Remember DUers on the Atlantic Coast/GOM - it's approaching peak season

[malaise]

From NOAA

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE AUG 16 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms located about 450
miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is associated with a
tropical wave. Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to
form during the next few days while the system moves
west-northwestward to northwestward toward the central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

[annabanana]

1. jeez

I was hoping if I would ignore the season it wouldn't happen..

As a Sandy victim I get actual ptsd over hurricane season

as of 8:00 am:
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

[malaise]

6. Well the good news is that if this develops quickly

we're likely to be off the hook

[FLPanhandle]

2. Gulf waters are hot too.

Anything that gets up in here will be super-charged.

[Lochloosa]

3. All eyes to the East..

[GulfCoast66]

4. Don't remind me!

We head up to the panhandle for a weeks beach vacation this weekend. Hopefully the gulf will remain storm free till we return!

[Baclava]

5. Gulf of Mexico Hurricane Drought Now the Longest in 130 Years!

No hurricanes have entered or developed in the Gulf of Mexico since September 2013, a stretch of well over 1,000 days. This streak is now the longest on record, dating to the late 1800s.

https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/hurricane-drought-gulf-of-mexico

[malaise]

7. Soon to be Fiona doesn't look like Caribbean sea or

GOM.

[Baclava]

8. The U.S. Enters a Historic 10-Year 'Hurricane Drought'

They are all forming in the Pacific nowadays, it seems - time to change those prediction models?



A major hurricane hasn’t made landfall in the U.S. since the record-setting storm activity of 2005. Statistically, such a pattern only comes along once every 270 years, according to NASA.

http://www.citylab.com/weather/2016/05/hurricane-season-united-states-drought/484781/

--------------------------------

DON'T BLAME ME FOR JINXING THIS EITHER!

you know, since we're "due"

(knock on wood)

[malaise]

9. We haven't had a major hit for some time either

Hope it's not this year

[OnlinePoker]

10. I wrote in this post if we make it to October it's a once in 500 year occurrance.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1127103448