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Tue Feb 14, 2017, 03:10 AM

The Kremlin is Starting to Worry About Trump

Vladimir Putin's entourage cheered the outcome of the U.S. election Ė until they saw exactly what they were dealing with.

By Ivan Krastev, Stephen Holmes
February 13, 2017

But Trumpís revolution is also ushering in a period of turmoil and uncertainty, including the likelihood of self-defeating trade wars. Still traumatized by the disintegration of the Soviet Union, Russiaís present leadership has no appetite for global instability.

With Trump in the White House, moreover, Putin has lost his monopoly over geopolitical unpredictability. The Kremlinís ability to shock the world by taking the initiative and trashing ordinary international rules and customs has allowed Russia to play an oversized international role and to punch above its weight. Putin now has to share the capacity to keep the world off balance with a new American president vastly more powerful than himself. More world leaders are watching anxiously to discover what Trump will do next than are worrying about what Putin will do next. Meanwhile, using anti-Americanism as an ideological crutch has become much more dubious now that the American electorate has chosen as their president a man publicly derided as ďPutinís puppet.Ē

What the Kremlin fears most today is that Trump may be ousted or even killed. His ouster, Kremlin insiders argue, is bound to unleash a virulent and bipartisan anti-Russian campaign in Washington. Oddly, therefore, Putin has become a hostage to Trumpís survival and success. This has seriously restricted Russiaís geopolitical options. The Kremlin is perfectly aware that Democrats want to use Russia to discredit and possibly impeach Trump while Republican elites want to use Russia to deflate and discipline Trump. The Russian government fears not only Trumpís downfall, of course, but also the possibility that he could opportunistically switch to a tough anti-Moscow line in order to make peace with hawkish Republican leaders in Congress.

It is emblematic that, in their first telephone call, Putin refused to press Trump on lifting the sanctions or on Americaís discontinuing support for Kiev. Moscow has also chosen to ignore some harsh anti-Russian statements issued by certain members of the new administration. The renewed fighting in eastern Ukraine might seem like a counterexample, but the Kremlin swears that the Petro Poroshenko government in Kiev is the guilty party, aiming at getting the attention of anti-Russian U.S. Congress members and thereby providing a potent argument against Trumpís appeasement of Putin. In any case, Russia has been trying to find ways to accommodate the U.S. president, including, for example, echoing the White Houseís denials that Ambassador Sergei Kislyak discussed sanctions with Michael Flynn before Trumpís inauguration as well as announcing plans to reconsider Trumpís demand to set up safe zones inside Syriaóa proposal that was initially rejected by the Russians.

Far more at this link:
http://foreignpolicy.com/2017/02/13/the-kremlin-is-starting-to-worry-about-trump/

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Response to manicraven (Original post)

Tue Feb 14, 2017, 03:12 AM

1. You know what they say about "lying with pigs that lie".

 

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Response to manicraven (Original post)

Tue Feb 14, 2017, 03:13 AM

2. This is why crooked actions are inadvisable...

They backfire.

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Response to manicraven (Original post)

Tue Feb 14, 2017, 03:28 AM

3. Kick for now.. looks like a compelling article.. Mahalo, manicraven

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Response to Cha (Reply #3)

Tue Feb 14, 2017, 03:51 AM

4. Thanks, Cha! It's sure interesting! All of this Russia ties and hacking - it's like a spy novel!

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Response to manicraven (Reply #4)

Tue Feb 14, 2017, 04:02 AM

5. And today's news developments are brought to us...

--From Russia With Love



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Response to pinboy3niner (Reply #5)

Tue Feb 14, 2017, 05:01 AM

10. Russia indeed!

It's a complicated spy novel, but eventually it leads to a brave former MI6 officer, Christopher Steele, in hiding after releasing information about a Russian dossier that went all the way to President Obama, and the story is also about a very dead Oleg Erovinkin, who died "mysteriously," but more than likely at the request of Putin for leaking info to Steele. Although the dossier was quickly discounted by the news media and the story vanished from the headlines, it suddenly re-emerged when US agents from several organizations admitted that they had been able to partially corroborate it, a dossier with claims about tRump's personal and financial dealings in Russia--a dossier so damning that one person has been murdered regarding it and another is in hiding.

But there's more... Another chapter involves tRump's national security advisor, Flynn, resigning over "lies," which is a smokescreen and possible attempt to cover up something much more sinister in order to protect tRump, who more than likely orchestrated phone calls that could lead to charges of treason and impeachment for undermining the United States...

At least, this is my basic understanding of events. I really hope this all gets straightened out and the complete truth comes out.

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Response to manicraven (Reply #4)

Tue Feb 14, 2017, 04:39 AM

9. It most certainly is like a really interesting spy

novel. No wonder I'm so intrigued.

ETA.. Plus the added attraction of potentially bringing down trump by all that's right.

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Response to Cha (Reply #9)

Tue Feb 14, 2017, 05:02 AM

11. Yes! I'm intrigued, too, and keep checking for the next tidbit... I want justice to prevail!

I also think there's so much more that we don't know yet, and I'm extremely curious...

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Response to manicraven (Reply #11)

Tue Feb 14, 2017, 05:08 AM

12. AKA/.. lookiing for the next

installment.. It should be just the tip of the iceberg which has taken its sweet time to surface.

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Response to manicraven (Original post)

Tue Feb 14, 2017, 04:16 AM

6. KnR and a Schadenfreudelicious chuckle. Not a full on LOL, though. Things are too scary.

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Response to Hekate (Reply #6)

Tue Feb 14, 2017, 04:26 AM

7. Exactly! More like nervous laughter...

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Response to manicraven (Original post)

Tue Feb 14, 2017, 04:38 AM

8. Trump might be ousted, tho unlikely, but it's Kremlin paranoia to fear he'd be killed..

that's just not how we deal with our corrupt officials here.

How insane is Russia and Trump's other puppet masters to think there's an execution squad waiting for Easy D if he falls from grace.

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Response to manicraven (Original post)

Tue Feb 14, 2017, 05:55 AM

13. The Kremlin is getting nervous because the US might unfold the Kremlin's whole spy network

If Flynn starts to talk, then US intelligence might connect other moles and their actions to Flynn. Plus Flynn's methods of contact might be duplicated with other administration officials.

The FBI just needs to investigate.

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