So, let's hear your predictions: Does the House pass the AHCA?

[Drunken Irishman]

I'm thinking - no.

But I can never underestimate the cowards on the right.

[Squinch]

1. No, but they kill the ACA with a thousand cuts and when it falls they blame the

Democrats.

[wcmagumba]

2. I'm thinking the pu**y grabbers will vote for it...

no matter what they are saying today.

[MineralMan]

3. I won't predict this one.

Could go either way.

[KingCharlemagne]

4. Early vote counts have it a toss up. Right now, for example, 22 'no' votes

are required for the bill to fail, according to The Hill and right now there are 22 'no' votes.

[librechik]

5. they rigged the election somehow--why wouldn't they do the same for a House bill?

IOW--we are so fucked. I can't predict what will happen.

[janterry]

6. my guess

is yes

[Demsrule86]

42. I don't think so...what is the point?

The bill will die in the Senate.

[Equinox Moon]

7. The media is predicting no.

I think if it does pass house and senate, that we will see law after law cutting holes into ACA. We have seen republicans do this with many other laws they don't like.

[Agschmid]

8. Yes it will pass the house.

Then what happens next will decide the fate of it.

If you start to hear "delay" mutterings then they know there were more than 22 "no's".

[underpants]

10. I agree. It will pass.

They are scared to death Trump will turn his horde on them even in their gerrymandered districts.

[randome]

17. I think this fear is overblown. Dolt45 has shown no experience in puppetry.

His minions, perhaps, but they are too incompetent to do anything effective.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]Never stop having childhood dreams.[/center][/font][hr]

[tavernier]

9. No.

[NightWatcher]

11. I predict the vote will be "rescheduled" and then we won't hear about it for a few months

[librechik]

16. I like this--sounds so typical RepuKKe

[gratuitous]

22. They don't dare bring it to a floor vote and lose

Far too much damage would be inflicted on Republican representatives both for and against the bill. If they can't count enough votes to pass it in the next 24 hours, I think you're right. The bill will be rescheduled or tabled or someone will see a black cat and demand that the House adjourn for the day, then it will be "Bill? What bill? American Health Care Act? Never heard of it."

We'll see how inclined our bulldogs of the Fourth Estate will be to shove that failure up the Republicans' pasty white asses.

[IndianaDave]

12. No - There's too much dissension among the factions.

Some think it's too liberal. Some think it's too restrictive. Some think it will cost too much. Some don't want to give Paul Ryan the satisfaction. And some are afraid to vote against the will of their constituents - whom they heard from pretty loudly and clearly during the Town Meetings. I think this all adds up to too few votes.

[bdamomma]

13. well we will see after they were

bullied by rump yesterday. It will not be passed by the Senate.

[Adrahil]

14. Yes, barely. Dies in the Senate. NT

[NCTraveler]

15. Yes, it will pass the House. Die in the Senate.

They only need to get one or two more Republicans in the house. There are few easier marks. It won't even take that much effort for them to pay off one or two more.

[MFM008]

18. Not in Senate

.......dunno about house.

[WinkyDink]

19. No. Enough are sufficiently self-preserving not to go all-in on this for Trump. Death by MoW.

[Proud Liberal Dem]

25. I think that they are pretty much screwed no matter how they vote, really

If they vote against it, they get Trump attacking them and possibly supporting a primary challenger next year (if he's still around, that is) and if they vote for it, they get a Democrat- backed up by an angry crowd of voters appalled by this POS bill who could potentially throw them out of office.

[WinkyDink]

32. Now you've gone and made me all verklempt.

[old guy]

20. Yes.

[LeftInTX]

21. Yes

[Proud Liberal Dem]

23. Hmm.......tough call about the House

Unless the Freedom Caucus wants to really kill it, I think that it *might* pass the House (no less than Ryan's speakership is at stake) but I can't see it going anywhere in the Senate. It would be delicious if it fails in the House, though.

[Eliot Rosewater]

30. The "freedom caucus" are they the ones who dont like it because

it doesnt do enough harm to poor people?

[Proud Liberal Dem]

36. Yup

They think that (poor) people should have "freedom"........from life.

[Eliot Rosewater]

38. When your gop voting neighbor finds out his Medicare is gone, and he turns to YOU

and blames YOU, that is when you will know there is no chance, none, of us surviving these assholes.

I pray I am wrong

[Proud Liberal Dem]

40. I'll tell him (or her) where to shove it

There are no Democrats voting for ACHA and no self-respecting Democrat voted for Trump for POTUS. This is all on them.

[herding cats]

24. Probably.

It's really close right now. At this moment several someone's are negotiating for some much desired perk to lock this in.

[gopiscrap]

26. no

[DrDan]

27. Yes - passing this first bill, a signing ceremony, bragging rights - all too important to trump

he will spend whatever taxpayer's dollars to make this happen - all their Christmas wishes will be granted

[SummerSnow]

28. Trump might be buying votes. 'CHECK IS IN THE MAIL'

[Eliot Rosewater]

29. The story is it is DOA in the Senate. So a smart

gop asshole will vote no so they can pretend they care about their constituents, when of course were it passable they would vote yes.

How do we convince truck drivers and Walmart greeters and 7/11 clerks that the GOP wants to kill them? Because they do.

[Demsrule86]

39. I agree completely with you...the no vote gives conservatives cover...those constiuents who want it

repealed will approve as their elected rep tried and those who want it left alone will breathe a sigh of relief.

[Satch59]

31. I think no...

NBC reported that after Trump's strong arm meeting yesterday, he lost 10 more... I think he's pissing them off with his lies and they've heard too much from their constituents, saying this is a terrible bill... I agree that Ryan wouldn't bring it to a vote if it won't pass, but either way, a delay is a loss for Trump/Ryan & Co.

[Vinca]

33. No. One thing you can count on with Republicans is they want to save their own skin first.

But they're kind of in a lose-lose situation. If they vote "yes," they piss off their base because they want full repeal. They also piss off moderates who don't want to kill so many poor people all at once. If they vote "no," they piss the same people off because they expected something to happen. It's kind of amusing.

[Demsrule86]

41. But their constiutents who wanted a repeal know their rep tried if they vote no.

And those who want ACA left alone still have ACA...this is the only vote that helps conservatives.

[marlakay]

34. I think it will pass

Because Trump is threatening to primary people if they don't.

Also because Republicans tend to follow in lock step no matter how awful.

The senate though I don't think will pass unless they change more of it.

[Amishman]

35. Eventually, I think they are just posturing for pork and pet issues

Once enough bribes are cooked into the bill, it will pass.

The senate is the wildcard IMO. Not sure what will happen there.

[Demsrule86]

37. No...not unless they change it to improve the ACA and call it Trumpcare and get

Democratic votes.

[ProfessorGAC]

43. You're Asking Me?

I'm the one who said that "it" had no chance to beat HRC. Apparently, i'm no good at this sort of thing.