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NightWatcher

(39,376 posts)
Mon Sep 26, 2016, 09:31 AM Sep 2016

Nate Silver is trying to kill me. A statistical dead heat...

H 51.5
T 48.5

If we get Trump we deserve it and the dystopian Mad Max hell scape that comes with it.


The past two days have sucked so hard.

14 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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still_one

(98,883 posts)
3. The best thing anyone can do is go to the Hillary headquarters in your state, and
Mon Sep 26, 2016, 09:36 AM
Sep 2016

volunteer to do phone banking and or canvassing to get out the vote.

It doesn't matter where you are, the campaign will focus on the swing states

Mass

(27,315 posts)
6. I honestly hope so, and, if we were living in a rational world, it would be the case.
Mon Sep 26, 2016, 09:49 AM
Sep 2016

But we live in a world where all references are lost (most papers have endorsed Hillary Clinton, and still polls are so close).

However, the bar is so low when it comes to Trump that, short of a huge problem, people will declare him presidential (remember, reading a speech on a teleprompter is now what passes for presidential).

So, I am sort of worried.

inwiththenew

(997 posts)
8. She has to knock it out of the park tonight
Mon Sep 26, 2016, 09:53 AM
Sep 2016

I mean leave absolutely no doubt.

A tie and he wins (the debate) because it will legitimize him further and make him more palatable to people on the fence.

Oneironaut

(6,299 posts)
9. It'll get worse after the debates.
Mon Sep 26, 2016, 10:03 AM
Sep 2016

Trump is very convincing. He uses the right platitudes and empty statements to get people on his side.

Like it or not, all of the cards are there for a Trump presidency. Any Democrat who thinks there isn't a good chance that Trump will win is either delusional or not paying attention.

The Democratic Party has been abysmal countering Trump. They're in a delusional fantasy world that Trump still has no chance, and Hillary is a easy win. The have to throw everything that have at him or lose.

doc03

(39,086 posts)
11. How can Trump be down from what Romney caried in every catagory
Mon Sep 26, 2016, 10:53 AM
Sep 2016

and up just 1% with non-college educated whites and it is a statistical dead heat?

doc03

(39,086 posts)
12. According to 538 if the election was held today Trump is at 54.5
Mon Sep 26, 2016, 10:58 AM
Sep 2016

and Hillary is at 45.5%.

Dreamer Tatum

(10,996 posts)
13. In the world I inhabit, Nate Silver doesn't decide the election.
Mon Sep 26, 2016, 11:09 AM
Sep 2016

And he's usually wrong, anyway.

 

Albertoo

(2,016 posts)
14. If the far left votes Green rather than Dem, and as the far right is 100% behind Trump...
Mon Sep 26, 2016, 11:35 AM
Sep 2016

...this election will be too close for comfort.

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