General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsI hope the Supreme Court kills the Affordable Health Care Act. ALL of it.
A good chunk of voters will be really pissed. The Republicans have NO alternative.
Denial of benefits due to pre-existing conditions. Kids 26 and under kicked off their parents' health care insurance. Small businesses don't get their tax credits for insuring their employees.
Single payer is back on the table, folks. Democrats, IF they seize on this, can make some serious political hay out of this.
Am I wrong? Aren't we better off in the long run here? We might just get single payer out of this?!
annabanana
(52,791 posts)one and the other.
I cannot wish for that.
hlthe2b
(102,200 posts)stevedeshazer
(21,653 posts)Posteritatis
(18,807 posts)If the whole thing's ruled unconstitutional two things will happen:
* The health system will immediately go back to the original status quo, and
* It will stay there for most of a generation (again), because it will take a new court in addition to a whole new set of legislation to even attempt again.
woo me with science
(32,139 posts)freshwest
(53,661 posts)There is a thread here on when the checks are ordered to be sent, even though it said that some of the insurers were holding back notifying people. They were still required to pay it.
The ACA says that not only did they have to stop denying coverage - now, not in the future - but they owe all they charged above what differed from administrative cost that Medicare gets as opposed to direct patient care. They got smacked down about trying to put the cost of advertising in the direct care portion and squealed.
The for-profit insurance industry is and will be losing profit from the ACA. They have tried to change the law but Obama has refused.
I follow closely because of the people I know covered with pre-existing and the extensions on who gets covered. The videos and text I saw and read, said the bill would starve the insurance industry. Some were complaining and shaking off coverage for that reason, saying they wanted their clients to be covered by the government.
There are even provisions in the ACA for the expected and intended jobs lost in the private insurance industry spelled out clearly because it will eventually drive everyone into single payer, like Medicare for all. If patients want to negotiate more coverage with private insurers, they can do as they now do with supplementary insurance.
The for-profit insurers did not oppose this bill because they were going to make a killing off of it, but because it was going to reduce their profits, strangling them. IMO, the ACA is designed to become single payer due to investors refusing to support the lower profits of the private companies.
Hoyt
(54,770 posts)Pab Sungenis
(9,612 posts)for a program that doesn't kick in for most people until 2014.
Not that I want to see the thing thrown out, but if it is we have a chance to pass single payer in 2013. Especially if real health reform and the Supreme Court become election issues.
stevedeshazer
(21,653 posts)Thanks, Pab. This point of view is bound to be unpopular, but I'm hoping for something greater.
Peace, out.
dionysus
(26,467 posts)i'm all ears Pab.
Whisp
(24,096 posts)because something makes no sense at all.
what, the GOP is going to suddenly play nice with SP?
geeeeze!!!!
kenny blankenship
(15,689 posts)and more would go on dying, because the Obamacare is an INSURANCE "reform" not a healthcare reform. Having insurance doesn't mean you get healthcare. Having a "subsidy" for your premiums doesn't mean you could afford to use your insurance. Millions have been bankrupted from illnesses who had insurance, and that would not change one bit under Obamacare. We would still be the asshole of the developed world in that regard. People would still die in the USA because insurance goons refuse to authorize diagnostic tests on a timely basis, allowing their diseases to progress incorrectly diagnosed. People with preexisting conditions would still be unable to afford their coverage. There were no cost controls - the so-called Medical Loss Ratio is an incentive to collude with providers to drive prices up relentlessly, and didn't shave the insurers' profit margins even back to what they were in the Clinton era. The whole thing was a sham to cement a dysfunctional, extortionate "system" into place in perpetuity and to PREVENT modernization and reform from occurring.
People should take their anger and demand something that would actually work.
taught_me_patience
(5,477 posts)If the entire act is thrown out... congress will not touch health care for another 20 years.
stevedeshazer
(21,653 posts)Yeah, some will suffer and some will die. But if we do NOTHING, the suffering will become even worse. And no, it can't go another 20 years. The system is broken. Something has to happen.
taught_me_patience
(5,477 posts)Many are almost gleeful at the prospect of the mandate being struck down and those with preexisting conditions being denied insurance.
mazzarro
(3,450 posts)IOW too centrist to want to put up the fight necessary to push an alternative that rank-and-file Democrats especially liberals will like.
