General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsDemocrats guide to regaining control of the US Senate starts with defeating Cruz-TX in 2018 and ends
with defeating Gardner-CO in 2020.
2018
Seats Democrats are favored to win by a double digit margin
CA-Feinstein-D 24
CT-Murphy-D 25
DE-Carper-D 26
HI-Hirono-D 27
ME-King-I/D 28
MD-Cardin-D 29
MA-Warren-D 30
MI-Stabenow-D 31
MN-Klobuchar-D 32
NJ-Whoever Democratic Governor Murphy-D appoints. 33
NM-Heinrich-D 34
NY-Gillibrand-D 35
RI-Whitehouse-D 36
VT-Sanders-I/D 37
VA-Kaine-D 38
WA-Cantwell-D 39
Seats Democrats are favored to win by a high single digit margin
AZ-Flake-R loses in the primary to Ward-R/Democrats nominate Stanton-D 40
FL-Nelson-D 41
MT-Tester-D 42
ND-Heitkamp-D 43
PA-Casey-D 44
WV-Manchin-D 45
Seats Democrats are favored to win by a narrow margin
IN-Donnelly-D 46
MO-McCaskill-D 47
NV-Rosen-D 48
OH-Brown-D 49
WI-Baldwin-D 50
Democrats need to win TX-O'Rourke-D to get to 51 seats or wait until 2020.
2020
Democrats are favored to win by a double digit margin
DE-Coons-D 40
IL-Durbin-D 41
MA-Markey-D 42
MI-Peters-D 43
MN-Franken-D 44
NJ-Booker-D 45
NM-Udall-D 46
OR-Merkley-D 47
RI-Reed-D 48
Democrats are favored to win by a high single digit margin
CO-Hickenlooper-D or Perlmutter-D 49
NH-Shaheen-D 50
VA-Warner-D 51
Democrats could also defeat Tillis-NC 52
ImpeachTheGOP
(89 posts)Those Yahoos down there love that asshole even if no one else does.
JNelson6563
(28,151 posts)Very busy campaign! Raised more than Cruz lat Q I believe. He looks quite promising.
ImpeachTheGOP
(89 posts)I detest Cruz more than any politician in the country.
nkpolitics1212
(8,617 posts)We are going to re-elect all our vulnerable incumbents-Nelson-FL,Donnelly-IN,McCaskill-MO,Tester-MT,Heitkamp-ND,Brown-OH,Manchin-WV,and Baldwin-WI by a narrow and high single digit margin and we are going to unseat Republican incumbents in AZ-Flake and NV-Heller.
If we don't defeat Cruz-TX, we have to wait until 2020 to regain control of the US Senate. In 2020, we have few vulnerable incumbents-Shaheen-NH,and Warner-VA. Both or these Senators are going to get re-elected by a high single digit margin. In 2020, there are more vulnerable Republican incumbents up for re-election.
CO-Gardner-R vs Hickenlooper or Perlmutter-D will be a Democratic pickup. Besides Hickenlooper and Perlmutter, Democrats have 2018 Democratic Gubenatorial candidates-Kennedy or Johnston-whoever finishes in 2nd place after frontrunner Polis.
GA-Perdue-R vs 2018 Democratic Gubenatorial candidates-the two Staceys -Abrams or Evans-D will be a Tossup.
IA-Ernest-R vs 2018 Democratic Gubenatorial candidates-Boulton or Pritchard-D will be a Tossup.
ME-Democratic pickup if Collins-R retires or becomes Governor. Democrats nominate Pingree or Michaud-D
MT-Daines-R-Tossup if Bullock-D runs.
NC-Tillis-R vs Cunningham,Ross,Stein,or Wood-D will be a Democratic pickup.