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tabasco

(22,974 posts)
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:33 PM May 2016

Trump 41%, Clinton 39%

Source: Rasmussen Reports

Last week, Rasmussen Reports gave voters the option of staying home on Election Day if Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are the big party nominees, and six percent (6%) said that’s what they intend to do for now. Clinton and Trump were tied with 38% support each; 16% said they would vote for some other candidate, and two percent (2%) were undecided.

But Trump edges slightly ahead if the stay-at-home option is removed. Trump also now does twice as well among Democrats as Clinton does among Republicans.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds Trump with 41% support to Clinton’s 39%. Fifteen percent (15%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

This is the first time Trump has led the matchup since last October. Clinton held a 41% to 36% advantage in early March.

Read more: http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/trump_41_clinton_39



This will not be a shoo-in for H. Clinton, as many believe.
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Trump 41%, Clinton 39% (Original Post) tabasco May 2016 OP
#BernieOrBust SusanLarson May 2016 #1
Plenty of folks will be voting for Clinton ... LannyDeVaney May 2016 #8
The facts do not support your contention SusanLarson May 2016 #26
Milennials and independents don't oppose Trump and all he represents with a blm May 2016 #39
Message auto-removed Name removed May 2016 #63
Both have the highest unfavorable rating in the race. Go figure. n/t libdem4life May 2016 #66
Who is Ruth Bader Ginsburg? blm May 2016 #72
Is this a joke? liberalnarb May 2016 #153
Must be a millineal for Bernie who has not done any research. n/t RoccoR5955 May 2016 #163
I know! Those Bernie Bros are so uneducated, I feel bad for them!! liberalnarb May 2016 #169
Um, guys, the poster I replied to was a troll and his posts are removed blm May 2016 #194
Ok, what was the context? liberalnarb May 2016 #203
Results of Jury B Calm May 2016 #230
Some folks will alert anything RoccoR5955 May 2016 #235
I didn't feel attacked. The reply just didn't fit the exchange, but, an innocent blm May 2016 #296
if you don't live in a state named NORTH CAROLINA where every vote matters AlbertCat May 2016 #144
HRC supporters' bad behavior has no control of my vote - this state blm May 2016 #199
HRC supporters' bad behavior has no control of my vote AlbertCat May 2016 #250
Not sure I get why you say that. I guess I understand, somewhat, in that blm May 2016 #299
Or a state named Wisconsin Big_K May 2016 #147
What am I going to get for voting for Hillary Clinton? Victor_c3 May 2016 #159
Lately, it's worthy of note that Supreme Court rulings outlast most WH blm May 2016 #204
At this point, it looks like you get to avoid saying President Trump, Thor_MN May 2016 #222
And I'm not going to help elect a President Clinton. Victor_c3 May 2016 #229
So you think that Trump is better. Got it. Thor_MN May 2016 #234
Asume and read into what I said however you want Victor_c3 May 2016 #242
Thank you for your service, but that other site is over ------> there. Thor_MN May 2016 #245
Navy Vet here. I agree with everything you said. Katashi_itto May 2016 #303
Actually, president hillary will be... reACTIONary May 2016 #239
Some people are down with war and wall street. I'm not one of them. n/t Victor_c3 May 2016 #243
Some folks want peace and prosperity... that's why I suport hillary nt reACTIONary May 2016 #253
What you apparently want is to be fucked over by the banksters who are bankrolling Clinton n/t eridani May 2016 #257
America's financial industry is,... reACTIONary May 2016 #262
We'd lose nothing if they all vanished tomorrow eridani May 2016 #264
You would starve to death if they all vanished tomorrow . .. reACTIONary May 2016 #267
Becasue $300 trillion in ridiculous financial "products" have something to do with the-- eridani May 2016 #268
I previously mentioned .... reACTIONary May 2016 #269
Just take a look at small towns dying throughout America. OwlinAZ May 2016 #311
Ummm humm, and do those other countries have financial institutions? And where.. reACTIONary May 2016 #318
Dems here in NC never thought GOP would control this state. blm May 2016 #202
Trump came out against, outsourcing, free trade and the Iraq war Ash_F May 2016 #249
Wages are too high? videohead5 May 2016 #281
Yeah I am not saying it would be a good idea for them to vote for him. Ash_F May 2016 #284
That's what he sez now, but, HIS products are made in China, he's on tape supporting blm May 2016 #297
41% at the moment Ash_F May 2016 #302
REAL Sanders supporting independents are NOT idiots. blm May 2016 #309
STOP with your pathetic BULLSHIT leftynyc May 2016 #40
8 States out of 50 Geronimoe May 2016 #114
She also dominates in the south Chico Man May 2016 #129
Don't be confused AtheistCrusader May 2016 #140
do trolls smell like bacon? dlwickham May 2016 #193
Where do you get "all indications” she will take CA? I live here and that's not what I'm seeing. Stardust May 2016 #233
Yes Chico Man May 2016 #240
Thanks. Stardust May 2016 #252
Someone is raging over facts pinebox May 2016 #127
I am sure all Dems and Indy's will vote for the Racist/Fascist. Especially minority voters. emulatorloo May 2016 #116
The RCP average of Rasmussen and 6 other polls... Miles Archer May 2016 #136
Places the Dems never win like New York, Pennsylvania, Ohio?? radical noodle May 2016 #160
If you/they do, they get the President they deserve. Eom. Amimnoch May 2016 #178
Unless scores of Bernie supporters refuse to vote for her Proud Liberal Dem May 2016 #185
It's not worth discussing like this. There will defiant and pointless RiverNoord May 2016 #205
Finally, someone with some sense... chwaliszewski May 2016 #256
Lik Ohio, and Massachusetts, and NY, and PA, and MD, and Delaware. Agschmid May 2016 #251
Like Massachusetts, New York and Illinois? jmowreader May 2016 #263
Meanwhile Bernie will carry OK, WY, NE, KS.... ProudToBeBlueInRhody May 2016 #277
Message auto-removed Name removed May 2016 #57
You say there's a 'most important demographic' and 'black/nursing home vote' ain't blm May 2016 #82
Message auto-removed Name removed May 2016 #89
Dream on. johnp3907 May 2016 #87
Watch: If she wins her supporters will claim it's a total rejection of all of Bernie's policies.... Spitfire of ATJ May 2016 #74
not even for one second would we say that. bernie supporters just make shit up. it's MariaThinks May 2016 #225
There are some here dancing with glee over it. Spitfire of ATJ May 2016 #287
obviously nothing is going to be 100% MariaThinks May 2016 #292
Republicans don't think that way.... Spitfire of ATJ May 2016 #315
The days of the Democratic Party representing half of the public are over. raindaddy May 2016 #93
Hundreds of thousands fewer people have voted for Clinton in 2016, than did in 2008 EdwardBernays May 2016 #105
And Sanders has about 3M fewer votes than Hillary radical noodle May 2016 #171
Except EdwardBernays May 2016 #190
He'll be seen as worse once the GOP gets through with him radical noodle May 2016 #198
That's nonsense EdwardBernays May 2016 #207
They will have a lot more than just Communist to throw at him radical noodle May 2016 #216
They don't EdwardBernays May 2016 #220
This message was self-deleted by its author DUbeornot2be May 2016 #238
Media Spin erpowers May 2016 #221
Sure why not check? EdwardBernays May 2016 #224
Clinton Has More Votes erpowers May 2016 #314
That's why EdwardBernays May 2016 #316
Dream on RoccoR5955 May 2016 #161
They said the same thing about Carter vs Reagan. B Calm May 2016 #237
Agreed! Hillary Clinton is the chosen-one, and she will win it all! c588415 May 2016 #244
You can't win a General election with just your primary voters Scootaloo May 2016 #254
Thank you LannyDeVaney! I totally agree with you! skylucy May 2016 #308
You are insane if you do not vote for Clinton tabasco May 2016 #12
Progressives SusanLarson May 2016 #30
So true, but this is the year that the liberals demand to be payed A Simple Game May 2016 #75
A Democratic Party under the influence of Third Way isn't much of a Democratic Party. Enthusiast May 2016 #158
Here's the problem. Whenever progressives decide to teach the party a lesson Gman May 2016 #120
Adults hold their nose and do what they have to The Green Manalishi May 2016 #133
Well said and I could not agree more Gman May 2016 #145
May be real adults actually seek to change our country for the better. OwlinAZ May 2016 #310
Or, maybe the Party itself pugetres May 2016 #167
So you're saying you'll let Trump or Cruz become prez? Gman May 2016 #175
Where did you read that I said that? pugetres May 2016 #188
Of course you are Gman May 2016 #192
You seem assured that the GOP is going to win. pugetres May 2016 #208
She already has earned it Gman May 2016 #210
This message was self-deleted by its author DUbeornot2be May 2016 #241
They won't take responsibility... The Green Manalishi May 2016 #312
It is your attitude, a condescending and insulting attitude that alienates millions of us. Enthusiast May 2016 #173
So you're willing to assume responsibility Gman May 2016 #176
Are you willing to assume responsibility Enthusiast May 2016 #181
Repeating my statement and question is not a very good answer Gman May 2016 #182
My answer is concise, creative and correct. Enthusiast May 2016 #187
This message was self-deleted by its author DUbeornot2be May 2016 #248
Done Gman May 2016 #275
Oh and so did Hillary Victor_c3 May 2016 #174
So I guess you're willing to let it all happen again Gman May 2016 #179
And what makes you think Hillary won't repeat that mistake again? Victor_c3 May 2016 #219
Victor_c3... democrank May 2016 #209
Thank you for your thoughts Victor_c3 May 2016 #282
So get inside the Democratic Party and change it ... aggiesal May 2016 #134
The DNC deserves harsh punishment! n/t RoccoR5955 May 2016 #162
+1,000,000 n/t TIME TO PANIC May 2016 #200
Bernie is just being nice. Enthusiast May 2016 #156
Hillary IS a Republican... chwaliszewski May 2016 #258
You can only be walked on for so long coyote May 2016 #289
Then you can enjoy President Trump, knowing you didn't lift a finger to stop him. n/t pnwmom May 2016 #15
Not us, you! SusanLarson May 2016 #36
Are you planning to move somewhere? I'm voting for whichever Dem opposes him in the General. pnwmom May 2016 #37
We will survive SusanLarson May 2016 #56
Stop with the BS brush May 2016 #110
I recently transitioned. SusanLarson May 2016 #122
What was your name in the old account? Kingofalldems May 2016 #152
My old name SusanLarson May 2016 #212
That's cool. Kingofalldems May 2016 #214
^^^ notemason May 2016 #154
Agree! chwaliszewski May 2016 #259
Bernie would be the only Dem in the general greymouse May 2016 #95
Not true The Green Manalishi May 2016 #313
I did the best I could do to stop him. Shadowflash May 2016 #53
Bernie beats Trump soundly. This is a meme meant to silence. libdem4life May 2016 #65
He won't if he's not in the General. The only way to stop Trump is to vote for the Dem pnwmom May 2016 #68
And that should be, for thinking folks, the one who polls highest against The Donald. libdem4life May 2016 #78
No. Thinking people know that poll numbers right now mean little. Bernie has never pnwmom May 2016 #88
Well then we have no reason to believe HRC is in front, now do we? libdem4life May 2016 #92
Message auto-removed Name removed May 2016 #67
There seems to be donnasgirl May 2016 #24
Then you're allowing leftynyc May 2016 #42
It's people like you who are to blame SusanLarson May 2016 #60
Post removed Post removed May 2016 #62
It's not a hissy fit Lefty donnasgirl May 2016 #70
I also pounded the pavement and the phones for Bernie in Upstate NY. RoccoR5955 May 2016 #170
Rocco Bernie won handily in my County donnasgirl May 2016 #206
Message auto-removed Name removed May 2016 #73
.... libdem4life May 2016 #81
Reference Post #92 Petulant Hissy Fit. Indeed. libdem4life May 2016 #100
I'm a Bernie supporter Blackjackdavey May 2016 #69
Bernie or bust is irrelevant and meaningless Gman May 2016 #83
Independents will never "flock" to HRC. Not in a million years. Enthusiast May 2016 #177
They already are Gman May 2016 #180
No Enthusiast May 2016 #183
There are a certain phrases that pretty much sharp_stick May 2016 #102
So when President Trump dbackjon May 2016 #126
So you will support Trump if Bernie is not nominated, got it. Jackie Wilson Said May 2016 #130
So I assume you will be leaving DU if Hillary is nominated? Kingofalldems May 2016 #149
by the way, did you notice they joined in 2006 CreekDog May 2016 #288
Yeah, that jumped right out there. Kingofalldems May 2016 #291
I agree! Canoe52 May 2016 #164
Welcome to DU. CreekDog May 2016 #196
lolz obamanut2012 May 2016 #298
I find this very hard to believe eissa May 2016 #2
16% for another candidate is particularly unbelievable muriel_volestrangler May 2016 #45
What people say and what they do are different things TexasBushwhacker May 2016 #300
I believe it... modestybl May 2016 #61
Any Sanders supporter who votes for Trump is a fucking idiot. OilemFirchen May 2016 #94
Any supporters of Bernie who say they like him but think trump has a better chance, are NOT really SammyWinstonJack May 2016 #103
Exactly LW1977 May 2016 #104
They are Trump supporters who also like Bernie... modestybl May 2016 #135
I would never call those people fucking idiots. OilemFirchen May 2016 #146
Basically, anyone who thinks differently than you is a f'ing idiot? chwaliszewski May 2016 #261
They have to show up at the polls elljay May 2016 #64
Have you parked your car so that the earth we are all killing can support us and our children? jtuck004 May 2016 #76
It's Rassmussen. They're a Right Wing prop org and are never right with their numbers on anything TeamPooka May 2016 #112
I disagree ... it will be a shoo-in. LannyDeVaney May 2016 #3
This! ffr May 2016 #10
based on what? SusanLarson May 2016 #14
I disagree ... LannyDeVaney May 2016 #25
I think some of the Bernie fan-boys overrate themselves Vogon_Glory May 2016 #28
You know that blackmail generally does not pay off, don't you? radical noodle May 2016 #195
Please tell me which key states Clinton will win to secure this blowout victory. tabasco May 2016 #21
Ohio for starters ... LannyDeVaney May 2016 #29
FL, NY, CA and PA. nt SunSeeker May 2016 #33
????? gaspee May 2016 #52
I meant those are the key states Hillary will WIN in the GE. SunSeeker May 2016 #247
Whew gaspee May 2016 #272
LOL SunSeeker May 2016 #274
This link gives you a good idea of the thrashing that is about to happen LannyDeVaney May 2016 #43
Would love to get GA and TX onboard too. ffr May 2016 #54
General election matchup polls mean nothing until at least September. NuclearDem May 2016 #4
Exactly. The same Sanders supporters who believe the early GE polls showing Sanders stopbush May 2016 #16
She will lose in a General Election. SoapBox May 2016 #5
Oh I don't know: truebluegreen May 2016 #32
Rather like the Donald himself. forest444 May 2016 #35
hmmmm too bad rtracey May 2016 #6
Imagine if... Plucketeer May 2016 #7
...and has high favorability ratings, and polls highly against Trump...n/t libdem4life May 2016 #71
All Rasmussen (aka Repub Propaganda) has to do.... Mustellus May 2016 #9
That's Clinton's base SusanLarson May 2016 #41
That you're serving up the leftynyc May 2016 #47
Expect many attacks on the pollster. PeteSelman May 2016 #11
He will run to the left of her on trade and wall street/banking reform fbc May 2016 #13
Non-fascists will not vote for him, sorry emulatorloo May 2016 #20
Oh please. Trump is way to the right of Hillary on economic policy. SunSeeker May 2016 #48
Like fuck he will muriel_volestrangler May 2016 #50
Well then his idiot supporters haven't taken notice of how badly an economic hit they'll be taking SammyWinstonJack May 2016 #111
Rasmussen doesn't have a good track record. emulatorloo May 2016 #17
Post removed Post removed May 2016 #18
RASMUSSEN???? fred v May 2016 #19
We know how this works. Poll becomes news - repeat repeat repeat underpants May 2016 #59
Nice cherry picking! puffy socks May 2016 #22
The IBD poll conducted during the same time period puts Hillary 7 points ahead. pnwmom May 2016 #23
+ 1 JoePhilly May 2016 #34
Rasmussen reports is famously biased in favor of GOP candidates. Also not LBN. anigbrowl May 2016 #27
And don't fucking blame bernie if she loses. RATM435 May 2016 #31
I wont blame Bernie leftynyc May 2016 #49
I didn't throw my vote away. I voted for Bernie. n/t Dawgs May 2016 #77
Message auto-removed Name removed May 2016 #84
This is right up there with someone in GDP quoting Darrel Issa Blue_Adept May 2016 #38
maybe she can run again in 4 years when she is REALLY entitled... dembotoz May 2016 #44
She will - for reelection. COLGATE4 May 2016 #113
Total bunkum. Rasmussen's reputation is garbage after Bush. Clinton will win big. Laser102 May 2016 #46
I don't like Hillary Clinton ... jb5150 May 2016 #51
This! smirkymonkey May 2016 #150
A rassie poll? Gothmog May 2016 #55
I swear that DU is starting to look like Rim Job's COLGATE4 May 2016 #115
I agree with your analysis Gothmog May 2016 #223
A far right rassie rockfordfile May 2016 #211
SHE could lose. can you say swarzenegger???? GO BERNIE! pansypoo53219 May 2016 #58
My 6 year old sharp_stick May 2016 #119
And it damn sure ain't a shoo in for Sanders Gman May 2016 #79
Once again, not those nasty liberals and independents that should worry you Kelvin Mace May 2016 #80
Thankfully many have shuffled off their mortal coil....... wolfie001 May 2016 #186
This is a Rasmussen poll d_legendary1 May 2016 #85
But, but, but!!! It's her turn! nt longship May 2016 #86
Only according to BSers rock May 2016 #90
I only want to do what is best. longship May 2016 #96
So making snide remarks about Hillary rock May 2016 #101
Hillary promises (and would deliver) more status quo. Trump promises (and would deliver) change. For Attorney in Texas May 2016 #91
no clinton is good clinton captainarizona May 2016 #97
Bernie Sanders in the general means Trump wins 49 states jmowreader May 2016 #265
I think many mainstream Dems underestimate the hatred of Clinton by the general electorate. cleanhippie May 2016 #98
+1 nt abelenkpe May 2016 #232
KnR nuff said chknltl May 2016 #99
Its just time for Hillary and for a woman President LiberalLovinLug May 2016 #106
You got dat right! n/t RoccoR5955 May 2016 #172
Guess the Clinton camp better get to work shawn703 May 2016 #107
Hopefully lancer78 May 2016 #108
Hope the fall from your moral high horse COLGATE4 May 2016 #117
Morals are important lancer78 May 2016 #290
And I'm sure she was appropriately appreciative. nt COLGATE4 May 2016 #294
Why are you citing Rasmussen? Cary May 2016 #109
Because it helps with Daddy's argument to ignore pledged delegates/popular vote. SaschaHM May 2016 #118
Just to piss you off. tabasco May 2016 #138
Do these polls correct for Turbineguy May 2016 #121
Trump is so all over the place on issues TheFarseer May 2016 #123
The GE is going to be much harder than Clinton supporters expect it will be thebeautifulstruggle May 2016 #124
a real primary challenge wasn't even supposed to happen MisterP May 2016 #155
seems legit ! stonecutter357 May 2016 #125
If Clinton is likely to lose to TRUMP, of all people, then DON'T RUN THAT RISK Betty Karlson May 2016 #128
RW wishful thinking by Rasmussen--try this instead Maeve May 2016 #131
Fascinating that there are at least two other polls that give HRC a 10% lead... Buzz Clik May 2016 #132
Tell me where it is and I'll post it for you tabasco May 2016 #142
Knock yourself out: Buzz Clik May 2016 #148
So you do not have what you said you had. tabasco May 2016 #168
LOL! Look it up. Buzz Clik May 2016 #184
The media hasn't turned on Trump yet. They will after the primary. AtheistCrusader May 2016 #137
Get Out the Vote. Two to four Supreme Court Justice choices depend on it. Bernardo de La Paz May 2016 #139
I don't think the Republicans know Geronimoe May 2016 #141
rasmussen is as reliable as Fox rurallib May 2016 #143
Rubbish wysi May 2016 #151
Rasmussen .... LenaBaby61 May 2016 #157
This is good news for Hillary. SansACause May 2016 #165
Uh oh, Clinton shipwreck ahead. Helen Borg May 2016 #166
I voted for Bernie here in Maryland but.... wolfie001 May 2016 #189
Rasmussen is a right wing pollster dlwickham May 2016 #191
Today is the second day of May. tavernier May 2016 #197
Bernie beats Trump in EVERY poll I've seen. SmittynMo May 2016 #201
God this bickering sounds like the Freepers. It's Rasmussen AND ... broadcaster75201 May 2016 #213
I'm sure some people are curious to see what happen with a Trump presidency IronLionZion May 2016 #215
Thank goodness Democrats have another choice - a really, really good choice. DamnYankeeInHouston May 2016 #217
Did they poll Hispanics, and all those people who are going though the naturaluzation process now kimbutgar May 2016 #218
Didn't Ramussen have Romney winning the 2012 election? RandySF May 2016 #226
Bernie Sanders is great because he has a great platform that most people PatrickforO May 2016 #227
great.... Locrian May 2016 #228
National pols mean nothing right now Egnever May 2016 #231
Bullshit. tavernier May 2016 #236
Nate Silver has a really good list of the pollsters and which are good/bad. It's interesting. WhoWoodaKnew May 2016 #246
Do you have a link? Searched, didn't find it . nt reACTIONary May 2016 #260
Here ya' go. tabasco May 2016 #271
http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/pollster-ratings/ WhoWoodaKnew May 2016 #278
Would a President Trump “measure up”? hoffmanfiles May 2016 #255
Welcome to DU. TexasTowelie May 2016 #283
Thanks for sharing this and welcome to DU! Rhiannon12866 May 2016 #286
Do any general election polls taken in may really matter??? dubyadiprecession May 2016 #266
Rasmussen is an outlier Zambero May 2016 #270
Like clockwork I knew this 41-39 Trump poll would be posted here... UMTerp01 May 2016 #273
voter suppression by the political elite, run candidates openly hostle to working class Americans whereisjustice May 2016 #276
and here she goes..... ViseGrip May 2016 #279
Only Fools Think The Public Wants A Bush Or Clinton Back In The White House billhicks76 May 2016 #280
The one thing we CAN say is that .... LenaBaby61 May 2016 #285
Only fools don't know the difference of family by blood, and those by name. Darb May 2016 #295
Lol. Talk About Denial billhicks76 May 2016 #319
No, it's not, and no, they aren't. Darb May 2016 #321
Untrue billhicks76 May 2016 #322
A vote for her in the primaries is/was a vote for Trump. Cobalt Violet May 2016 #293
Clinton Loses To Trump billhicks76 May 2016 #320
Rasmussen is the only poll showing Trump winning anything justiceischeap May 2016 #301
Give it time. Sanders has treated Hillary with kid gloves. Trump wouldn't Attorney in Texas May 2016 #304
If you think Trump can do anything worse than the GOP justiceischeap May 2016 #305
Hopefully we never have to find out. Attorney in Texas May 2016 #307
I'm not buying those numbers Bradical79 May 2016 #306
I wasn't plannng on voting this elcetion cycle jamzrockz May 2016 #317
 