Sherman A1
(38,958 posts)I don't see this coming up again for a very long time if ever. Half a loaf might be better than none at this point.
sadbear
(4,340 posts)To go from nothing to single-payer is a BIG leap, but to go from Obamacare to single-payer will probably be easier to digest. But that's just my take on contemporary American politics.
leftstreet
(36,103 posts)Went from nothing to Social Security...
sadbear
(4,340 posts)A lot has happened since then.
nobodyspecial
(2,286 posts)is actually easier than trying to overhaul an entrenched system. Think of all of the steps that need to be taken to make the transition a smooth one and guarantee continuity of care. And, even if they did pass single payer, it would be phased in. Adding millions to the system overnight would overwhelm it.
demtenjeep
(31,997 posts)really?
thanks
stevedeshazer
(21,653 posts)JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)take comfort in your argument.
stevedeshazer
(21,653 posts)That is the goal. How dare you accuse me of wishing death on your niece. Give me a freaking break.
JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)She is 16, had a very severe cancer at 2. For the last 14 years, her only coverage has been for routine illness, or sports injury.
Everything else was blocked by "pre-existing condition" ... she has regular kidney stones ... has to go to teh hospital regularly. Its rather expensive.
After the ACA passed, she was covered for such things ... if its over turned, she's screwed, again.
So as you wish for the ACA to be struck down, know that a 16 year old girl will absolutely suffer as a result. Whether that is you intent or not.
stevedeshazer
(21,653 posts)Of course it is not my intent.
Yes, I'm aware that some will suffer short-term. I lost my brother to brain cancer four months ago. Our health care system could not save his life, regardless of the state of our rotten-to-the-core health care system.
Best wishes to your niece.
JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)I can't recall the name of it ... but its normally a brain cancer.
In her case, it was located not in the brain, but in neurons near her pancreas.
Apparently, that was a very lucky break, because its location caused her to have symptoms which helped them find it quickly. From what I understand, this cancer is usually fast moving, and if it starts in the brain, there are very few symptoms ... so when they find it, its already too late.
She survived a long series of Chemo treatments. But now at 16, she has many side effects to deal with ... headaches, kidney stones, and she may not be able to have children.
For the last 10 years or so, she could only get coverage for basic kid illnesses (cold, flu) and for sports injuries. The insurer does not want to pay for treatment and meds for the kidney stones ... but now they have to.
She's going to need lots of medical treatment going forward, and she no longer has to worry that if the cancer returns, she'll have no coverage.
Thank you very much for your wishes for her. My sister is ecstatic, she's spent years terrified that my niece's cancer would return, and that she'd get no coverage.
DevonRex
(22,541 posts)in the time between the two? Oops?
Understanding, of course, that neither is actually in your control. In times like these it's perhaps better to keep your own counsel, though.
dionysus
(26,467 posts)proclamations.
DevonRex
(22,541 posts)who will suffer the consequences apparently. Or perhaps they're willing to sacrifice them for the greater good. Mustve been reading The Lottery recently or something and got the point all screwy.
Posteritatis
(18,807 posts)gateley
(62,683 posts)your disagreement in a more civil manner? We're the good guys, remember?
JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)She had cancer at 2. The death rate for that cancer is 90%.
She survived it.
But no insurance company would cover her until the ACA.
She has many health issues related to that cancer ... kidney stones, headaches, she may never be able to have children.
When she has had a kidney stone, its not covered by insurance. Well, before the ACA passes, since then, those are covered. The meds she needs are covered.
If the ACA goes away, she is screwed, again.
We are talking about real people. And given the fact that my niece's life is in the balance, I think I was quite civil.
DevonRex
(22,541 posts)gateley
(62,683 posts)"give some thought to those who will be affected if it is struck down...", that's all.
Wow, I'm really sorry about your niece. Illness in loved ones is always painful, but when it affects helpless little kids it just tears your heart out.
