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malaise

(268,885 posts) Sun Jul 31, 2016, 07:48 AM Jul 2016

Gulf of Mexico DUers - time to keep an eye on the

Atlantic Ocean/Caribbean Sea

https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/atlantic/2016/Invest-97L

Heard a while ago that 97L has a 70% chance of developing into a TS

5 replies

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Gulf of Mexico DUers - time to keep an eye on the (Original Post) malaise Jul 2016 OP

The NHC has it at 40% now Gman Jul 2016 #1

50% now malaise Jul 2016 #2

Looks like it'll cross the Yucatan Texasgal Jul 2016 #3

Well we're approaching peak season malaise Jul 2016 #4

70% now malaise Aug 2016 #5

Gman

(24,780 posts)

1. The NHC has it at 40% now

Reply to malaise (Original post)

Sun Jul 31, 2016, 10:04 AM

Jul 2016

And says conditions in the Western Carribean are more conducive to development than where it us not w in the Eastern.

malaise

(268,885 posts)

2. 50% now

Reply to Gman (Reply #1)

Sun Jul 31, 2016, 07:54 PM

Jul 2016

Just keep an eye - not sure this will survive

Texasgal

(17,042 posts)

3. Looks like it'll cross the Yucatan

Reply to malaise (Reply #2)

Sun Jul 31, 2016, 07:57 PM

Jul 2016

and head into the mountains.

Looks like the season is getting started.

malaise

(268,885 posts)

4. Well we're approaching peak season

Reply to Texasgal (Reply #3)

Sun Jul 31, 2016, 09:15 PM

Jul 2016

so we'd better get ready

Here's what we're facing

malaise

(268,885 posts)

5. 70% now

Reply to Gman (Reply #1)

Mon Aug 1, 2016, 06:56 AM

Aug 2016

with 80% for the five day forecast
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

We're preparing for serious rain from tonight

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