SusanLarson

(284 posts)
1. #BernieOrBust
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:36 PM
May 2016

I will and many others will not vote for Clinton, your only hope to avoid President Trump is to nominate someone else, preferably Bernie Sanders.

 

LannyDeVaney

(1,033 posts)
8. Plenty of folks will be voting for Clinton ...
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:38 PM
May 2016

check the primary totals, and that is with Sanders in the race.

The General Election will not be close, and not #BernieOrBust movement is going to convince me otherwise. In November, Clinton will overwhelmingly win the election and be the next POTUS.

 

SusanLarson

(284 posts)
26. The facts do not support your contention
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:44 PM
May 2016

Get real.

Clinton has been winning in states that the Democratic party has not and will not carry in the general election.

Gallup polling in 2010 that found that 31% of Americans identified as Democrats (tying a 22-year low), 29% as Republicans, and 38% as independents. Nevertheless, more American independents leaned to the Republican Party when compared to the Democratic Party.

Take out 20-40% of the Democrats who stay home or write in someone other than the parties nonminee, take out the millennials and independents who oppose Clinton and all she represents with a passion, what do you get President Trump.

blm

(113,061 posts)
39. Milennials and independents don't oppose Trump and all he represents with a
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:53 PM
May 2016

passion?

Those of us who live in swing states taken over in recent years by GOP have a different view - we HATE everything the GOP represents with a passion - restricted voting rights that legalized their vote suppression tactics, legalized bigotry against gays and minorities and workers, privatization of our roadways and waterways.

No big deal, I suppose, if you don't live in a state named NORTH CAROLINA where every vote matters because every ruling made by the Supreme Court makes or breaks states like ours.

Response to blm (Reply #39)

blm

(113,061 posts)
194. Um, guys, the poster I replied to was a troll and his posts are removed
Mon May 2, 2016, 05:36 PM
May 2016

so my replies won't make sense.