MineralMan
(146,284 posts)What the OP is proposing will mean a complete end to health care for all those for whom ACA has made health care possible
Throwing the baby out with the bathwater is a solution for nothing.
stevedeshazer
(21,653 posts)You think small.
upaloopa
(11,417 posts)Unless we have over 60 votes in the Senate and a huge majority in the House and Obama is willing to sign it into law it will never happen.
What you are saying is that you want to start hitting yourself over the head because it feels good when you stop!
kestrel91316
(51,666 posts)will NEVER happen. When less than 50% of Americans have any medical insurance whatsoever that day will come. We will steamroll all over you people.
And if ACA is overturned, that day isn't far away.
stevedeshazer
(21,653 posts)This type of negative thinking just gets in the way.
You're right.
AndyTiedye
(23,500 posts)We're still talking about decades of misery and death here.
chowder66
(9,066 posts)stevedeshazer
(21,653 posts)Look in the mirror.
chowder66
(9,066 posts)and I live in California. So are you talking about a state by state solution only... because I was asking about votes on the hill.
AndyTiedye
(23,500 posts)kestrel91316
(51,666 posts)whatsoever.
One of the 99
(2,280 posts)If the Supreme Court kills the Act, it will be the end of Healthcare Reform in our lifetime. No elected official will go anywhere near Healthcare for 50 or 60 years.
Control-Z
(15,682 posts)Welcome to DU, One of the 99.
bornskeptic
(1,330 posts)Truman, Nixon, Clinton, Obama. Of course, if it comes up again in 20 years, it will probably go down again. I was here for the first four tries, but I don't think I'll make it to the fifth one if the court strikes it down this time.
One of the 99
(2,280 posts)A supreme court decision would be a game changer and no president would dare try again in our lifetimes.
kestrel91316
(51,666 posts)healthcare reform and Single Payer dead.
This gig must pay pretty well - there are lots of you out in force today.
Wait Wut
(8,492 posts)...with an accusation of paid shill? Guess what, if I got paid for being realistic, I wouldn't need to worry about keeping the ACA because I'd be able to get insurance. I've been around long enough to know that things are done in steps. Your blind faith in getting enough votes in the House and Senate to provide single payer is cute as hell. Literally. I fought this fight over decades until I realized that I really don't think like the majority of this country. I sure as hell don't think like the majority of politicians. Being a Progressive is fine and dandy, but thinking you can change the way things have been done for decades overnite is delusional. I learned the hard way. Now, I fight for taking those small steps because I know that's how things really get done. You can call me a Debbie Downer all you want. Childish names won't change logic and reality.
You and the others can go ahead and hope it gets struck down. I'm hoping I can go to a doctor before I have another stroke, the cancer comes back, before I go completely blind, before I'm 50.
One of the 99
(2,280 posts)So please don't put words in my mouth. I hope that the court upholds most or all of the law. But if it is struck down now, that is not the road to single payer. That's just unrealistic.
TheKentuckian
(25,023 posts)would have absurdly expensive coverage.
Your assertion is pretty close to impossible. To last 60 years without captured customers that are subsidized by the government would require the cartel would have to overhaul its self far, far beyond anything the Wealthcare and Profit Protection Act ever dreamed of in its most bright-eyed and earliest stages.
One of the 99
(2,280 posts)unconstitutional would somehow lead to single payer IS impossible.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)What is wrong with you??
MrSlayer
(22,143 posts)A public option at the very least. If they knock this down you can forget anything being done for health care for another twenty years, if ever.
How naive it is to think that any of those bought off whores in Congress want single payer. They don't and they won't, ever. Because their owners say no. They'll never give up the cash cow.
Want you are wishing is that millions of people get hurt. There will be no do overs on this issue.
unblock
(52,183 posts)if aca is completely struck down, the reality is that insurers will keep a few of the popular features, like keeping kids on until age 26, and quietly drop others, like lifetime maximums.
there will be no fix to the law until democrats get solid control of both houses and the white house, which is to say, not any time soon.
politically, i'm definitely in the half-a-loaf is better than none camp.
constitutionally, i think it's a no-brainer perfectly fine constitutionally. bad law, perhaps, but perfectly constitutional.
