**BREAKING** Bernie Sanders Projected To Win Wyoming Caucuses, Keeping Momentum Alive
Source: AP via KNPR
Democratic voters in Wyoming have decided: Sen. Bernie Sanders has won the state's caucuses, according to The Associated Press. <snip> Wyoming, a deeply red state, isn't exactly up for grabs in the general election; most onlookers expect the state to vote Republican, no matter who the GOP ends up choosing as its nominee. But that didn't stop both Clinton and Sanders from setting up campaign offices and running television ads there.
And, even as headlines have showered attention on the delegate-rich primary in New York on April 19, Sanders himself visited Wyoming earlier this week, holding a rally at the University of Wyoming. Former President Bill Clinton campaigned on behalf of his wife in Cheyenne.
"I think when people get to see and hear a candidate or a former president first hand it really inspires them to understand the true meaning of an election," says Aimee Van Cleave, the executive director of the Wyoming Democratic Party.
It's the latest in a string of victories for Sanders in Western states that hold caucuses. He also won in Idaho, Utah, Colorado and Washington state.
Read more: http://knpr.org/npr/2016-04/bernie-sanders-projected-win-wyoming-caucuses-keeping-momentum-alive
Also projected by CNN and other Networks
CaliforniaPeggy
(156,591 posts)Baobab
(4,667 posts)it shows that he has universal appeal- People realize he's a LOT less scary than all the others.
SCantiGOP
(14,711 posts)Secondly, see the post directly below this one. Clinton still has 62% of the delegates and Sanders will pick up a net of either 0 or at best 2. He is running out of time.
Sanders won the Idaho caucus with about 17,000 votes . Clinton got more votes than that in just my county in the SC primary.
I hate liars
(165 posts)It's curious that when election results are transparent, Bernie comes out ahead.
JimDandy
(7,318 posts)so this bodes well for him in all the upcoming closed contest states such as NY.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)which is actually a disappointment.
A 2 delegate win in a caucus state is not what they were hoping for.
MADem
(135,425 posts)How much was spent by each candidate on MEDIA I wonder....and how much money did Tad Devine make on this grand win?
Pauldg47
(644 posts)geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)MADem
(135,425 posts)Or wishful thinking--either way, that won't happen. It's a statistical impossibility.
#math
George II
(67,782 posts)annavictorious
(934 posts)has been confirmed. And all 4 Wyoming supers declared for Hillary.
But look at the bright side. Someone is getting 11 Wyoming delegates.
http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/wyoming
Codeine
(25,586 posts)But thanks for playing.
Elmer S. E. Dump
(5,751 posts)What a crock.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)RandySF
(83,759 posts)Final paragraph: "Saturday's caucuses begin at 1 p.m. ET"
Plucketeer
(12,882 posts)Watch your back bumper, Hillary! We's comin' thru!
lancer78
(1,495 posts)Look out Hillary!
Sander's getting mighty!
iandhr
(6,852 posts)AlbertCat
(17,505 posts)Yeah.
But if you read further down, Hillary supporters will remind you that it doesn't matter.
Neither, apparently, do caucuses.
iandhr
(6,852 posts)Sanders folks were always there to say how a Hillary victory didn't matter
AlbertCat
(17,505 posts)If you say so.
I do remember characterizing something like a .05% win as a great victory was dismissed a bit.
I think there was a lot more annoyance about calling for Sanders to quit and that he was "toast" when only 5 or 6 states had voted.... which is not exactly the same thing.
roguevalley
(40,656 posts)Only had X numbers of AA people. I still loathe that person.
Walk away
(9,494 posts)If my candidate kept saying things like that I would be mortified.
bvar22
(39,909 posts)That is much more appropriate way to refer to conservative states that won't count for anything in the General election, and was used frequently by Hillary and her acolytes.
Hillary won't win a single one of her "Firewall" states.
I would be highly offended if someone referred to me as their "Firewall".
What? I'm supposed to get burned up to save THEIR royal ass?
I don't think so.
Elmer S. E. Dump
(5,751 posts)That I used to accept on face value that they were decent people, you know, being democrats and all. That illusion has been destroyed.
This thread has been great for my ignore list though!
roguevalley
(40,656 posts)George II
(67,782 posts)AlbertCat
(17,505 posts)There is no need for "" around won.... he actually did win.
