2018 TX US Senate Race- Cruz has a 38 percent approval rating /20 percent approval rating among

[nkpolitics1212]

Independents.
TX is the third seat Democrats could pick up assuming a top tier Democratic candidate runs (Castro twins, Wendy Davis, or Beto O'Rourke-D) and Matthew Dowd runs as an Independent and Cruz -R loses in the Republican primary to Louie Gohmert.
The first and second seats Democrats pick up is NV-(Dina Titus, Kate Marshall or Steve Horsford) and AZ (Kristen Synema) and Flake-R loses in the Republican primary. Democrats need to hold onto IN and ND-the most vulnerable Democratic US Senate seats up in 2018.
Democrats need to target
MS (Jim Hood-D) to challenge Roger Wicker-R.
UT(Jim Matheson-D) Hatch-R loses in the primary and John Huntsman and/or Evan McMullen runs as an Independent.

[bluecollar2]

1. Cruz may have a low approval

But he's still running as a republican.

Texas gerrymandering guarantees his win.

If Jesus Christ himself were to show up and run as a Democrat he'd still lose.

Texas is a lost cause...

[Lochloosa]

2. Gerrymanderring has nothing to do with it

Senate races are state wide.

[nycbos]

3. True

But we can't win a statewide race in Texas.

[LaydeeBug]

4. I'm not so sure about that: Harris County swung bluer than blue

and we are going to mobilize.

[nycbos]

5. You need more than Harris County to win a statewide race.

You would have to run up the score bigger than in 2016, have similar margins in the counties with Texas's other big cities but even then you would have to make some inroads in the redneck part of the state which I don't think will happen.

[LonePirate]

7. Clinton won every large urban county in TX except Tarrant. That's a good start.

She racked up huge margins in Harris, Dallas and Travis counties. It's the suburban and rural counties where we have work to do. Yes, it's a long shot but with the right candidate, strong mobilization, anti-45 fervor and some luck, we could defeat Cruz, especially in a three way race.

[Adrahil]

8. What if the GOP had assumed it could never win a state-wide race in Maryland?

Maryland would not have Governor Hogan to contend with.

You can't win if you don't play.

[dancePop]

6. You're wrong about gerrymandering for the Senate but you still make a good point.

Democrats will not win Texas in a state wide race. It will take a few more years before that happens.

[lagomorph777]

9. How many angry Latinos has Trump generated in TX?

Let me give you a clue: ALL of them. They're a large and growing voter block. The GOP is due for demographic Karma.

[dancePop]

10. Still not enough, yet.

It's getting close, though.

[gopiscrap]

14. welcome to DU

[ananda]

12. Senate is statewide so gerrymandering does not apply there.

nt

[Justice]

11. John Huntsman being considered for Tillerson's #2 at State

[Buckeyeblue]

13. Unenthusiastic R's stay home

I'm just going to guess here. If 45 survives to 2018, he will surely by have even lower approval ratings. What's Cruz going to run on? Or maybe he doesn't run.