Nye Bevan
(25,406 posts)So the sick can take comfort that they should only gave to wait until
2029.
matmar
(593 posts)...when hell freezes over.
There isn't anyone who holds any real power that will make single payer a frontburner issue.
They don't have the balls. Especially in the Citizens United Era.
ellie
(6,929 posts)My sister had cancer and a brain tumor and lost her health insurance because of her pre-existing conditions. If it is overturned, there is no guarantee that her insurance company would still cover her. So your hopes and wishes may very well be a death sentence for her.
Control-Z
(15,682 posts)On what planet would the republican tea baggers allow that?
spanone
(135,816 posts)and work for the corporatists. they will never introduce any form of healthcare.
Bolo Boffin
(23,796 posts)But the chaos this will throw an already nutty market into? I just don't want to see that happen. We can get to single payer with the ACA in place.
Puzzledtraveller
(5,937 posts)they will just raise everyones premiums, again, to pay for it. However, since this legislation was just a big fat gift to the insurance industry they get their payday anyway.
riderinthestorm
(23,272 posts)as an employment benefit.
That will happen if the mandate is upheld in my opinion. Why? Because employers won't have any incentive to keep employees covered - it will be mandated by law that insurance companies provide coverage to everyone so the employer will simply get out of the game.
The penalty is FAR smaller than paying for an employee's health insurance plan. Besides, the employer doesn't have to hire an administrator(s?), doesn't have to hassle with employee programs (locating them, shopping, pricing etc.) Small business credits aren't high enough to incentivize them to provide it (besides those with less than 50 employees won't be required to provide it at all).
A person's health care should never have been tied to employment in the first place. The individual mandate will usher many, many people off their employer plans as they fold them up.
The demand for single payer will explode imho. But for that to happen, the mandate must be upheld.
Motown_Johnny
(22,308 posts)and they will filibuster any attempt at a single payer system while screaming "SOCIALISM!"
I would like to see the mandate go so we have a shot at a public option but we need the majority of the law to stand.
GarroHorus
(1,055 posts)of deaths is all worth it in the end.
NNN0LHI
(67,190 posts)stevedeshazer
(21,653 posts)At least for now.
NNN0LHI
(67,190 posts)Though I also do think it would have been appropriate to mention this in your OP as it was pertinent to the position you are taking.
Don
salin
(48,955 posts)who can buy concierge plans from their doctors.
The propaganda machine has become so strong and so effective that the emotional responses regarding health care are muddled and confused - regardless of personal circumstances. Add the propaganda effect now fully endorsed by the Supremes per unlimited donations per Citizens United - and I can't imagine there will be any political will to address the ills of our health system for the next two decades.
NYC Liberal
(20,135 posts)How many times has it been said "The Republicans will be FORCED to do x"? People said if Bush's crimes were exposed then the Republicans would be forced to go along with impeachment. People said the Republican party was dead after 2006 and 2008. Yet lots of people keep voting for them.
Republicans will fight and block single payer tooth and nail, you can bank on that.
I don't support using people's lives to make a political point, whether it be the draft or health care.
Chorophyll
(5,179 posts)No thank you. There are real people's lives to be considered right now.
Proud Liberal Dem
(24,402 posts)It would be huge disaster for a lot of people. While I'm sure that you're not heartless (unlike the Republican sociopaths we all know and dislike) about people losing the benefits that they have already gained, surely you realize that there's going to be a lot hurt to go around while we try to round up enough progressive votes in Congress to get to Single Payer? There's no doubt that a strike-down of PPACA is going to be a losing proposition for the Republicans but it's going to immediately negatively effect a lot of people in the meantime, particularly since we have nothing resembling the kind of Congress that would ever seriously contemplate Single Payer right now, almost certainly won't have one after the November elections for at least the next two years, and the Republicans really don't care about helping people and have done jack squat for the American people for the past 3-4 years, so what makes you think that they're going to start caring if PPACA is completely thrown out? It would be MUCH better IMHO to fight to preserve what we have and get more progressives in Congress to make the changes we want to make (i.e. public option) in the law + a President willing to sign them into law.
stevedeshazer
(21,653 posts)Eventually, we have to get to single payer. That's the bottom line.
