Could Trump blow it in Texas?

[brooklynite]

Source: Politico

According to some Republican and nonpartisan pollsters, Donald Trump is turning off enough core GOP constituencies and motivating Hispanic voters in ways that could pump up Clinton’s performance to higher levels than a Democratic nominee has seen in decades. In 2012, Mitt Romney won the state in a 16-point blowout. The current spread is just 5 points, according to the RealClearPolitics polling average.

“I think that Texas is competitive this year,” said Brendan Steinhauser, an Austin-based GOP operative. “I think it’ll be much closer than usual. I think it’s because of the Trump factor.”

...snip...

Trump’s potential effect on Hispanic turnout is at the heart of Republican worries. Polls show the GOP nominee has repelled Latino voters nationally, and they make up an increasingly large share of the Texas voting population. Results from the first two days of in-person early voting suggest there have been turnout surges in populous, Democratic-leaning areas like Austin’s Travis County and also in the Dallas/Fort Worth area — places with sizable Hispanic populations.

Richard Murray, a University of Houston pollster, said children of Latino immigrants in particular are finding Trump’s candidacy a rallying cry. Murray described a “startling” scene at a Houston early-voting location he visited Monday, the first day of in-person voting in Texas. The facility, Ripley House, is located in a “low-income, pretty sparsely populated old barrio area,” he said, and it saw about 450 early voters in 2012. On Monday, 1,050 ballots were cast. Murray noted that there are a million more Latino registered voters in 2016 than there were in 2012.

Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/10/trump-clinton-texas-red-state-230368

[NewJeffCT]

1. 1 million more Latino voters than in 2012

I'm guessing a large majority of them will not be voting for Trump.

[ffr]

2. Could Clinton claim Texas?

If marching dems to the polls, without complacency, absolutely. We vote, we win.

If enough of us stay at home playing games dreaming of victory, but doing little about it, no. We stay at home, we suffer the possibility of four more years of the Party of NO.

[cstanleytech]

3. Well if he can avoid opening his mouth he probably wont blow it. nt

[trusty elf]

5. ....

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[cstanleytech]

6. True, unless his handlers gag or drug him

into unconsciousness he probably will open it but its possible he could do it, just like its possible I could be the sole winner of the powerball lottery this coming Saturday.

[progressoid]

4. "the Trump factor"

[DemInND]

7. In reference to the above article

Trump’s potential effect on Hispanic turnout is at the heart of Republican worries. Polls show the GOP nominee has repelled Latino voters nationally, and they make up an increasingly large share of the Texas voting population.

Trump would repel a skunk.