Team Obama Likes Its Chances: AZ, VA, NC Could Go Democrat In 2012

[RandySF]

In a video to supporters Thursday, Obama 2012 campaign manager Jim Messina made public the many paths to 270 electoral votes he sketched out for reporters last month.

The major highlights: Messina says the campaign is working with more than 40 pathways to victory next year, including strategies that run through Florida and the Midwest (where team Obama has pointed to Democratic organizing in Ohio during the SB5 fight as a key to holding the Buckeye State.)

Perhaps most interesting is the campaign’s continued confidence in the South and the confirmation that the Obama campaign thinks Arizona is in play.

Messina describes a “New South map,” which retains Obama’s electoral victories in North Carolina and Virginia. Despite hardening opposition to Obama among Republicans in recent years, polls have shown Obama running fairly strong in North Carolina against his potential Republican opposition and still performing well in Virginia.

Messina says the campaign is confident those trends will continue, and has put a lot of stock in hanging onto the two southern states.

http://2012.talkingpointsmemo.com/2011/12/team-obama-az-va-nc-could-go-democrat-in-2012-video.php?ref=fpnewsfeed

[catabryna]

1. Democratic... nt

[onehandle]

2. Southerners don't consider Virginia part of the South. nt

[SixthSense]

3. VA? No way

look at the 2009 and 2010 results in Virgina.

It would take fantastic things to turn that around and let's face it, fantastic things are not happening.

[LonePirate]

4. I've thought for a while AZ will be a Dem pickup in 2012.

Obama can win in 2012 without winning any of these three states; but the Rs must win all three to have a chance at the Presidency. Even if Mittens is the nominee, I think he loses all three states and Obama scores an easy victory.

[lindysalsagal]

5. If the GOP thought it had half a chance, you'd see some better candidates this year.

Christie in NJ and others have been begged and begged, to no avail.

I really find it hard to believe that Perry and Bachmann and Romney and Gingrich are the best they have. I really think there must be some talent in that party, but it's sitting this one out.