And WY is actually a huge state...even tho' it has a small population. But it's still a state....in the "United States of America".
Also, caucuses, no matter how awful they may be, still count..... the ol' "Clinton brush-off" not withstanding.
George II
(67,782 posts)....Clinton has won 10 of the top 15 states that have voted, Sanders the smallest 8 that have voted.
Remember, where it counts (delegates) Clinton is still ahead by 214 pledged delegates, 655 total.
crim son
(27,552 posts)Wtf is up with the negativity? Your candidate is doing very well; let Sanders supporters enjoy the good news.
George II
(67,782 posts)....coming out of the state with more delegates.
840high
(17,196 posts)Response to George II (Reply #97)
Post removed
Peace Patriot
(24,010 posts)I feel it, too. Thank you for expressing it so well. And I hope you keep helping us counter the "turd way" warmonger garbage that gets posted here.
I mean, she's got Henry Fucking Kissinger as an adviser!!!
Henry. Fucking. Kissinger.
AllyCat
(18,796 posts)Sanders actually is trying to appeal to all the people. She just campaigns where she needs to get delegates. Shrewd. Not representative, but tactical.
George II
(67,782 posts)Codeine
(25,586 posts)Enjoy zero net delegates.
Scootaloo
(25,699 posts)George II
(67,782 posts)....and in today's caucuses, even though Clinton got about 8% less votes than Sanders, she got just as many pledged delegates as he did AND she comes out of Wyoming with an 11-7 advantage.
She moved 11 delegates closer to the nomination and there are 18 less delegates up for grabs.
I'd say that is very significant.
Scootaloo
(25,699 posts)George II
(67,782 posts)arikara
(5,562 posts)than post a passively aggressive waving smiley. If I see that fucking thing one more time its off to ignore for it.
Kittycat
(10,493 posts)Time to pay it forward with another donation to help out the next contest stage. Don't forget to follow up with http://berniecrats.net/ to find candidates in your state seeking campaign support.
philly_bob
(2,433 posts)Very useful. The kind of change that Bernie asks for will require a wholesale revision of the Democratic Party crew, starting from Wasserman Schultz at the top down to the local races.
Kittycat
(10,493 posts)There are a lot of great people out there looking for support on the ground, phones, and with fundraising.
stopwastingmymoney
(2,346 posts)Kittycat
(10,493 posts)jpak
(41,780 posts)n/t
Beacool
(30,514 posts)There was not doubt that Sanders would win this caucus, but Hillary did better than expected. S 56% - H 44%. She'll meet her delegate target of 5.
MADem
(135,425 posts)take that state in NOV.
leftofcool
(19,460 posts)PatV
(71 posts)You people are so predictable.
MADem
(135,425 posts)There are no frigging voters in WY, either.
States that matter are states with PEOPLE in them. That's why a place like Florida is worth three or four lousy caucus states.
markj757
(194 posts)I have to agree with the Bernie supporting zealots on DU because Hillary dominated in southern states thanks to her popularity in the black community, and we won't win those states in the General either. So even though I'm a Hillary supporter, I have to disagree with that comment.
LiberalFighter
(53,544 posts)But because of how the Democratic Party determines the number of delegates each state receives some states are weighted more because of a higher election results for the Democratic candidate. The census population or registered voters of a state is not considered when determining the number of delegates.
There are states with lower census populations than higher census populations that have more delegates.
Computation of Base Votes for Jurisdictions with Electoral Votes
State's Democratic Vote (SDV): The jurisdiction's popular vote for the Democratic candidate for President in the last three Presidential Elections (2004, 2008, and 2012). Source: The vote totals for 2004 and 2008 below were obtained from FEC.gov on 24 November 2010. The vote totals for 2012 were taken from The Green Papers 2012 General Election Presidential Popular Vote and FEC Total Receipts by Party on 17 January 2013.
Total Democratic Vote (TDV): The total popular vote for the Democratic candidate for President in the last three Presidential Elections (2004, 2008, and 2012).
The state's Electoral Vote (SEV) averaged over the last three Presidential Elections (2004, 2008, and 2012).
The total Electoral Vote of all jurisdictions (538).
