Hurricane and Tropical Storm Watches Issued for portions of the Florida Gulf Coast - NHC

[malaise]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT09/refresh/AL0916W5_NL+gif/152206W5_NL_sm.gif

ATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Hurricane Watch has been issued for the Florida Gulf coast from
the Anclote River to Indian Pass. A Tropical Storm Watch has been
issued for the Florida Gulf coast west of Indian Pass to the
Walton/Bay County line.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Anclote River to Indian Pass

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* West of Indian Pass to the Walton/Bay County line

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests along the United States east coast from northern Florida
through the Carolinas should monitor the progress of this system.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nine was
located near latitude 24.4 North, longitude 87.3 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). A
turn toward the north-northwest is expected tonight, followed by a
turn toward the north-northeast on Wednesday. On the forecast
track, the center will approach the coast in the watch area on
Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
depression is expected to become a tropical storm tonight or early
Wednesday.

The minimum central pressure reported by a NOAA Hurricane Hunter
aircraft is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible over portions of the
Hurricane Watch area by Thursday afternoon. Tropical storm
conditions are possible over portions of the Tropical Storm Watch
area by Thursday afternoon.

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. There is a
possibility of life-threatening inundation within the next 48 hours
along the Gulf coast of Florida from Aripeka to Indian Pass. For a
depiction of areas at risk, please see the Prototype National
Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic. Persons located
within these areas should be prepared to take all necessary actions
to protect life and property from rising water. Promptly follow
any instructions from local officials.

The water could reach the following heights above ground if the
peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
Indian Pass to Aripeka...2 to 4 feet
Aripeka to Bonita Beach...1 to 2 feet

The Prototype National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning
Graphic is a depiction of areas that would qualify for inclusion
under a storm surge watch or warning currently under development by
the National Weather Service and planned for operational use in
2017. This prototype graphic is available at
www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?wsurge

RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce additional rain
accumulations of 3 to 5 inches over western Cuba through Wednesday,
with maximum storm total amounts up to 20 inches. These rains
could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. Storm
total rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches are possible over much of
the Florida peninsula through Friday morning, with isolated maximum
amounts of 15 inches possible. This rainfall may cause flooding
and flash flooding.

[yeoman6987]

1. It's ugly in Orlando area right now. Could be a big storm.

Dark at 5 o'clock.

[malaise]

2. It's going to stick around for a while

That's the real problem

[yeoman6987]

3. You are right. Stay safe.

[snooper2]

17. I just looked at my weather.com app on phone where you can play future..

Looks like it has kind of stalled, just sitting still gaining bands if that is accurate at all...

At least the Capybara will be okay there, they like the water

[mcar]

4. Heading right for me

Ugh. Off to check my batteries and flashlights...

[malaise]

5. Watch the water

[mcar]

6. Thanks malaise

We're about 20 miles inland so it shouldn't be a problem. But we'll be watching.

[malaise]

7. Looks like several places will have to deal with the water - Jeff Masters

https://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=3408

[mcar]

8. And I just finalized vacation plans for the Outer Banks mid September

[area51]

9. Kick for the night crew. n/t

[Baclava]

10. OMG - we got WAVES! Lookit those breakers!

http://gulfcoastbeachcams.com/cameras/thecrabtrap-destin

[malaise]

11. Looks very calm to me n/t

[Baclava]

12. Usually like a bathtub, haha n/t

[madokie]

13. They pretty much had the track down

Getting better at that all the time.

Now I wish they could figure out tornadoes, whens and wheres.

we put in a Cellar this summer and that helps with our feeling that at least we have someplace close to go when the weather gets ugly.

I hope everyone heeds the warnings and stays safe. We here at DU have a lot of friends in that area

[malaise]

14. I give thanks that hurricanes are my problem

I couldn't handle tornadoes - glad you're safer with that cellar

[Baclava]

15. Computer model tracks are misleading - this thing is lopsided to the east

Watch out Tampa, a LOT of rain coming.

Water vapor image - GOES satellite

[malaise]

16. Yes - this is mostly a rain event

for several places

[Baclava]

18. More than just FL - Going right up the east coast as a tropical storm

[malaise]

19. It's going to mess up lots of activities

and events including the US Open in New York. Worst of all it is going to sit there off the East Coast for close to three days

[Baclava]

20. It's not going to sit - it's going to move north fast!

TROPICAL STORM HERMINE STRENGTHENS, HEADS TO FLORIDA; NYC IN PROJECTED PATH

[malaise]

21. That's what they said this morning

We'll see

[Baclava]

22. We got alligators swimming in the streets!

MANATEE CO., Fla. (WWSB) - Tropical storm Hermine dumped so much water in Bradenton Wednesday that alligators were swimming down streets.

http://www.mysuncoast.com/news/local/raw-video-alligator-swims-in-front-of-lady-s-car/article_60efbe6e-6fd0-11e6-8d62-4f60c6ee13f1.html

[malaise]

23. Alligators in the street

I knew somewhere in Florida there would be alligators in the streets...that would scare the shite out of me.

[malaise]

24. It's now Hurricane Hermine - first hurricane that will hit Florida

in a decade
1:55 PM CDT Thu Sep 1
Location: 28.1°N 85.4°W
Moving: NNE at 14 mph
Min pressure: 988 mb
Max sustained: 75 mph

The really good news - moving at 14mph