General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsCA wants to move to head of class in primaries. See ya Iowa....Kind of love this.
California state lawmakers approved a measure early Saturday that would move the state's presidential primary up several months to the beginning of March, potentially granting California significantly more sway in the nominating process. Kind of love this.
http://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/351011-california-lawmakers-cast-opposition-with-trump-as-a-moral-fight
TreasonousBastard
(43,049 posts)so the candidates don't descend on individual states en masse just before their individual primaries.
(How many Caribbean islands could we rebuild with the money pissed away on campaigning?)
brooklynite
(94,502 posts)...run by candidates who have enough money to buy them?
The advantage of Iowa and NH is thet they test a candidate's abilty to interact with real voters.
yardwork
(61,588 posts)California is true blue. I'd love for them to pick our candidates.
brooklynite
(94,502 posts)Any voter in NH or iowa has the ability to meet the entire panoply of candidates it they wish to. 39 M Californians do not.
stopbush
(24,396 posts)I live in CA. It's about time this most-Democratic, most-progressive state have a MAJOR say in who gets the D nomination. I'm am tired of CA having no real say in the process.
JDC
(10,125 posts)It seems to crush the possibility of an outlier candidate's chances. Once CA goes, a smaller name candidate has no further chance <or> at the very least is immediately placed in a deep catch-up mode. It gives a huge advantage to the well funded aka corporate candidate
TDale313
(7,820 posts)JDC
(10,125 posts)TDale313
(7,820 posts)I'm 46. That's been true for every election I can recall. Yes, there are other ways to have an impact, but we deserve for our votes to matter, too.
marlakay
(11,451 posts)I hated that it was over by time we voted.
I think the fair thing though would be to all vote same day. Little states wouldn't get the pork they do but the millions in the big states the majority would finally have a say!
TDale313
(7,820 posts)But that really would shut lesser known candidates out. I like the idea of rotating regional primaries. That seems most fair to me.
I don't expect California to always be first or early- that would unfair. I would love to see it, at least occasionally, be in the mix. To not have the primaries be decided before it gets to us every time. And because of the electoral college and the fact that we're deep blue, our votes become pretty superfluous in the general, too.
This, of course, is just talking about the Presidental race. State and local races, we're doing incredible stuff here, and I really like the vast majority of our Congress people. Sen Harris is great, and Sen Feinstein's even been stepping up in a lot of ways. Too bad the red states have so much outsized influence there, too.
yardwork
(61,588 posts)There's a clear double standard here.
USALiberal
(10,877 posts)exboyfil
(17,862 posts)Let California go first.
In a sane world there should be a rotating calendar over ten weeks or so where approximately 20% of the population vote each two weeks. The regions could be grouped.
USALiberal
(10,877 posts)mcar
(42,302 posts)chimpymustgo
(12,774 posts)exboyfil
(17,862 posts)should be outreach for other voters as well. The President is president of the entire country. I just want to get away from Iowa and New Hampshire. I don't like the process, and I don't like what the caucus does to my state. I wish like anything that I caucused for Clinton (not Sanders) in the primary - if I knew what was going to happen I would have. I did all I could to encourage others to vote for Clinton in the general election, and I think she would have been a good President.
yardwork
(61,588 posts)Response to exboyfil (Reply #58)
pbmus This message was self-deleted by its author.
SharonClark
(10,014 posts)The repugs dominate the caucuses with 10-20 candidates and spend 2 years bashing Dems more than each other. The media spends 2 years repeating the anti-Dem/pro-repug lies. It has served the repugs well but not the Dems.
USALiberal
(10,877 posts)sharedvalues
(6,916 posts)It's a double edged sword - a big state early gives an advantage to frontrunners. But having California early gives an advantage to progressives.
Personally I'm fed up with Iowa - a state with a racist white supremacist rep (King) - having so much control over who is nominated.
JDC
(10,125 posts)smirkymonkey
(63,221 posts)This country needs to look toward the future or it will crumble by clinging to the past.
exboyfil
(17,862 posts)I agree that we should not have Iowa and New Hampshire go first. I would like to see a ten week primary season where 20% of the population every two weeks. This schedule should be rotated by election.
smirkymonkey
(63,221 posts)I just meant that it is not really representative of the changing face of the country and population-wise is not as significant as California or New York. I'm sure it is a lovely state in many other ways.