The formula for determining a jurisdiction's Allocation Factor is:
Allocation Factor = ½ × ( ( SDV ÷ TDV ) + ( SEV ÷ 538 ) )
The number of Base votes assigned to a state is Allocation Factor × 3,200 rounded to the nearest whole number (fractions 0.5 and above are rounded up).
To summarize, half of a jurisdiction's base vote is determined by the number of Presidential Electors assigned to that state and half are computed by the number of people who voted for the Democratic Presidential candidate in the last three elections.
Below are the states in order of their delegates.
State *** Delegates *** Census
Wyoming *** 14 *** 576,412
Vermont *** 16 *** 626,011
Alaska *** 16 *** 731,449
North Dakota *** 18 *** 699,628
South Dakota *** 20 *** 833,354
District of Columbia *** 20 *** 632,323
Delaware *** 21 *** 917,092
Montana *** 21 *** 1,005,141
Idaho *** 23 *** 1,595,728
New Hampshire *** 24 *** 1,320,718
Rhode Island *** 24 *** 1,050,292
Nebraska *** 25 *** 1,855,525
Maine *** 25 *** 1,329,192
Hawaii *** 25 *** 1,392,313
West Virginia *** 29 *** 1,855,413
Arkansas *** 32 *** 2,949,131
Kansas *** 33 *** 2,885,905
Utah *** 33 *** 2,855,287
New Mexico *** 34 *** 2,085,538
Nevada *** 35 *** 2,758,931
Mississippi *** 36 *** 2,984,926
Oklahoma *** 38 *** 3,814,820
Iowa *** 44 *** 3,074,186
Louisiana *** 51 *** 4,601,893
South Carolina *** 53 *** 4,723,723
Alabama *** 53 *** 4,822,023
Connecticut *** 55 *** 3,590,347
Kentucky *** 55 *** 4,380,415
Puerto Rico *** 60 *** 3,548,397
Oregon *** 61 *** 3,899,353
Colorado *** 66 *** 5,187,582
Tennessee *** 67 *** 6,456,243
Missouri *** 71 *** 6,021,988
Arizona *** 75 *** 6,553,255
Minnesota *** 77 *** 5,379,139
Indiana *** 83 *** 6,537,334
Wisconsin *** 86 *** 5,726,386
Massachusetts *** 91 *** 6,646,144
Virginia *** 95 *** 8,185,867
Maryland *** 95 *** 5,884,563
Washington *** 101 *** 6,897,012
Georgia *** 102 *** 9,919,945
North Carolina *** 107 *** 9,656,401
New Jersey *** 126 *** 8,864,590
Michigan *** 130 *** 9,883,360
Ohio *** 143 *** 11,544,225
Illinois *** 156 *** 12,875,255
Pennsylvania *** 189 *** 12,763,536
Florida *** 214 *** 19,317,568
Texas *** 222 *** 26,059,203
New York *** 247 *** 19,570,261
California *** 475 *** 38,041,430
In several instances, smaller populated states have the same or more delegates than larger populated states.
North Dakota 2 more than Alaska
DC the same as South Dakota
New Hampshire and Rhode Island 1 more than Idaho
Maine and Hawaii the same as Nebraska
Iowa 6 more than Oklahoma
Connecticut and Kentucky 2 more than Alabama
Oregon 6 more than Kentucky
Missouri 4 more than Tennessee
Minnesota 2 more than Arizona
Indiana has 8 more than Arizona even though their population is nearly identical. But because Indiana went for Obama in 2008 it earned more delegates.
Wisconsin has 3 more delegates than Indiana
Maryland has same delegates as Virginia (Virginia census 2.3 million more)
North Carolina has 5 more delegates than Georgia (Georgia census 250,000 more)
New Jersey has 19 more delegates than North Carolina (NC census 800,000 more)
Pennsylvania has 33 more delegates than Illinois (IL census 100,000+ more)
New York has 25 more delegates than Texas (TX census 6.5 million more)
The overall result is that delegates are proportionately allocated based on election results.
earthside
(6,960 posts)Look.
I'm originally from Wyoming; I was once a state committeeman and I worked for the last Democrat ever elected to Congress from that state.
I live in Denver now, but I have a lot of friends and family still living in Wyoming.
Wyoming is very conservative; even the Democrats are conservative.
