NBC/SM Poll - General Election - 10/31/16 - Trump vs. Clinton = +7 Clinton

[spanone]

[URL=.html][IMG][/IMG][/URL]

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/


Poll: Clinton Maintains National Lead Over Trump Despite FBI Letter

Hillary Clinton's 6-point national lead over Donald Trump remains virtually unchanged since last week, even after FBI Director James Comey announced the discovery of emails that could be "pertinent" to the investigation of Clinton's use of a private email server.

The NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll showed Clinton with a 6-point lead over Trump in the days prior to the Comey news. When looking at the data for Saturday and Sunday only, her lead remained the same — 47 percent to Trump's 41 percent. The poll was conducted online from October 24 through October 30. Questions about Comey's announcement were included on October 29 and October 30.

Results for the entire week of the tracking poll show that in a four-way match-up, Clinton enjoys 47 percent support among likely voters, while Trump holds onto 41 percent support. Gary Johnson drops a single point to 6 percent support, and Jill Stein has 3 percent support. In a two-way race, Clinton enjoys a 7-point lead over Trump, with 51 percent support compared to Trump's 44 percent.

On Friday, FBI Director Comey sent a letter to Congress stating that the bureau would be reviewing emails that may be related the investigation into Clinton's use of a private server during her tenure as secretary of state. The emails—which were uncovered during an unrelated investigation of former New York congressman Anthony Weiner, federal officials told NBC News—came as a huge surprise to the Clinton campaign just 11 days ahead of the general election.

http://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/data-points/poll-clinton-maintains-national-lead-over-trump-despite-fbi-letter-n675771

[SunSeeker]

1. K & R

[regnaD kciN]

2. Uh…47-41 is +6

[spanone]

3. that's the four-way race, this is trump v clinton

Last edited Mon Oct 31, 2016, 05:36 PM - Edit history (1)

[Fahrenthold451]

4. This will be the next story of the news cycle.

Thank the Lord

[muriel_volestrangler]

5. But that is the best poll, not the only one today

I'll post this again, because it's about the basic use of data, really, not just presidential polls:

Don’t be like journalists who run off after the most extreme report – that is ridiculous. The only honest thing to do is to take a median or average of all the polls you can get your hands on. Right now, the collected wisdom of all the poll is that Hillary Clinton is ahead by a median of 6 percentage points nationally. Not 4 points, and not 8 points. Her lead is 6.0 +/- 0.9 % (n=12 polls over the period October 20-26, median +/- estimated one-sigma standard error).

http://election.princeton.edu/2016/10/27/why-do-the-polls-seem-so-variable-this-week/

You have 8 GE polls from today, including both with and without Stein/Johnson. Median for Trump v. Clinton alone is +2 Clinton (-4, +2, +2, +7); and, effectively, that's the median with Stein/Johnson too (+1, +1, +3, +7 - take the midpoint of +1 and +3).

[malaise]

6. The majority of American people are not stupid

They have been very comfortable with Obama. He's not flawless but they see a decent guy who can actually laugh at himself like the rest of us. They know he has shattered their myths about the lazy black man. So the racists want to turn it back - and show the indigenous folks as well-at the same time. And they've been trying to turn it back for women as well.

And now a 'girl' is going to fuck them up. It's over - moving on. Fuck 'em!

[napkinz]

7. I see a sad face coming Nov 8

Those poor deplorables, what a let down it will be.

[Dawson Leery]

8. That Remington "Research", if that is what it is called,

is doing it's job and giving Donnie more vote than he actually has.