 

B Calm

(28,762 posts)
230. Results of Jury
Mon May 2, 2016, 07:59 PM
May 2016

On Mon May 2, 2016, 07:05 PM an alert was sent on the following post:

Must be a millineal for Bernie who has not done any research. n/t
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1014&pid=1434920

REASON FOR ALERT

This post is disruptive, hurtful, rude, insensitive, over-the-top, or otherwise inappropriate.

ALERTER'S COMMENTS

Attacks Millennials as a group

You served on a randomly-selected Jury of DU members which reviewed this post. The review was completed at Mon May 2, 2016, 07:49 PM, and the Jury voted 3-4 to LEAVE IT.

Juror #1 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: Stupid post discriminating against one age group has no place on du.
Juror #2 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #3 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #4 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: Pointless, attacking, sarcasm. Stop ruining the Internet.
Juror #5 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: Don't be so sensitive.
Juror #6 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No broken rules, just a moronic comment..
Juror #7 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: If we're going to start hiding based on if any member of any group could theoretically be considered to be 'attacked', there will be no posts left on DU (especially on such a flimsy 'attack'). I cannot in good faith hide this.

Thank you very much for participating in our Jury system, and we hope you will be able to participate again in the future.

blm

(113,061 posts)
296. I didn't feel attacked. The reply just didn't fit the exchange, but, an innocent
Tue May 3, 2016, 11:15 AM
May 2016

enough mistake since the earlier poster was outed as a troll.

 

AlbertCat

(17,505 posts)
144. if you don't live in a state named NORTH CAROLINA where every vote matters
Mon May 2, 2016, 04:43 PM
May 2016

HAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!

I live in NC and I assure you my vote doesn't matter.

I was told my primary vote don't matter by Hillary supporters.

blm

(113,061 posts)
199. HRC supporters' bad behavior has no control of my vote - this state
Mon May 2, 2016, 05:41 PM
May 2016

has too much on the line to let another Republican WH control the Supreme Court.

And….I personally don't think that what has been happening in this state thanks to conservative Supreme Court rulings is anything to laugh about.

I work hard at GOTV efforts here in NC, and the stupid, short-sightedness of HRC supporters constantly belittling Sanders supporters here doesn't make my job any easier. Neither do the BorBusters.

 

AlbertCat

(17,505 posts)
250. HRC supporters' bad behavior has no control of my vote
Mon May 2, 2016, 09:37 PM
May 2016

They have no controller my vote either.... and it still doesn't matter. No one in this state cares what I think, that's obvious.

blm

(113,061 posts)
299. Not sure I get why you say that. I guess I understand, somewhat, in that
Tue May 3, 2016, 11:31 AM
May 2016

I grew up in a family of 12 kids, and, as the 9th child wasn't exactly a prominent figure. I had to make my own path remaining mindful that there were always individual actions one could take that would still serve the greater good of all.

Big_K

(237 posts)
147. Or a state named Wisconsin
Mon May 2, 2016, 04:45 PM
May 2016

I'm living in a Scott Walker hellscape, and am living what the Republicans do. I'm a Bernie supporter, and voter, and any Democrat would get my vote over any of the Republicans trying for the nomination. If you sit out this election because you don't like Hillary, you're going to deserve what you're going to get from a Trump administration.

Victor_c3

(3,557 posts)
159. What am I going to get for voting for Hillary Clinton?
Mon May 2, 2016, 05:01 PM
May 2016

More war and more corporate favoritism at the expense of the middle class.

No thank you.

I'm sick of voting for the lesser of two evils.

 

Thor_MN

(11,843 posts)
222. At this point, it looks like you get to avoid saying President Trump,
Mon May 2, 2016, 07:13 PM
May 2016

instead of knowing that you helped elect him. President Sanders would have been good, but it doesn't look that is going to be an option.

When (if) it comes to that, are people going to say "F all of us, I didn't get my first choice" or are they going to help usher in President Trum?

Victor_c3

(3,557 posts)
229. And I'm not going to help elect a President Clinton.
Mon May 2, 2016, 07:56 PM
May 2016

I've seen the impacts of the policies she supports first hand. What in her past performances in an elected office indicate that she is on our side?

I'll stand by my previous statement that I'm sick of voting for the lesser of two evils.

The only argument that a Hillary Clinton supporter can throw at me as to why I should vote for her is that she won't be as bad as trump or Cruz.

Victor_c3

(3,557 posts)
242. Asume and read into what I said however you want
Mon May 2, 2016, 09:04 PM
May 2016

I voted for a dirt bag in the 2000 election and I paid for it. I was stupid and ignorant kid who grew up in a center-right household and I voted that way. I learned my lesson and I paid for it with my own life that was ruined by the war on Iraq (I'm a totally disabled veteran that was produced by that war). I'm not going to vote for another dirt bag again - even if those are the two choices I have. I'll vote democrat downstream, but it won't be Hillary I vote for if she is the presidential candidate.

The only way that I'll change my mind is if she can show me that she is genuinely sorry for the war that she was a part of. She has never had to deal with any of the consequences of the war that she voted for and supported. She never stuffed a body bag of a fellow soldier and she never had to stuff a body bag of someone she murdered in combat. She never has been riddled by the memories that haunt her of the war, she certainly has never lost everything she has in her life as a result of her participation in that war.

I was in Iraq from Feb 2004 through March 2005. I served as an Infantry Platoon Leader where I led 44 Soldiers through daily combat patrols in and around a sector just north of Baghdad, in Baqubah, Iraq. I was a dumb 24 year old kid at the time who should have never been in charge in the situations that I was presented with. In the course of the year that I was in Iraq my platoon killed at least 46 people that we found the bodies of, wounded about 100, and we lost 5 of our platoon's members. It's one thing to read accounts of and hear the numbers regarding combat action but it is another thing altogether to actually experience it. You don't forget or unsee those things.

The war was much more intense and much more violent than anyone back home is aware of. I wil not have anything to do with supporting someone who voted for that war and then took more than a decade to realize it was a mistake.

reACTIONary

(5,770 posts)
239. Actually, president hillary will be...
Mon May 2, 2016, 08:48 PM
May 2016

.... a LOT better than a president sanders. That's why I'm voting for her. And that's why she's up 3 million plus votes over Sanders .

reACTIONary

(5,770 posts)
262. America's financial industry is,...
Mon May 2, 2016, 10:16 PM
May 2016

.... one of our nation's greatest strengths and assets. Without it we wouldn't be anywhere near as prosperous and well off as we are. No-nothing resentment and mindlesss demogougary is self destructive and contra-progressive. You can easily see where that leads.... just take a look at Venezuela.

eridani

(51,907 posts)
264. We'd lose nothing if they all vanished tomorrow
Mon May 2, 2016, 10:18 PM
May 2016

They are the motherfuckers who crashed our economy in 2008, and incomes for the 99% have still not recovered. And never will if Clinton gets her way.

reACTIONary

(5,770 posts)
267. You would starve to death if they all vanished tomorrow . ..
Mon May 2, 2016, 10:28 PM
May 2016

..... that's the reality , like it or not. And that's why they aren't going to be shut down or broken up, like it or not.

eridani

(51,907 posts)
268. Becasue $300 trillion in ridiculous financial "products" have something to do with the--
Mon May 2, 2016, 10:30 PM
May 2016

--actual economy? Not bloody likely.

reACTIONary

(5,770 posts)
269. I previously mentioned ....
Mon May 2, 2016, 10:44 PM
May 2016

.... no-nothing resentment and mindless demagoguery . Don't make me do it again.

 

OwlinAZ

(410 posts)
311. Just take a look at small towns dying throughout America.
Tue May 3, 2016, 02:55 PM
May 2016

Unbridled Capitalism boots money to the top and preys on the powerless and poor.
We don't have to be like this. Other countries do much better for the broad swath of their citizens.

reACTIONary

(5,770 posts)
318. Ummm humm, and do those other countries have financial institutions? And where..
Tue May 3, 2016, 07:34 PM
May 2016

... exactly does unbridled capitalism exist? And who do you believe advocates it?

And what's so good about small towns? Are you sugesting small towns get some sort of preferential treatment over the vast majority of Americans? Why?

blm

(113,061 posts)
202. Dems here in NC never thought GOP would control this state.
Mon May 2, 2016, 05:44 PM
May 2016

Yes, it IS hellish to be a predominantly Dem state known for its progressiveness that is now under complete control of ALEC Republicans.

Ash_F

(5,861 posts)
249. Trump came out against, outsourcing, free trade and the Iraq war
Mon May 2, 2016, 09:31 PM
May 2016

That is going to get him some votes among younger people.

videohead5

(2,172 posts)
281. Wages are too high?
Tue May 3, 2016, 12:33 AM
May 2016

Trump saying wages are too high will pretty much screw him up with younger people and do they really want that wall?..he was more wishy washy on Iraq.did not really say anything against the war until after it had done started.

Ash_F

(5,861 posts)
284. Yeah I am not saying it would be a good idea for them to vote for him.
Tue May 3, 2016, 01:25 AM
May 2016

Just trying to make sense of it.

blm

(113,061 posts)
297. That's what he sez now, but, HIS products are made in China, he's on tape supporting
Tue May 3, 2016, 11:21 AM
May 2016

Iraq war, he's boasting now how he'd be the fiercest and most ruthless military leader, and he hasn't been fully exposed on all his anti-worker dealings.


What idiot would even fall for Trump's rhetoric on these issues?

blm

(113,061 posts)
309. REAL Sanders supporting independents are NOT idiots.
Tue May 3, 2016, 02:29 PM
May 2016

I think it is only proTrump trolls pushing the claim that many Sanders voters will vote for him.

 

leftynyc

(26,060 posts)
40. STOP with your pathetic BULLSHIT
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:54 PM
May 2016

Since when are IL, FL, VA, NY, OH, NV, MA and IA states the Democrat doesn't win in general elections? And you have the nerve to whine to anyone about FACTS. Just fucking stop it already. You want to help donnie replace Scalia, knock yourself out but STOP LYING.

AtheistCrusader

(33,982 posts)
140. Don't be confused
Mon May 2, 2016, 04:37 PM
May 2016

between dominating in a southern state against a fellow dem in the primary, and against a republican in the general.

The evangelica, anti-abortion fuckwittery is going to be a problem. States like texas are purple now, but won't be blue in time for this election.

Stardust

(3,894 posts)
233. Where do you get "all indications” she will take CA? I live here and that's not what I'm seeing.
Mon May 2, 2016, 08:05 PM
May 2016

Just curious, not trying to pick a fight. Are there polls to support your assertion?

Chico Man

(3,001 posts)
240. Yes
Mon May 2, 2016, 08:57 PM
May 2016

•APR. 27-30
SurveyUSA
826 LV
Clinton +19
CLINTON 57%
SANDERS 38%
APR. 18-21
Fox News
623 LV
Clinton +2
CLINTON 48%
SANDERS 46%
APR. 13-15
YouGov
1,123 LV
Clinton +12
CLINTON 52%
SANDERS 40%
MAR. 24-APR. 4
Field Poll
584 LV
Clinton +6
CLINTON 47%
SANDERS 41%
APR. 7-10
Gravis Marketing
846 LV
Clinton +6
CLINTON 47%
SANDERS 41%
MAR. 30-APR. 3
SurveyUSA
767 LV
Clinton +14
CLINTON 53%
SANDERS 39%
MAR. 16-23
USC Dornsife
363 LV
Clinton +11
CLINTON 47%
SANDERS 36%
MAR. 6-15
PPIC
524 LV
Clinton +7
CLINTON 48%
SANDERS 41%
DEC. 16-JAN. 3
Field Poll
329 LV
Clinton +11
CLINTON 46%
SANDERS 35%
OCT. 29-NOV. 3
SurveyMonkey
1,022 RV
Clinton +16
CLINTON 48%
SANDERS 32%
SEP. 17-OCT. 4
Field Poll
391 LV
Clinton +12
CLINTON 47%
SANDERS 35%
AUG. 29-SEP. 8
Los Angeles Times/USC
819 RV
Clinton +16
CLINTON 39%
SANDERS 23%
APR. 23-MAY 16
Field Poll
356 LV
Clinton +40*
CLINTON 53%
SANDERS 5%
APR. 2-8
Emerson College
487 RV
Clinton +45*
CLINTON 56%
SANDERS 3%
JAN. 26-FEB. 16
Field Poll
425 LV
Clinton +42*
CLINTON 59%
SANDERS 6%

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/california-democratic/

emulatorloo

(44,124 posts)
116. I am sure all Dems and Indy's will vote for the Racist/Fascist. Especially minority voters.
Mon May 2, 2016, 04:08 PM
May 2016

Just like they voted for Sarah Palin in '08.

