A Smarter Way to Interpret 2017's Special Elections from Cook Report

[wildeyed]

I dunno if this system is perfect, but it is a good framework to start with when thinking about Dem chances for a House majority in 2018.

http://cookpolitical.com/story/10363

The results of individual special elections, like Thursday's in Montana between Democrat Rob Quist and Republican Greg Gianforte, can't always foretell what will happen in the next high-stakes midterm. Each district presents its own unique set of variables, like flawed candidates or dreadfully unpopular governors.

But taken collectively, the margins in specials can tell us a good deal about the political environment — and so far, it's looking really bad for Republicans.

[Demsrule86]

1. Thanks very interesting