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nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)
Thu Aug 24, 2017, 09:57 PM Aug 2017

2018 US Senate Election Rating-Least to Most Vulnerable Democratic and Republican held seats.

2018
Democratic Held Seats.
Solid Democratic
HI-Hirono-D 24
NY-Gillibrand-D 25
VT-Sanders-I/D 26
DE-Carper-D 27
MN-Klobuchar-D 28
RI-Whitehouse-D 29
CA-Feinstein-D 30
WA-Cantwell-D 31
MD-Cardin-D 32
CT-Murphy-D 33
MA-Warren-D 34
NM-Heinrich-D 35
Likely Democratic
NJ-Whoever Governor Elect Murphy-D appoints to replace Menendez-D 36
MI-Stabenow-D 37
ME-King-I/D 38
VA-Kaine-D 39
PA-Casey-D 40
Lean Democratic
WI-Baldwin-D 41
OH-Brown-D 42
MT-Tester-D 43
FL-Nelson-D 44
ND-Heitkamp-D 45
Tossup Democratc
WV-Manchin-D 46
Tossup Republican
MO-McCaskill-D/Hawley-R 45
IN-Donnelly-D/Messer-R or Rokita-R 46
Republican Held Seats
Solid Republican
WY-Barrasso-R 47
UT-Hatch-R 48
TN-Corker-R 49
MS-Wicker-R 50
NE-Fischer-R 51
Likely Republican
TX-Cruz-R 52
Tossup Democratic
AZ-Flake-R/Sinema-D 47
NV-Heller-R/Rosen-D 48
2020-Democrats guide to a majority
Scenario 1-Democrats win the 2020 US Presidential Election.
Democrats pick up CO,NC,and win the 2020 US Presidential Election
Democrats pick up CO,AZ Special, and win the 2020 US Presidential Election
Democrats pick up CO,ME-if Collins-R is not the Republican nominee, and win the 2020 US Presidential Election.
Democrats pick up CO,MT-if Bullock-D is the Democratic nominee, and win the 2020 US Presidential Election.
Democrats pick up CO,AK-if Berkowitz-D or Begich-D are the Democratic nominee, and win the 2020 US Presidential Election.
Scenario 2-Democrats lose the 2020 US Presidential Election.
Democrats pick up CO,NC,and AZ-Special.
Democrats pick up CO,NC,and ME-if Collins-R is not the Republican nominee.
Democrats pick up CO,NC, and MT-if Bullock-D is the Democratic nominee.
Democrats pick up CO,NC, and AK-if Berkowitz-D or Begich-D is the Democratic nominee.
Democrats pick up CO,AZ Special,and ME-if Collins-R is not the Republican nominee.
Democrats pick up CO,AZ Special, and MT-if Bullock-D is the Democratic nominee.
Democrats pick up CO,AZ Special and AK-if Berkowitz-D or Begich-D is the Democratic nominee.
Democrats pick up CO,ME-if Collins-R is not the Republican nominee,and MT-if Bullock-D is the Democratic nominee.
Democrats pick up CO,ME-if Collins-R is not the Republican nominee, and AK-if Berkowitz-D or Begich-D is the Democratic nominee.
Democrats pick up CO,MT-if Bullock-D is the Democratic nominee,and AK-if Berkowitz-D or Begich-D is the Democratic nominee.



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2018 US Senate Election Rating-Least to Most Vulnerable Democratic and Republican held seats. (Original Post) nkpolitics1212 Aug 2017 OP
Thanks for the list! BigmanPigman Aug 2017 #1
You keep posting these lists, but you don't explain the basis of your analysis... brooklynite Aug 2017 #2
 

brooklynite

(96,882 posts)
2. You keep posting these lists, but you don't explain the basis of your analysis...
Thu Aug 24, 2017, 11:10 PM
Aug 2017

I maintain a 6-page spreadsheet to evaluate competitive races.

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