Battleground polls: Clinton tops Trump post-convention

[Miles Archer]

Source: CNN

(CNN)Hillary Clinton holds commanding leads over Donald Trump in a trio of states that the GOP nominee has made central to his White House bid, according to polls released Thursday following both party's national conventions last month.

In New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and Michigan -- states that have trended Democratic in recent elections, but whose economics and demographics seem to pose an opening for the GOP nominee -- Clinton has made strides in improving her favorable ratings, while Trump remains challenged by high unfavorable ratings and resistance from a significant portion of Republicans.

Clinton leads Trump 47% to 32% among likely New Hampshire voters, according to the poll from WBUR, with third-party candidates Gary Johnson and Jill Stein included. Matched up one-on-one, Clinton's lead grows to 17 points, 51% to 34%.

Both candidates continue to suffer from challenging unfavorable ratings, though Clinton has made strides improving her marks following the conventions. The Democratic nominee now breaks even, with 45% saying they view Clinton favorably to 45% who say the opposite -- up from a -23 spread in a WBUR poll from May. Trump is viewed favorably by 29% of likely New Hampshire voters, against 60% who have an unfavorable opinion -- a slight decline from May.

Read more: http://www.cnn.com/2016/08/04/politics/clinton-leads-trump-three-states/index.html

[groundloop]

1. I can't imagine tRump will EVER overcome that large of an unfavorable rating

And it seems that our convention has started moving Hillary's favorability in the right direction.

[Statistical]

2. I agree. 100% - (unfavorable rating) is pretty much your ceiling when it comes to the vote.

You might get less but you almost never get more. So 60% unfavorable rating means he would be luck to get 40% of the vote on election day. Given that he runs off at the mouth I don't see that improving. I wonder how scared shitless GOP leaders are. I mean they understand how this game is played and how much damage Trump will end up doing.

[bluestateguy]

3. That's pretty good evidence that she's winning over Bernie voters

of which there are many in New Hampshire.

[0rganism]

4. suggests that tRump's ceiling is around 40%

40% for the ticket lead has significant down-ballot implications.
if he doesn't change his tune pronto, we are looking at some major ass-kicking this fall.