Btw, <sarcasm>

FWIW, Rasmussen 2012 said Romney was gonna win, all the way up to Election Day. They don't have a very good track record.

Miles Archer

(18,837 posts)
136. The RCP average of Rasmussen and 6 other polls...
Mon May 2, 2016, 04:34 PM
May 2016

...comes out to 47.1% Clinton, 40% Trump.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html

Rasmussen is the only poll in which Trump is ahead.

I'm not familiar with the track records of the other polls they used...you can go to the link and if you see one that's reliable, those would be the numbers to consider.

Proud Liberal Dem

(24,412 posts)
185. Unless scores of Bernie supporters refuse to vote for her
Mon May 2, 2016, 05:27 PM
May 2016

She will win the states that Democrats are expected to win generally. Do you see Trump taking any Blue states that Republicans normally lose? And if scores of Bernie supporters decide to NOT vote for Clinton under any circumstances then, well, hello President Republican. Is that what Bernie supporters really want (I would assume/hope not)? Is having a Republican President for the next 4-8 years *really* going to be better for the country than 4-8 years of President Hillary Clinton? I mean, c'mon. Really? Hillary may not be a "progressive icon" like Sanders in but anybody thinking rationally will have to concede that they will be happier and less miserable under President Hillary Clinton than they will under President Donald Trump or Ted Cruz. No, she isn't going to rip apart "the establishment" root and branch and replace it with a progressive utopia (and neither would Sanders accomplish this BTW) but she will get to pick the next one or more SCOTUS Justices, scores of Federal Judges, run federal agencies, and conduct foreign policy. Do we want her doing these things or Donald Trump? How did the whole Nader debacle help things back in 2000? Were progressives really happier that we got 8 years of Bush in the WH instead of Al Gore? And are Bernie supporters ready to go down that path again on the heels of another successful Democratic Presidency? I certainly hope not. Some people need to seriously calm down and get a grip about Hillary Clinton.

 

RiverNoord

(1,150 posts)
205. It's not worth discussing like this. There will defiant and pointless
Mon May 2, 2016, 05:53 PM
May 2016

responses by hardcore HRC supporters, who won't examine what is happening with careful scrutiny. I think I've seen at least 50 posts on the variation of 'does anyone really believe that Hillary can't beat Trump?' (Or Cruz - he made appearances in that line a few times over the past couple of months)

That's not an argument, it's mystified disbelief. Someone making that statement absolutely cannot tolerate the very concept of Donald Trump defeating Hillary Clinton in a presidential election. If you can't tolerate the concept sufficiently t even consider any evidence suggesting it could be developing into a real possibility, then all you can do is lash out at the bearers of bad news and question their motives.

Sadly, The writing's been on the wall since Trump broke out of the Republican clown car into his own private clown limo.

This entire election may turn out to be a fiasco of monumental proportions.

The DNC has been developing the structure of Hillary Clinton's 2016 nomination for years. She is backed by very, very big money. This is her second run. What her supporters just can't seem to wrap their minds around is that not enough voters like her. And the nature of this dislike for Clinton is different than the dislike of Trump. He's a damned pop star, and, obviously, lots of people 'love to hate' him. He had a successful television show that was based almost entirely on the eagerness viewers had to hear him say 'you're fired.' His candidacy doesn't fit into any sort of framework of prior experience in modern politics, and Clinton won't be able to take a convincingly 'high road' position, because he's an aggressive prick who won't hesitate to counter Clinton's attacks by pointing out her own hypocrisy. She can't win that game.

When two extremely disliked people get into a fight, people treat it as entertainment. The one who wins the crowd is usually the one who provides the best entertainment. That's what we're descending into, and it may be too late to change course. The fact that Bernie Sanders has performed as well as he has should have alerted the party that, maybe, it was time to calmly consider the possibility that Clinton wasn't going to quite cut it.

The 2016 United States Presidential Election is going to get horribly ugly, and we may be faced with an extraordinarily horrible person becoming President of the United States. We've had horrible people before in the office, of course - as a country, we seem to send horrible people to the office far more often than relatively decent people. But this... ugh.

chwaliszewski

(1,514 posts)
256. Finally, someone with some sense...
Mon May 2, 2016, 09:54 PM
May 2016

I agree with you to a T. I respect the enthusiasm and confidence of HRC supporters. It's her time, she's earned this, etc. The part that I don't think they're getting is that there are a LOT of voters that don't like her and would either write in Bernie on the ballot (like me), vote for Trump (even if they don't like him either), or just not vote. All of this talk about "Hillary has more votes than all of them combined" is a load of cat crap. Some of her victories have been in closed primaries (like NY) which of course has shutout a lot of Bernie supporters. That's not even counting all of the shenanigans that was going on with the voter registration switching and what not. If all registered voters had a chance to vote, the outcome would be totally different. Also keep in mind, the Dem-nom was Hillary's to lose from the beginning. If she is so great, how come she hasn't won enough pledged delegates by now to end this thing?

Agschmid

(28,749 posts)
251. Lik Ohio, and Massachusetts, and NY, and PA, and MD, and Delaware.
Mon May 2, 2016, 09:39 PM
May 2016

Yeah we certainly won't get those in the GE.

ProudToBeBlueInRhody

(16,399 posts)
277. Meanwhile Bernie will carry OK, WY, NE, KS....
Mon May 2, 2016, 11:35 PM
May 2016

Right?

I'm voting for Hillary, just as I would vote for Bernie if he were the nominee.

Sorry.

Response to LannyDeVaney (Reply #8)

blm

(113,061 posts)
82. You say there's a 'most important demographic' and 'black/nursing home vote' ain't
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:21 PM
May 2016

part of it? In my party, every voting demographic IS important. I don't know ANY of my true fellow Sanders supporters who would vigorously claim that minorities and elderly vote is less important.

Excuse me if I don't believe you are a real Sanders supporter.

Response to blm (Reply #82)

 

Spitfire of ATJ

(32,723 posts)
74. Watch: If she wins her supporters will claim it's a total rejection of all of Bernie's policies....
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:18 PM
May 2016

Despite the fact that she has adopted many of those policies.

I've met some of her supporters and they consider Bernie to be a bigger enemy than Trump to the point where if she loses they'd rather vote for Trump than Bernie.

 

Spitfire of ATJ

(32,723 posts)
315. Republicans don't think that way....
Tue May 3, 2016, 05:56 PM
May 2016

Furthermore, why is returning to a pre-Reagan America considered to be kinda nutty?

raindaddy

(1,370 posts)
93. The days of the Democratic Party representing half of the public are over.
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:36 PM
May 2016

Outside of the shrinking Democratic bubble Hillary is neither trusted or well liked. Even if she does get by Trump she'll enter the White House with a negative rating and not a whole lot of capital.

EdwardBernays

(3,343 posts)
105. Hundreds of thousands fewer people have voted for Clinton in 2016, than did in 2008
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:57 PM
May 2016

and yet Trump and the GOP are having record turnouts...

Clinton will lose and lose badly to Trump...

radical noodle

(8,000 posts)
171. And Sanders has about 3M fewer votes than Hillary
Mon May 2, 2016, 05:13 PM
May 2016

Using that logic, it would mean Sanders will lose in a landslide to Trump.

EdwardBernays

(3,343 posts)
190. Except
Mon May 2, 2016, 05:29 PM
May 2016

That Sanders:

Isn't seen as dishonest
Attracts independents
Hasn't pissed off a huge number of Democrats
. . And progressives
. . And moderate Republicans
Doesn't drive Republican to vote out of spite

And a huge chunk number of the contests to decide the nominee don't allow the largest voter block to vote: independents. In open caucuses and primaries Sanders DID bring lots of new people into the system. People Hillary has almost no chance of reaching in a GE.

And of course Trump can run to the right AND left of Hillary, and Hillary is like Trump - a 1%er with low trust ratings.

Sanders is the opposite. A person the majority of voters think is for them, and is seen as trustworthy and honest.

radical noodle

(8,000 posts)
198. He'll be seen as worse once the GOP gets through with him
Mon May 2, 2016, 05:41 PM
May 2016

Last edited Mon May 2, 2016, 06:26 PM - Edit history (1)

If he tries to steal the nomination, my guess is he will piss off a huge number of Democrats.

EdwardBernays

(3,343 posts)
207. That's nonsense
Mon May 2, 2016, 05:57 PM
May 2016

People have been calling him a communist for months and the Mai outcome is that socialism is more popular than ever.

The vast majority of the Democratic elite are beholden to big money and have long given up on fighting for the working class. People know this.

Give them a champion and see what happens...

radical noodle

(8,000 posts)
216. They will have a lot more than just Communist to throw at him
Mon May 2, 2016, 06:29 PM
May 2016

The only way for Dems to do what needs to be done is for Democratic voters to get off their asses and vote in the off years. Without that, no one will make any headway.

EdwardBernays

(3,343 posts)
220. They don't
Mon May 2, 2016, 06:50 PM
May 2016

And you know it.

They have a sum total of: communist.

Oh and taxes. Lol.

And of course Dems have to be inspired to come out on midterms. Geee... I wonder if a candidate that can't even get a few hundred people to show up her rallies and isn't even trusted by endless numbers of Dems is the person to get that done.

Response to EdwardBernays (Reply #220)

erpowers

(9,350 posts)
221. Media Spin
Mon May 2, 2016, 07:12 PM
May 2016

Either the numbers I saw were wrong, Donald Trump is not bringing in as many voters as the media is claiming, or Hillary Clinton is not losing the large amounts of voters some are claiming she is losing. According to the numbers I saw Hillary Clinton has received millions more votes than Donald Trump. Trump has claimed that her lead over him is because she only has one opponent while he currently has three opponents and had more opponents in previous months. However, Hillary Clinton has more votes than Bernie Sanders and Sanders has more votes than both Ted Cruz and John Kasich combined.

So, I am not sure Donald Trump is bringing in as many new voters as some think. If he is, Hillary Clinton seems to be bringing in more new voters.

EdwardBernays

(3,343 posts)
224. Sure why not check?
Mon May 2, 2016, 07:29 PM
May 2016

The internet is there for you to use.

Ohio 2008:
Hillary - 1,259,620

Ohio 2016
Hillary - 679,266

Total Ohio Dem voters in 2016: 1,192,815

Trump Ohio 2016: 727,585

And he came in SECOND.

Total GOP votes in Ohio in 2016: 2,011,357


So maybe that's a fluke, how about Pennsylvania?

Hillary 2016: 918,689
Hillary 2008: 1,273,764

Total Dem voters in 2016: 1,638,644
Total Dem voters in 2008: 2,333,462

Trump in Pennsylvania: 892,702

Total GOP in 2016: 1,943,437

Those are just two states... you have google - use it and decide for yourself what's actually happening.

erpowers

(9,350 posts)
314. Clinton Has More Votes
Tue May 3, 2016, 05:52 PM
May 2016

Hillary Clinton still has more overall votes than Donald Trump. Even with the fewer votes in Pennsylvania she still ended up with more than 20,000 more votes than Trump.

EdwardBernays

(3,343 posts)
316. That's why
Tue May 3, 2016, 06:23 PM
May 2016

You have to triangulate.

Which party has gotten more votes in 2016?

Has Clinton been getting fewer votes - sometimes massively fewer - then she did eight years ago?



The GOP is getting more people to the polls, and Clinton is underperforming compared to 2008. And more Dems say in polls that they'd vote for Trump over Clinton than GOPers would vote for Hillary.

It's all there, but you have to look.

 

RoccoR5955

(12,471 posts)
161. Dream on
Mon May 2, 2016, 05:03 PM
May 2016

Independents do not like Hilliary one bit, and will probably stay home. If Bernie was running we would actually have a Democrat in the White House. I do not see winning them over. They are tired of Clinton. ANY Clinton.

 

Scootaloo

(25,699 posts)
254. You can't win a General election with just your primary voters
Mon May 2, 2016, 09:52 PM
May 2016

This seems to be a constant struggle for Clinton People to understand.

 

SusanLarson

(284 posts)
30. Progressives
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:47 PM
May 2016

The democratic party have always counted on progressives to jump into line as they support DINO's, conservative and corporate Democrats, as the lesser of two evils and we are tired of it. America had the chance to support someone who was not for once the lesser of two evils, and through the corruption of the party and the support of the corporate media they chose not to. A just punishment is coming.

A Simple Game

(9,214 posts)
75. So true, but this is the year that the liberals demand to be payed
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:18 PM
May 2016

and without that pay they will not support the Democratic party.

If Hillary wins the nomination she will then go on to lose the general election and ultimately destroy the Democratic party.

