go back.
nyquil_man
(1,443 posts)They waited too long to go after him and, by the time they did, their attacks rang as hollow and insincere. No, I think you have to begin with the central premise that this man is not fit to be president. Waiting only legitimizes him.
Now, if you begin with the premise that the Republicans are going to dump him, sure, it's a dangerous strategy. I think, though, that you're assuming the GOP leadership has suddenly developed a lot of power they didn't have before and have also suddenly grown a spine. I doubt either is the case.
Edit: Not only do you have to go after his lack of fitness to serve. You have to tie his philosophy to the party as a whole. Trump is just saying what other Republicans don't have the guts to say. They're only bothered by him because he messes up their long-term scam.
BainsBane
(53,031 posts)You're obviously not a political strategist, for a very good reason.
The only one served by the Democrats laying off Trump is Trump himself.
still_one
(92,155 posts)and somehow they will take the nomination away from trump
The Clinton campaign, and the Democrats cannot hold or delay. They need to go after Trump and the republicans strong, right from the start.
Kerry is a perfect example of what happens when you don't go after you opponent quickly. He ignored the swift boaters too long, and then it became too little too late
President Obama learned the lessons from what happened to Kerry, as evidenced how he handled the Reverend Wright attacks, to Bill Ayres. You cannot let your opponent's characterization of you stand. Not only do you need to refute it, but you need to go after your opponent twice as hard
BainsBane
(53,031 posts)Trump will be the nominee, and you're absolutely right about the Kerry example. Trump in the GOP primary is another example.
still_one
(92,155 posts)cloudythescribbler
(2,586 posts)And some people here seem to assume that he can't get elected. I hope so, but worry otherwise. A lot can happen, and of course Hillary is a lightening-rod to the RW, energizing them and uniting them, when all the hot news cycles end
of course, Trump is unpredictable, but this can cut in more than one way
It is important therefore -- NOT to alienate my fellow Bernie supporters (this should have been a priority starting at the latest after March 15). I will vote to stop Trump & so will Bernie, but unifying the Party rather than trying to control the narrative completely (a major reason for the hardball from the mainstream, and all this nonsense about how important it is for Bernie to quit as soon as possible, etc)
It is also important to pick a VP that can really help to unify the Party. I do NOT think that Sen Warren wants to run on the ticket but I could be wrong. But a choice like Biden in 08 (when the Democrats were headed to a big victory and had a much more mass-appealing candidate) won't do now ...
Third, it WILL be necessary to unleash the SUPERPacs against Trump (for those who might be too pure for this) and yes he WILL have to be attacked from some quarters in his own terms (as Bill Maher recently noted)
I am not a political strategy pro, so don't have too much by way of particulars or other strategies, just thinking this kind of idle notion that Trump will pull out now is distracting
I hope this isn't too blunt for some
TDale313
(7,820 posts)He will almost certainly be the nominee, and frankly he's just too damn dangerous to risk him actually winning. I think getting cute and pulling our punches early would be a massive mistake.
lancer78
(1,495 posts)but being too aggressive, and if he falls too far behind in the polls, might force the Republicans to kick him out. We need Trump to stay in the race.
rurallib
(62,406 posts)If I wanted to see post ripping our candidates I am sure there are plenty of other sites I could go to
lancer78
(1,495 posts)"ripping" our candidate?
I just voicing my opinion that if we are too aggressive towards Trump, the Republicans might be forced to replace him. We need to keep him in the race.