Clinton holds clear advantage in new battleground polls

[DonViejo]

Source: The Washington Post

By Dan Balz and Scott Clement October 18 at 12:34 PM

Hillary Clinton holds a decisive advantage over Donald Trump in the competition for votes in the electoral college, leading in enough states to put her comfortably over the 270 majority needed to win the presidential election in November, according to a new SurveyMonkey poll of 15 battleground states conducted with The Washington Post.

Based on the results from the 15 state surveys, along with assumptions of the likely outcomes in other states that have consistently voted for one party or the other, Clinton, the Democratic nominee, holds leads of four points among likely voters or more in states that add up to 304 electoral votes.

Trump, the GOP nominee, has the advantage in states with an estimated electoral vote total of 138. Arizona, Florida, Ohio and Texas, which account for 96 electoral votes, remain as toss-ups. All results in the 15 state surveys are based on ballot tests that include Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson and Green Party nominee Jill Stein.

The results underscore the importance for Trump of Wednesday’s final presidential debate, which will be held in Las Vegas. National polls have moved in Clinton’s direction since the exchanges began in late September. Her current average margin is seven points in polling averages from the Huffington Post Pollster and RealClearPolitics. The most recent Washington Post-ABC News poll put her national lead over Trump at four points.

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Read more: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/clinton-holds-clear-advantage-in-new-battleground-polls/2016/10/18/2885e3a0-94a6-11e6-bc79-af1cd3d2984b_story.html?wpisrc=al_alert-COMBO-politics%252Bnation

[ram2008]

1. These are some weird results...

Behind in Ohio Nevada and Iowa more than she is in Texas? Ahead in Georgia but not Florida?

There's got to be some sort of explanation. Is it perhaps gender this time over ideology?

[broadcaster75201]

2. Indeed. One NV poll just released has her up 9

All we gotta do is vote and it's a damn landslide.

[Coyotl]

5. CBS 51-36 = Trump campaigh #FUBAR

That gap in our newest poll is now 15 points, 51 to 36 percent.

As the corporate media driven/Republican propaganda delusions about Hillary collapse, there will be more shift towards Clinton from men and white women in particular, groups that are lagging the national trend.

[LisaL]

3. Some of these results are pretty strange.

[Coyotl]

4. There are other polls which show a more positive picture for Dems.

Clinton Has 9-Point Lead as Comeback Obstacles Loom for Trump

After trailing among men throughout the summer, Clinton is now winning 46 percent of their support in a hypothetical two-way race, compared to 44 percent for Trump. She’s ahead among women by 17 points and has a 1-point edge among white women, 46 percent to 45 percent.

In the overall two-way contest, Clinton leads 50 percent to 41 percent, the same margin as when third-party candidates are included.