SharonClark
(10,014 posts)lunasun
(21,646 posts)Iowa in a liberal city . They do not represent what many Americans want. Plus it's like 95%white and rural
The country has many POC and large metropolitan areas
But the media loves to focus on the Iowa primary results as speaking for America
California is also very large and will help with both the repub and dem selection .
yardwork
(61,588 posts)I've never understood why those two states have such an outsize say in who Democrats choose as our candidate.
teamster633
(2,029 posts)and libertarian-leaning to the extent that the Free State Project chose us as their test-bed. I've essentially lived in NH all my life and the idea that this state should have any say at all in the selection of the Democratic candidate for president is ridiculous.
Response to teamster633 (Reply #50)
yardwork This message was self-deleted by its author.
emulatorloo
(44,115 posts)I am excited for CA to go first but I don't like hearing the progressive and left-liberal Dems in IA being misrepresented that way. You described Republican IA caucus goers, not Iowa's democrats.
cstanleytech
(26,281 posts)have the advantage by making us dance to their tune in Iowa but by making them dance to ours in California it puts them on the defensive as they will not have a home state advantage.
yardwork
(61,588 posts)I don't see why the Democrats should begin their primaries in two small, conservative states. Why not California?
mythology
(9,527 posts)To compete in California with such expensive media markets and higher in general costs?
yardwork
(61,588 posts)Our campaigns appear to be run on social media and data mining now anyway.
JI7
(89,247 posts)Without needing much money.
emulatorloo
(44,115 posts)Social media still isn't everything. Face to face @ union halls, VFWs, town halls still count for a lot. Seeing the candidates up close and personal.
I hope CA does go first this time.
grantcart
(53,061 posts)in California are so expensive that they would cost tens of millions and have little effect. For that reason CA has developed a strong tradition of candidate forums and debates that significantly reduce any financial advantages a candidate may have.
Don't believe me? Ask Meg Whitman, Steve Poizner, Michael Huffington, Steve Westly, Al Cheechi who spent a combined $ 200 million and got nothing for it.
http://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/
Iowa Republicans are among the most religiously aggressively nut jobs in the country
They bear a large responsibility for Trump, had he failed in Iowa he probably would not have gotten the nomination.
Oh and by the way, the well funded candidate, ala Trump won in Iowa because of his ability to swamp the others in the media.
Media in California is so expensive that no one will have the money to make large ad buys and free media has a much greater role than ads. Candidate forums and debates are a fixture in California because it is so expensive and provides a much more even playing field than a state like Iowa. Ten million in ad buys in Iowa will get you the nomination while the same investment in California won't move the numbers more than one or two points where free media forums and debates will launch or destroy a candidate.
stopbush
(24,396 posts)itsrobert
(14,157 posts)No more giveaways, time to address real problems where people actually live.
TeamPooka
(24,221 posts)stopbush
(24,396 posts)the outlier candidate always wins the nomination?
Let's be clear: if CA had gone first in 2016, Hillary would have wrapped things up by early April, Sanders wouldn't have made it past March, and the Party would have been united behind Hillary by April. Sanders would not be around to hold back his support, to try to extract concessions in the platform that didn't help get anyone elected, to threaten a brokered convention, etc.
And as long as CA is moving up their primary, I have a suggestion for the D National Party: no one gets to run for the D presidential nomination unless they have declared themselves as a D and been a card-carrying D for the five consecutive years leading up to the day they declare to seek the nomination. No exceptions. None.
TDale313
(7,820 posts)It's ridiculous for us here in California to have essentially no say in our primaries and be basically irrelevant in the General. Next step- get rid of the electoral college, or at least raise the number of Representatives in the House, which has been capped at the same number since 1910.
greymattermom
(5,754 posts)maybe Montana and Wyoming could share one.
sharedvalues
(6,916 posts)lunasun
(21,646 posts)JustAnotherGen
(31,810 posts)We are near the very end too. Thing is - due to our physical size - it's very easy to run a primary campaign here, with a lot of people - we are dense. And - extremely diverse.
I'm loving the idea of an extremely diverse state jumping ahead. Kudos to CA.
BeyondGeography
(39,369 posts)He and his candidacy could have been crushed with an early California-only contest in 2008 (he lost to Clinton there on Super Tuesday by 8 points, but he fought her to a draw for the day with gains elsewhere). California is massive; far too big for any insurgent candidate or lesser known challengers to cover. If we want to tilt the contest even more in favor of big money establishment-favored candidates who just might not be the best choice, by all means elevate California.
sharedvalues
(6,916 posts)But one could argue his lack of political experience hurt him. Maybe he would have been better off as a senator for another term or two or governor before running for president.