Most Democrats in Wyoming would be Republicans almost anywhere else in the United States.
So, for a "socialist" like Sen. Sanders to win Wyoming is a pretty big deal.
disndat
(1,887 posts)Wyoming caucus outcome today must show that people are more concerned about good govt. than political ideology.
George II
(67,782 posts)Chicago1980
(1,968 posts)Wyoming has like 10 people (586,000)
Has to me more like 14-16 with the low population.
Beacool
(30,514 posts)Yeah - her projected degree of LOSS. Sounds like a FOX news angle.
Beacool
(30,514 posts)If the 538is correct, they both ended with 7 delegates each. She surpassed her target, he didn't.
Plucketeer
(12,882 posts)Is it possible we could get a "spin" smilie that would be appropriate in certain instances?
Thanks, Pluck
JimDandy
(7,318 posts)jpak
(41,780 posts)n/t
bigwillq
(72,790 posts)msongs
(73,655 posts)Beacool
(30,514 posts)Squinch
(59,384 posts)onehandle
(51,122 posts)Feel the fail.
passiveporcupine
(8,175 posts)Chicago1980
(1,968 posts)A fairly diverse state Wyoming is right?
Elmer S. E. Dump
(5,751 posts)Chasstev365
(7,681 posts)I will puke hearing how both the Media and Hillary supporters will downplay yet another victory for Bernie Sanders.
Neither of them can handle how well "David is taking on Goliath" and because people are finally starting to realize that the Clintons and there money interests are not much better than Republicans, they will be in full panic mode. Watch for the attacks on Bernie to get even nastier.
Elmer S. E. Dump
(5,751 posts)Thank you, WY! Clinton can't even win a state with 500K people!
BeatleBoot
(7,111 posts)Doing extremely well at them.
MADem
(135,425 posts)Since there isn't, though, this just puts him even further behind in his delegate count.
He's not making his target, and Clinton is exceeding hers.
Ochsfan
(25 posts)If only this were 1976!
roguevalley
(40,656 posts)SunSeeker
(58,236 posts)Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/bernie-sanders-wyoming-caucus-221756#ixzz45MmvsfEv
Follow us: @politico on Twitter | Politico on Facebook
me b zola
(19,053 posts)deutsey
(20,166 posts)sharp_stick
(14,400 posts)stopbush
(24,801 posts)She already has 4 supers and will get more.
And Clinton's supers are digging in their heels after Sanders antics this past week, especially with the Sanders campaign announcing their intent to ignore the will of the people and try to flip Clinton's supers. Ain't gonna happen.
So, WY ends up being a surprise win for Hillary. How about that?
George II
(67,782 posts)Elmer S. E. Dump
(5,751 posts)Hillary wouldn't have a chance in hell if this dem primary system wasn't so rigged. Hillary supporters have exposed themselves to be more autocratic than democratic.
sharp_stick
(14,400 posts)more votes than Sanders does so far.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/democratic_vote_count.html
fbc
(1,668 posts)It's not looking like it.
Beacool
(30,514 posts)As some pundit pointed out today, Sanders has yet to win a closed primary.
Kumbricia
(84 posts)The general election won't be a closed primary
sharp_stick
(14,400 posts)before he gets a shot at November. He can't win them by a little bit, he needs to clean up. He has a mountain to climb and not enough time to do it.
LenaBaby61
(6,991 posts)Agree.
With Pa, NJ, MD and NY coming up, things will get much more difficult for Bernie. He's been on a wonderful winning streak that's soon to end. I have to admit, Hillary doing "decently" in Wyoming is a bit of a shocker. She was mauled there in 2008 by then Senator Obama.
Beacool
(30,514 posts)No Independents to muddy the waters. They both got the same amount of pledged delegates out of it, 7 each.
All's good.......
Mira
(22,682 posts)he always said: "Never win the early ones....."
Keep up the good work Mr. Sanders, many of us are counting on you.
Dont call me Shirley
(10,998 posts)notadmblnd
(23,720 posts)2banon
(7,321 posts)tomm2thumbs
(13,297 posts)Love it!
Duval
(4,280 posts)That was FUN! Thanks, 2banon.
NJCher
(43,076 posts)Your post made me smile (even more)!