But never fear, it won't be the candidates fault(again), it will be the fault of the people that didn't vote for her. And when the Democratic party has a major exodus of members, no one should take any responsibility, that will be Bernie's fault.

Does anyone want to talk about her lack of coattails?

Gman

(24,780 posts)
120. Here's the problem. Whenever progressives decide to teach the party a lesson
Mon May 2, 2016, 04:14 PM
May 2016

Bad things happen. Nader in 2000 led to tens of thousands dying in Iraq. No single payer in the ACA so they bitched and complained and sat out 2010, a redistricting year which led to GOP gerrymandering. Even McGovern in 72 got Nixon reelected. This year the SCOTUS is on the line. And progressives want to sit out because they didn't get their way? I think they need to get over it.

The Green Manalishi

(1,054 posts)
133. Adults hold their nose and do what they have to
Mon May 2, 2016, 04:31 PM
May 2016

Changing diapers, unclogging plumbing, voting for someone with a 'D' after their name who stands for nearly as many things you dislike as things you believe in.

The damage done by President Trump's Supreme Court justices will be on the heads of those who don't pull the lever for Hillary.

I proudly support Bernie. I like his personality, his ethics and his policies MUCH better.

But, while I respect the fervor and passion of others who also support Bernie, the FACT is that "Politics is the art of the possible". Sometimes you get 51 percent of what you want; if you throw a fit about that then you get 0%. We got 0% in 2000.

I'm still hoping that somehow Bernie gets the nomination. But if it's Hillary and you don't vote for her you ARE voting for trump

this is not a godamned role-playing game. Real adults, citizens who actually care about humanity and their country know sometimes you suck it up and go with the lesser or two evils.

Gman

(24,780 posts)
145. Well said and I could not agree more
Mon May 2, 2016, 04:45 PM
May 2016

I think Sanders is a (hopefully not "was a&quot good man with the right ideas for working people. And he has accomplished his stated goal from 2 years ago of pushing the party toward his issues. Everyone benefits from that and I am grateful to him for that.

But I like HRC because Bill's admin gave us the best economy for working people in my lifetime. I'm hoping for more of the same from her. I feel with the emphasis on populism economics she'll do even better than Bill.

 

pugetres

(507 posts)
167. Or, maybe the Party itself
Mon May 2, 2016, 05:09 PM
May 2016

needs to get over it and realize that it has to get back on track and stop pushing party members to the side in its attempt to find a "third way"? No more of the GOP Lite BS.

I'm not willing to be a fall guy for the Party's failings.

Gman

(24,780 posts)
175. So you're saying you'll let Trump or Cruz become prez?
Mon May 2, 2016, 05:19 PM
May 2016

Is that what you want to prove a point? Are you ready and willing to take responsibility for the wars and economic depression, and countless deaths from a Republican administration?

 

pugetres

(507 posts)
188. Where did you read that I said that?
Mon May 2, 2016, 05:28 PM
May 2016

I will say this- If Clinton makes it past the end of July and then loses the GE, I'm not responsible for that.

If the Party membership continues to decline, I'm not responsible for that.



Gman

(24,780 posts)
192. Of course you are
Mon May 2, 2016, 05:34 PM
May 2016

You contributed to the GOP winning by not supporting HRC as the nominee. Nader supporters to this day deny their responsibility in all Bush did.

 

pugetres

(507 posts)
208. You seem assured that the GOP is going to win.
Mon May 2, 2016, 05:58 PM
May 2016

If that is the case then HRC needs to get her game on and EARN those votes.

Response to Gman (Reply #210)

The Green Manalishi

(1,054 posts)
312. They won't take responsibility...
Tue May 3, 2016, 03:19 PM
May 2016

just try telling any Nader voter that the blood of those soldiers and Iraqis is on *THEIR* head and you get the same sanctimonious load of 'well the party didn't nominate my choice' and/or 'so you want me to vote for the lesser or two evils'. 16 years later and the denial is still as deep, so no, if we end up with President Trump there will be 'Bernie or Bust' voters saying 'don't blame me'

Enthusiast

(50,983 posts)
173. It is your attitude, a condescending and insulting attitude that alienates millions of us.
Mon May 2, 2016, 05:14 PM
May 2016

That will do wonders for turnout ( if Hill gets the nomination).

Gman

(24,780 posts)
176. So you're willing to assume responsibility
Mon May 2, 2016, 05:21 PM
May 2016

For death, destruction and economic depression from a Trump or Cruz presidency?

Enthusiast

(50,983 posts)
181. Are you willing to assume responsibility
Mon May 2, 2016, 05:24 PM
May 2016

for the death, destruction and economic depression from a Trump or Cruz presidency?

Because your attitude will make President Trump a reality.

Response to Gman (Reply #176)

Victor_c3

(3,557 posts)
174. Oh and so did Hillary
Mon May 2, 2016, 05:16 PM
May 2016

Don't forget she voted for that war and proudly stood by vote for more than a decade before noticing that maybe it was a mistake. And then when she did she issued a halfassed apology.

I'm a totally disabled vet produced by that war. I take things like that very personally. Out of good conscience I can not bring myself to vote for Hillary Clinton. I know people personally who have been maimed and killed by that war. While her daughter was off enjoying the good life and marrying trust fund managers I was stuffing body bags and garbage bags with the remains of people that I murdered on politicians like Hillary Clinton's behalf.

I was an infantry platoon leader in Iraq from February 2004 through March 2005. Although Hillary Clinton and the rest of America seem to have moved on from that horrible mistake of a war I haven't and I can't. Even though it has been more than a decade since I was there it is very alive and present in my head.

Gman

(24,780 posts)
179. So I guess you're willing to let it all happen again
Mon May 2, 2016, 05:22 PM
May 2016

In a Trump or Cruz presidency? Is it worth that?

Victor_c3

(3,557 posts)
219. And what makes you think Hillary won't repeat that mistake again?
Mon May 2, 2016, 06:45 PM
May 2016

As Secratary of State she was instrumental in swaying Obama to use military force in the Middle East. It's not like it is at all evident that she has actually learned any lessons. The only pain she has had to endure from Iraq has been the impact on her political career.

She has no concept of what the wars she sends other people to fight in are like. If she did, she'd be just as devastated by it as those who have returned from combat are.

democrank

(11,094 posts)
209. Victor_c3...
Mon May 2, 2016, 06:06 PM
May 2016

I`m so, so sorry for all you`ve been through and want you to know there ARE people on this site and elsewhere who understand how difficult it is (and in some cases impossible) to get past that vote in favor of the Iraq War.

Some folks here way too casually state that Hillary already apologized for her vote and that`s that. End of story.Time to move on. To me, it`s a shallow response which lacks any meaningful understanding of the dreadful, heartbreaking, ongoing consequences of that vote.

Please know there are many who care deeply about your sacrifice. I wish you the best.

In peace~

Victor_c3

(3,557 posts)
282. Thank you for your thoughts
Tue May 3, 2016, 01:21 AM
May 2016

I too often get wrapped up and incensed about anything regarding that war. I will not let something like that happen to people like me again.

I joined the army as a stupid 17 year old kid in 1997. My parents had to sign a waiver to let me join before I was 18. I honestly wanted to make the world a better place and I ate up the propaganda that the U.S. Army was a force for good. In 1997 we were heavily involved in the Balkans and I believed that we had learned our lessons from our previous conflicts. instead I found myself in a war I never thought could happen or believed in. I was totally taken advantage by and betrayed by politicians like Hillary Clinton.

I won't let it happen again.

The idea that I have to vote for Hillary Clinton if I don't want something like Iraq to happen again is insulting and rediculous.

aggiesal

(8,914 posts)
134. So get inside the Democratic Party and change it ...
Mon May 2, 2016, 04:31 PM
May 2016

That's what the Tea Party did to the Republican party, so you
can't say, it can't be done.

Did you actually do anything within the Democratic party to change
their "corruption"? Or, are you just complaining from the sidelines?

Many Bernie-backers are starting to run for the lower offices and
in due time the Democratic Party will look more like what FDR had.

I'm supporting Bernie in the primary, but if Hillary is nominated,
even I'm not stupid enough to allow a republican to control the
White House with all the Supreme getting up in age.

And when Hillary becomes President, I will continue to push her
to the left. We need to make a presence throughout her term to
force her to see things as a progressive.

"After his election in 1932, FDR met with Sidney Hillman and other
labor leaders, many of them active Socialists with whom he had
worked over the past decade or more. Hillman and his allies arrived
with plans they wanted the new President to implement.
Roosevelt told them: "I agree with you, I want to do it, now make me do it."

chwaliszewski

(1,514 posts)
258. Hillary IS a Republican...
Mon May 2, 2016, 10:01 PM
May 2016

in the eyes of many Indys and Berniacs. You may not agree but do you understand? I think Cruz is the only real wacko out there. Trump and Clinton? They look the same to me.

 

SusanLarson

(284 posts)
36. Not us, you!
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:49 PM
May 2016

No, you didn't lift a finger to stop him. We have been warning you since the beginning of the primary and you and others like you chose not to listen.

pnwmom

(108,978 posts)
37. Are you planning to move somewhere? I'm voting for whichever Dem opposes him in the General.
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:50 PM
May 2016

That's the only way to stop him.

 

SusanLarson

(284 posts)
56. We will survive
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:04 PM
May 2016

Nah I will be right here. This country survived 8 years of Bush, 8 years of Clinton, 4 years of papa Bush, and 8 years of Reagan. We can survive Trump. But the Democratic party cannot. They threw in their lot with Clinton 100%, and 4-8 years of Trump will make sure that Americans will always remember that. You can expect Bernie's supporters to be right there shouting it out as loudly as we can.

brush

(53,778 posts)
110. Stop with the BS
Mon May 2, 2016, 04:04 PM
May 2016

The Obama coalition will elect Clinton just as it did Obama twice.

Trump will lose spectacularly.

Latinos, blacks, Asians, gays, women, Native Americans ans sensible progressive whites who don't want a repug appointing the next 3 Supreme Court justices will see to that.

132 post count, huh?

Guess you don't know we outnumber the repugs.

 

SusanLarson

(284 posts)
122. I recently transitioned.
Mon May 2, 2016, 04:17 PM
May 2016

132 posts on this account. On my pre-transition account I have been here since 2006 and had a lot more posts. I tried to get skinner to rename the old account but never got a response. So don't judge someone by post count

greymouse

(872 posts)
95. Bernie would be the only Dem in the general
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:38 PM
May 2016

Not Ms Goldwater Girl.

No more the lesser of two evils.

The polls for the general say, Bernie smashes Trump, Hillary vs. Trump is within the margin of error or Hillary loses.

The Green Manalishi

(1,054 posts)
313. Not true
Tue May 3, 2016, 03:25 PM
May 2016

I'm voting Bernie in the Primaries. I've supported him with $$ and many an argument. I would *MUCH* prefer him.

I'm voting the nominee in the general, be it Secretary Clinton, VP Biden or Senator Sanders.

It's not wars, however bad they are that *REALLY* worry me- it's who Trump would nominate to the Supreme Court. Not that wars are good, but we have a non zero chance of actually winning one or at least killing SOME bad guys; a Trump 'Justice' however will be 100 percent bad and be screwing up this country for decades.

 

libdem4life

(13,877 posts)
65. Bernie beats Trump soundly. This is a meme meant to silence.
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:11 PM
May 2016

Bring me a link with Trump beating Bernie in the polls. Anywhere even here on DU. All we get is the Trump Fear Factor...which is FALSE.

pnwmom

(108,978 posts)
68. He won't if he's not in the General. The only way to stop Trump is to vote for the Dem
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:13 PM
May 2016

who makes it to the General, even if that person isn't your first choice.

 

libdem4life

(13,877 posts)
78. And that should be, for thinking folks, the one who polls highest against The Donald.
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:19 PM
May 2016

There is only only one way Bernie doesn't make it to the General to take out Trump.

pnwmom

(108,978 posts)
88. No. Thinking people know that poll numbers right now mean little. Bernie has never
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:27 PM
May 2016

faced a national attack by the Rethugs. If he ever gets to that point he won't know what hit him.

 

libdem4life

(13,877 posts)
92. Well then we have no reason to believe HRC is in front, now do we?
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:35 PM
May 2016

Nor do we really know that Trump is in the lead. Why come November it will just be helter-skelter...who knew? Maybe Jeb Bush will be running against Jill Stein. And Bernie's rise from 4% to near the 50% mark is just so much fiddle faddle. And the opposite on the other hand...just projection.

Just no way to know because...well, you know.

