With only two days to go it's Macron 63 (+4) Le Trump 37 (-4)

[DemocratSinceBirth]

http://www.ipsos.fr/sites/default/files/doc_associe/rapport_ipsoslemonde5mai_0.pdf

[joshcryer]

1. Looks like France has realized the centrist is better than the far right psychopath.

[HoneyBadger]

2. Not only that

The traditional political parties were nowhere near the finish line. Politics is no longer a place for career politicians.

[Yavin4]

3. Don't forget the Putin secret sauce

Numbers can flip on a dime.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

4. He would have to nuke Paris.

[regnaD kciN]

5. And, on the morning of the U.S. presidential election...

...Sam Wang crunched the polling data, and gave Hillary Clinton a greater-than-99% win probability.

(At least France doesn't have an Electoral College. Still, caution is warranted -- that poll appears to have 0% undecided, which tells me they're just omitting them. If the real percentage of undecided is large enough, it could make everything else irrelevant.)

[anneboleyn]

7. They also have hand ballots with ONLY a vote for prez and huge turnout. Our system is ridiculous

as it's hard for people to understand everything on the ballots and/or to be confused by the design of the ballots (the infamous butterfly ballot from 2000 which resulted in Gore losing who knows how many votes). France has a simple ballot for the prez races, and they don't trust the vote counting to electronic voting machines, which we are just supposed to trust or be declared conspiracy theorists. They also have a high turnout (70% and over).

I really hope the French people don't fall for an obvious attempt by Putin and his little servant Assange to elect LePen. If she had any dignity whatsoever (which she doesn't) she would denounce this immediately, and tell the French people to ignore it and vote on their policy differences. It makes HER look like a Putin servant (which she is essentially so I suppose this just makes this fact more obvious).

[DemocratSinceBirth]

8. Hillary Clinton had a three point lead, not a twenty six point one.

[anneboleyn]

6. And like magic! Wikileaks releases Macron emails. What timing Mr. Putin! I hope the French are

much smarter about this than we are -- I hope they realize that this is an appalling, obvious move from Putin's loyal servant Assange and co.