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THE EVIDENCE TO PROVE THE RUSSIAN HACK
December 10, 2016/13 Comments/in 2016 Presidential Election, Russian hacks, WikiLeaks /by emptywheel
In this post, Im going to lay out the evidence needed to fully explain the Russian hack. I think it will help to explain some of the timing around the story that the CIA believes Russia hacked the DNC to help win Trump win the election, as well as what is new in Fridays story. I will do rolling updates on this and eventually turn it into a set of pages on Russias hacking.
As I see it, intelligence on all the following are necessary to substantiate some of the claims about Russia tampering in this years election.
1. FSB-related hackers hacked the DNC
2. GRU-related hackers hacked the DNC
3. Russian state actors hacked John Podestas emails
4. Russian state actors hacked related targets, including Colin Powell and some Republican sites
5. Russian state actors hacked the RNC
6. Russian state actors released information from DNC and DCCC via Guccifer 2
7. Russian state actors released information via DC Leaks
8. Russian state actors or someone acting on its behest passed information to Wikileaks
9. The motive explaining why Wikileaks released the DNC and Podesta emails
10.Russian state actors probed voter registration databases
11.Russian state actors used bots and fake stories to make information more damaging and magnify its effects
12.The level at which all Russian state actors actions were directed and approved
13.The motive behind the actions of Russian state actors
14.he degree to which Russias efforts were successful and/or primary in leading to Hillarys defeat
I explain all of these in more detail below. For what its worth, I think there was strong publicly available information to prove 3, 4, 7, 11. I think there is weaker though still substantial information to support 2. It has always been the case that the evidence is weakest at point 6 and 8.
At a minimum, to blame Russia for tampering with the election, you need high degree of confidence that GRU hacked the DNC (item 2), and shared those documents via some means with Wikileaks (item 8). What is new about Fridays story is that, after months of not knowing how the hacked documents got from Russian hackers to Wikileaks, CIA now appears to know that people close to the Russian government transferred the documents (item 8). In addition, CIA now appears confident that all this happened to help Trump win the presidency (item 13)
The explanations:
https://www.emptywheel.net/2016/12/10/evidence-prove-russian-hack/
Fast Walker 52
(7,723 posts)she does good research... this at minimum is a good reminder just how freaking extensive the hacking was.
Achilleaze
(15,543 posts)Thank you for helping to expose how the Russians and the Republicans are making war on democracy, America and honest American citizens.
Raster
(20,998 posts)Pachamama
(16,887 posts)Something to do with the hack of DU...
The hack on DU was pretty significant, even if it was only DU members feeling the pain. It was done to stop active watching over what was happening that election. And to thoroughly demoralize for some sadistic fun.
Barack_America
(28,876 posts)...it would've happened before Trump.
Raster
(20,998 posts)...most likely from 4-chan or reddit. However, point is they stopped us from sharing and comparing information for several days.
I would like to know what other sites were hacked that day.
mopinko
(70,090 posts)seems right up their alley to me.
They did not want - and do not want - the truth exposed.
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)The other question was why DU at all!?!?
Reddit has way more members and why just around election time?!
N_E_1 for Tennis
(9,721 posts)TheBlackAdder
(28,189 posts)benld74
(9,904 posts)riverwalker
(8,694 posts)"The Plot To Hack America"
I am only halfway through, pretty terrifying.
http://skyhorsepublishing.com/titles/12572-9781510723320-plot-to-hack-america