ETA: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_sanders-5565.html

Real Clear Politics

Poll Date Sample MoE
Sanders (D)
Trump (R)
Spread
RCP Average 4/8 - 4/28 -- -- 51.6 38.0 Sanders +13.6
IBD/TIPP 4/22 - 4/28 814 RV 3.5 50 38 Sanders +12
USA Today/Suffolk 4/20 - 4/24 1000 LV 3.0 52 37 Sanders +15
GWU/Battleground 4/17 - 4/20 1000 LV 3.1 50 40 Sanders +10
FOX News 4/11 - 4/13 1021 RV 3.0 53 39 Sanders +14
CBS News 4/8 - 4/12 1098 RV 3.0 53 36 Sanders +17

Any questions?

Response to pnwmom (Reply #15)

donnasgirl

(656 posts)
24. There seems to be
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:43 PM
May 2016

Many on this site who can not understand why people do not like or will not back Hillary. Sanders or Bust for us

 

leftynyc

(26,060 posts)
42. Then you're allowing
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:55 PM
May 2016

donnie the chance to replace scalia. Hope your petulant hissy fit is worth it.

Response to SusanLarson (Reply #60)

donnasgirl

(656 posts)
70. It's not a hissy fit Lefty
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:16 PM
May 2016

We have standards by which we pick and choose our choice of a Candidates, we have pounded the pavement for Bernie in upstate NY and you will not like what we are hearing about how people are feeling about Hillary, there are many who will stay home and just as many who are now willing to write in his name. We have a good friend in PA who is telling us that over 60 thousand Democrats have now left the party and will not be coming back anytime soon so my feelings are my family is not alone in our feelings.

 

RoccoR5955

(12,471 posts)
170. I also pounded the pavement and the phones for Bernie in Upstate NY.
Mon May 2, 2016, 05:12 PM
May 2016

Bernie won Upstate NY. He won my county by nearly 25%!
If you think that Clinton will even take NY, you don't know New Yorkers. They voted for the guy who the Cons put up because John Wayne was dead. They will vote for Drumpf.

donnasgirl

(656 posts)
206. Rocco Bernie won handily in my County
Mon May 2, 2016, 05:56 PM
May 2016

Clinton will not take NY in my opinion, your right Drumpf will win it if Clinton is the Candidate and the same will come true in PA.

Response to leftynyc (Reply #42)

Blackjackdavey

(178 posts)
69. I'm a Bernie supporter
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:15 PM
May 2016

and am not a big fan of Hillary for a few reasons but what you propose is a very poor approach. In fact, it is dumb and not at all what I believe Bernie would suggest.

Gman

(24,780 posts)
83. Bernie or bust is irrelevant and meaningless
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:22 PM
May 2016

As GOP moderates and indies flock to HRC in November. In other words we don't need the Bernie or bust folks. Makes their entire meme useless.

sharp_stick

(14,400 posts)
102. There are a certain phrases that pretty much
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:54 PM
May 2016

fit people who foment this bernieorbust bullshit. Unfortunately most of them aren't all that polite so I'll simply invite you and yours to kindly kiss my ass.

I'm sick to death of the I've just started posting to be a pain in the ass crowd.

 

dbackjon

(6,578 posts)
126. So when President Trump
Mon May 2, 2016, 04:21 PM
May 2016

Appoints SCOTUS members that take away my civil rights, will you be around?



People like you are selfish, and really have no business on DU.



You make my blood boil.

CreekDog

(46,192 posts)
288. by the way, did you notice they joined in 2006
Tue May 3, 2016, 02:37 AM
May 2016

but didn't start posting until this year?

you know what I mean?

CreekDog

(46,192 posts)
196. Welcome to DU.
Mon May 2, 2016, 05:37 PM
May 2016

I know you joined in 2006, but since you only started posting recently, a welcome seems in order.

eissa

(4,238 posts)
2. I find this very hard to believe
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:36 PM
May 2016

I don't see how a candidate as underwater with women and minorities as Trump is could pull this off. Let's remember that we haven't even begun to campaign against him, and the treasure trove of material that can be used against him in the general hasn't even aired yet. This is our election to lose.

muriel_volestrangler

(101,318 posts)
45. 16% for another candidate is particularly unbelievable
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:56 PM
May 2016

That would be an earth-shaking electoral event. Because it's unlikely any major candidate will stand against those 2.

TexasBushwhacker

(20,190 posts)
300. What people say and what they do are different things
Tue May 3, 2016, 11:53 AM
May 2016

Of course, unless you're in a swing state, what does it really matter. I'm in TX, so the only vote that counted was the primary. That being said, the worst thing is if people just stay home. That would be very bad for down ticket races.

 

modestybl

(458 posts)
61. I believe it...
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:07 PM
May 2016

I was phone banking and canvassing from Dem lists in Iowa, Illinois, Wisconsin and Indiana, and was surprised by the number of people who said they were voting for Trump. They are hurting, they have been losing economically for years, they see the Dem party leaders as elitists, wanting to promote a rainbow coalition of Ivy league overachievers, and ignoring them completely. Their only hope as they see it is to have this system shaken to the core.

They like Bernie, but think Trump has a better chance. HRC appears oblivious to the anger and despair.

OilemFirchen

(7,143 posts)
94. Any Sanders supporter who votes for Trump is a fucking idiot.
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:38 PM
May 2016

I know they exist, I recently spoke with one. He was a fucking idiot.

Fucking idiots are irrelevant. No one cares.

Because they're fucking idiots.

SammyWinstonJack

(44,130 posts)
103. Any supporters of Bernie who say they like him but think trump has a better chance, are NOT really
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:54 PM
May 2016

Bernie supporters.

 

modestybl

(458 posts)
135. They are Trump supporters who also like Bernie...
Mon May 2, 2016, 04:31 PM
May 2016

... but if all you have to offer is "they are f**king idiots" without telling them how an HRC as POTUS will help them, personally, get a living wage, and getter circumstances, you are as clueless and out-of-touch as HRC.

OilemFirchen

(7,143 posts)
146. I would never call those people fucking idiots.
Mon May 2, 2016, 04:45 PM
May 2016

They're actually clueless fucks.

I think that's an important distinction.

chwaliszewski

(1,514 posts)
261. Basically, anyone who thinks differently than you is a f'ing idiot?
Mon May 2, 2016, 10:10 PM
May 2016

How coincidental! I was thinking the exact same thing. I guess you and I are f'ing idiots.

What a small world.

elljay

(1,178 posts)
64. They have to show up at the polls
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:10 PM
May 2016

Minorities and young people traditionally have some "issues" in getting to the polls. Obama motivated both groups to show up and stand on line for hours to make sure they voted because they liked him. Hillary's support is fairly strong among minorities though not as strong as Obama's, and is incredibly weak among young people and Independents. In this election, the Democrats will need not only to bring out the majority of the one-third of Americans who are registered Democrats, but also the majority of the one-third who are Independent. Instead of having a candidate like Obama whom they very much liked, we have a candidate that young people, Independents, and a large minority of Democrats generally do not like or support. The motivation to get these groups to show up at the polls and vote for Hillary seems to be that they must vote for her because Trump is worse. The question to be answered is whether this will be sufficient to draw people to the polls.

 

jtuck004

(15,882 posts)
76. Have you parked your car so that the earth we are all killing can support us and our children?
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:18 PM
May 2016

Yeah, neither have the rest of us. Our behavior is killing us. It is the easiest, to sit on our asses, keep the thermostats up, watch lots of cable and piss away electricity, live in too big houses, don't make anything and pretend we have value...

It's like learning how to cook by sitting on the couch eating Oreos. Not the most challenging route to learning.

"I don't see how..." The behaviors the real estate swindler is calling for, preaching, are the easy ones, Hate people, pretend your lack of effort is someone else's problem, do things and don't pay your bills, etc. The fact that people will vote enthusiastically for the least moral and costly (to themselves in the short run), least energetic behavior they can evince shouldn't come as a surprise.

It's pretty widespread outside of his circles too.

Lots of us don't make sense sometimes.

TeamPooka

(24,226 posts)
112. It's Rassmussen. They're a Right Wing prop org and are never right with their numbers on anything
Mon May 2, 2016, 04:05 PM
May 2016

Their polling had Mitt Romney winning the White House in 2012.
#Losers

ffr

(22,670 posts)
10. This!
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:39 PM
May 2016

Everybody in my extended family will be voting for Hillary if she's the nominee, two more this time around due to those now eligible to vote.

HRC and the democrats are set to run the tables on any GOP nominee!

 

SusanLarson

(284 posts)
14. based on what?
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:40 PM
May 2016

Based on? Millions of Democratic voters have said we will either write in Bernie Sanders or stay home. Clinton has been losing in every poll to every single republican hopeful even those who have dropped out. You have willfully blinded yourself to the apathy America has for Clinton.

The Democratic Party cannot win this election without Sanders supporters, independents, and millennials who will not vote for Clinton. I just hope you come to your senses in time. We will not bend even with the threat of a President Trump.

 

LannyDeVaney

(1,033 posts)
25. I disagree ...
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:43 PM
May 2016

The next president will be Hillary Clinton, and the election won't be close, and my senses are just fine thank you very much.

"Millions of Democratic voters have said we will either write in Bernie Sanders or stay home."

Got any evidence to back that statement up?


"Clinton has been losing in every poll to every single republican hopeful even those who have dropped out. "

Got any evidence to back that statement up?





Vogon_Glory

(9,118 posts)
28. I think some of the Bernie fan-boys overrate themselves
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:46 PM
May 2016

Even some Republicans are scared enough of a Trump presidency to vote for former Secretary of State Clinton.


=====

A word to the posters spamming here on Roger Stone's tab: I think Hillary's going to get the Democratic nomination.

radical noodle

(8,000 posts)
195. You know that blackmail generally does not pay off, don't you?
Mon May 2, 2016, 05:36 PM
May 2016

You seriously think that even though Hillary has about 3M more votes and about 300 more pledged delegates, that Sanders can steal the nomination? And that it will endear her voters to Sanders? Think again.

 

tabasco

(22,974 posts)
21. Please tell me which key states Clinton will win to secure this blowout victory.
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:42 PM
May 2016

Then we talk reality.

 

LannyDeVaney

(1,033 posts)
29. Ohio for starters ...
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:46 PM
May 2016

latest poll shows Clinton beating Trump in Ohio, and history indicates Ohio is the keyset of the key states.

Next question?

gaspee

(3,231 posts)
52. ?????
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:00 PM
May 2016

NY: Clinton votes:1,054,083
Trump votes: 534,932


Fl: Clinton: 1,097,400
Trump: 1,077,221

PA: Clinton: 918,669
Trump: 892,702


California hasn't voted yet, but you're smoking the good stuff if you think Cali is even going to be close

Clinton will win almost all of what Obama won and will even pick up a couple of red states

It won't even be close.

gaspee

(3,231 posts)
272. Whew
Mon May 2, 2016, 11:05 PM
May 2016

I thought you were the person making their own reality who thinks Trump has any chance of winning NY or CA (or even any of the northeastern states he just clobbered Cruz in.)

 

LannyDeVaney

(1,033 posts)
43. This link gives you a good idea of the thrashing that is about to happen
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:55 PM
May 2016

Blowout victory. I'm not worried, and no #BernieOrBust movement is going to change a damn thing.

[link:http://www.270towin.com/maps/crystal-ball-2016-electoral-college-ratings|

ffr

(22,670 posts)
54. Would love to get GA and TX onboard too.
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:02 PM
May 2016

Come on democrats! Let's take Georgia and Texas too!!

I only wish we could sweep all 50 states.

 

NuclearDem

(16,184 posts)
4. General election matchup polls mean nothing until at least September.
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:36 PM
May 2016

National popular vote polls mean even less. That's not how the election is decided.

stopbush

(24,396 posts)
16. Exactly. The same Sanders supporters who believe the early GE polls showing Sanders
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:41 PM
May 2016

beating Trump by larger margins thatn Hillary and cite said polls as a reason to vote for Sanders are the same people who miss the fact that Clinton had a huge lead in the polls over Sanders back in Nov. Sanders always points this out, but he also doesn't get that the same observation he's making about last Nov's polls can be applied to any poll taken today concerning the GE - ie: polls taken months in advance of any event seldom mean anything.

 

truebluegreen

(9,033 posts)
32. Oh I don't know:
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:47 PM
May 2016

the Elites will sit fat, sassy and rich more easily if the boat doesn't get rocked too much, and Hillary the Incrementalist is definitely not a boat-rocker. They'll find a way for her to "win."

 

rtracey

(2,062 posts)
6. hmmmm too bad
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:38 PM
May 2016

Too bad. If Bernie does not get the nomination, looks like president Trump to the rescue.... there's always 2020. OR some who claim they will be Bernie or bust, or whatever, decide to put party first, well this might change.... Party or Bust / Party or Trump.