Recently on Pod Save America some ex Obama staffers were discussing their naivete. They said when negotiating a debt ceiling increase, Obama started his offer with tax cuts to give the GOP cover. But in retrospect they realized the GOP wasn't negotiating in good faith. That is shocking naivete on Obama's part. He should have known from day 1 not to trust the GOP. Maybe if he had a little more experience he would have done things differently. (On the other hand maybe this is just Obamas personality and he was the wrong leader for a time with an autocratic GOP).
flibbitygiblets
(7,220 posts)The extra is because I was afraid to say it first. Also because the 9 is next to the 0.
tymorial
(3,433 posts)It is the main reason why I supported Clinton in the primary. If we are being honest, his nomination was suprising. At the time he was a junior senator with very little political experience.
This is meant as no disrespect.
BeyondGeography
(39,369 posts)Much to be said for that. His opponent would have won in 2008 but IMO Clinton fatigue would have set in quickly and she would have been one and done and defeated rather handily in 2012, although maybe not as bad as last year's 74 EV disaster. I think Dem primary voters chose wisely in 2008, starting with Iowa.
yardwork
(61,588 posts)DonCoquixote
(13,616 posts)2008 Hillary kept letting people blow dog whistles. I still wonder why she did that, as she did know better.
yardwork
(61,588 posts)DonCoquixote
(13,616 posts)she is the one who said "he's not a Muslim as far as I know.." She realized that the people who ran her campaign in 2008 did not do right by her, and thankfully, she purged most of them out in 2016.
yardwork
(61,588 posts)DonCoquixote
(13,616 posts)because she stopped being 2008. That helped democrats. I would rather have a person that can make corrections and steer away form the rocks than some idol.
n2doc
(47,953 posts)So a place that has day-of registration, long early voting periods, etc. would get a boost over states with regressive and racist voting policies (like Texas and Wisconsin).
The other thing that would be good, to me, would be for there to be a rotation on primary order. So different states would get to be early every 4 years, maybe organized by region so one area doesn't get to dominate.
Of course none of these has a chance in hell of happening.
Doremus
(7,261 posts)yardwork
(61,588 posts)As posted downthread, California consistently votes for the Democratic candidate for president. They deserve to have a much bigger influence in who we choose as our nominee than states that consistently vote for the Republican.
Reward strongly Democratic states like California and New York. We will see more enthusiasm and greater turnout among Democrats.
You want your state to have a big say in who gets nominated? Deliver Democratic votes in the national elections. Elect Democratic governors and state legislatures.
Jim Lane
(11,175 posts)Both major parties award bonus delegates to states that the party carried in the previous presidential election.
In addition, in the Democratic Party, governors and members of Congress are superdelegates, with automatic votes. That boosts the representation of pro-Democratic areas.
Most of the superdelegates are the DNC members, party hacks whose selection is so arcane that it bears only the faintest resemblance to the popular will. That should be abolished. I'm more sympathetic to retaining superdelegate status for people who've won public elections, as opposed to the little-known and undemocratic intraparty contests.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)CA has given their 55 Electoral College votes to the Democrat the last seven elections in a row. Make CA first and let IA complain.
And heterogeneous CA looks a lot more like America than homogeneous IA
P.S. CA has a Democratic governor, a Democratic legislature, two Democratic senators, and a Democratic Congressional delegation. IA ????????
oasis
(49,376 posts)The sensible days of Sen. Tom Harkin are long gone.
mythology
(9,527 posts)Between Steve King voters and Democratic primary voters?
54% of the 2008 Democratic caucus goers were liberal compared to 19% of Iowa as a whole. Primary/caucus voters are more liberal or conservative than the population as a whole.
emulatorloo
(44,115 posts)nor did they vote for Joni Ernst. Dems who go to caucuses are progressives and liberals. I don't know why you want to pretend they are Steve King supporters.
yardwork
(61,588 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)DonCoquixote
(13,616 posts)aka the state everybody wants, but that everybody uses these small states to discount. I would love California and Florida to move to the first spot, not like the candidates will ignore them.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)emulatorloo
(44,115 posts)Democratic caucus goers are liberals/progressives. Republican caucus goers are extremly conservative and many of them are evangelicals.
In 08 the Dems gave us Obama. John Edwards was 2nd (remember 'two Americas'?)
As to the electoral college votes, for the great majority of Presidential elections the state has gone Blue.
Trump 2016 win was an outlier. It's complicated why but it was unusual.
At any rate I would like to see some others states go first. Ought to have a rotating schedule.
I also want caucuses to go away forever.
yardwork
(61,588 posts)All I'm saying is that states that consistently and reliably vote for the Democrat in the GE deserve to have their primaries matter more - in terms of setting momentum by being early in the season - than states that can't manage to get out the vote for Democrats in the GE.
