So When Exactly Is Jones Going To Start Catching Up?

[SoCalMusicLover]

I see 60% Reporting, and Doug is still losing by 3%+.

[marylandblue]

1. When Birmingham and Montgomery come in

[LuckyCharms]

2. +1 n/t

[DemocraticSocialist8]

3. When, or IF, they start counting black votes

[TDale313]

4. Yep, absolutely. n/t

[Crunchy Frog]

12. Very big if.

[Akoto]

5. The four major metropolitan areas and African American voters in the north, I hear. n/t

[woolldog]

6. Birmingham is out (half of Bham)

Montgomery is out. Mobile vote is out. Tuscalosa vote is out. A lot of the rural vote is in.

[Grown2Hate]

7. Keep in mind, the most populous counties (where Jones is just RUNNING AWAY with it) still have a TON

to come in. And look at those DEEP red counties in the north? They're all almost 100% counted already.

Quick, messy math: I can see Jones making up 60K votes in Jefferson County alone.

I mean, I'm not a prognosticator, so please don't quote me, but I feel half-way decent about it.

[Drahthaardogs]

15. Yep, and the "Black Belt" is kicking ass

Thank God women and minorities turned out. WTF is wrong with white males?

[Kaleva]

8. Moore is running out of votes. Still lots of blue areas to count.

[regnaD kciN]

9. ...or NOT count.

[brooklynite]

10. A lot of Mobile votes haven't been counted

[Owl]

11. Moore +7%

[Drunken Irishman]

13. Look at the voting breakdown...

It's a five-point margin.

BUT

Jefferson County still has 60% unreported (Jones leads 81%-18)
Mobile County still has 84% unreported (Jones leads 66%-32%)
Montgomery County still has 68% unreported (Jones leads 72-28)

Once those counties start fully reporting, the margins should change in a hurry.

[grantcart]

14. Red counties in, blue counties not yet counted

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/alabama-senate-special-election-roy-moore-doug-jones#eln-forecast-section

[Stallion]

16. Here He Comes!!!!

down only 20,000

[Baconator]

17. Not...

[Owl]

18. Moore with +23000 votes.

[bronxiteforever]

19. Now! he won now! Jones WINNER