White House Watch: Trump 42%, Clinton 37%

[cigsandcoffee]

Source: Rasmussen

Donald Trump has now grown his lead over Hillary Clinton in Rasmussen Reports’ first weekly White House Watch survey.

Trump earns 42% support to Clinton’s 37% when Likely U.S. Voters are asked whom they would vote for if the presidential election were held today. But Rasmussen Reports’ latest national telephone survey finds that 13% prefer some other candidate, while seven percent (7%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

At the beginning of this month, Trump, the presumptive Republican nominee, posted a statistically insignificant 41% to 39% lead over Clinton who is still expected to win the Democratic presidential nomination. Fifteen percent (15%) favored someone else, and five percent (5%) were undecided.

Rasmussen Reports will update the Clinton-Trump White House Watch matchup numbers every Thursday morning from now until Election Day in November.

Read more: http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/white_house_watch

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I don't think these mean much yet, but it's still a bit unsettling. Trump should be miles behind in every poll.

[IDemo]

1. Rasmussen and Fox

Two polling sources to view askance.

[BillZBubb]

4. Rassmussen is terrible, obviously republican biased.

But, Faux, strangely enough is actually pretty much in the mainstream of polls. Dismissing these polls is foolish, because they do signal a problem. But, it is so early in the election cycle that it is simply that an early indicator but not etched in stone.

[forest444]

39. True - but the polls are definitely tight between the two.

And experience shows that Hillary's polls always tend to weaken, rather then strengthen, as the campaign progresses.

She's probably going to need Gary Johnson to give her the edge she needs to win, and even then it'll be close.

[George II]

2. "grown his lead over Hillary Clinton in Rasmussen Reports’ first weekly White House Watch survey"?

How can that be if it's the FIRST survey? "Grown his lead" over what?

[itcfish]

3. Rasmussen Had

Romney winning by a landslide. I bet they only poll old white republican men.

[cigsandcoffee]

5. Actually, they had him winning by one point.

A bad poll, sure, but they weren't off by 5 points.

[BillZBubb]

6. These are probably pretty accurate for now. Yes even Rasmussen.

Right now, the republicans are coalescing around trump. They know he's the nominee and they are coming to terms with that. They also know Hillary will be the Democratic nominee which unites them and helps trump. So, trump has gotten a boost since locking up the nomination.

The Democratic side is still very contentious. Once Hillary is the nominee a lot of the left will fall in line and support her. Then she will get a similar boost and the lead will reverse. But like these polls they won't be that meaningful because it is so early in the election process.

[Cosmocat]

9. right

republicans are being the obedient pods they are, while Hillary is still being torn apart by both the entire R party and the progressive wing of her own party.

it isn't good right now, but we just can't get a decent read on it until after the dust settles from the convention.

[7962]

11. An awful lot of those "obedient pods" arent backing Trump

I dont buy this poll for a minute. He's been losing heavily to her for months.

[Cosmocat]

18. eh

I think what few Rs that will not vote for him are cooked into that low 40s number ...

For all the histrionics of "STOP TRUMP" and "the rules are the rules' going into the convention that we heard even threw weeks ago, they are pathetically falling into line for the most part.

End of the day, for all their bravado and big talk, they will find a way to gin themselves up to make him out to be wonderful and believe it/go home to the one thing that unites them, the evil liberal boogyman.

This election, with him, always was about the "middle" and relative to Hillary, the capacity of Bernistas to get over themselves.

[Omaha Steve]

20. IF she can't handle Bernie

She can't beat Trump!

[Cosmocat]

31. Yeah

if she is that bad and is beating Bernie in the primary ...

[apnu]

35. This makes sense to me (nt)

[Gregorian]

7. She's willing to burn the Democratic house down, for her ambitions.

Utterly shameful. Hillary comes first; America can drop dead.

[SmittynMo]

14. A lot of people certainly feel this way. n/t

[Helen Borg]

8. She cannot be the D nominee...

Period.

[George II]

19. She will be the D nominee...

Period.

[MzShellG]

21. Unfortunately she probably will be...

She is a weak candidate and definitely not good at uniting the party.

[Yallow]

25. But She's Rich!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

She's already cashed in.

