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  Post removed Thu Nov 3, 2016, 01:02 PM Nov 2016

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Post removed (Original Post) Post removed Nov 2016 OP
Perhaps it was a different rally Jason1961 Nov 2016 #1
I went to the one in Charlotte. cwydro Nov 2016 #2
The Florida panhandle is very Republican, LuvNewcastle Nov 2016 #3
Crowds aren't votes BainsBane Nov 2016 #5
It's always been that way... Wounded Bear Nov 2016 #6
That is far from 10,000 RedCloud Nov 2016 #7
It's a military area. lpbk2713 Nov 2016 #8
Yup, soldiers are voluntold to support drumpf mwrguy Nov 2016 #28
I'm going to be honest here JennyMominFL Nov 2016 #10
So you're stating Democrats are lying about crowd size too? Avalux Nov 2016 #22
Not neccessarily JennyMominFL Nov 2016 #23
You know that is from January, right? eom Maeve Nov 2016 #11
Fascinating n/t emulatorloo Nov 2016 #21
Never believe anything that says his rallies are smaller Gman Nov 2016 #13
crowds do not equal votes, as Romney discovered Maeve Nov 2016 #17
Video was published Sept 9 and MSNBC report from January 2016 20895DEM Nov 2016 #14
Trump has always drawn big crowds, but they aren't the majority April Lee Nov 2016 #18
As big a maggot as he is MFM008 Nov 2016 #26
why are you showing something from months ago? Skittles Nov 2016 #27
NOTHING IN THIS FRIDGE IS FRESH Warren DeMontague Nov 2016 #31
STOP IT WARREN Skittles Nov 2016 #35
Nah, I did that back in January Warren DeMontague Nov 2016 #38
LOL Skittles Nov 2016 #40
A FL state rep. went to the "cow pasture" rally. cheapdate Nov 2016 #29
so there should be plenty of pictures Skittles Nov 2016 #41
January of 2016 Warren DeMontague Nov 2016 #30
+ eleventy billion Lucinda Nov 2016 #32
a YUUUUUUUUUUUGE amount Skittles Nov 2016 #36
Trump's followers are energized, I will give him that. Willie Pep Nov 2016 #34
they're not energized Skittles Nov 2016 #37
The OP took a rally from January to make a point about what is happening this week. Warren DeMontague Nov 2016 #39
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cwydro

(51,308 posts)
2. I went to the one in Charlotte.
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 01:04 PM
Nov 2016

It was very sparsely attended. The venue was practically empty.

Hillary's rally was crowded despite the fact it was held outdoors.

LuvNewcastle

(17,821 posts)
3. The Florida panhandle is very Republican,
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 01:05 PM
Nov 2016

as is much of the surrounding area. People are telling them that Trump has an 87% chance of winning and they're all excited.

BainsBane

(57,757 posts)
5. Crowds aren't votes
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 01:08 PM
Nov 2016

All the Trump crowds combined don't generate enough votes to win an election.

Didn't we learn any lessons about crowd size vs. votes in the primary?

Wounded Bear

(64,323 posts)
6. It's always been that way...
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 01:10 PM
Nov 2016

In the end, you have to GOTV. Clinton's team is doing it, Trump isn't.

lpbk2713

(43,273 posts)
8. It's a military area.
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 01:13 PM
Nov 2016


Not too surprising. And some may have been "volunteered" .

"Either you mow the grass or you go to the rally."



JennyMominFL

(224 posts)
10. I'm going to be honest here
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 01:29 PM
Nov 2016

I live in Orlando. I get local reports on these events. I was at 3 rallys this week. I was at Obama's at UCF. It was 10,000 people plus an overflow. I went to 2 HRC events. Both were pretty last minute and at smaller venues. I was in line for the first one 2 hours early. I didn't get into the main building. I could have gone to overflow. It was full.. In this case full was a few thousand people. Right wing sites said crap like only 20 people showed up. Lies. I then went to Hillarys rally in Sanford. Again this was a smaller venue on short notice. I got in. The room was capped at 1000, just like the first HRC rally. Again there was a full overflow area, again right wing sites reported that very few people came. Again these were lies
Now for Trump. He appeared at the Central Florida Fairgrounds.. This happened on short notice It's not a cow pasture either. Local media is reporting thousands. Just google WESH or any other local orlando station. A CNN reporter remarked that attendance was low. I would guess that the fairgrounds would hold a lot more people than Hillary's venues.
So that's what it comes down too, venue size, the cap on the location and the amount of notice people had. The Obama rally held 10,000 people. It was filled to overflow. The Hillary rallies were filled to overflow but had little notice and a very low cap.
I totally believe Trump drew 10,000. This was a big venue for an event that gave people a lot of notice.
I am sceptical of the account that attendance at his rallys is low. I think it's close to Hillarys. Bigger venues are being filled. Smaller venues are also being filled. Then people are using the numbers at smaller venues to bolster the idea that the other candidate isn't drawing crowds. It's a lie on Hillary's side, and I hate to say it, but it's probably a lie going the other way too.

