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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsDon't forget the season - The Atlantic remains quiet--but beware of this year's ocean heat content!
https://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=3356The Atlantic remains quiet--but beware of this year's ocean heat content!
As is usually the case when the Eastern Pacific is active, the Atlantic is quiet. This inverse correlation in activity occurs because the conditions over the Eastern Pacific driving this July's bounteous activity--surface low pressure and rising air--creates a compensating area of sinking air over the tropical Atlantic. This sinking air creates surface high pressure and dry weather--the antithesis of conditions needed for tropical cyclone formation. There are no tropical cyclone threat areas in the Atlantic to discuss today, and none of the reliable models for tropical cyclone formation is predicting development during the coming five days. Don't expect to see much activity in the Atlantic until the Eastern Pacific's burst of activity slows down. When we finally do get the surface low pressure, rising air, low wind shear, plentiful low to mid-level moisture and an African tropical wave needed to spawn an Atlantic hurricane, watch out. Record to near-record levels of heat energy are in the Atlantic in the Caribbean, Gulf of Mexico and waters surrounding the Bahamas (Figure 2), exceeding even the heat energy that was available during the notorious Hurricane Season of 2005. This year's high levels of ocean heat content in the Atlantic increases the odds of dangerous rapidly-intensifying major hurricanes if the other conditions needed for intensification are present.
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Don't forget the season - The Atlantic remains quiet--but beware of this year's ocean heat content! (Original Post)
malaise
Jul 2016
OP
Stay safe and watch the weather forecasts, that post from Jeff Masters is more than a little scary
friendly_iconoclast
Jul 2016
#3
WhiteTara
(29,722 posts)1. Some people from Miami told me the water
was 95 degrees! That's really balmy.
malaise
(269,157 posts)2. It's been very very hot here in Kingston
We were thrilled with a shower of rain this afternoon.
friendly_iconoclast
(15,333 posts)3. Stay safe and watch the weather forecasts, that post from Jeff Masters is more than a little scary
friendly_iconoclast
(15,333 posts)4. That doesn't bode well at all- and I've got family in S. Florida
WhiteTara
(29,722 posts)5. They might want to sell and move inland
while they still can sell.