This is not good - Harvey heading out to sea to return to land

[malaise]

The question is it will return to Houston, somewhere else in Texas or head for Lousiana?

https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/mammoth-flood-disaster-houston-more-rain-yet-come

[LisaL]

1. That's not good.

[icymist]

2. Simulation on Windy TV has it going back out to sea and then hitting Houston head on.

https://www.windy.com/?32.027,-93.076,5

This is not good and I still have a sinking feeling about this one.

[Pope George Ringo II]

3. I've seen this movie before.

I didn't like it the first time.

[malaise]

4. And

NHC will be initiating advisories at 5 PM EDT on Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten, located off the southeast U.S. coast.

[MoonRiver]

11. We tried to warn the cretins!

[malaise]

24. We did

[ornotna]

5. Once in a thousand year event

they're saying. It's not going to be good.

[LisaL]

6. Those seem to be happening regularly lately.

[davekriss]

8. Was just reading that if rainfall reaches...

...60 inches, then it's a once in a million year event.

[Not Ruth]

12. Do they have any reference for this?

Because weather records for the last million years must have some gaps.

[davekriss]

25. This is where I read it

I don't know how to obtain a URL from a tweet, but this: a Propublica tweet made at
3:52 PM today: ah, just figured it out (its in the Washington Post article):

‪ https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2017/08/27/texas-flood-disaster-harvey-has-unloaded-9-trillion-tons-of-water/‬


Some spots may get 50+ inches.

Many textbooks have the 60-inch mark as a once-in-a-million-year event.

washingtonpost.com/news/capital-w…

Just repeating, not vouching for accuracy (as I said in my post, "just read&quot .

[Brother Buzz]

7. Is it heading back out to sea or just turning right and heading east.....

over land? Plenty of rain, for sure, but hurricanes generally lose strength traveling over land

[malaise]

10. Both but the more it heads SE is the greater chance to return as a strong TS

and models vary re Texas or Louisiana.

[steve2470]

9. I crown thee DU Meteorologist-in-Chief

Thanks for all your hard work for us

[malaise]

15. Nah - I'm an amateur - I just give early warnings

for those who pay attention. Remember Harvey was South of my island before he weakened in Central America.

By the way NHC will be initiating advisories at 5 PM EDT on Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten, located off the southeast U.S. coast. And another one rolls off Africa tomorrow,

This is going to be a wild season.

[steve2470]

17. yes it will be

We're both amateurs but, seriously, I'm sure I'm not the only one who appreciates your work.

[malaise]

19. Thanks bro - you're quite a trooper yourself

[BigmanPigman]

13. The Weather Channel predicted this path on Friday.

They did get it right this time. The next "every 1,000 years natural weather disaster" should be coming next year sometime.

[malaise]

16. Yep - models have been pretty accurate here

and yes climate change is having a say

[Binkie The Clown]

14. Texas is getting a taste of what storms of the near future will look like

as global warming continues to pump more heat into the oceans.

[malaise]

18. Agreed

[underpants]

20. Yikes.

[malaise]

22. Meanwhile parts of Florida are being drenched with over

20 inches of rain

[Baitball Blogger]

21. Yikes!

[Elwood P Dowd]

23. Looks like it might be around until Friday.