Proud Liberal Dem
(24,402 posts)but it won't happen anytime soon and completely scrapping PPACA won't help things, particularly in the short term. Keeping it and building on it (and getting it set up at the state level under waivers) is the best, sanest strategy to get to SP nationwide IMHO. I know that you're not rooting for people to die.
liberal N proud
(60,334 posts)That's not how you win elections.
immoderate
(20,885 posts)This scheme is right out of the Heritage Foundation. It's a Republican plan offerred by Democrats and it sucks.
Health care, education, elections have been taken over by the right wing. And the Democrats are the other right wing.
--imm
kestrel91316
(51,666 posts)will give the push for it a whole lot of extra momentum. But I would prefer that it played out another way, with less death and misery, because that is what will ensue in the interim.
MOMFUDSKI
(5,483 posts). . . if the court says the gov can't mandate paying for healthcare then they could take it to the next level which is the gov can't mandate paying for MEDICARE! How d'ya like them apples?
liberalmuse
(18,672 posts)No. That's what I hear conservatives say all the time, because they like the idea of bombing the shit out of something so they can build what "they" want out of scratch - who cares if innocents are killed in the process? The end justifies the means with their ilk. That doesn't work for liberals, because we actually care about human beings. This will set us back when we can't afford to be set back. People will suffer and die needlessly. Our kids who are struggling to be self-sufficient in the shitty economy we boomers dumped on them due to incessant greed, willful ignorance and short-sightedness (yes - most of my generation are incredible, apathetic assholes) will be dropped from their parents health insurance, my daughter included. The thought that the Republicans and their USSC minions are willing to sacrifice human beings to line their pockets makes me unbelievably angry.
TheKentuckian
(25,023 posts)They "expand" coverage and shrink care.
The death will come from self death panels of a person or a family and from pushing already struggling people to the extreme.
You will have set a precedent that the government may dictate our after tax money as they see fit and can even have you buy at the whim and selection of your employer and broadly compel commerce.
You will diminish the quality care of all but the wealthy and most fortunate while us in steerage are stuck paying our tithe to the church of Mammon for some bullshit coverage that we can no way afford to use and worse by the year with the absurd tax on benefits in a vice with the upward pressure of medical inflation. Over time we all get junk and shit care.
You create a too big to fail out of a criminal cartel and set them loose on a treasury with ever shrinking revenue, that will have adverse effects too.
A few pay to play features to be the sugar to make way more than a spoonful of bad law go down that is damn likely to make bad worse overall even accounting for "curbing the worst excesses" of the wicked cartel.
We are about chest deep in the Medicare part D effect here and I totally understand but it does no good to forget the entropy being taken on. People get a feature (one they pay for) and the outcome justifies all the comes with it.
Maybe sometimes it even is worth it at any price but the privileged frame of reference driven sanctimony about saving lives from some pitching fire and brimstone is hollow because folks pretend they don't cause any deaths and/or spread pain if their agenda is fulfilled.
aquart
(69,014 posts)stevedeshazer
(21,653 posts)That's what you think I think?
Hell, no.
Trajan
(19,089 posts)perhaps unrealistic, but his heart is DEFINITELY in the right place .... This is NOT a demand that people die ...
One might rightly argue that single payer would save MORE lives ..... So your response, while realistic, is also quite cynical ..... Perhaps rightly cynical, but cynical nevertheless ....
TreasonousBastard
(43,049 posts)that's what will happen out in the real world.
(The road to hell...)
woo me with science
(32,139 posts)That's a cheap, short-sightedly emotional talking point.
Many, many more people will die from rolling over and allowing the corporate bloodsucking middlemen, who operate and make life and death decisions on profit alone, to be permanently entrenched into the core of our health care system.
TreasonousBastard
(43,049 posts)woo me with science
(32,139 posts)dionysus
(26,467 posts)they'll cry victory and there will be no single payer for decades. be careful what you wish for.
Chan790
(20,176 posts)We will never get to single-payer unless this bill is struck...but if the bill is struck, people are going to suffer.
Political change is born of misery. Always has and will be.
stevedeshazer
(21,653 posts)People are going to suffer either way. Let's get this thing done.