[mnhtnbb]

10. I am starting to save for my "go look at moving to Kauai" trip in early December

in case these polls turn out to be correct and this country votes Trump.

I'm at the stage in my life where I didn't expect another move. And I don't have the patience
and energy to deal with moving to another country. But the thought of Trump as POTUS
scares the crap out of me. Republicans are destroying NC as fast as they can and
I don't want to live surrounded by gun nuts and bigots emboldened by a Trump presidency.

So, the polls BETTER turn around and the election had better yield a Dem POTUS.

[7962]

15. Here's something to consider;

I've thought for a long time that if by some series of events that Trump DOES win, he's actually going to be a lot further left than many of his supporters think. he's even said as much with some of his statements, they just dont listen. Like not touching SS; the GOP is ALWAYS wanting to tinker with SS. My brother (Sanders supporter too) says some of Trumps views are to the left of Hillary
So dont rush out to make that move yet!!

[mnhtnbb]

17. I'm sorry, but Trump

is a misogynistic, lying, bigoted, racist a$$hole who is totally unqualified to be POTUS.
I would not wait to stick around and see how fast he could destroy the country; I've watched
Republicans in NC do tremendous damage in only four years.

[maryellen99]

37. He changed his tune on SS and Medicare nt

He wants to now "reform" it.

[SmittynMo]

12. What more do we have to do

to prove she's not the right one? What will it take for the ordinary HRC fan to flip their vote?

[hollowdweller]

13. Rasmussen is questionable but independants see the writing on the wall with Bernie and are turning

to Trump.

[nxylas]

16. RCP poll averages

At the time of writing this:

Clinton 45.8, Trump 42.5 (Clinton +3.3%)
Sanders 50.7, Trump 39.3 (Sanders +11.4%)

The trendlines show Trump narrowing the gap with both Democratic candidates, but it's a slight uptick on the Sanders v Trump graph, while the Clinton v Trump graph looks like two trains about to collide at high speed.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_sanders-5565.html

[BlueNoMatterWho]

28. Date?

Looks like it may be an average? Is there any dates assigned to this polling? Thanks.

[OKNancy]

23. Crap poll.... got this from 538

The party composition of the Fox News poll is +1 Republican. The party composition of the actual electorate in 2012 was +6 Democratic.

[closeupready]

24. Not surprised. Hillary will move to the right.

And the gap will grow, leading to further moves to the right.

[RandySF]

26. Trump will not be elected in May.

Hillary will be elected in November.

[asiliveandbreathe]

27. I agree this doesn't mean much for now -

however - if the Democratic party continues to splinter - Trump will walk right in...we should be coming together - not for the good of the party - but for the good of the country and the American people..I am so sick of this crap by both candidates...one question - who can save us from ourselves....

[frylock]

29. Get used to it.

[HooptieWagon]

30. Why should Trump be behind?

His unfavorables are no worse than Clinton's. He's making nice to GOP base, unlike Clinton's deliberately insulting and ignoring the Left. The GOP hasn't been cheating or playing favorites in their primaries. Trump doesn't have a cloud of criminal indictment hanging over him. And Trump is an govt outsider in an election cycle in which voters are especially pissed at the status quo in DC. So the surprise isn't that Trump is leading Clinton, it's that he isn't leading by more. I predict that will come...republican voters will rally around Trump as their alternative to Clinton, and her #s will follow her pattern of having peaked early and then going into a steady decline.

[rtracey]

33. ohhhhh

Careful, I was juried for speaking the truth.

[HooptieWagon]

36. It sure makes them look silly and immature.

[rtracey]

41. agreed

[rtracey]

32. Hmmm

Romney was polling way ahead too.... so, but Obama didnt have the vitriol crap the Sanders/Clinton people are spewing either....so

[Katashi_itto]

38. Something to get used to. Munches popcorn.

[Doctor_J]

40. It's all Sanders fault!

I read it on du

[BigDemVoter]

42. Rasmussen. . . About as reliable as a Fox News Poll

[BlueStater]

43. She's an awful candidate at exactly the wrong time in history.

The country is craving change and she's about as far from change as you can possibly get.

And, please, no one bring up she's female. I care about the policy of a candidate, not what genitalia they have.