Cher
Codeine
(25,586 posts)LiberalFighter
(53,544 posts)The Bernie people don't understand math. Winning a state by a few votes doesn't cut it when you need enough of a win have more delegates than the other person.
In this case, Sanders needed 11 delegates out 14 to be on target. Instead, he is 4 short of his target. Which means the targets for the remaining primaries will be adjusted up.
Elmer S. E. Dump
(5,751 posts)Which you and your ilk love and depend on. Zero respect for you too.
Codeine
(25,586 posts)A goofy, hours-long shouting match attended by a handful of the electorate is an archaic affectation in the modern world.
And the personal nastiness in your post was unwarranted, sir.
Elmer S. E. Dump
(5,751 posts)Codeine
(25,586 posts)to do with superdelegates, sir.
Elmer S. E. Dump
(5,751 posts)I'm talking about super delegates. If she becomes president it will only be because the primary process is rigged. Caucuses and "closed" primaries should also be done away with, ma'am.
SoapBox
(18,791 posts)Good job Berners!
passiveporcupine
(8,175 posts)The victory over Hillary Clinton means the Vermont senator will take home the lion's share of the state's 14 pledged delegates.
I'm not sure I'd call that the lion's share, but at least it was a win. It would have been nice if he could have pulled in a few more delegates. I want to see him closing the gap in delegates, not keeping it even.
Kittycat
(10,493 posts)So momentum.
passiveporcupine
(8,175 posts)I forgot that sometimes the delegates are not all assigned at the caucus. I don't mean super delegates.
This whole causus system is too damn confusing to my not-so-nimble brain.
Kittycat
(10,493 posts)I always find this stuff interesting, but sometimes little rules change from one election.season to another, so you have to look them up each time,and each state has their own guidelines. Here are the FAQs. #13 directly answers your question though. You'll want to read 11 & 12 for some definition.
http://www.wyodems.org/frequently-asked-questions
13. How many delegates does Wyoming send to the Democratic National Convention?
Wyoming will be sending 18 delegates and 2 alternates. 8 are District-Level delegates, 4 are unpledged party Leaders and elected officials, 2 are PLEOs, 4 are At-Large delegates with 2 alternates.
passiveporcupine
(8,175 posts)That's a lot more county delegates than I was expecting to see. I'm still confused. I'm afraid that didn't help me much. I am glad I don't live in a state that caucuses.
FailureToCommunicate
(14,595 posts)(Of course that's about all NPR said. Their announcement of Bernie's win wasn't very long. Mentioned larger than usual turnout.)
**sigh**
kadaholo
(304 posts)Way to go Wyoming! The entire country and world thank you!
Rebkeh
(2,450 posts)Thank you, Wyoming!
RoccoR5955
(12,471 posts)azmom
(5,208 posts)Fantastic News. Happy day!
kennetha
(3,666 posts)Bernie loses by tying
NJCher
(43,076 posts)Where are you getting this info?
Cher
LiberalFighter
(53,544 posts)Wyoming has only one district and is allocated 8 delegates.
They have 4 at-large delegates and 2 sports for Party Leaders and Elected Officials.
Total is 14 delegates. An additional 4 are unpledged delegates.
The results based on TGP is
156 state convention delegates for Sanders and 124 state convention delegates for Cilnton.
The calculated percentage is 55.7% (4.457 delegates) for Sanders and 44.2% (3.542 delegates). Numbers are rounded resulting in 4 delegates each at the district level.
Using the same formula based on 4 at-large delegates it is a 2-2 split.
For the 2 PLEO it is a 1-1 split.
Total for each -- Sanders: 7 -- Clinton: 7.
The total 280 delegates were allocated based on results at the county level using the proportional method. i.e. Albany had 33 delegates it could assign between Sanders and Clinton. Once they assigned all of the 280 delegates they used the above calculation to determine the number of national delegates each candidate would receive.
gordyfl
(598 posts)by 2 votes.
oberliner
(58,724 posts)20 county delegates for HRC to 18 county delegates for BS in that county.
gordyfl
(598 posts)animated vote tally. At the time there was 95% reported (Overall). I would have sworn they used the word votes. Perhaps they should have used "delegate votes". Right after I posted it, I checked again and saw an article that said delegates. I knew someone would look into it here on DU.
oberliner
(58,724 posts)Not raw votes.