GOTV

Avalux

(35,015 posts)
22. So you're stating Democrats are lying about crowd size too?
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 02:58 PM
Nov 2016

Your post doesn't hold water, sorry. Crowd size can be estimated regardless of the venue's capacity. Especially by reporters who are on the ground at the venue.

JennyMominFL

(224 posts)
23. Not neccessarily
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 03:27 PM
Nov 2016

I'm saying that a *low* estimate of rally attendance doesn't necessarily mean enthusiasm is dowm. I'm simply saying that taking a glance at a venue and deciding it's a small crowd is not necessarily fair. You have to take into account venue capacity and the amount of notice for an event.. Now I know for a fact that people lied about the size of Hillary's rally in Daytona, because the asshole with the Hillary for prison van is the one actually claiming very few people were there. That is being repeated on right wing sites. In other cases people look at an image or a number to determine if attendance is down.
It looks like Trump's rally in orlando actually did have low attendance as CNN reported low numbers and local media says thousands. Thousands would have been OK at a smaller venue, but not at the OC fairgrounds. But again,this event had short notice. It's not necessarily a sign that attendance is dropping. And he probably did get 10,000 in Jacksonville.
My point is, that many things need to be taken into account when determining if attendance is down.
2500 at a venue that hold 10,000 is a possible sign of attendance going down, that needs to be weighed against the lack of notice of that event, and a rally that had 10,000 people today
2500 people at a venue that holds 1000 is also not a sign attendance is going down.
A rally of 2500 isn't necessarily a bad sign for anyone

Gman

(24,780 posts)
13. Never believe anything that says his rallies are smaller
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 01:42 PM
Nov 2016

He has plenty of support. Do not kid yourself.

Maeve

(43,456 posts)
17. crowds do not equal votes, as Romney discovered
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 02:05 PM
Nov 2016
http://www.dispatch.com/content/stories/national_world/2016/10/31/size-of-trump-rallies-big-but-often-exaggerated.html

(snip to last four paragraphs)
A prime example: One of Trump’s earliest mega-rallies was in Phoenix in July 2015. Thousands requested tickets and his campaign had to move to a bigger venue, where 4,200 people showed up, stunning Republicans and others who thought the entertainer had no chance. But within days, Trump had inflated that crowd size to 15,000.

That level of exaggeration has continued into the general election, with Trump repeatedly inflating his numbers while mocking Clinton for attracting small crowds. But Clinton’s crowds have slowly begun to resemble those of Trump, as is typical at this point in the campaign.

Former staff members for Mitt Romney, the 2012 Republican nominee, have noted that the rallies Trump is holding now resemble the ones Romney held in October 2012, regularly attracting more than 10,000 people. (The Romney campaign also claimed that 30,000 people attended a rally in Ohio, although law enforcement pegged the crowd at 15,000 to 18,000.)

This month, Trump’s campaign discontinued emails to political reporters titled: “A tale of two campaigns.” The emails would compare Trump’s crowd sizes to Clinton’s, often including tweets from the candidate or photos taken by reporters. This month, as some of Clinton’s rallies became as large if not larger than Trump’s, his campaign stopped sending out the email comparison.

20895DEM

(104 posts)
14. Video was published Sept 9 and MSNBC report from January 2016
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 01:44 PM
Nov 2016

You had to go back pretty far to cherry pick these.

April Lee

(14 posts)
18. Trump has always drawn big crowds, but they aren't the majority
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 02:06 PM
Nov 2016

Trump has a very enthusiastic fan base that treat him like a rock star. But most people are smarter and better educated, and they don't go to rallies to get whipped up into frenzy.

MFM008

(20,042 posts)
26. As big a maggot as he is
Fri Nov 4, 2016, 01:32 AM
Nov 2016

I don't care how "big" his crowd size is. I believe Senator Sanders rallies were twice the size of these and now he campaigns for HRC.
It only serves to remind us how gullible , sad, and pathetic any maggot voter could be.

cheapdate

(3,811 posts)
29. A FL state rep. went to the "cow pasture" rally.
Fri Nov 4, 2016, 02:59 AM
Nov 2016

He's a Democrat and a friend of mine, Bruce Antone. It wasn't a cow pasture, it was a populated area near Orlando, Pine Hills. He said the crowd was robust and very energized.

A crowd of 10,000 in Pensacola for Trump isn't impossible to imagine. There's some hardcore Republican places up there.

Willie Pep

(841 posts)
34. Trump's followers are energized, I will give him that.
Fri Nov 4, 2016, 03:41 AM
Nov 2016

Hence why GOTV is so important for us. Democrats always seem to have a harder time getting their base energized and to the polls. That is why there is the term "broken-glass Republican." Republicans typically seem to be more likely to vote and be politically active. I assume it has something to do with them being wealthier on average and having more power/flexibility in their workplaces so they are better able to find time to vote/attend rallies/be politically active.

Warren DeMontague

(80,708 posts)
39. The OP took a rally from January to make a point about what is happening this week.
Fri Nov 4, 2016, 04:17 AM
Nov 2016

Not a particularly persuasive case, if you ask me.

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