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Wed Aug 26, 2015, 02:10 PM

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

Source: The Argo Journal

Hillary Clinton 50% ...
Bernie Sanders 24% ...
Lincoln Chafee 2%
Martin O'Malley 2% ...
Jim Webb 2% ...
Some other candidate 10% ...
Undecided 10% ...

Survey of 536 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted August 23-24, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Read more: http://www.argojournal.com/



Compare these numbers to the Republican field.

Sanders is doing better than ALL of the Republican candidates, including Trump.

Sanders is doing better than Bush, Walker, and Kasich COMBINED.

Clinton is doing better than Trump, Bush, Walker, Kasich, and Christie COMBINED.

Dear Vice President Biden:

Love you! Respect you! Appreciate everything you have done! But Clinton and Sanders have got this. They are having a very civilized policy debate between the centrist Clinton-Obama-Biden wing of the party and the more progressive Sanders-Warren wing of the party. Let's see how it plays out.

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Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
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Arrow 19 replies Author Time Post
Reply Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey (Original post)
Attorney in Texas Aug 2015 OP
Tom Rinaldo Aug 2015 #1
Attorney in Texas Aug 2015 #17
riversedge Aug 2015 #2
onehandle Aug 2015 #4
Ed Suspicious Aug 2015 #9
Attorney in Texas Aug 2015 #7
onehandle Aug 2015 #12
Elmer S. E. Dump Aug 2015 #3
1StrongBlackMan Aug 2015 #5
Elmer S. E. Dump Aug 2015 #6
1StrongBlackMan Aug 2015 #8
Attorney in Texas Aug 2015 #13
big_dog Aug 2015 #10
Tom Rinaldo Aug 2015 #11
ram2008 Aug 2015 #14
Beta Male Aug 2015 #15
INdemo Aug 2015 #16
Stuckinthebush Aug 2015 #18
INdemo Aug 2015 #19

Response to Attorney in Texas (Original post)

Wed Aug 26, 2015, 02:12 PM

1. I like your open letter n/t

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Response to Tom Rinaldo (Reply #1)

Wed Aug 26, 2015, 02:53 PM

17. Thanks

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Response to Attorney in Texas (Original post)

Wed Aug 26, 2015, 02:12 PM

2. Clinton ahead of Sanders by 26pts.

Pretty good considering all the vile negative crap out there

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Response to riversedge (Reply #2)

Wed Aug 26, 2015, 02:15 PM

4. And the primary season doesn't even crank up until late Fall.

Wait until she Really starts.

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Response to onehandle (Reply #4)

Wed Aug 26, 2015, 02:20 PM

9. Hey, alternate reality! Yeah you! You must have missed that she is trending in the opposite

direction of Bernie. You better hope things improve when she really starts or you'll be casting your general vote for Senator Sanders.

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Response to riversedge (Reply #2)

Wed Aug 26, 2015, 02:18 PM

7. Clinton leads Sanders by 26 points now, but she led him by 55 points in January (discussed in the

news story linked).

I'm happy at how well Clinton is doing (I'm not a hater), and I'm ecstatic at how well Sanders is doing.

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Response to Attorney in Texas (Reply #7)

Wed Aug 26, 2015, 02:27 PM

12. He wasn't running until four months later.

I'm not worried.

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Response to Attorney in Texas (Original post)

Wed Aug 26, 2015, 02:13 PM

3. Congrats to Hillary supporters!

 


Damn, I'm a nice guy. But although I'm with Bernie until the end, I am also happy that some on DU are happy too!

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Response to Attorney in Texas (Original post)

Wed Aug 26, 2015, 02:17 PM

5. What about O'Malley ...

 

Dear Vice President Biden:

Love you! Respect you! Appreciate everything you have done! But Clinton and Sanders have got this. They are having a very civilized policy debate between the centrist Clinton-Obama-Biden wing of the party and the more progressive Sanders-Warren wing of the party. Let's see how it plays out.


