Sat Jul 29, 2017, 10:40 AM

2020 US Senate Election Prediction if popular sitting or former Democratic governors run.

AK-Sullivan-R vs Walker-I/Tossup Democratic
CO-Gardner-R vs Hickenlooper-D/Lean Democratic
LA-Cassidy-R vs Bel Edwards-D/Tossup Democratic
MT-Daines-R vs Bullock-D/Tossup Democratic
NC-Thillis-R vs Cooper-D/Lean Democratic
WV-Capito-R vs Tomblin-D/Tossup Democratic.
Democrats will pick up AZ special and ME-if Collins-R retires.

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6 replies	Author	Time	Post
2020 US Senate Election Prediction if popular sitting or former Democratic governors run. (Original post)	nkpolitics1212	Jul 2017	OP
The presidential democratic ticket can make 2020 another tidal wave..	beachbum bob	Jul 2017	#1
What are the other 2 Democratic pick ups in 2018?	nkpolitics1212	Jul 2017	#3
This how I would rank them	Casprings	Jul 2017	#5
How would Steve Cohen do if he ran for the US Senate against Corker-TN?	nkpolitics1212	Jul 2017	#6
Nothing is a given...	Casprings	Jul 2017	#4
What makes you think Walker would caucus with the Dems.	nycbos	Jul 2017	#2

Response to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Sat Jul 29, 2017, 10:45 AM

beachbum bob (10,437 posts)

1. The presidential democratic ticket can make 2020 another tidal wave..

I also believe 3 democratic pickups are possible in 2018.....heller losing badly in Nevada is a given

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Response to beachbum bob (Reply #1)

Sat Jul 29, 2017, 02:44 PM

nkpolitics1212 (7,879 posts)

3. What are the other 2 Democratic pick ups in 2018?

Both of the AZ US Senate Seats assuming McCain-R leaves the US Senate next year ?
AZ (Flake-R) or TX (Cruz-R)?
Regarding the 2020 Democratic Presidential Ticket's coattails. The Democratic Presidential Ticket will help Democratic US Senate nominee in CO,ME (if OPEN seat),NH (Shaheen-D),NC,and VA (Warner) +2 or 3D
Democratic US Senate incumbents in MI (Peters-D) and MN (Franken-D) will overperform the Democratic Presidential Ticket in their homestate.
US Senate Races where a popular sitting or former governor can turn a US Senate Race from a red state into a tossup is AK (Sullivan-R vs Walker-I),AR (Cotton-R vs Beebe-D),KY (McConnell-R vs Beshear-D),LA (Cassidy-R vs Bel Edwards-D),MT (Daines-R vs Bullock-D)and WV (Capito-R vs Tomblin-D)
The wildcard 2020 US Senate Races are in GA and TX.

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Response to nkpolitics1212 (Reply #3)

Sat Jul 29, 2017, 04:47 PM

Casprings (347 posts)

5. This how I would rank them

1. Heller
2. Flake and McCain's seat (assuming he retires and these seats go together
3. Cruz - TX
4. Bob Cooker - TN

If you get down to picking up Cooker's seat, you are looking at huge majorities in the House. Very unlikely, but I do think a big wave is possible. If you did above and defended everywhere, you would have a 53/47 den majority in the Senate.

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Response to Casprings (Reply #5)

Sat Jul 29, 2017, 05:05 PM

nkpolitics1212 (7,879 posts)