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SunSeeker

(51,498 posts)
Sun Oct 30, 2016, 12:30 PM Oct 2016

CBS battleground poll: Partisans divide on news of FBI, emails

Source: CBS News

News of the FBI’s decision spread quickly through the battleground states – eight in ten likely voters had heard about it by Saturday – and partisans quickly went to their respective corners: Republicans think it’s bad and expect the emails to contain things damaging to Clinton, and most Democrats say too much is being made of it. While a sizeable third of Democrats also say it’s bad, we found yet another reminder that the election has become a relative choice between the two candidates: those same Democrats also feel the email matter is not as bad as things they dislike about Donald Trump, so they aren’t re-evaluating their vote.

...

There’s a suggestion the new email issue could limit Clinton’s chances of growing beyond the base that already supports her. Only 5 percent of Democrats say it could make them less likely to vote for Clinton, and among voters overall, 71 percent say it either won’t change their thinking, or in some cases, they’re already voted.

Most of those who say they’re less likely to vote for Clinton are Republicans, who are not supporting her anyway. Just 5 percent say it all depends on what is in the emails, a wait-and-see approach. Overall, 52 percent of battleground voters expect the emails to contain “more of what we already know” and 48 percent - the largest group of which are Republicans – expect things that are additionally damaging to Clinton.

Read more: http://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-battleground-poll-partisans-divide-on-news-of-fbi-emails/



Looks like the Comey letter is not changing a lot of minds.
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paleotn

(17,870 posts)
2. This late, most minds are made up....
Sun Oct 30, 2016, 02:19 PM
Oct 2016

...and many have already voted. So some vague FBI mention of some new found emails that may or may not contain anything substantive isn't going to move the numbers much. It would take video tape of Trumpkin and Putin discussing the overthrow of the western world or Clinton eating kittens for breakfast to change much now.

Cosmocat

(14,557 posts)
8. I don't think it will effect whether Hillary wins, but the senate and her margin ARE going to be
Mon Oct 31, 2016, 07:44 AM
Oct 2016

effected.

I agree for the reason you note and her margin is probably good enough to weather it that it is not likely to effect her actually winner.

NOW, she could win all 50 states and republicans will be raging assholes for the next four years. But, the larger her margin, the more validation her win will have to non conservatives. The closer her win, the more the middle will agree with Rs when they scream how "illegitimate" she is.

But, the bigger issue is the senate. There is a razor thin margin to get to even 50-50, and the two or three senate races to get them to that point or more are so close that this absolutely could effect it.

People are not getting how important the senate is generally, but specifically relative to the SC. Ds need control to take the filibuster out on day one to be able to get up and down votes. If Rs maintain the senate, they WILL hold the SC at 8 or less for the next four years in hopes of beating Hillary in 2020.

Johnyawl

(3,205 posts)
3. IMHO this was done to protect the republican majority in the House
Sun Oct 30, 2016, 07:05 PM
Oct 2016

This will not change enough minds to cause Hillary to lose, but it will slow her momentum and eliminate what was a very slim chance of the Democrats taking the House. And that's all Chaffetz cares about, he doesn't give a damn about trump. If he can spend four years investigating Hillary and upstaging Paul Ryan, he'll be one of the leading contenders out of the gate in 2020.

luvmybluestate

(54 posts)
4. the house majority was always safe. gerryrigged til 2020. agree about
Sun Oct 30, 2016, 08:48 PM
Oct 2016

chaffetz. wouldn't doubt if gawd bothering pence wouldn't run too. ithink ryan knows he is toast

 

adigal

(7,581 posts)
6. If he loses, Trump will take aim at Ryan and make him miserable
Sun Oct 30, 2016, 09:20 PM
Oct 2016

Ryan's not going anywhere, in my view

Cosmocat

(14,557 posts)
7. THE SENATE
Mon Oct 31, 2016, 07:38 AM
Oct 2016

We were NEVER going to get the House.

This was about the senate and supreme court, and the margin is so thin there it might make a difference.

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