I see him as the best of Bernie and HRC ... He is, clearly, a strong progressive candidate with the "can do"/"has done" chops (look at his plans); but, without the right and left's HRC, "I hate her" vibe.

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Response to 1StrongBlackMan (Reply #5)

Wed Aug 26, 2015, 02:18 PM

6. Not sure. What about him?

 

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Response to Elmer S. E. Dump (Reply #6)

Wed Aug 26, 2015, 02:20 PM

8. The Open Letter talks about Hillary and Bernie have this ...

 

I see O'Malley as a part of the discussion ... He's the best of Bernie and HRC ... He is, clearly, a strong progressive candidate with the "can do"/"has done" chops (look at his plans); but, without the right and left's HRC, "I hate her" vibe.

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Response to 1StrongBlackMan (Reply #8)

Wed Aug 26, 2015, 02:30 PM

13. No slight intended to O'Malley. My point was 74% of the Democratic party seems happy with Sanders or

Clinton, and so there does not appear to be a need or yearning for Vice President Biden to join the primary.

I'm glad O'Malley is in the debate, but I suspect that O'Malley is not playing a big part in Biden's decision to run or not (although O'Malley has locked up some Chesapeake Bay support that Biden might have received if he had jumped in three months ago); that is the only reason I omitted any mention of O'Malley.

No offense intended.

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Response to Attorney in Texas (Original post)

Wed Aug 26, 2015, 02:22 PM

10. sorry Tex, but some promises are above even party politics

 

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Response to Attorney in Texas (Original post)

Wed Aug 26, 2015, 02:25 PM

11. Compare Sanders with O'Malley in this poll - Not good news for Clinton

O'Malley provides a pretty good baseline for how well a competent plausible candidate, with a relatively low national voter familiarity profile who the media does not give extensive coverage to, tends to fare in the Summer of the year preceding a Presidential election. That's particularly true when there is a Mega high profile candidate like Hillary, in the race sucking up oxygen.

That Sanders is polling this well nationally at this stage under these circumstances is damn impressive.

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Response to Attorney in Texas (Original post)

Wed Aug 26, 2015, 02:33 PM

14. Hmm No Biden

Wonder what the results would've been had he been included, probably even better for Bernie. I think this is the best non-Biden poll for Bernie so far if I'm correct.

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Response to Attorney in Texas (Original post)

Wed Aug 26, 2015, 02:36 PM

15. Rasmussen?

 

I wouldn't believe them if they told me water was wet!

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Response to Attorney in Texas (Original post)

Wed Aug 26, 2015, 02:43 PM

16. 536 likely voters?

Not a very scientific sampling

Use 1000-1500 likely voters and see how the results change....

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Response to INdemo (Reply #16)

Wed Aug 26, 2015, 03:28 PM

18. Why would you say it is not "scientific"?

I see DUers say this a lot and that's inaccurate.

A survey sample of 536 has a margin of error of around 4.2
A survey sample of 1000 has a margin of error of around 3.1
A survey sample of around 1500 has a margin of error of around 2.5

So, with a sample of 536 if you took 100 separate samples then the overall percentage of people responding the same way would be within 4.2% of the reported results in 95 of these.

The margin of error is a little bigger for a sample of 536 than 1500 but it has nothing to do with being scientific. It has to do with probability. HOW they sample (methodology) would speak to the issue of how "scientific" the poll is. If the methodology is sound then a sample size of 536 can result in illustrative results.

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Response to Attorney in Texas (Original post)

Wed Aug 26, 2015, 04:39 PM

19. Without the corpoate/Wall St financial backing

where would Hillary be? Have you noticed that Hillary is very careful how she addresses issues that might directly affect her corporate sponsors? Its seems she has been playing it safe lately and not talking about subject matter like income inequality or minimum wage issues but chooses instead to talk about the Iran deal or gun control issues.
I want to hear her talk about the billionaires owning our government but she wont.

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