 

Plucketeer

(12,882 posts)
7. Imagine if...
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:38 PM
May 2016

we had an alternative who appealed to independents and moderate GOPers to turn to. Someone who didn't look like a weathervane in a tornado. Someone who knew the difference between sniper fire and a bouquet of flowers. Just imagine.

Mustellus

(328 posts)
9. All Rasmussen (aka Repub Propaganda) has to do....
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:38 PM
May 2016

.. is only survey people with land line telephones. Hardly anyone under 60 has one anymore.....

And if that isn't enough, yes, they've been known to lie.

 

leftynyc

(26,060 posts)
47. That you're serving up the
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:57 PM
May 2016

RIGHT WING RASSMUSSEN to try prove a point tells everyone all they need to know.

PeteSelman

(1,508 posts)
11. Expect many attacks on the pollster.
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:39 PM
May 2016

Because Rassmussen does tend to lean Republican.

I doubt there will ever again be an election that isn't 51-49 or 52-48.

Everyone goes home for the general election and the country is sharply divided.

This isn't going to be easy. At all.

 

fbc

(1,668 posts)
13. He will run to the left of her on trade and wall street/banking reform
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:40 PM
May 2016

Her goose is cooked.

Just how exactly does Clinton expect to get people excited about her candidacy? It doesn't sound like "The other guy stinks!" is going to work.

emulatorloo

(44,124 posts)
20. Non-fascists will not vote for him, sorry
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:42 PM
May 2016

Additionally he certainly has no appeal for minority voters.

SunSeeker

(51,557 posts)
48. Oh please. Trump is way to the right of Hillary on economic policy.
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:57 PM
May 2016

He wants massive tax cuts for the rich/corporations and he doesn't want to raise the minimum wage. Don't believe the right wing propaganda.

Trump has not been attacked with Democratic negative ads. He has been attacked from the right as being too liberal and not a "true conservative," which of course is a lie. When his economic positions get exposed in the GE, he will lose the Reagan Democrats.

muriel_volestrangler

(101,318 posts)
50. Like fuck he will
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:58 PM
May 2016

Haven't you seen his tax plan? He's entire pro-oligarch.

At a time of exceptionally wide levels of income inequality, the tax-cut proposals from Republican presidential candidates Donald Trump and Ted Cruz would produce extremely large and unprecedented tax-cut windfalls for people with incomes exceeding $1 million a year, almost certainly at the expense of low- and middle-income households once budget cuts to pay for the tax cuts are taken into account. Both tax plans would ultimately increase the already substantial incomes of people who make over $1 million a year by about 20 percent, with the revenues lost due to the tax cuts for millionaires exceeding $3 trillion over the coming decade.

These findings are based on an examination of the estimates that the respected Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center (TPC) has produced of both the cost of the Trump and Cruz tax plans and how those plans would affect households at different income levels. (“Millionaires,” as used here, refers to households with annual incomes over $1 million, rather than to the amount of assets that households may hold.) This analysis is a companion piece to an earlier CBPP analysis on the effects these tax-cut plans would have on the nation’s revenue base; the earlier analysis found that both the Trump and Cruz plans would effectively shrink government revenues (as a share of GDP) to their levels back in the Truman era. Like that analysis, this one does not examine John Kasich’s tax proposal because TPC has not assessed it, and doesn’t assess the proposals of Democratic candidates Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders, as their proposals would increase taxes on millionaires, not reduce them.
...
TPC estimates that millionaires would receive tax cuts averaging about $380,000 (Trump) or $460,000 (Cruz) in 2025, the last year for which TPC has estimated the distribution of the tax cuts. (All average tax-cut figures in this report are adjusted for inflation and expressed in 2016 dollars.) The after-tax incomes of millionaires would increase by 17.9 percent under Trump and 21.6 percent under Cruz.

The tax cuts for the rest of the population would be far smaller. The middle fifth of households would receive tax cuts in 2025 that average $2,900 under Trump and $1,400 under Cruz, raising these households’ after-tax incomes by 4.9 percent and 2.4 percent, respectively.

Although millionaires represent less than 1 percent of the population, in 2025 they would receive 38 percent of the Trump tax cuts and nearly half — 47 percent — of the Cruz tax cuts. In contrast, the bottom 80 percent of the population would receive just 32 percent of the Trump cuts and 19 percent of Cruz’s. Thus, in aggregate, millionaires would gain more than the bottom 80 percent of households combined under Trump’s plan and more than twice as much as the bottom 80 percent of households combined under Senator Cruz’s plan.

Multi-millionaires would fare best of all. The TPC data indicate that in 2025, the richest 0.1 percent of the population — those with incomes of more than $5.2 million — would receive a larger share of the tax cuts than more than 60 percent of the U.S. population under Trump and more than 80 percent of the population under Cruz.

http://www.cbpp.org/research/federal-tax/millionaires-would-gain-trillions-under-trump-and-cruz-tax-plans

SammyWinstonJack

(44,130 posts)
111. Well then his idiot supporters haven't taken notice of how badly an economic hit they'll be taking
Mon May 2, 2016, 04:04 PM
May 2016

from trump....idiots! They're too busy hating....

Response to tabasco (Original post)

underpants

(182,806 posts)
59. We know how this works. Poll becomes news - repeat repeat repeat
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:06 PM
May 2016

The lets-be-like-everyone-else masses follow.

 

puffy socks

(1,473 posts)
22. Nice cherry picking!
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:43 PM
May 2016
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html


Spread
RCP Average 4/8 - 4/28 -- -- 47.1 40.4 Clinton +6.7
Rasmussen Reports 4/27 - 4/28 1000 LV 3.0 39 41 Trump +2
IBD/TIPP 4/22 - 4/28 814 RV 3.5 47 40 Clinton +7
USA Today/Suffolk 4/20 - 4/24 1000 LV 3.0 50 39 Clinton +11
GWU/Battleground 4/17 - 4/20 1000 LV 3.1 46 43 Clinton +3
FOX News 4/11 - 4/13 1021 RV 3.0 48 41 Clinton +7
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 4/10 - 4/14 1000 RV 3.1 50 39 Clinton +11
CBS News 4/8 - 4/12 1098 RV 3.0 50 40 Clinton +10

All General Election: Trump vs. Clinton Polling Data

pnwmom

(108,978 posts)
23. The IBD poll conducted during the same time period puts Hillary 7 points ahead.
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:43 PM
May 2016

And that poll, unlike Rasmussen, was conducted with both land lines and cell phones -- and real interviewers.

(Rassmussen used a combination of automated calls and online polling.)


http://www.investors.com/politics/trump-gains-ground-on-clinton-but-both-have-sky-high-negatives/

At the same time, Hillary’s lead over Trump is now just seven points (47% to 40%), down from 12 points last month.

 

anigbrowl

(13,889 posts)
27. Rasmussen reports is famously biased in favor of GOP candidates. Also not LBN.
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:45 PM
May 2016

And this isn't compliant with the LBN rules either, as you are probably aware.

Response to leftynyc (Reply #49)

dembotoz

(16,805 posts)
44. maybe she can run again in 4 years when she is REALLY entitled...
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:55 PM
May 2016

wish picking lottery tickets was this easy to forcast

jb5150

(1,178 posts)
51. I don't like Hillary Clinton ...
Mon May 2, 2016, 02:58 PM
May 2016

But if she's the nominee I will vote for her. Clinton (however flawed she might be) is 100 times better than any of the dangerous idiots on the other side. Republican-lite is better than Republican-crazy.

 

smirkymonkey

(63,221 posts)
150. This!
Mon May 2, 2016, 04:49 PM
May 2016

I am a Bernie supporter but there is NO WAY I will throw away my vote and give the republicans a chance to take the White House. I'm not crazy about Hillary, but she's a hell of a lot better than Trump or Cruz.

pansypoo53219

(20,977 posts)
58. SHE could lose. can you say swarzenegger???? GO BERNIE!
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:05 PM
May 2016

i saw one of her winning speeches. kerry won to didn't he. BAH

sharp_stick

(14,400 posts)
119. My 6 year old
Mon May 2, 2016, 04:13 PM
May 2016

constructs better sentences than this.

Your subject line shows that you know where the caps lock key is at least. Maybe at some point in the future you could try learning about the SHIFT key and perhaps a little bit about grammar and sentence structure.

Gman

(24,780 posts)
79. And it damn sure ain't a shoo in for Sanders
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:19 PM
May 2016

In fact he is the only candidate that can lose in November. He's totally and completely unvetted. He has never been seriously attacked and would crumple like tissue paper at the first GOP attack ad.

 

Kelvin Mace

(17,469 posts)
80. Once again, not those nasty liberals and independents that should worry you
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:20 PM
May 2016

it's the "Democrats" who will vote trump, just as they Voted Bush and Reagan back in the day.

d_legendary1

(2,586 posts)
85. This is a Rasmussen poll
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:25 PM
May 2016

But it won't take away the fact that independents will not vote for her in the general election.

longship

(40,416 posts)
96. I only want to do what is best.
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:39 PM
May 2016

That is, to make sure that the GOP does not win in November in any way.

You can choose to divide the party anyway you want. I do not recommend that.

rock

(13,218 posts)
101. So making snide remarks about Hillary
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:52 PM
May 2016

Is what is best? What's particularly snide about your remark is its an opinion with NO grounding in the real world. How would we know that Hillary thinks it's her turn? Or expressed another way, how could you possibly prove that in court?

Attorney in Texas

(3,373 posts)
91. Hillary promises (and would deliver) more status quo. Trump promises (and would deliver) change. For
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:34 PM
May 2016

those who feel hopelessly left out of the current rigged economy, this is the only issue (not SCOTUS appointments, not the gender of the next president, not who's going to propose DOA gun regulation).

Trump will come out to the left of Clinton on (1) job exporting trade deals, (2) spending capital on overseas military bases, (3) foreign nation building, and (4) campaign finance regulation.

He will win more Democrats than Hillary will win Republicans. I don't know where the independents will go, but I know they hate Hillary with a white hot passion.

 

captainarizona

(363 posts)
97. no clinton is good clinton
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:43 PM
May 2016

and good clinton is no clinton! I have never voted for a clinton and I never will! bernie or green party. Her iraq war vote was to clever by half as the english say.

cleanhippie

(19,705 posts)
98. I think many mainstream Dems underestimate the hatred of Clinton by the general electorate.
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:43 PM
May 2016

I'm not saying this is my opinion of her, just that that's the 800lb gorilla no one wants to acknowledge.

LiberalLovinLug

(14,173 posts)
106. Its just time for Hillary and for a woman President
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:57 PM
May 2016

No matter her hawkish MIC support, even criticizing Obama for not using them enough
No matter her secretive email accounts
No matter her temporary flipflop having "issues" with the TPP
No matter her non released $200,000 speeches to Wall Street criminals
No matter her vacationing with her good friends the Kissingers
No matter her lobbying for fracking in other countries as SoS
No matter her non support for legalization of marijuana and the crippling incarceration rate that fosters
No matter her rejection of single payer, the cheapest fairest system adopted by every other modern nation on Earth

Now it doesn't even matter if the Democrats lose and we have a meglomaniac clown as President, as long as for at least one day in their lives they get to vote for a woman for President! Awesome.

 

lancer78

(1,495 posts)
108. Hopefully
Mon May 2, 2016, 03:58 PM
May 2016

if HRC loses then we will never have another Clinton darken our doorways ever again.

I am sorry, but something about the whole family is off-putting. Maybe it is the entitlement and hubris they exude. Maybe I have no respect for a woman who stays with a serial cheater instead of kicking him to the curb?

Cary

(11,746 posts)
109. Why are you citing Rasmussen?
Mon May 2, 2016, 04:04 PM
May 2016

After the 2010 midterm elections, Silver concluded that Rasmussen's polls were the least accurate of the major pollsters in 2010, having an average error of 5.8 points and a pro-Republican bias of 3.9 points according to Silver's model.

Why on earth would you bring that here to DU?

Turbineguy

(37,331 posts)
121. Do these polls correct for
Mon May 2, 2016, 04:14 PM
May 2016

gerrymandering, voter suppression and vote switching software? There's a good 15% right there.

TheFarseer

(9,323 posts)
123. Trump is so all over the place on issues
Mon May 2, 2016, 04:19 PM
May 2016

He can simultaneously run to the left and right of Hillary. It's not going to be nearly as easy as Hillary supporters want to think. I still think this is a 50/50 proposition.

 
124. The GE is going to be much harder than Clinton supporters expect it will be
Mon May 2, 2016, 04:19 PM
May 2016

Bernie was about the nicest candidate you could ever face in a primary...