For instance, if the Democrats in my state knew that winning the state for the Democratic candidate in the GE would be rewarded by the party, there would be more enthusiasm for getting out the vote. People like sporting events. The Democrats need to find ways to increase enthusiasm for getting out the vote. This could help.
As long as we're stuck with the Electoral College, it's state by state. The party could reward loyal states more.
I agree with you about caucuses. Get rid of them.
emulatorloo
(44,115 posts)slippery slope. I remember some DU'ers during the primary claiming that "Confederate States" should not count, which I found really egregious. All democrats count.
As to Iowa, it has consistently gone blue in recent presidential elections. There have been two outliers - in recent history: Bush in 2004 and Trump in 2016. In 88, 92, 96, 00, 08, and 12 the Democratic candidate won Iowa
yardwork
(61,588 posts)emulatorloo
(44,115 posts)I don't recall you saying that ever. I guess the notion of "loyal states" reminded me of the bad old times of GD : Primary lol
At any rate I knocked doors for HRC in IA. There was a great field organizer in our county and a lot of terrific volunteers. Our county did go blue. In general the blue areas are able to outvote the red areas for President in Iowa. Just didn't work out this time.
crazycatlady
(4,492 posts)The Democrats have their primary on the same day as the GOP (in most cases). It costs the state money to hold a primary.
So would you propose each party have a different day?
cally
(21,593 posts)Maybe Republican Presidential candidates will think twice about proposed bills to take tax deductions from blue states and health benefits.
Tommy_Carcetti
(43,173 posts)Even threatened to strip our delegates as if us ordinary voters had any say so in the decision whatsoever.
stopbush
(24,396 posts)We are the war chest for the D Party, in votes and in campaign cash. The DNC cannot risk getting on the wrong side of CA power and money brokers.
Sorry, but CA has played nice for too long. Time to lead.
Tommy_Carcetti
(43,173 posts)And it's not like Florida is a nobody of states. We have a lot of Democrats and a lot of cash here as well.
jalan48
(13,859 posts)Great to see the progressive West Coast leading the charge.
flibbitygiblets
(7,220 posts)Representin!!!
jalan48
(13,859 posts)flibbitygiblets
(7,220 posts)And lasts all week... thank you baby Jeebus.
marlakay
(11,451 posts)Been doing rain dance all week!
flibbitygiblets
(7,220 posts)And thanks for the dancing...apparently we needed it!
marlakay
(11,451 posts)I do Nia dance. Its all over but head office Portland.
padfun
(1,786 posts)means that if a Donald Trump didn't want to show his tax forms, then in the Republican primary, they would lose out on all of those votes and that would turn many tides.
yardwork
(61,588 posts)This rule would have prevented the Trump presidency.
exboyfil
(17,862 posts)Presidential primaries are weird beasts. In theory they should be under the control of the political parties, but in practice they are a hybrid of varying state participation.
yardwork
(61,588 posts)Not Ruth
(3,613 posts)comradebillyboy
(10,143 posts)California should definitely be a bigger factor than Iowa or New Hampshire. Their insular, rural, non-diverse populations aren't very representative of the nation as a whole.
DK504
(3,847 posts)All I ever hear about California is how liberal and nutty crunchy the state is. Most people have no clue about the type of people that actually live there.
Getting the Ca. primary before everyone else could hurt the democrats beyond belief, the reaction to California will be for all red states to vote the exact opposite of them. No one will have a chance after that and we need to keep that door open to all democrats so we can get control of the government back from these ignorant hateful children.
yardwork
(61,588 posts)If little red states want to pout and vote against a candidate who won California, they can do that. They don't have many delegates to give, one way or the other.
Personally, living here in purple North Carolina, I doubt many stalwart Democratic voters would be biased against a candidate just because they won California. The reliable Democratic voters here in the south are African American women. They'd probably be delighted to vote for whomever California chose.
The people who are biased against California vote Republican in the general election.
dlk
(11,552 posts)JCMach1
(27,556 posts)That would be nice thanks.
Itchinjim
(3,085 posts)I'm all for this. Let some other state suffer the misery of pandering candidates. Trust me, be careful what you wish for.
BTW, Iowa is a purple state, everything east of Cedar Rapids and Iowa City is essentially Illinois, and everything west of that, with the exception of Des Moines, is Steve King country.
exboyfil
(17,862 posts)Just maybe not right now (for the life of me I don't understand it).
Itchinjim
(3,085 posts)Bettie
(16,089 posts)the endless polling calls. And robocalls. So many robocalls.
Though, one year, I somehow got on a Michelle Bachmann phone list...boy did I have fun with the people who called to ask me questions about that whack job.