AndyTiedye
(23,500 posts)Decades of misery.
A Congress that would pass single-payer is almost mathematically impossible until at least 2017. It is likely to take far, far longer than that.
flamingdem
(39,313 posts)Plus people who are underemployed and paying individual would have gotten very large subsidies with this, better than with Medicare
bluestateguy
(44,173 posts)because it would surely lay the groundwork for a great progressive revolution.
Please.
Trajan
(19,089 posts)Like a bone dry engine running hard through the hot desert .....
The only thing Democrats have seized lately is a tail between their legs ....
Color me skeptical ....
BTW: Steven ? .... I haven't seen you since Produce Row .... Remember when PDX DUers used to meet up ? .... Whatever happened to us ?
WilliamPitt
(58,179 posts)My wife with MS says "Go fuck yourself."
No, really. I read your post to her. That was her reply.
stevedeshazer
(21,653 posts)I want her to live a long and productive life under a single payer system. One way or another, we are going to get it. Please tell her that.
I'm a pessimist. I think the Supremes are gonna knock this Obamacare thing down. The next step is single payer. Economics are going to force it sooner or later.
Peace, out.
Later.
Enrique
(27,461 posts)we dont have single payer because the Democratic Party does not stand for single payer, our partys lead Senator had single payer advocates removed forcibly from the room.
In order to get single payer, we need to change the Democratic Party so that it stands for it, so that someone like Baucus would be unacceptable to hold a leadership position. And then a presidential candidate who is committed to it, not just lip service but who holds single payer as a cause in their life.
rufus dog
(8,419 posts)Mz Pip
(27,435 posts)that tossing all of ACA will force anyone of either party to do anything? THe GOP will gloat and it will be business as usual and the Dems will be so demoralized that they won't propose anything new for generations. The Democrats won't do squat if ACA is killed.
Oh sure you'll get a few voices in the wilderness proposwing single payer and Medicare for all. But they will be few and far between because most of the Democrats won't havwe the balls to run on health care reform ever again.
I've always thought of ACA as a beginning not a finished product. It's a start; a slow start but a start non the less.
Puregonzo1188
(1,948 posts)down the whole bill.
A lot of people will suffer because of that.
marlakay
(11,447 posts)will touch health care for many many many years .decades. Very sad. Both sides are afraid.
Rowdyboy
(22,057 posts)Douglas Carpenter
(20,226 posts)he couldn't do it. Even in an era when it was completely part of normal mainstream political culture - it couldn't be done. Even in an era where money certainly talked -but nowhere near as loud and controlling as it does today - it couldn't be done.
The moneyed interests that control both political parties simply are not going to allow it. To advance a major social democratic type reform as that - would practically require a social revolution. The vast majority of politicians from both parties are simply not going to defy their paymasters. What are the chances of the mainstream establishment Democratic Party seizing on something so insubordinate to these powerful interest? 0% Thats right; 0% Its not going to happen.
RBInMaine
(13,570 posts)Keep pipe dreaming if it makes you feel better. Ain't gonna pass. Wish it could, but it can't. Please find reality.
Blue_Tires
(55,445 posts)sinkingfeeling
(51,444 posts)be implemented in the USA.
kdmorris
(5,649 posts)gets kicked of my health insurance and has a heart attack because she can't afford medical care. Between overturning it all and "getting single payer"...there could be a LOT of pain and death for a lot of people (not just me). I won't hope for that, ever.
So, sorry... I can't go there with you.
RKP5637
(67,102 posts)track record of the type of democrats we have today, I wouldn't count on this at all. The democrats royally fucked it all up when they had all of the majorities and here we are with this mess today.
Hubert Flottz
(37,726 posts)Without single payer, the "Affordable Health Care Act" is best thing that ever happened for the insurance companies and their shareholders.
The "plan" was so watered down by the time it was signed, it did more harm than good to Joe Sixpack.
Romulox
(25,960 posts)WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)SidDithers
(44,228 posts)Sid
bluestateguy
(44,173 posts)Nye Bevan
(25,406 posts)People with pre-existing health conditions win.
Today was a good day.