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malaise

(268,693 posts)
Sat Oct 15, 2016, 08:38 PM Oct 2016

Life after Trump: Republicans brace for betrayal and civil war after 2016

At least three factions prepare to fight for the party, divided amid Donald Trump’s accusations of corruption and his appeals to fading demographics
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/oct/15/republican-party-after-donald-trump-paul-ryan
<snip>
In September, Trump appeared competitive. In October, he collapsed. A 2005 video in which he bragged about groping women was followed by a slew of allegations of sexual assault and more than 160 Republican leaders who abandoned Trump. He has declared war on members of his own party, attacking the House speaker, Paul Ryan, and turned to increasingly authoritarian claims, insisting that Clinton must be jailed.

Republicans have started to fear that 8 November will not be the end but rather the beginning of all-out civil war, asking whether Trumpism can survive Trump, and whether those who support him can survive his candidacy. Who can unify the party of Abraham Lincoln? Who can avoid a historic fourth consecutive defeat in the election of 2020?

Much depends on whether 2016 has an effect on the Senate, where Democrats stand a strong chance of taking control, and on the House, which may now be in play. The maverick businessman has already threatened to dispute the election’s result, claiming the election is rigged, and already lashed out at moderate Republicans for not backing him.

“No one knows what’s going to be left of the party on November 9,” said Charlie Sykes, an influential conservative radio talkshow host. “Republican officials I’ve talked to have gone beyond anger to a sense of anguish about the future of the party,” he said.

“The damage that Trump has done will not end on November 8. I don’t think any Republicans really know what a post-Trump party looks like. They’re hoping it’s a one-off event but I don’t see the civil war going away any time soon.”

Sykes, who has known Ryan since he was first elected to the House in 1998, regards the 46-year-old Wisconsin Catholic, a family man and devotee of Ayn Rand, as its intellectual leader. “If there’s anybody who ought to emerge as the titular leader of the party in the ruins, it will be Paul Ryan.”

33 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Life after Trump: Republicans brace for betrayal and civil war after 2016 (Original Post) malaise Oct 2016 OP
If Paul Ryan is your intellectual leader central scrutinizer Oct 2016 #1
+1 dhol82 Oct 2016 #6
I hope this jockeying for lead Puke becomes THE story soon. It could take the focus off the maniac. anamandujano Oct 2016 #2
Catholic and devotee of Ayn Rand? safeinOhio Oct 2016 #9
but he is. cognitive dissonance in maximum strength irisblue Oct 2016 #12
You'd be surprised what "good" Catholics are able to believe NastyRiffraff Oct 2016 #16
Will the GOP scapegoat Trump for ALL of the damage? manicraven Oct 2016 #3
The party is already a shambles. The American people are holding them accountable. anamandujano Oct 2016 #20
Paul Ryan has lost the base oberliner Oct 2016 #4
Fuck Paul Ryan. SamKnause Oct 2016 #5
Exactly! mountain grammy Oct 2016 #21
Evangelicals are the problem. GOLGO 13 Oct 2016 #33
I have to quote Juanita Jean on this The Polack MSgt Oct 2016 #7
Oooh underpants Oct 2016 #11
Follower of Ayn Rand and intellectual leader are mutually exclusive. guillaumeb Oct 2016 #8
Great article. They are hoping for another Reagan. underpants Oct 2016 #10
Reagan is at the root of their current failures. LuvNewcastle Oct 2016 #13
Not me katmondoo Oct 2016 #14
I never liked him either, but I was too young to vote LuvNewcastle Oct 2016 #19
He won all but 5 states mountain grammy Oct 2016 #22
Demographics is at the root of their current failures Sen. Walter Sobchak Oct 2016 #18
In Presidential races it really starts with the math underpants Oct 2016 #23
So am I. TheCowsCameHome Oct 2016 #15
The civil war ended quite some time ago, the useful idiots took over the asylum. Sen. Walter Sobchak Oct 2016 #17
Will any of the GOP survivors in the House and Senate switch parties? ThoughtCriminal Oct 2016 #24
Not more blue dogs please malaise Oct 2016 #25
That's my concern - a bigger D Party tent moving more right than left . . . . hatrack Oct 2016 #28
I hope so malaise Oct 2016 #31
true heaven05 Oct 2016 #30
That simple malaise Oct 2016 #32
ryan the intellectual leader? chillfactor Oct 2016 #26
Not sure re. "historic" nature of a fourth defeat in 2020 . . . . hatrack Oct 2016 #27
The only thing keeping the GOP alive is gerrymandering, voter suppression and money/astroturf. Willie Pep Oct 2016 #29

anamandujano

(7,004 posts)
2. I hope this jockeying for lead Puke becomes THE story soon. It could take the focus off the maniac.
Sat Oct 15, 2016, 08:49 PM
Oct 2016

The damage that Trump has done will not end on November 8. I don’t think any Republicans really know what a post-Trump party looks like. They’re hoping it’s a one-off event but I don’t see the civil war going away any time soon.”

Sykes, who has known Ryan since he was first elected to the House in 1998, regards the 46-year-old Wisconsin Catholic, a family man and devotee of Ayn Rand, as its intellectual leader. “If there’s anybody who ought to emerge as the titular leader of the party in the ruins, it will be Paul Ryan.”

NastyRiffraff

(12,448 posts)
16. You'd be surprised what "good" Catholics are able to believe
Sat Oct 15, 2016, 09:56 PM
Oct 2016

A Catholic former friend of mine doesn't believe in evolution (unlike the Church itself) or climate change, and thinks the minimum wage ought to be abolished. Oh, and she's voting for Trump.

manicraven

(901 posts)
3. Will the GOP scapegoat Trump for ALL of the damage?
Sat Oct 15, 2016, 08:56 PM
Oct 2016

“The damage that Trump has done will not end on November 8."

