ICM poll puts Leave in the lead

[brooklynite]

Source: The Guardian

Breaking: ICM have just issued a poll showing that the Leave campaign hold a five-point leave over Remain, at 48% to 43%.

It’s their regular online poll, which took place after Sky News held two debates last week - one with David Cameron, and one with Leave campaigner Michael Gove.

ICM says that the polls appear to have moved:

After a fairly tumultuous week in which both Prime Minister and Michael Gove set out their stalls on TV, ICM’s weekly tracker and indeed at least two other polls published in the last 24 hours, suggest a move to Leave might have occurred.

Our poll today has Leave on 48% (+1), Remain on 43% (-1) with Don’t Knows still on 9%. This equates to a 53% vs 47% lead for Leave.

Read more: https://www.theguardian.com/business/live/2016/jun/06/pound-slides-referendum-brexit-polls-janet-yellen-speech-live?page=with:block-57554a99e4b0593936d7e266#block-57554a99e4b0593936d7e266

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The BREXIT vote is in 2 1/2 weeks.

[ananda]

1. Wow.

I didn't think they'd actually leave, when push came to shove.

This is interesting.

Next thing you know, they'll have a true awakening and abandon
the tories altogether.

[brooklynite]

2. Actually, I believe the referendum divides both Conservative and Labour voters

[iandhr]

3. Yup

There is a lot wrong with the EU from a progressive standpoint.

[muriel_volestrangler]

5. There's a lot more wrong with a UK outside the EU

Here's the British trade unions on Brexit:

On Thursday 23 June British voters will decide if Britain should continue its membership of the European Union or leave.
Working people will have a big stake in the referendum because workers’ rights are on the line. The TUC is concerned that leaving the EU puts at risk many vital workplace rights currently underpinned by EU law – paid holidays, extra maternity rights and better conditions for part-time workers, as well as many better jobs in export-reliant industries.
RESOURCES
WORKERS' RIGHTS: Brexit impact
An independent legal opinion from Michael Ford QC identifies the dangers of Britain leaving the EU for working people.
BETTER OFF IN - Working people and the case for remaining in the ​EU
This paper looks at the likely impact of Brexit on the core concern of trade unions: good jobs with decent pay.​
THE NHS: How Brexit could affect our health service
BRITISH STEEL: Why Brexit won’t save our steel
HEALTH AND SAFETY:
- What Brexit would mean
- The benefits for UK workers
WOMEN’S RIGHTS: The risks of Brexit
Women workers’ rights and the risks of Brexit​
This report outlines 20 ways in which EU law has improved the rights of working women in the UK
WORKING PARENTS & CARERS - Risks of Brexit​
​RACE EQUALITY: The risks of Brexit
FREE MOVEMENT IS A TWO-WAY STREET - Brexit would risk it all
PART-TIME AND TEMPORARY WORKERS - Risks of Brexit​
VIDEOS
The EU referendum: A big decision. Don't risk it! - Explanatory animation
Stuart's story: Don't risk our car industry by leaving the EU

https://www.tuc.org.uk/EUref

And an idea of how the demographics split:



https://yougov.co.uk/news/2016/03/24/eu-referendum-provincial-england-versus-london-and/

[muriel_volestrangler]

6. Labour voters are more united for 'remain', Tory go for 'leave', but by a closer amount

See graphic in my other post.

[DURHAM D]

4. Meanwhile, when asked about BREXIT the other

day Trump had no idea what it means. He had never heard the term.

[pampango]

8. Not sure what day that was but on May 15 Trump came out in support of BREXIT.

Trump breaks with Obama (Hillary and Bernie too) on Brexit (the UK leaving the EU)

Britain wouldn't be hurt "at all" in terms of trade negotiations with the United States if it exited the European Union, Donald Trump says.

President Barack Obama had warned in an April visit to London that Britain would move to "the back of the queue" in negotiating trade deals with the United States should it exit the European Union.

He said a trade deal between the two countries could still happen, "but it's not going to happen any time soon because our focus is in negotiating with a big bloc, the European Union, to get a trade agreement done."

"Britain's such a great ally that they went into things that they shouldn't have gone into -- like, as an example, going into Iraq, OK? With me, they'll always been treated fantastically," he said.

http://www.cnn.com/2016/05/15/politics/donald-trump-obama-brexit/

[Hoppy]

7. Too bad we proletariat didn't and don't have a vote on G.A.T.T., N.A.F.T.A.,

T.T.P. and the other trade agreements. We don't get to vote but corporations have puppets in Congress to vote on their behalf.

[pampango]

9. Well, GATT was part of FDR's ITO. GATT was enacted by Truman by executive order because

he thought the republican congress would reject it like it had rejected the ITO. NAFTA was passed under a Democrat. TPP was negotiated and submitted to congress under a Democrat.

I see a pattern: FDR, Truman, Clinton, Obama. No republicans in the bunch.