However, Iowa is a small enough state for even a relatively unknown candidate to get a message out. In CA, only those with a huge amount of cash on hand can make an effective run.
I get that a lot of people hate the "low population mostly white states" and those who live here, but we're human beings too and, at least in Iowa, about half of us are liberals.
Jim Lane
(11,175 posts)First, I think you mixed up the links, because the one in your OP doesn't mention the primary. Try this one: http://ktla.com/2017/09/16/california-legislature-approves-bill-moving-california-primaries-up-to-march-for-2020-presidential-election/
As to the specifics, the bill would move the primary to the first Tuesday after the first Monday in March. It's an important distinction because it means that the change would not violate Democratic Party rules.
The current rule is designed to be fair to candidates who start out with less funding and name recognition. In a single national primary, they would have no chance. Instead, the calendar starts with four comparatively small and inexpensive states, one in each of the major regions of the country: Midwest (Iowa), East (New Hampshire), West (Nevada), and South (South Carolina). No other state is permitted to vote before March 1.
The California bill reflects the general perception that states voting earlier have more influence. With California moving up, other states voting after March might decide that now they're the ones who are too late to be meaningful. There could be a significant increase in the front-loading of the primary season.
exboyfil
(17,862 posts)of making those named states (Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina) even more important. Candidates will spend even more time in them to roll up momentum for the early knock out.
Living in Iowa I would not be in favor of it. Please rotate our state out at least three out of four times.
Jim Lane
(11,175 posts)I think starting with a few small states is a good idea. The inequity comes in always starting with the same small states.
Rotation, as you suggest, would be an improvement. I had the impression, though, that Iowa would fight like hell to retain its initial position. It might move its caucuses back before January 1 if necessary. (I think that New Hampshire, determined to hold the first primary, has empowered its Secretary of State to move the primary to as early a date as necessary, even if it comes in the preceding year.)
We're in an unfortunate situation where Iowa and New Hampshire probably can and will block any change.
The major parties' only leverage is to refuse to seat delegates. If the DNC and RNC agreed on a schedule of rotation, wouldn't Iowa defy them and go first anyway, daring them to play hardball?
exboyfil
(17,862 posts)I agree with the proposition of refusing to seat delegates that don't abide by the party calendar. Unfortunately a beauty contest without delegates at stake might still have the same impact.
Jim Lane
(11,175 posts)Florida and Michigan moved up to impermissibly early dates. As you say, the results still had impact even as beauty contests. Beyond that, the party faced a lot of hostility over depriving two states of representation. The DNC restored the delegates with half votes, then the convention dropped the other shoe and restored them with full votes.
Not Ruth
(3,613 posts)Amazing
Jim Lane
(11,175 posts)Especially New Hampshire. I think state law requires that it be the first primary in the nation, and that New Hampshire leaders have in the past expressed willingness -- indeed, determination -- to move back to the previous calendar year if that was what it took to be first.
Not Ruth
(3,613 posts)Fiendish Thingy
(15,585 posts)So it still gives two small states outsized media attention, and narrative weight to whoever wins/loses/"comes back"
California might still come after Super Tuesday, or Junior Tuesday, or whatever the clusters of primaries in February 2020 are called by the Horserace media by then. A March primary might provide some balance, rather than have CA serve as confirmation of conventional wisdom narrative just before the convention.
I believe CA's primary has been earlier than June sometime in the post-Reagan era, so this isn't the first experiment with changing the date.
Weekend Warrior
(1,301 posts)It is a part of the systemic racism as it stands.
Response to jodymarie aimee (Original post)
Name removed Message auto-removed
yardwork
(61,588 posts)The selection process IS majority rule. The candidate with the most delegates is the nominee. Any other approach would be highly undemocratic.
Many of us are pointing out that California - and many other states - have populations that look a lot more like the rest of the country than IA and NH. Nothing against IA and NH, but their demographics are much more homogenous than the rest of the country.
sarisataka
(18,600 posts)Would be a two-part primary system. One vote with an open pool followed by a second that would include only the top four to five vote-getters in the initial vote. All states vote on the same day.
Such a system would not place any state above any other and it would still allow outside popular candidates to advance
Persondem
(1,936 posts)... They could rotate by geographical region perhaps. The West, then Midwest, then SE, then NE etc. and the next national election year the order rotates. The group of states that goes last goes first the next election.
nocalflea
(1,387 posts)This has been proposed by our legislature since I can remember. Year after year after year after year after year after year ...
beachbum bob
(10,437 posts)Ca, NY, Tx, Pa, Il, Ohio, Florida.....makes Iowa, NH, etc obsolete as they should be in selecting candidates