LiberalFighter
(53,544 posts)Another reason I don't like caucuses.
cantbeserious
(13,039 posts)eom
cstanleytech
(28,444 posts)President the other as the VP.
AgerolanAmerican
(1,000 posts)Sanders is not stupid enough to appoint someone so ambitious to be President as his VP, and is too principled to be her second.
LenaBaby61
(6,991 posts)IF Hillary Clinton wins the Dem nomination, I'm hearing increasingly that she should choose the current Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Julian Castro. He's extremely articulate, he and Hillary Clinton I hear get along very well, and he's done a great deal of campaigning for her. I've heard that he's slowly begun warming to the idea of a possible vice-presidency being offered to him by Hillary Clinton if she's the Dem nominee.
cstanleytech
(28,444 posts)Bernie and Hillary on it (I don't care which one takes the VP) would be the best one not to mention they both could balance the other out.
Major Hogwash
(17,656 posts)As are liberals everywhere.
OhZone
(3,216 posts)OHYEAH!
Walk away
(9,494 posts)OhZone
(3,216 posts)pallidin710
(18 posts)Great news on this rainy Saturday!
George II
(67,782 posts)MADem
(135,425 posts)And, Hillary exceeds her target, again....and her opponent fails to reach his....again.
and 8-6 split would have been a tie,,,,,,, feel the lost!
The Green Manalishi
(1,054 posts)Part of the whole idea of a primary- bring out the weaknesses NOW when there is time for the machine (of the eventual winner) to come up with countermeasures *AND* to take out the novelty of any such revelations.
Sanders is only making Hillary stronger, and vice versa, because whoever wins is going to by definition have to face a dishonest, lying, backstabbing, duplicitous and power hungry asshole in the general (no matter who the Rethuglicans nominate).Senator Sanders is bringing in new voters, too. Yes, could be a bunch of sulking, disillusioned people who WON'T vote at all in the general if he is not the nominee, but there will be tens of thousands who DO, who would't have voted otherwise. Like a sparring partner, the primary opponent should throw every punch that needs to be prepared for.
Personally I like Bernie's policies better, but the worst that Secretary Clinton could do vis a vis SCOTUS or other appointments, etc, is orders of magnitude than the BEST we could hope for out of ANYONE the Republicans nominate. I'm a proud progressive and Sanders's message resonates with me, but SCOTUS, GLBT rights, AA issues, global warming and healthcare are going to be handled better by either possible Democrat than any possible Republican.
cstanleytech
(28,444 posts)far better President for the country than any of the Republicans running would be on their best day.
tabasco
(22,974 posts)Looking forward to an upset blowout victory in New York!
Spitfire of ATJ
(32,723 posts)eridani
(51,907 posts)That's when all the people who filed surrogate affidavits won't bother to show up, just like in Missouri and Nevada.
TheFarseer
(9,769 posts)Fucking unreal! Tell me this isn't rigged.
Deadshot
(384 posts)Elmer S. E. Dump
(5,751 posts)anigbrowl
(13,889 posts)You could win with a huge majority in one county but that majority doesn't carry over to other counties. You're assuming that because the voting results across the state can be aggregated into a total for the whole state, that they should be used for allocating the delegates.
But in reality, candidates know in advance that delegates are apportioned on a county-by-county basis, and so they allocate their campaign efforts where they'll pay off best. Hillary's campaign may see that Bernie's support is so strong in one county that it's not worth spending a lot of resources there as there's no chance of her winning that delegate, so they concentrate their efforts in other counties where she's more competitive.
If you don't pay attention to the rules, then yeah it's confusing, but that doesn't mean it's rigged against you.
TheFarseer
(9,769 posts)Which the Hillary Victory Fund paid to pledge to Hillary as reported by numerous sources. Still not rigged?
anigbrowl
(13,889 posts)I pay little attention to superdelegates because pledged ones are the ones that matter at this stage. Personally I have no big problem with the superdelegate system and Sanders presumably knew it existed (and why it was put in place) before he declared his candidacy so it was up to him to come up with a strategy for dealing with them. They don't have any relevance unless nobody gets a majority by convention time,
Deadshot
(384 posts)I hope the media quits telling everyone there's no chance on him winning the nomination. There's still over 1,000 delegates up for grabs.