There's a large swath of voters on both sides and independents who just don't think the establishment is working for them

There will be Dems who sit out, there will be Independents who either sit out or will vote Trump, young folks aren't jumping to vote for Hillary, minorities won't vote with the same enthusiasm as when Obama was a candidate, and Republicans have been dying to get back in power



MisterP

(23,730 posts)
155. a real primary challenge wasn't even supposed to happen
Mon May 2, 2016, 04:55 PM
May 2016

note how every advance is completely blindsiding them--Sanders was to Kucinich's left, thus and therefore he'd get 2% to the Kooch's 4%
when they said she'd win VT they weren't saying it to piss off Sandersonians
they've lost 11 Governors, 13 Senators, and 69 Reps with their disconnection from reality

 

Betty Karlson

(7,231 posts)
128. If Clinton is likely to lose to TRUMP, of all people, then DON'T RUN THAT RISK
Mon May 2, 2016, 04:23 PM
May 2016

and for goodness' sake nominate anyone but her! Preferably Bernie, but I'll settle for anyone willing to forgo a DINO-Debbie-style campaign.

 

Buzz Clik

(38,437 posts)
132. Fascinating that there are at least two other polls that give HRC a 10% lead...
Mon May 2, 2016, 04:27 PM
May 2016

... but the Berners are conveniently ignoring those. Go figure.

AtheistCrusader

(33,982 posts)
137. The media hasn't turned on Trump yet. They will after the primary.
Mon May 2, 2016, 04:34 PM
May 2016

So I have hope, but yeah, keep your powder dry, and eyes on the prize, we're going to need it.

Bernardo de La Paz

(49,002 posts)
139. Get Out the Vote. Two to four Supreme Court Justice choices depend on it.
Mon May 2, 2016, 04:36 PM
May 2016

If we get out the vote, we stand a very good chance of winning the Senate as well as the Presidency. It can even make Paul Ryan sweat for his House.

 

Geronimoe

(1,539 posts)
141. I don't think the Republicans know
Mon May 2, 2016, 04:39 PM
May 2016

that she has the support of the Koch Bros, Cheney, Bibi, and the Neocons.

LenaBaby61

(6,974 posts)
157. Rasmussen ....
Mon May 2, 2016, 04:58 PM
May 2016

Polls very much to the right of center, and it's chief pollster and owner of the polling company, Scott Rasmussen is a polarizing pollster.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2012/09/17/rasmussen-the-gops-cure-for-the-common-poll/

Also, Nate Silver gives Rasmussen a C rating: C=average. In fact, going back to 2010, Silver identified Rasmussen as a pollster who is very biased, and usually in favor of Republicans because of the way and because of the timing of their polling questions and because of what type of methodology/and the way they conduct their polling which is USUALLY in favor of Republicans.

Mean-reverted bias: A pollster’s historical average statistical bias toward Democratic or Republican candidates, reverted to a mean of zero based on the number of polls in the database.

R+2.3 In favor of the GOP candidate(s).


http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/is-rasmussen-reports-biased/


SansACause

(520 posts)
165. This is good news for Hillary.
Mon May 2, 2016, 05:07 PM
May 2016

Given how far to the right Rasmussen leans, this means she has a 1-2% lead over Trump in the real world.

tavernier

(12,388 posts)
197. Today is the second day of May.
Mon May 2, 2016, 05:41 PM
May 2016

I will bet that incredibly strange events will occur between now and November, and we are nowhere near predicting the winner.

SmittynMo

(3,544 posts)
201. Bernie beats Trump in EVERY poll I've seen.
Mon May 2, 2016, 05:44 PM
May 2016

One would then think, that this is a no brainer. Right? Yet, there are millions of people that do not realize what corporate America is about to pull.

broadcaster75201

(387 posts)
213. God this bickering sounds like the Freepers. It's Rasmussen AND ...
Mon May 2, 2016, 06:13 PM
May 2016

a USA poll has Hillary up by 11 points.

This poll is bizarre and a push. I am a big Bernie supporter and I know this is BS.

Grow up and vote Dem. Period.

IronLionZion

(45,442 posts)
215. I'm sure some people are curious to see what happen with a Trump presidency
Mon May 2, 2016, 06:23 PM
May 2016

consequences be damned I guess.

A lot of people are very certain that any negative consequences are going to happen to someone else. So they're willing to take the risk. It bothers me that Trump is polling so well for a racist asshole who puts no thought at all into his idiotic policy positions.

DamnYankeeInHouston

(1,365 posts)
217. Thank goodness Democrats have another choice - a really, really good choice.
Mon May 2, 2016, 06:35 PM
May 2016

Trump is the Clintons' buddy who they got to run in order to make Hillary look good and he is beating her. It's either Trump or Bernie. Go Bernie.

kimbutgar

(21,150 posts)
218. Did they poll Hispanics, and all those people who are going though the naturaluzation process now
Mon May 2, 2016, 06:42 PM
May 2016

Just to vote against trump the entertainer? I don't think so. This poll is bogus.

PatrickforO

(14,574 posts)
227. Bernie Sanders is great because he has a great platform that most people
Mon May 2, 2016, 07:52 PM
May 2016

can genuinely get behind and be excited about. I guess I'm little more than a moronic, idealistic unicorn, but it seems to me that if our politicians actually put things in place that benefit the American people instead of Wall St. and the MIC, this nation would be a hell of a lot better off. I know that if Bernie's platform was in place, I would sure as hell be better off, as would my family.

The thing about Bernie is that if he was 20 years younger, he'd have sewn up the nomination by now. But he is not. He is an aging Baby Boomer who still has the ideals that reflected the very best of our generation, and who never sold out.

Clinton is NOT the best candidate to field against Trump. While I cannot imagine how anyone could vote Trump, just because of the snake oil, I can easily imagine people not being excited

at all

about a Clinton candidacy.

The problem, of course, is as left as she's gone in this primary, if we actually look at her past record and pronouncements, the only conclusion we can come to is that she's not being truthful and will pivot hard right AS SOON AS SHE'S THE NOMINEE.

This is why I'm supporting Bernie to the end and am glad he's going to stay in it until the convention and contest the nomination.

THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY HAS HAD A RECTAL-CRANIAL INSERTION PROBLEM SINCE IT BECAME THIRD WAY AND IT NEEDS TO GET BACK TO THE NEW DEAL 'FOR THE PEOPLE' IDEALS IT ONCE HAD. OR ELSE IT WILL DIE.

Rhiannon12866

(205,405 posts)
286. Thanks for sharing this and welcome to DU!
Tue May 3, 2016, 02:17 AM
May 2016

My parents always subscribed to the TU since my Dad was from Menands, live just an hour north of there now.

Zambero

(8,964 posts)
270. Rasmussen is an outlier
Mon May 2, 2016, 10:47 PM
May 2016

This poll has a history of being heavily skewed toward GOP candidates, and had Romney winning last time around. Other matchup polls portray different results than this one.

 

UMTerp01

(1,048 posts)
273. Like clockwork I knew this 41-39 Trump poll would be posted here...
Mon May 2, 2016, 11:08 PM
May 2016

First of all, I don't know why national polls this far out are being given ANY attention!!! Even the ones that look good for Hillary now should only be taken with a grain of salt. We aren't down to two, there haven't been any debates, and there are things that happen between August and November that could tilt things one way other the other. Now I still say that Hillary will beat Trump rather easily because of the Black vote, Latino vote, and women vote. There aren't enough whites and he's not pulling enough minorities to help him win. Again, this is an electoral college thing we must be looking at, NOT NATIONAL POLLS!!! This scare tactic is not going to work. The Democratic Party is NOT going to give Bernie Sanders the nomination no matter how many polls and articles that show Sanders beating Trump by a wider margin than Clinton or any poll like this.

whereisjustice

(2,941 posts)
276. voter suppression by the political elite, run candidates openly hostle to working class Americans
Mon May 2, 2016, 11:32 PM
May 2016

and it it matters far less who wins. It's win-win for the 1%, lose-lose for the rest of us.

 

billhicks76

(5,082 posts)
280. Only Fools Think The Public Wants A Bush Or Clinton Back In The White House
Tue May 3, 2016, 12:15 AM
May 2016

Last edited Tue May 3, 2016, 06:21 AM - Edit history (1)

They will probably even take a devil like Trump over the same old thing. People here are so stupid and blind it's mind boggling.

LenaBaby61

(6,974 posts)
285. The one thing we CAN say is that ....
Tue May 3, 2016, 01:55 AM
May 2016

Hillary Clinton has made it much further than Jeb Bush, whose candidacy was DOA, as many of us knew it would be.

Hillary's candidacy is nowhere near the same stage as Jeb's was. She's seemingly onto the big dance come this fall. Jeb never was even asked for a dance, in fact Jeb couldn't give dances away. And I believe he spent about $130-$150 million dollars to finish near the bottom of the GOP heap in the primaries before bowing out with a whimper.

We'll see in the fall what happens with Hillary Clinton vs Donald Trump.

It was never going to be Jeb Bush. Remember, Jeb couldn't even "dance."

 

Darb

(2,807 posts)
295. Only fools don't know the difference of family by blood, and those by name.
Tue May 3, 2016, 09:11 AM
May 2016

Hillary is a Rodham, married to a man named Clinton, who was adopted. Bush is a Bush is a Bush, the same stupid bloodline.

Got it?

Now stow it.

 

billhicks76

(5,082 posts)
319. Lol. Talk About Denial
Wed May 4, 2016, 12:58 AM
May 2016

It's nepotism plain and simple. Even worse the Bushes and Clintons are each other's cronies. They are two families joined at the hip that have been scratching each other's backs for decades. They refer to each other as intimate family friends. It's beyond disgusting in a democracy. Especially given how nefarious Bush Sr has been over the decades. Your ability to rationalize deals with the devil just proves to me the faliablity of human nature and that some of those who like to identify as Democrats are just as much living in a bubble as many Republicans.

 

Darb

(2,807 posts)
321. No, it's not, and no, they aren't.
Wed May 4, 2016, 08:29 AM
May 2016

First families know each other and are friendly. You, of course, know the inner feelings of everyone involved because you are some sort of fucking swami. No, they don't refer to each other as intimate family friends, oh great swami, and if they are friendly, or even more, people do that. They make friends with people from the same circles. You, of course again, have a tin foil hat on so tight it is a fucking joke. Now why don't you connect them via Mena, or tell me about Clinton's Body count.

Did you throw your nose away after you cut it off, genius? They could have re-attached it unless you tossed it into the ocean or the garbage. But I bet you did.

Fucking pathetic.

 

billhicks76

(5,082 posts)
322. Untrue
Wed May 4, 2016, 03:27 PM
May 2016

There are numerous quotes where they directly say they are regarded as members of each other's families. Mostly the Bushes saying this not the Clintons and the Clintons never deny. I have to post the links again? Bill has been photographed at the Bush family retreat in Maine as far back as 1982. He wasn't president then as you know. George Wallace is also in that infamous photo. Jimmy Carter doesn't pal around with the Bushes. Bill acted like he barely knew Bush Sr in the 92 election which was false. A lot of what Bill says is false unfortunately.

Cobalt Violet

(9,905 posts)
293. A vote for her in the primaries is/was a vote for Trump.
Tue May 3, 2016, 09:00 AM
May 2016

You can thank Clinton supporters for a President Trump but they'll blame it on Bernie and his supporters.

justiceischeap

(14,040 posts)
301. Rasmussen is the only poll showing Trump winning anything
Tue May 3, 2016, 12:09 PM
May 2016

I was just on RCP and the RCP average is that Hillary is +6.2 as of this week.

You can't just post one poll and go, "Aha!" it doesn't work that way.

justiceischeap

(14,040 posts)
305. If you think Trump can do anything worse than the GOP
Tue May 3, 2016, 01:06 PM
May 2016

has over the past 20+ years, you're deluding yourself. Then there's the helping hand of some within the Democratic Party itself. What a smart Republican candidate will do is use the #BernieorBust folks against Hillary. Why spend their own time and money when they can use content from Sanders supporters to do so--oh wait, I suspect they're already doing that.

 

Bradical79

(4,490 posts)
306. I'm not buying those numbers
Tue May 3, 2016, 01:11 PM
May 2016

At least as any indication of how things will go down in the GE. I just don't see an election against Trump where she gets less than half the women vote, and less than 90% of the non-white vote, and I don't see how she could lose with those kind of numbers with today's demographics. And while there may be more Democrats jumping ship to Republican than vice versa, that makes even less of a difference than ever before given how much both parties have shrunk.

 

jamzrockz

(1,333 posts)
317. I wasn't plannng on voting this elcetion cycle
Tue May 3, 2016, 06:26 PM
May 2016

But if Trump wins the republican nomination, I voting for whoever is the democratic candidate. So republican, just nominate Trump and you get see the biggest presidential election defeat since Goldwater.

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