Latest, very detailed discussion of Irma's possible US impacts, including storm surge estimates

[NRaleighLiberal]

https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/hurricane-irma-extreme-storm-surge-threat-us-and-bahamas


It is very long, has tons of maps, and very weather-geeky - but well worth reading, especially for the various storm surge assessments for Florida, Georgia and South Carolina

[dixiegrrrrl]

1. I hope that lonely model of her coming back around is not accurate. n/t

[NRaleighLiberal]

2. probably just one outlier in a Monte Carlo type simulation. It is where the runs cluster that matter

[No Vested Interest]

3. OMG - I knew about Jose following behind, but there's also TS Katia,

whirling around in the Bay of Campeche.

[malaise]

7. Katia is now a hurricane

https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/category-5-irma-hits-leeward-islands-peak-strength

[malaise]

4. Masters is boss

Sent it to my sis in Miami

[SunSeeker]

5. My Florida relatives say all northbound lanes on the 95 are jammed leaving Florida..

I guess lots of folks don't listen to Limbaugh.

[NRaleighLiberal]

6. maybe the definition of insanity is listening to Limbaugh while not listening to his advice.

Could make their brains explode!

[Pacifist Patriot]

15. Not in Brevard County

Just passed under I95 and it looks no worse than any other day at the moment.

[SunSeeker]

16. They were referring to I95 as it enters Georgia.

Brevard is way south of there and on the coast. I imagine anyone who was going to leave Brevard County would have left by now.

[Pacifist Patriot]

17. Nope. Surprising number left on Friday.

My sister and parents left at 10 a.m. yesterday and didn't have trouble getting to Savannah at all.

We went over to Gainesville and were shocked how well I-75 was moving since the storm was projected to shift west. We actually came back to Brevard County this morning instead of continuing to Georgia.

[malaise]

8. Read the comments below

There are some well informed folks in the field. And they expose the trolls.

[Lokilooney]

9. Well, we have been in an unprecedented hurricane drought for a decade

I guess you could say when it rains it...hurricanes...

[bathroommonkey76]

10. 22-28 ft storm surge off SC and Ga!? WOW!

[SergeStorms]

11. Dr. Masters is great.

I've been following him for about 20 years now. When my daughter went to Tulane University in New Orleans, I wanted to find someone who knew what they were talking about concerning hurricanes. If you've ever been to The Big Easy, you know why. He's always been a fountain of knowledge, and his advice was well heeded when I wanted my girl to get the heck out of N.O. because of approaching weather.

[littlemissmartypants]

12. Thanks, NRL.

Are you cross posting to Weather Watcher's group?

♡lmsp

[CaptainTruth]

13. Thanks for the link.

I'm on Merritt Island, prepared to shelter in place or evacuate. It's going to be bad for S FL, I really feel for those poor folks. I just hope it's not so bad when it gets to us. Our house (built in 1963, part of the space race building boom) has weathered several hurricanes, so if it hits us as Cat 3 or less we should be ok, meaning we'll still have a roof.

[NBachers]

14. Just spoke with my brother in Miami- He's leaving his Hollywood house, and will shelter in place

at his wife's Coral Gables house. They've just done a large multi-year strengthening and fortifying rehab on the place. I'm not too worried about the structure of the house, but I am worried about flooding. They're right on the edge of the University of Miami, so they're a bit inland. The wind and surge will be blowing water up the drainage canals.

I just did a 6 foot sea level rise on Florida Atlantic University's Web App http://citizeneyes.org/app/#tab1 and it looks like they're high enough. I hope so.