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Wed Aug 24, 2016, 02:34 PM

"Trump's deal was straight up: He would secure the government programs Social Security, Medicare

that benefit older, whiter tea party voters while chasing younger, browner Americans away from the public trough. He would even clear out of the country anyone who failed to prove citizenship."

The tea party has gone to meet its maker



The tea party is now indistinguishable from the Trump Party. Liberals have had a rollicking good time watching Trump peel the Indian paint off the erstwhile rebels. Brian Beutler of the New Republic routinely responds to racist outbursts among Trump supporters with a mock lament for the "economic anxiety" purportedly driving their allegiance to Trump.

Competing arguments that Trump supporters are motivated by declining economic prospects versus racial resentment are not mutually exclusive. But a deep analysis of Trump supporters released last week by Gallup shows that the economic angle is the more convoluted and uncertain one.

The evidence "is mixed as to how economic hardship affects Trump's popularity," wrote economist Jonathan Rothwell. "Racial isolation and lack of exposure to Hispanic immigrants raise the likelihood of Trump support. Meanwhile, Trump support falls as exposure to trade and immigration increases, which is the opposite of the predicted relationship."

That last part was the bomb. Trump's signature issues are trade and immigration. Yet his supporters appear less exposed to negative effects from trade and immigration than people who don't support him. Rothwell's findings didn't eliminate economic anxiety as a factor in support for Trump.

http://www.standard.net/National-Commentary/2016/08/16/teaparty-DonaldTrump-immigration-trade-Hispanics-column-Wilkinson

So there is an inverse relationship between a person's exposure to trade and immigration and their support for Trump. Even though trade and immigration are key elements of Trump's spiel, the more a person is exposed to them - the LESS likely they are to support Trump.

It makes one think that other factors explain the support from tea party types for Trump.

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Reply "Trump's deal was straight up: He would secure the government programs Social Security, Medicare (Original post)
pampango Aug 2016 OP
Glamrock Aug 2016 #1
katmondoo Aug 2016 #2
La Lioness Priyanka Aug 2016 #3
yeoman6987 Aug 2016 #4
Angry Dragon Aug 2016 #5

Response to pampango (Original post)

Wed Aug 24, 2016, 02:40 PM

1. It makes one think that other factors explain the support from tea party types for Trump.

I'm gonna go out on a limb here and say....racism?

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Response to Glamrock (Reply #1)

Wed Aug 24, 2016, 02:46 PM

2. In my family the biggest supporters of Trump are the ones with the least amount of money

and the least amount of job opportunities

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Response to katmondoo (Reply #2)

Wed Aug 24, 2016, 02:48 PM

3. while this maybe true of your family, it is not necessarily true of the majority of trump voters

 

a recent study/poll found that trump voters themselves make more money than the average american, but there is less inter-generational mobility in their neighborhood/lives and more ill health.

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Response to katmondoo (Reply #2)

Wed Aug 24, 2016, 02:49 PM

4. They want jobs

 

Hillary should be talking job plan at every opportunity.

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Response to pampango (Original post)

Wed Aug 24, 2016, 02:52 PM

5. it helps alot if they are racists

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