2018 US House Elections-Democrats guide to a majority.

[nkpolitics1212]

Democrats need a net gain of 24 seats. Democrats should target Republican held Congressional Districts which Republicans carried in 2016/2017 by a margin less than 15 percent.
The Republican held US House seats Democrats have a strong chance of winning in 2018 is
1)CA-10 (Denham-R)
2)CA-21 (Valadao-R)
3)CA-25 (Knight-R)
4)CA-49 (Issa-R)
5)CO-6 (Coffman-R)
6)FL-27 ( Ros-Lehtinen-R )
7)IA-1 (Blum-R)
8)ME-2 (Poliquin-R)
9)MN-2 (Lewis-R)
10)NE-2 (Bacon-R)
11)NY-19 (Faso-R)
12)NY-22 (Tenney-R)
13)PA-8 (Kirkpatrick-R)
14)TX-23 (Hurd-R)
15)VA-10 (Comstock-R)
Democrats have a greater than 50 percent chance of winning in 2018 is
16)AL-2 (Roby-R)
17)AK (Young-R)Begich-D has a better chance of unseating Young in 2018 then Sullivan-R in 2020.
18)AZ-2 (McSally-R)
19)CA-39 (Royce-R)
20)CO-3 (Tipton-R)
21)FL-18 (Mast-R)Murphy-D should run for his old US House seat.
22)FL-26 (Curbelo-R)
23)IL-12 (Bost-R)
24)KS-3 (Yoder-R)
25)MI-11 (Trott-R)
26)MN-3 (Paulsen-R)
27)NJ-6 (Lance-R)
28)NC-2 (Holding-R)
29)NC-13 (Budd-R)
30))PA-6 (Costello-R)
31)PA-16 (Smucker-R)
32)TX-32 (Culberson-R)
33)UT-4 (Love-R)
Democrats have a 50-50 percent chance of winning in 2018 is
34)GA-6(Handel-R)Ossof-D rematch.
35)IN-9 (Hollingsworth-R)
36)IA-3 (Young-R)
37)KS-4 (Estes-R)Thompson-D rematch.
38)MI-1 (Bergman-R)
39)MT(Gianforte-R)Quist-D rematch.

[Warren DeMontague]

1. They say Walden (OR-2) isnt in trouble, but he caught a lot of crap at his town hall the other day.

http://www.oregonlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2017/04/greg_walden_holds_town_halls_i.html

[nkpolitics1212]

2. OR-2 is the only Republican held district in OR.

How do we make OR-2 more Democratic without harming OR-4(DeFazio-D) and OR-5(Schrader-D)?

[Warren DeMontague]

6. I wouldn't worry about the rest of Oregon.

The Democratic Party in Oregon is very popular, in part because here our state party has fully and enthusiastically embraced things like internet freedom, free speech/opposition to censorship, and marijuana legalization.



Beyond that, though, those are Walden's own constituents who are complaining in the town hall. I don't think DeFazio or Schrader's voters are all going to move out to John Day.

[nkpolitics1212]

3. KS-2 should be added on the list.

Paul Davis-D is forming an exploratory commitee.

[Wounded Bear]

4. You need to find your enter key...

The Republican held US House seats Democrats have a strong chance of winning in 2018 is
1)CA-10 (Denham-R)
2)CA-21 (Valadao-R)
3)CA-25 (Knight-R)
4)CA-49 (Issa-R)
5)CO-6 (Coffman-R)
6)FL-27 ( Ros-Lehtinen-R )
7)IA-1 (Blum-R)
8)ME-2 (Poliquin-R)
9)MN-2 (Lewis-R)
10)NE-2 (Bacon-R)
11)NY-19 (Faso-R)
12)NY-22 (Tenney-R)
13)PA-8 (Kirkpatrick-R)
14)TX-23 (Hurd-R)
15)VA-10 (Comstock-R)

Democrats have a greater than 50 percent chance of winning in 2018 is
16)AL-2 (Roby-R)
17)AK (Young-R)Begich-D has a better chance of unseating Young in 2018 then Sullivan-R in 2020.
18)AZ-2 (McSally-R)
19)CA-39 (Royce-R)
20)CO-3 (Tipton-R)
21)FL-18 (Mast-R)Murphy-D should run for his old US House seat.
22)FL-26 (Curbelo-R)
23)IL-12 (Bost-R)
24)KS-3 (Yoder-R)
25)MI-11 (Trott-R)
26)MN-3 (Paulsen-R)
27)NJ-6 (Lance-R)
28)NC-2 (Holding-R)
29)NC-13 (Budd-R)
30))PA-6 (Costello-R)
31)PA-16 (Smucker-R)
32)TX-32 (Culberson-R)
33)UT-4 (Love-R)

Democrats have a 50-50 percent chance of winning in 2018 is
34)GA-6(Handel-R)Ossof-D rematch.
35)IN-9 (Hollingsworth-R)
36)IA-3 (Young-R)
37)KS-4 (Estes-R)Thompson-D rematch.
38)MI-1 (Bergman-R)
39)MT(Gianforte-R)Quist-D rematch.

[Hamlette]

5. If we could take the house and impeach Trump and Pence, Nancy is President in 2018