Daily Weather Update (9/17). Hurricane, Typhoon, Tropical Storm projections - No way Jose!

[clutterbox1830]

A thread about the latest on world weather and Hurricane/Typhoon/TS status and projections as of 9/17. You can check the storm projections yourself with the following link:
https://www.windy.com
ECMWF (aka European Model)
GFS (aka American Model)
http://www.cnn.com/videos/weather/2017/09/08/the-differences-between-weather-forecast-models-orig-tc.cnn


Hurricane Jose
https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/tropical-storm-hurricane-jose-forecast-atlantic-us-east-coast
Jose, a Category 1 hurricane in the western Atlantic, will continue to produce dangerous high surf and rip currents as it moves parallel to the Eastern Seaboard in the upcoming week.

As of right now, both models has this storm doing a second "loopy-loop" off the US Atlantic coast. Both models also show this storm closer to the US than the previous day. The models differs on where/when this will occur. The European model projects that this maneuver will occur on Wednesday and just south of long island. The American model projects that this maneuver later in the next and further off the coast. In either case, expect high rip currents and possible flood near the New Jersey shorelines and the surrounding states.

https://www.windy.com/?2017-09-20-09,40.405,-80.035,5


Tropical Storm Maria
https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/tropical-storm-hurricane-maria-lesser-antilles
Atmospheric conditions are favorable for Maria to strengthen, and it could become a hurricane as early as Sunday. Maria could then grow into a dangerous major hurricane (Category 3 or stronger) as it passes through the northeast Caribbean Islands by midweek due to a combination of low wind shear, a moist atmosphere and warm ocean temperatures.

?v=ap&w=1280&h=720&api=7db9fe61-7414-47b5-9871-e17d87b8b6a0

The latest projections from by the European model do not look promising. This storm is expected to hit the eastern Caribbean islands late on Mondays. It will continue drift towards the island of Dominican Republican and towards the US afterwards.


Other parts of the world outside the US.

Typhoon Talim
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-09-17/typhoon-talim-triggers-evacuations-in-japan-amid-record-rainfall
https://scroll.in/latest/850942/japan-typhoon-talim-grounds-over-800-flights-leaves-1400-homes-without-electricity
Typhoon Talim made landfall on Japan’s Kyushu island Sunday, spurring authorities to call for the evacuation of tens of thousands of residents amid record rainfalls measured in some areas.
Typhoon Talim had made landfall at Minami-Kyushu around 11.30 am local time (8 am Indian time) packing winds with a speed of up to 162 kilometres an hour. After the landfall, it was downgraded to a storm.


Tropical Storm Norma
http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/tropical-storm-warning-los-cabos-due-hurricane-norma-49893074
Norma was 185 miles (300 kilometers) south of Cabo San Lucas and moving north at 5 mph (7 kph) late Saturday night, with forecasters saying it could approach waters southwest of the peninsula late Sunday or early Monday.

[ProudMNDemocrat]

1. The East Coast of the United States is on alert once again....

For what path Maria takes. Those areas ravaged by Irma are already on edge with this next storm that will add injury to insult.

Has anyone noticed storms named for women appear to pack the hardest punch? I have often wondered why that is.

[PoindexterOglethorpe]

2. Some years it's the ones with

men's names that are the worst. Like Andrew.

[clutterbox1830]

3. I think people should be more worried about Jose in the next few days.

The North American Mesoscale Model (NAM) forecast is more in-line to the European model at the moment. The storm is drifting closer to Long Island NY as it performs its 2nd loop. The good news is it pretty much weaken by this maneuver. Although this will bring a lot of rain and storm surges to that area.