All of the GOP needs to be held accountable! They were fueling this mess for years, and they still don't really denounce Trump either for being a racist, bigot, pervert, liar, etc.

anamandujano

(7,004 posts)
20. The party is already a shambles. The American people are holding them accountable.
Sat Oct 15, 2016, 10:08 PM
Oct 2016

They will never go away. Let them argue it out. Any story that takes the spotlight off the lunatic and shows what little power he has left is good stuff in my book.

SamKnause

(13,088 posts)
5. Fuck Paul Ryan.
Sat Oct 15, 2016, 08:58 PM
Oct 2016

He is the problem, not the solution.

The Republicans are the problem.

The Tea Party Republicans are the problem.

The White Supremacists Republicans are the problem.

The KKK Republicans are the problem.

The Creationists Republicans are the problem.

The Grover Norquist Republicans are the problem.

Their policies are devastating for this country and the world.

The Polack MSgt

(13,182 posts)
7. I have to quote Juanita Jean on this
Sat Oct 15, 2016, 08:59 PM
Oct 2016

It isn't a Civil War since that would imply that at least one side opposed slavery

guillaumeb

(42,641 posts)
8. Follower of Ayn Rand and intellectual leader are mutually exclusive.
Sat Oct 15, 2016, 09:09 PM
Oct 2016

Ryan is an unprincipled career politician who would wage class warfare on the bottom 90% to fulfill his supply side fantasies.

underpants

(182,604 posts)
10. Great article. They are hoping for another Reagan.
Sat Oct 15, 2016, 09:25 PM
Oct 2016

They don't realize that Reagan was literally playing a role. He wasn't real.

LuvNewcastle

(16,834 posts)
13. Reagan is at the root of their current failures.
Sat Oct 15, 2016, 09:40 PM
Oct 2016

They don't realize that everything Reagan stood for has gotten us into the mess we're in. Plenty of the younger Americans get it, but there are still quite a few older ones who hold on to that snake oil that was sold to them back in the 80s. They think that if we just cut taxes for the rich one more time and cut spending on social programs again that just maybe this time.....

katmondoo

(6,454 posts)
14. Not me
Sat Oct 15, 2016, 09:48 PM
Oct 2016

I was never for him, disliked him completely. I always viewed him as just playing the part of president while spreading his right wing idea's that have destroyed the middle class for more than a generation.

LuvNewcastle

(16,834 posts)
19. I never liked him either, but I was too young to vote
Sat Oct 15, 2016, 10:02 PM
Oct 2016

back then. My first election was 1988, and I voted for Dukakis. I could see back in the day that Reagan wasn't all there. Hell, it got to where Nancy wouldn't even let him talk to reporters, and there were hardly any press conferences. My parents didn't see it though. I saw then how people can lull themselves into complacency when the urge is strong enough.

mountain grammy

(26,598 posts)
22. He won all but 5 states
Sat Oct 15, 2016, 10:15 PM
Oct 2016

I was devastated. I wanted to move to Hawaii because it went for Carter and was far away from the mainland. 1980, the beginning of the end.

underpants

(182,604 posts)
23. In Presidential races it really starts with the math
Sat Oct 15, 2016, 10:38 PM
Oct 2016

Any Democratic candidates starts with 246 Electoral College votes.
That is taking Obama's 2012 332 total and subtracting NV CO NM IOWA Virginia and OHIO and Florida. A Democrat only needs to pick up 24 votes in those states or pick up N. Carolina (15) and some mixture of those states.

 

Sen. Walter Sobchak

(8,692 posts)
17. The civil war ended quite some time ago, the useful idiots took over the asylum.
Sat Oct 15, 2016, 09:59 PM
Oct 2016

If Trump goes away his base will just throw their support behind the next fucknut, the cancer is in their blood.

ThoughtCriminal

(14,046 posts)
24. Will any of the GOP survivors in the House and Senate switch parties?
Sun Oct 16, 2016, 06:12 PM
Oct 2016

Hint to those planning to switch - it's the "DEMOCRATIC Party", not "Democrat Party". Get used to it.

Mixed feelings about that. It may help create or solidify a Democratic majority, but may also have the effect of moving the party farther right of center.

hatrack

(59,574 posts)
28. That's my concern - a bigger D Party tent moving more right than left . . . .
Sun Oct 16, 2016, 06:41 PM
Oct 2016

OTOH, more Blue Dogs lost in 2010 (27) than are currently in Congress (14), so it may be a problem that's already solved itself.

 

heaven05

(18,124 posts)
30. true
Sun Oct 16, 2016, 07:46 PM
Oct 2016

Last edited Mon Oct 17, 2016, 09:20 AM - Edit history (1)

look at what they offered our Party leader in the last 7+ years, nothing. Don't need no republican lites bringing down our Party and causing more of the type of divisivness and turmoil that they have created in their political party. Stay the fuck away.

hatrack

(59,574 posts)
27. Not sure re. "historic" nature of a fourth defeat in 2020 . . . .
Sun Oct 16, 2016, 06:35 PM
Oct 2016

FDR and Truman kicked the GOP's ass five straight times.

Other than that, a delightful read concerning a delightful prospect!

Willie Pep

(841 posts)
29. The only thing keeping the GOP alive is gerrymandering, voter suppression and money/astroturf.
Sun Oct 16, 2016, 07:08 PM
Oct 2016

Unfortunately, those are still formidable obstacles for us. I hope Trump hurts Republicans all the way down to the state and local level, because that is where we need to fight them the hardest. We have to take back the state legislatures and governor's mansions next.

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