Jeff Sessions Former Senate Seat Could Turn Blue As First Poll Shows Close Race In Alabama

[applegrove]

By Jason Easley at Politicus USA

http://www.politicususa.com/2017/09/29/jeff-sessions-senate-seat-turn-blue-poll-shows-close-race-alabama.html

"SNIP..........


Trouble could be brewing for Republicans in deep red Alabama as the first poll after the Republican Senate primary runoff finds Democratic candidate Doug Jones trailing Republican Roy Moore 50.2%-44.5%.

The poll was conducted for Decision Desk HQ by Opinion Savvy, and revealed, “Moore boasts a huge lead among evangelical voters, 67.8% to 28%, while Jones boasts an even larger lead among non-evangelicals, 69.7% to 26.7%. Among African-American voters, Moore peels off 24.8% to Jones’ 70.9%, while among white voters, Jones has a surprising 36.1% to Moore’s 58.5%.”

What this means is that Moore is a weaker general election in Alabama than Luther Strange would have been. It is only one poll, but it does hint that the door could be open for Democrats to run a competitive race in the state.

As in other special elections in deep red states, dumping millions of dollars into the state to help the Democratic candidate won’t be enough to win. Republicans have a deep partisan advantage in Alabama, but there is one potentially powerful that Jones could make. The Democrats could flip this seat by making this election all about Roy Moore and how he would embarrass his home state if he won.

...........SNIP"

[Chasstev365]

1. Do you really think the GOP would allow an Alabama Senate seat to go Blue??

I think not!

[Ex Lurker]

5. Dems have a chance. but its still a longshot

I think most GOP voters will hem and haw, then hold their nose and vote for Moore.

[Phoenix61]

2. They would have a better chance if Strange

was running. Moore is right wing even for Alabama.

[KelleyKramer]

3. I have a hard time believing Moore gets 25% of AA voters

[Ex Lurker]

4. A lot of Af. Ams. are very socially conservative

especially in rural areas.

[KelleyKramer]

9. Sorry, I just don't buy it ...

You have a white redneck who has already worn a cowboy hat and brandished a gun on stage at a rally

And he will have campaigning for him none other than Donald 'some white supremacists are good people' Trump

There is no way Moore gets 25% of the AA vote, he'll be lucky to get anything over 5 or maybe 8% on his best day.

[misanthrope]

16. You're exactly correct

Church is a HUGE part of Southern culture. It's disheartening to listen to African-Americans here talk about racial prejudice and then turn around and extend that same prejudice toward the LGBT community. And those same folks will go on and on about their churches.

They are also highly susceptible to party machine politics yet will stay home unless specifically motivated to turn out on election day. I've seen this my whole life and it's incredibly frustrating, much like the Southern condemnation of labor unions with little desire to understand their role more clearly.

[oberliner]

6. Zero chance of that happening

None whatsoever.

[applegrove]

7. 5.7% points different. That is not much. For a red state.

[bathroommonkey76]

8. I used to say the same thing

when Jesse Helms was re-elected every six years in NC.

Sorry, but this guy doesn't have a chance of winning over the people of Alabama.

[KelleyKramer]

10. If you want to donate to Doug Jones you can do it here ...

https://dougjonesforsenate.com/

And please take a look at his issues, he is not some fake conservaDem blue dog type. He is the son of a steel worker and is not afraid to stand up for core Democratic principles

[BlueStater]

11. That crazy old fart Moore will win comfortably.

Sorry, but I've seen too many polls for elections in red states where it looks like the Dem candidate has a shot and then ends up suffering a crushing defeat anyway.

[DFW]

12. You're right, but we have to keep trying anyway

That unexpected breakthrough will never happen if we give up in advance.

[ucrdem]

13. Good to hear except for that last line.

"making this election all about Roy Moore" would basically mean running campaign ads for him. They'd do better to spend the money on getting voters' registration, ID and transportation ready for election day. Negative ads depress turnout on both sides and if Alabamans were in a mood to be ashamed of Moore he would't be headed to the Senate chambers.

[icymist]

14. I've heard all this befoe with everybody becoming complacent.

TURN THAT DAMN SEAT BLUE!!!!!!

[treestar]

15. Give it the best possible shot

The hopelessness is irritating. Right wingers don't give up like that.