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[flying-skeleton]

This message was self-deleted by its author (flying-skeleton) on Fri Oct 7, 2016, 04:47 PM. When the original post in a discussion thread is self-deleted, the entire discussion thread is automatically locked so new replies cannot be posted.

[muriel_volestrangler]

1. Going in the right direction, but not a record

That looks like their 'polls-only forecast', since that has that value now, and the others aren't near it. But on Aug 14, he was down at 10.8% (you can see the history just below the map).

[gratuitous]

2. Get. Out. The. Vote.

Would that the popular media spent even one-tenth the time it spends on Trump voters interviewing Clinton voters to find out what motivates them.

[Delphinus]

3. Then why did I read on DU

that (I think) Rusmussen had T-rump up by 2? Disclaimer: I haven't clicked on the link, just scanned the headlines quickly.

[0rganism]

4. because Rasmussen has a large (5+ pt) Republican bias

if the Rass poll had tRump up 2, that's consistent with a 3-5 pt Clinton lead

[Delphinus]

6. Great to know -

thank you!

[barbtries]

5. image no longer available

what did it say?

[muriel_volestrangler]

7. It gave Trump a 19.9% chance of winning

It was 538's 'polls-only' forecast - now at 20.1% - see http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

[barbtries]

8. thank you

good news. a month from tomorrow this excruciating time will be over, but i'm feeling better about Hillary's chances lately. Trump seems never to disappoint when it comes to finding a scandal or putting his foot in his mouth or whatever. i was convinced very, very early on that he would be a terrible president and it shocks me that so many Americans don't see that, but clearly more and more are reaching their limit on how much bullshit is allowed to come from a campaign and still maintain their support.